id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_ra5kgnly7nfsvjxbydufua4tua D. J. Bradley Confirmation in a Branching World: The Everett Interpretation and Sleeping Beauty 2011 21 .pdf application/pdf 9313 801 74 Heads is 1/2 and the probability that a small ball is selected given Tails is 1; and an argument for the Thirder position in Sleeping Beauty (Titelbaum 35 I will now argue that in both the Many Worlds case and Sleeping Beauty we 20 (Note the similarity to the urn example.) Suppose an agent makes an observation of Up. Let's first express that evidence as an uncentred proposition, Note that Heads and Tails are two possible worlds and the days are centres MWI will only be confirmed by observing Up if the probability that this had a probability of 1/2 given Heads, so both confirm Tails. really are non-trivial probabilities in MWI regarding which branch is observed, Beauty argument that the probabilities of there being a red paper and a blue As the procedure is biased towards red paper days, P(EBc |Tails)ΒΌ1. Both the Many Worlds Interpretation and Sleeping Beauty involve learning self-locating evidence. ./cache/work_ra5kgnly7nfsvjxbydufua4tua.pdf ./txt/work_ra5kgnly7nfsvjxbydufua4tua.txt