id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-325862-rohhvq4h Zhang, Yong Applicability of time fractional derivative models for simulating the dynamics and mitigation scenarios of COVID-19 2020-06-04 .txt text/plain 5899 259 47 The model results revealed that 1) the transmission, infection and recovery dynamics follow the integral-order SEIR model with significant spatiotemporal variations in the recovery rate, likely due to the continuous improvement of screening techniques and public hospital systems, as well as full city lockdowns in China, and 2) the evolution of number of deaths follows the time FDE, likely due to the time memory in the death toll. The main contributions of this work, therefore, include 1) the first application of FDEs in modeling the evolution of the COVID-19 death toll, 2) an updated SEIR model with a transient recovery rate to better capture the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic within China and for other countries, and 3) a particle-tracking approach based on stochastic bimolecular reaction theory to evaluate the mitigation of the spread of the COVID-19 outbreak. ./cache/cord-325862-rohhvq4h.txt ./txt/cord-325862-rohhvq4h.txt