HOUSE COMMITTEE ON ARMED SERVICES ONE HUNDRED TENTH CONGRESS IKE SKELTON, Missouri, Chairman JOHN SPRATT, South Carolina DUNCAN HUNTER, California SOLOMON P. ORTIZ, Texas JIM SAXTON, New Jersey GENE TAYLOR, Mississippi JOHN M. MCHUGH, New York NEIL ABERCROMBIE, Hawaii TERRY EVERETT, Alabama MARTY MEEHAN, Massachusetts ROSCOE G. BARTLETT, Maryland SILVESTRE REYES, Texas HOWARD P. "BUCK” MCKEON, California VIC SNYDER, Arkansas MAC THORNBERRY, Texas ADAM SMITH, Washington WALTER B. JONES, North Carolina LORETTA SANCHEZ, California ROBIN HAYES, North Carolina MIKE MCINTYRE, North Carolina KEN CALVERT, California ELLEN O. TAUSCHER, California JO ANN DAVIS, Virginia ROBERT A. BRADY, Pennsylvania W. TODD AKIN, Missouri ROBERT ANDREWS, New Jersey J. RANDY FORBES, Virginia SUSAN A. DAVIS, California JEFF MILLER, Florida JAMES R. LANGEVIN, Rhode Island JOE WILSON, South Carolina RICK LARSEN, Washington FRANK A. LOBIONDO, New Jersey JIM COOPER, Tennessee TOM COLE, Oklahoma JIM MARSHALL, Georgia ROB BISHOP, Utah MADELEINE Z. BORDALLO, Guam MICHAEL TURNER, Ohio MARK UDALL, Colorado JOHN KLINE, Minnesota DAN BOREN, Oklahoma CANDICE S. MILLER, Michigan BRAD ELLSWORTH, Indiana PHIL GINGREY, Georgia NANCY BOYDA, Kansas MIKE ROGERS, Alabama PATRICK MURPHY, Pennsylvania TRENT FRANKS, Arizona HANK JOHNSON, Georgia THELMA DRAKE, Virginia CAROL SHEA-PORTER, New Hampshire CATHY MCMORRIS RODGERS, Washington JOE COURTNEY, Connecticut MICHAEL CONAWAY, Texas DAVID LOEBSACK, Iowa GEOFF DAVIS, Kentucky KIRSTEN GILLIBRAND, New York JOE SESTAK, Pennsylvania GABRIELLE GIFFORDS, Arizona ELIJAH E. CUMMINGS, Maryland KENDRICK B. MEEK, Florida KATHY CASTOR, Florida ERIN C. CONATON, Staff Director MIKE CASEY, Professional Staff Member STEPHANIE SANOK, Professional Staff Member MARGEE MECKSTROTH, Staff Assistant O REPORT OF THE INDEPENDENT COMMISSION ON THE SECURITY FORCES OF IRAQ HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, COMMITTEE ON ARMED SERVICES, Washington, DC, Thursday, September 6, 2007. The committee met, pursuant to call, at 2:35 p.m., in room 2118, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Ike Skelton (chairman of the committee) presiding. OPENING STATEMENT OF HON. IKE SKELTON, A REPRESENTA- TIVE FROM MISSOURI, CHAIRMAN, COMMITTEE ON ARMED SERVICES The CHAIRMAN. Before we start our hearing, which is a very, very important one, and we appreciate the witnesses, I will not tol- erate anyone now, during this hearing, or before this hearing being here and using any of our facilities for propaganda purposes. The one who did so was just escorted from the chambers. The committee will come to order. Today, we receive the testi- mony of the Independent Commission on the Iraqi Security Forces. Attending this afternoon are our old friend, General Jim Jones, the chairman of the Commission, as well as the other commis- sioners who are joining him at the witness table. General Joulwan, good to see you again. General JOULWAN. Good to see you, sir. The CHAIRMAN. Former Secretary of Defense, John Hamre, good to see you. Chief Ramsey, thank you so much for being with us. The Independent Commission was mandated by the supple- mental appropriations bill we passed earlier this year. The Com- mission was charged with conducting an independent assessment of the Iraqi Security Forces. A similar assessment was carried out by our Oversight Investiga- tions Subcommittee earlier this year under the leadership of Marty Meehan and Todd Akin. As you know, Marty Meehan has left Con- gress and gone into the field of education. I hope the Independent Commission found their report to be helpful. The Independent Commission's report raised a number of ques- tions about the ability—more importantly, the motivation of the Iraqi Security Forces to take over responsibility for security from the American forces. I think most of us agree that the Iraqi Army is in better shape than some of the other forces and has shown some improvement over time. But, as the Government Accountability Office (GAO) mentioned in yesterday's hearing, Mr. Walker testifying, there are (1) still concerns about sectarian activities by some of the army units. I hope the Commission will address that question. The Iraqi Security Forces are one of the vital pieces in the cur- rent strategy in Iraq. They are the forces that are supposed to sup- port ours in the surge. They are the forces that are going to have to hold areas that American forces have cleared when the Amer- ican forces pull back from providing the primary security in Bagh- dad, Anbar, and a few other areas. They are ultimately the forces that will have to take over the fight against the insurgency. The faster they can take over the fight the better. This committee and the Congress will face significant questions about the future mission of U.S. forces and about how best to con- tinue the mission of training and equipping Iraqi Security Forces. We need your critical assessment, gentlemen, on how to move for- ward. General Jones, John Hamre, General Joulwan, Chief Ramsey, thank you again for appearing to be with us; and we are very, very appreciative. I now call on my friend, my colleague from California, Ranking Member Duncan Hunter. otive STATEMENT OF HON. DUNCAN HUNTER, A REPRESENTATIVE FROM CALIFORNIA, RANKING MEMBER, COMMITTEE ON ARMED SERVICES Mr. HUNTER. Thank you, Mr. Chairman; and