id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-299810-e57pwgnx	Martelloni, Gabriele	Modelling the downhill of the Sars-Cov-2 in Italy and a universal forecast of the epidemic in the world	2020-07-01		.txt	text/plain	3022	180	62	Finally we study the behavior of the ratio infected over swabs for Italy, Germany and USA, and we show as studying this parameter we recover the generalized Logistic model used in [1] for these three countries. The parameters r 0 represents the rates of growth of epidemic, K is the carrying capacity for the classical logistic model, α is a constant in order to have a power low initial growth before LD, β is the exponent of the second term of equation 1 that represents the influence of asymptomatic; δ,a correction of the quadratic term of logistic, and γ are the constant parameters considering the influence of the government measures 1 , K f is a proportionality constant between deaths and total number of infected, while t d and t r are the delays of deaths and recoveries respect to infected respectively; the constant A represents the contribution of asymptomatic people as introduced in [1] and finally t 0 is the time of LD start.	./cache/cord-299810-e57pwgnx.txt	./txt/cord-299810-e57pwgnx.txt