id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-103460-5thh6syt	Carlson, Colin J.	Climate change will drive novel cross-species viral transmission	2020-07-14		.txt	text/plain	1438	74	52	In addition, changing climate and land use are already driving geographic range shifts in wildlife, producing novel species assemblages and opportunities for viral sharing between previously isolated species4,5. Here, we map potential hotspots of viral sharing, using a phylogeographic model of the mammal-virus network, and projections of geographic range shifts for 3,870 mammal species under climate change and land use scenarios for the year 2070. Range-shifting mammal species are predicted to aggregate at high elevations, in biodiversity hotspots, and in areas of high human population density in Asia and Africa, driving the cross-species transmission of novel viruses at least 4,000 times. Even with dispersal limits, these first encounters are predicted to produce al-207 most one hundred new viral sharing events (RCP 2.6: 96 ± 2.3; RCP 8.5: 86 ± 3.9) that might 208 include ZEBOV, and which cover a much broader part of Africa than the current zoonotic niche 209 of Ebola 68 .	./cache/cord-103460-5thh6syt.txt	./txt/cord-103460-5thh6syt.txt