thank you for hav- ing this hearing. Mr. Chairman, I know a lot of our members participated in the fairly extensive hearing this morning starting at nine o'clock with respect to Iraq, and so what I would like to do is offer my written statement for the record. I know you have got lots of folks who want to ask questions and lots of good testimony to give, so let me just welcome all of the members and note that, from my perspective, the stand-up and the reliability of the Iraqi Army is I think the key force for stability and success in Iraq. So, obviously, a very critical issue—for this member, the most critical issue of all—the dimensions that we are presently examining with respect to the prospects for Iraq. So thanks for being with us; and, Mr. Chairman, that completes my statement. I look forward to the witnesses. The CHAIRMAN. The gentleman's prepared statement will be put in the record without objection, and we thank you. [The prepared statement of Mr. Hunter can be found in the Ap- pendix on page 49.] The CHAIRMAN. General Jones, let's go ahead and proceed, sir. And thank you again for taking this undertaking. please turn to page 23 and 24 in the report, as my next remarks will address those slides. We made more than 70 site visits in Iraq. And as you can see from the charts in front of you and on your desk, this included vis- its to the Iraqi military, ministerial headquarters, and the various command centers, training facilities, and operating bases. We also visited Iraqi police stations, joint security stations, and law enforce- ment academies; and commissioners traveled to border, port, and internal security installations, as well as to Coalition facilities de- signed to assist with Iraqi security training and transition. These visits were invaluable to us, as they allowed us a firsthand look at the real work being accomplished daily by members of the Iraqi Se- curity Forces and their dedicated Coalition partners. The Commission met with more than 100 Iraqi officials, more than 100 U.S. and current former government officials, and more than a dozen leading non-governmental experts on the subject of Iraqi Security Forces. Finally, the Commission examined previous studies and reports, ke , and documents with information relevant to the perform- ance and status of the Iraqi Security Forces, the rate of progress, and their prospects for fulfilling the responsibilities of a profes- sional and effective security force. Before addressing our key findings, I would like to emphasize that the findings and recommendations by this Commission were endorsed unanimously by all members of this Commission.. I would also like to note that the Commission could not have per- formed its work without the generous assistance and support of many, many individuals. In particular, we are grateful for the sup- port provided by the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the Joint Štaff, the Multinational Force Iraq, the entire military chain of command, as well as the Department of State and Embassy Bagh- dad. We also appreciate the openness we were shown by many offi- cials of the government of Iraq. Ladies and gentlemen of the committee, the Iraqi Security Forces are made up of two major components, the Iraqi military and the Traqi police. The Commission examined both components and their governing ministries in order to fulfill our mandate. The Iraqi military includes the Army, Special Forces, the Air Force, and the Navy. They operate under the Ministry of Defense, and today they number approximately 152,000 personnel in uni- form. Iraqi police forces include the Iraqi Police Service, the National Police, the Border Forces, and the Facilities Protection Services. They operate under the Ministry of the Interior, and their total number is approximately 324,000. In terms of overall results, the consensus opinion of the Commis- 1 is that the most positive event that can occur in the near term to influence progress in Iraq is a government-led political reconcili- ation which leads to an end to sectarian violence. Everything seems to flow from this point, to include the likelihood of a successful con- clusion to our own mission. Absent that event, it will certainly be harder and it will take longer in order to be successful. Our overall evaluation of the Iraqi Security Forces is that real progress has been achieved, though it is relatively uneven across the span of the security forces. With regard to the Ministry of De- fense, we note good progress. We note the existence of a strategic vision for the future and eagerness to take on more responsibility. We note the presence of thousands of young Iraqis eager to join the armed forces. We note the development of a bureaucracy that is not very re- sponsive to the needs of the field because of the bureaucratic layering and the cumbersome bureaucracy that seems to be devel- oping which inhibits the delivery of equipment and supplies from getting to Iraqi front lines. As you know, the 10 divisions making up the Iraqi Army are composed or led by—four of them are led by Shi'a, four by Kurds and three Sunni divisions today in the Iraqi Army. With regard to the Army, we have noted an impressive progress in ability and willingness to defend against the internal threats to the nation, working with police units where possible to bolster the