id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_o3m5wlludnhblmfsc7ykumbg5i Michel Janssen Sleeping Beauty on Monty Hall 2020 17 .pdf application/pdf 10642 904 81 Keywords: sleeping beauty problem; monty hall problem; probability; bayesian; frequentist Just as Sleeping Beauty knows how a coin toss will decide how many of her potential awakenings will become actual awakenings, potential contestants in our game-show proxy know how a coin toss the Monty Hall Problem, a good way to shore up one's intuitions in dealing with the Sleeping Beauty The prior degrees of belief for any candidate that the coin will come up heads or tails, respectively, are: potential awakening of Sleeping Beauty that becomes an actual awakening if the coin comes up heads. other candidates in the game-show proxy for the Sleeping Beauty Problem. first half of Equation (6) for Sleeping Beauty's posterior degree of belief that the coin came up heads: In this case, Equation (15) tells us that Sleeping Beauty's degree of belief that the coin came up heads game-show proxy for this Sleeping Beauty on Monty Hall Problem. ./cache/work_o3m5wlludnhblmfsc7ykumbg5i.pdf ./txt/work_o3m5wlludnhblmfsc7ykumbg5i.txt