[PDF] Why and when peer prediction is superior to self-prediction: the weight given to future aspiration versus past achievement. | Semantic Scholar Skip to search formSkip to main content> Semantic Scholar's Logo Search Sign InCreate Free Account You are currently offline. Some features of the site may not work correctly. DOI:10.1037/a0028124 Corpus ID: 9379296Why and when peer prediction is superior to self-prediction: the weight given to future aspiration versus past achievement. @article{Helzer2012WhyAW, title={Why and when peer prediction is superior to self-prediction: the weight given to future aspiration versus past achievement.}, author={Erik G. Helzer and D. Dunning}, journal={Journal of personality and social psychology}, year={2012}, volume={103 1}, pages={ 38-53 } } Erik G. Helzer, D. Dunning Published 2012 Psychology, Medicine Journal of personality and social psychology Peer predictions of future behavior and achievement are often more accurate than those furnished by the self. Although both self- and peer predictions correlate equally with future outcomes, peers tend to avoid the degree of overoptimism so often seen in self-predictions. In 3 studies, the authors tested whether this differential accuracy arises because people give more weight to past behavior when predicting others, but emphasize agentic information, in particular data about their aspiration… Expand View on PubMed sites.lsa.umich.edu Save to Library Create Alert Cite Launch Research Feed Share This Paper 54 CitationsHighly Influential Citations 2 Background Citations 24 Methods Citations 5 Results Citations 4 View All Figures and Tables from this paper table 1 figure 1 table 2 figure 2 table 3 View All 5 Figures & Tables 54 Citations Citation Type Citation Type All Types Cites Results Cites Methods Cites Background Has PDF Publication Type Author More Filters More Filters Filters Sort by Relevance Sort by Most Influenced Papers Sort by Citation Count Sort by Recency The performance heuristic: a misguided reliance on past success when predicting prospects for improvement. Clayton R. 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