police units' capability shortfalls. We have seen evidence of consid- erable tactical success on the ground. One thing that impressed all of us was their willingness to take on more combat missions as soon as possible. I might note that the Iraqi Army intends to grow from 10 divisions to 13 divisions in 2008. I ask you to turn to page 57 of your report for the next slide. Sectarian n problems in the Ministry of Defense and in the Iraqi Army are minor as compared to other institutions in the Iraqi gov- ernment. The basic elements necessary to grow an Army are in place and functioning; and, as I said earlier, they seem to have an unlimited amount of volunteers ready to enlist in the ran There is an alarming development in terms of the existence of duplicate and parallel chains of command and intelligence-gather- ing institutions; and we noted a much-needed requirement to im- prove in cooperation with other organizations, other agencies such as the Ministry of the Interior and more coordination required with police forces. The Iraqi Army cannot yet operate independently due to a chron- ic lack of logistics, supply, mobility, and national command and control capabilities. It cannot defend against external threats ema- nating from Syria and Iran, especially along the borders in the de- fense of its critical infrastructures. The most capable and professionally effective military units in Iraq are its Special Forces unit. In our judgment, they are as good as any in the Gulf region, although they lack in mobility and cur- rently do not have enough enablers. But their willingness to fight and their professional capability and their morale is extremely im- pressive. The Navy and the Air Force remain in an early developmental stage. They are making satisfactory progress. The Commission has recommended that the Iraqi government consider integrating the Coast Guard and the Navy into a single maritime force. Iraq is a nation with a 36-mile coastline, and cur- rently the Navy and the Coast Guard function independently and under two different ministries. Turning briefly to the Ministry of the Interior, this is judged by the Commission to be a weak ministry, despite recent attempts to change out senior personnel for sectarian reasons. Little progress 19 torial integrity of the nation, but away from the cities, as the Iraqis handle their own problems themselves. And that to us is encourag- ing. What that means specifically in numbers is beyond our capac- ity to assess. Mr. McHUGH. I see my time expired. Thank you again. Mr. TAYLOR. The Chair recognizes Dr. Snyder. Dr. SNYDER. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. General Jones, did you have any Arkansans on that commission? I always like to recognize Retired Sergent Major McMichael. We are very proud of him and his Arkansas heritage. I want to pick up a little bit where Mr. McHugh was. As I read your report about the Iraqi National Army side of things, I thought it was reasonably positive, things are moving the right way, logistical problems, close air support challenges in the future. But that was different than sort of the press headlines that says, Iraqi Army Unable to Take Over Within a Year. I read your report. I think you used the word “independently.” Is that kind of the key distinction? You don't have any expectation that tomorrow or the next day that they are somehow going to be able to have their sup- ply lines and logistics and close air support, but that they can do a lot of fighting and are already? Is that how you would distinguish between the press headlines we have been seeing? General JONES. I think that is correct. The way we characterize it is they can do more internally to face the troubles that they are facing. But to try to build an army—first of all, having defeated the Army and then having dismembered it and then trying to reassem- ble it and have it to be able to be ready to take on the internal threats of the insurgencies and the external threats posed by the neighboring countries, that is a little bit of a stretch in the period of time that they have had. There is no question in my mind that they are on the right glide slope to get there, and because of the increased capacity, it is going to give us more capability to do more on the external side while they take care more the internal prob- lems. Dr. SNYDER. How I want to spend the remaining time I have is I want to read these comments from what you call your concluding hts on page 129 and 130. We have a big debate going on in this country and a big debate going on in this Congress, and you all are very much aware of that, and your report is being reviewed in that context. But I want to read what you all say, which you all signed off on unanimously, and just ask our three former military people here to comment on it. And this is what your report said: Concluding thoughts. While much remains to be done before success can be confidently de- clared, the strategic consequences of failure or even perceived fail- ure for the United States and the coalition are enormous. We ap- proach a truly strategic moment in this still young century. Iraq's regional geostrategic position, the balance of power in the Middle East, the economic stability made possible by the flow of energy in many parts of the world, and the ability to defeat and contain ter- rorism where it is most manifest are issues that do not lend them- selves to easier, quick solutions. How we respond to them, however, could well define our Nation in the eyes of the world for years to come. And that is the end of your-all's unanimous opinion. 