id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt blog-dshr-org-885 DSHR's Blog: The Optimist's Telescope: Review .html text/html 5131 498 73 Bina Venkataraman has a new book on the topic entitled The Optimist's Telescope: Thinking Ahead in a Reckless Age. Robert H. These patterns of thinking, I have learned, explain why all the investment on better predictions can fall short of driving decisions about the future ... The presentation set me thinking about the long-term future of digital information, and about how systems to provide it needed to be ductile rather than, like Byzantine Fault Tolerance, brittle. This is an impressive demonstration of making "what lasts over time pay in the short run", but scaling up to displace annual grains in the market is an exercise left to the reader. Reporting in the journal Nature, the researchers first predicted the phenomenon from a mathematical model of collective decision making, and then confirmed its effects by conducting social network experiments with thousands of human subjects. ./cache/blog-dshr-org-885.html ./txt/blog-dshr-org-885.txt