id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_dogtc3jyxjgibi74glrufigv3m A. Elga Self-locating belief and the Sleeping Beauty problem 2000 6 .pdf application/pdf 1913 132 77 depending on the toss of a fair coin (Heads: once; Tails: twice). credence in the coin's landing Heads ought to remain 1/2. Your credence (upon awakening) in the coin's landing Heads ought to be the same regardless of whether the researchers use method 1 or 2. then be your credence that a fair coin, soon to be tossed, will land Heads. this circumstance, your credence that the coin will land Heads ought to be 1/2. credence that the coin will land Heads (after learning that it is Monday) ought to be the In contrast (assuming that you update your beliefs rationally), when you are awakened on Monday, you count your current temporal location as relevant to the truth of H: Any agent who is certain that she will tomorrow have credence x in proposition R (though she will neither receive new information nor suffer any cognitive mishaps in the intervening time) ought now to have credence x in R.5 ./cache/work_dogtc3jyxjgibi74glrufigv3m.pdf ./txt/work_dogtc3jyxjgibi74glrufigv3m.txt