38 forces, but the truth of it is that everything you looked at talks about political reconciliation in tandem with, so it is pretty difficult to look at one aspect and not merge them. And clearly my desire today is to merge them to say no matter what else happens, those horrendous figures that you put in the book, and I thank you for that, coupled with what I mentioned, and that ethnic cleansing, does not look good for the future of Iraq. So I guess my final question to you is, based on what you saw and what has happened to the Iraqi people, what has happened to the United States people, when will you say this is enough and would you say this is enough if I asked you when to end? Dr. HAMRE. Again, our charter was fairly narrowly drafted. And we felt it was important, because this is such a hot and hotly charged issue, for us to stay fairly firmly inside the boundary of our specific charter. Every individual here might have personal views. But we presented a consensus report to you. And I think we should stay at that. I think that is how we can be helpful to you, the Congress, rather than to try to offer individual comments or speculation on how to answer. Forgive me for dodging it. Ms. SHEA-PORTER. No, I thank you for that. I understand. And I clearly am deeply concerned about the possibility of success. And so I felt that, you know, I needed to ask you that. And I thank you again, everybody, for going there and doing what you did for this country. Thank you. Dr. HAMRE. Thank you. Mr. TAYLOR. The Chair thanks the gentlewoman. The Chair now recognizes Admiral Sestak. Mr. SESTAK. Thank you for your time, sirs. I just have a couple quick questions, and because of limited time hopefully quick re- sponses. General Joulwan, will their Army in 18 months poten- tially, or 24 months, be the exact equivalent of ours as we do our efforts out there in Iraq? General JOULWAN. The exact equivalent, quickly, no. But they can make substantial progress. Mr. SESTAK. Thank you. General Jones, my question to you is will the security situation improve, in your assessment, having been there, over the next 18 or 24 months if absolutely no political accommodation is taken? If so, would that be because if not, okay. If so, would that be because of our U.S. military presence pri- marily? General JONES. I think the internal security of the country will improve simply because of the increase in the capability of the Iraqi Army. Hopefully, that will be accompanied by some police re- forms. But the thing that will make the most difference is achiev- ing political reconciliation. Mr. SESTAK. So Secretary Hamre, my question comes back to you. Since I was struck by your reference in asking Chief McCausland to speak about Ireland, if the security situation will improve somewhat, primarily because they get better, but then we absent ourselves, we go to the borders, my question really comes and the Iraqi Army is not going to be as capable as we are, and if there is no political accommodation, are we really, while this re- port is very good, are we actually measuring the wrong benchmark 39 for progress? Because in Ireland, unless Ian Paisley and Gerry Adams had come to an agreement politically, we never would have gotten down to a police car with two people sitting in it. It began with political accommodation. And then the police could become less with no Army. So in fact, Mr. Hamre, from your more broader political aspect here, because you did say in your first chapter that you wanted to comment on the general trends associated, really while this bench- mark is interesting, it is relatively not irrelevant, but we are actu- ally measuring and looking at the wrong thing. It must be political accommodation first if that Ireland is your example—Northern Ire- land, I apologize. Dr. HAMRE. Admiral, I think this report, when—these are secu- rity professionals. These are 500 years of military experience, 150 years of police experience. These are security guys. Their first rec- ommendation is that this really has to begin with political rec- onciliation. Mr. SESTAK. It must begin with political- Dr. HAMRE. It is going to be dramatically harder without it. Mr. SESTAK. So any assessment that comes with this, if you don't mind, Mr. Secretary, that tells us about improvement in the Army is interesting, but unless someone is coming on Monday, as Mr. Larsen was getting to, and telling us about measuring progress in litical areas, this report is interesting, but relatively not that rel- evant to what really should be measured. Dr. HAMRE. But I-sir, I think it would be much harder to get political reconciliation if there aren't structures that politicians can rely on to help produce what citizens want. And the goal of produc- ing an Army that is able to bring security to the country is going to be a positive value for that reconciliation. So even though we feel the political reconciliation clearly has to be the primary lead- Mr. SESTAK. And first you said. Dr. HAMRE. It will make it much harder. I don't know how it gets solved. Mr. SESTAK. If I could comment, just so you understand, I have been struck how somehow we have permitted the Petrae a general, to set the tone of the national debate in September on a military security issue. Nowhere are we having the tone set by what is in the U.