id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_bmd6jl5ybzb4pa7sudq6vwnjxi Patrick Hawley Inertia, Optimism and Beauty 2011 28 .pdf application/pdf 11370 819 79 coin lands tails, Beauty will be awakened for a moment on Monday, and put back to When Beauty wakes on Monday, what should be her degree of belief that the coin When Beauty awakens on Monday she learns nothing relevant to the coin toss. Indeed, a thirder can use inertia to argue that Beauty gains relevant evidence: Thirders and halfers disagree about Beauty's degree of belief, on Monday morning, If Beauty is an optimist, whether the coin lands heads or tails, when that it is Monday, and the same degree of belief that the coin lands heads. The optimist need have no quarrel with Elga's argument for the former: Supexpected inaccuracy of Beauty's degree of belief that the coin lands heads. take the optimist argument as a reductio showing that (2) is false, and conclude therefore that Beauty gains or loses relevant evidence (or both) when she awakes, or else ./cache/work_bmd6jl5ybzb4pa7sudq6vwnjxi.pdf ./txt/work_bmd6jl5ybzb4pa7sudq6vwnjxi.txt