Š. security interests or the U.S. military interests. As I was struck in Iraq when I asked the General what about the impact of Iraq on our Armed Forces at home? That is not my role, he said. And so while this report and the GAO report that we were given are interesting, shouldn't we really be measuring not the progress of Iraq in benchmarks, but the benchmarks of U.S. secu- rity in the region by looking at the political accommodations and the nations attendant to that? Dr. HAMRE. Sir, I think that is the integrated challenge that only the Congress can resolve. You are getting different inputs from dif- ferent experts, different commissions, and you are going to have to be the ones that pull this together to decide what is the right course. We weren't asked to do that. Mr. SESTAK. I understand. Dr. HAMRE. And we are trying to offer a valid input to you as you are going to have to. 40 Mr. SESTAK. I only comment because I was also struck in your report that although Iran and Syria are involved destructively, the comment in your report of how to deal with that is protect the bor- ders militarily. Nothing about trying to deal with those two dip- lomatically. Not your role. But that is my concern, is the debate that begins on Monday is on a military approach, not not-we are defi- nitely not on the correct level for this debate on Monday with the general. Hopefully, Ambassador Crocker will bring that to what should be the President's, as it is called, report within that political context. Thank you, sir. I am sorry, General. General JONES. No, I was just simply going to add that, personal observation, that what is lacking, what has been lacking is a stra- tegic debate. It is a lot easier to talk about tactical issues, about whether units are doing well and everything else, and that seems to be what we gravitate towards. But the strategic consequences and the strategic issues of this particular problem really should be engaged at a much—at a higher level. And we certainly applaud that as a commission. Our job was to answer a limited, fairly narrow set of questions. And we actually went beyond that by writing the last chapter in an effort to be helpful, to try to interpret what this might mean based on what we found out. But you are—I think we agree with you that there are many strategic issues beyond that that have to be debated. Mr. SESTAK. Thank you, General. I only took liberty because you opened that door. Mr. TAYLOR. The Chair thanks both the Admiral and the Gen- eral. Mr. Meek. Mr. MEEK. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I want to commend the commission, comment on the work that you have been able to do in such a short period of time, and the personal time that you have all spent in trying to serve the country even more than you have already served, whether it be in the front line of a police de- partment or in our military. I guess there are two or three ques- tions that a lot of members have been asking and you have been kind of answering them the same way or differently. But I guess I want to really kind of focus on the police end. I recently had an opportunity over the break to go over and go into Fallujah and had an opportunity to walk about three to four blocks to a police station. Now it wasn't like a Starbucks kind of walk that I was going to stop in and get a cup of coffee with a pla- toon of Marines, but I can tell you that I can't help—and I am so glad to see my good friend Chief Gainer and Chief Ramsey working together again. And Chief Timoney I know that could not be here today. But when you look at the whole policing issue and the money that is on the street, I live here in Washington. When I am home I live in District 2, but I live in Police District 1 here in D.C. And we will go down to the recreation center and have our little meeting, and we will talk about crime. We talk about bicycles miss- ing. We talk about gunshots. And obviously the chief in her wisdom or the police commander would say, fine, we will get right on it, and then we start seeing bike patrol, mounted patrol, foot patrol. And then crime starts to go down and we feel good. But what is 51 building the Iraqi Security Forces from scratch. Less than three and half years later, the Coalition has trained and equipped over 350,000 Iraqi Security Forces. More impressive than the sheer number of trained and equipped forces is the dramatic improvement in the quality of these forces since April 2004 when Iraqi forces failed to show up at the battle of Fallujah. Today Iraqi units are leading the fight in surge operations in Baghdad and elsewhere. Iraqi forces, particularly the Army, are fighting the enemy and dying for their country. To be sure, more work needs to be done. My own view is that the ISF will make the most progress if all of the Iraqi Army's 131 battalions is rotated through a three month operational combat tour in a contentious zone, such as Baghdad. The key to fielding an effective Iraqi Army is to ensure that this force has seen combat and has become battle-hardened. This battlefield experience will strengthen the chain of command and build unit cohesion and