id sid tid token lemma pos cord-258235-khdyxiwe 1 1 key key NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 1 2 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 1 3 cord-258235-khdyxiwe cord-258235-khdyxiwe ADD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 1 authors author NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 2 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 3 Chakraborty Chakraborty NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 5 Tanujit Tanujit NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 6 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 7 Ghosh Ghosh NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 8 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 9 Indrajit Indrajit NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 10 title title NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 11 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 12 Real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 13 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 14 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 15 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 16 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 17 risk risk NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 18 assessment assessment NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 19 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 20 novel novel JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 21 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 23 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 25 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 26 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 27 A a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 28 data data NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 29 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 30 driven drive VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 31 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 32 date date NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 33 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 34 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 35 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 36 04 04 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 37 - - SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 38 30 30 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 39 journal journal NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 2 40 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 3 1 Chaos Chaos NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 3 2 Solitons Solitons NNPS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 3 3 Fractals Fractals NNPS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 3 4 DOI DOI NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 3 5 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 3 6 10.1016 10.1016 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 3 7 / / SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 3 8 j.chaos.2020.109850 j.chaos.2020.109850 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 3 9 sha sha NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 3 10 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 4 1 9a7f19bead5d53c0048bdca9ecf0dd9e13b73134 9a7f19bead5d53c0048bdca9ecf0dd9e13b73134 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 4 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 4 3 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 4 4 258235 258235 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 4 5 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 4 6 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 4 7 khdyxiwe khdyxiwe NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 2 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 3 disease disease NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 4 2019 2019 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 8 has have VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 9 become become VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 10 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 11 public public JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 12 health health NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 13 emergency emergency NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 14 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 15 international international JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 16 concern concern NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 17 affecting affect VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 18 201 201 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 19 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 20 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 21 territories territory NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 22 around around IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 24 globe globe NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 5 25 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 1 As as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 2 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 3 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 4 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 6 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 7 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 8 it -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 9 has have VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 10 caused cause VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 11 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 12 pandemic pandemic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 13 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 14 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 15 more more JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 16 than than IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 17 11,16,643 11,16,643 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 18 confirmed confirm VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 19 infections infection NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 20 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 21 more more JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 22 than than IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 23 59,170 59,170 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 24 reported report VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 25 deaths death NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 26 worldwide worldwide RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 6 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 2 main main JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 3 focus focus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 5 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 6 paper paper NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 7 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 8 two two CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 9 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 10 fold fold RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 11 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 13 a a LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 15 generating generate VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 16 short short JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 17 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 19 real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 20 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 21 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 23 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 24 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 26 future future JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 27 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 28 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 29 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 30 multiple multiple JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 31 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 32 ; ; , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 34 b b NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 36 risk risk NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 37 assessment assessment NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 39 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 40 terms term NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 41 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 42 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 43 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 44 rate rate NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 46 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 47 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 48 novel novel NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 49 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 50 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 51 some some DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 52 profoundly profoundly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 53 affected affected JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 54 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 55 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 56 finding find VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 57 various various JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 58 important important JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 59 demographic demographic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 60 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 61 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 62 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 63 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 64 along along IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 65 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 66 some some DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 67 disease disease NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 68 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 7 69 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 1 To to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 2 solve solve VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 4 first first JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 5 problem problem NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 6 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 8 presented present VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 9 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 10 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 11 approach approach NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 12 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 13 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 14 autoregressive autoregressive JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 15 integrated integrate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 16 moving move VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 17 average average JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 18 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 19 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 20 Wavelet Wavelet NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 21 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 22 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 23 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 24 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 25 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 26 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 27 generate generate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 28 short short JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 29 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 30 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 32 ten ten CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 33 days day NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 34 ahead ahead RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 8 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 1 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 2 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 4 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 5 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 6 daily daily JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 7 confirmed confirm VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 8 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 9 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 10 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 12 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 13 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 14 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 15 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 16 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 17 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 18 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 19 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 20 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 21 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 9 22 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 2 predictions prediction NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 5 future future JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 6 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 7 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 8 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 9 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 10 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 11 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 12 useful useful JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 13 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 15 effective effective JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 16 allocation allocation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 17 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 18 health health NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 19 care care NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 20 resources resource NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 21 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 22 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 23 act act VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 24 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 25 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 26 early early JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 27 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 28 warning warn VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 29 system system NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 30 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 31 government government NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 32 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 10 33 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 3 second second JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 4 problem problem NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 7 applied apply VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 8 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 9 optimal optimal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 10 regression regression NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 11 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 12 algorithm algorithm NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 13 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 14 find find VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 15 essential essential JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 16 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 17 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 18 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 19 significantly significantly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 20 affect affect VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 21 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 22 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 23 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 24 rates rate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 25 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 26 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 27 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 11 28 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 1 This this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 2 data data NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 3 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 4 driven drive VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 5 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 6 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 7 necessarily necessarily RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 8 provide provide VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 9 deep deep JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 10 insights insight NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 11 into into IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 12 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 13 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 14 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 15 early early JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 16 risk risk NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 17 assessments assessment NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 18 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 19 50 50 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 20 immensely immensely RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 21 affected affect VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 22 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 12 23 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 2 December December NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 3 2019 2019 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 5 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 6 city city NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 7 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 8 China China NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 9 became become VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 11 centre centre NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 12 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 13 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 14 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 15 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 16 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 17 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 18 unknown unknown JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 19 cause cause NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 20 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 21 latter latter RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 22 named name VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 23 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 24 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 25 disease disease NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 26 2019 2019 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 28 COVID- COVID- NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 29 19 19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 31 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 32 which which WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 33 raised raise VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 34 intense intense JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 35 attention attention NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 36 not not RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 37 only only RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 38 within within IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 39 China China NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 40 but but CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 41 internationally internationally RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 42 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 43 13 13 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 44 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 45 32 32 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 46 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 13 47 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 3 pandemic pandemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 4 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 6 most most RBS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 7 significant significant JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 8 global global JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 9 crisis crisis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 10 since since IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 12 World World NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 13 War War NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 14 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 15 II II NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 16 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 17 affected affect VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 18 almost almost RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 19 all all PDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 20 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 21 Countries Countries NNPS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 22 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 23 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 24 planet planet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 26 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 27 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 14 28 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 1 As as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 2 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 3 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 4 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 6 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 7 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 8 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 9 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 10 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 12 has have VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 13 resulted result VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 14 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 15 11 11 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 17 16 16 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 18 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 19 643 643 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 20 confirmed confirm VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 21 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 22 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 23 reported report VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 24 deaths death NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 25 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 26 59,170 59,170 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 27 worldwide worldwide RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 29 22 22 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 15 31 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 1 On on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 2 March March NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 3 11 11 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 5 WHO who WP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 6 publicly publicly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 7 characterized characterize VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 9 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 10 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 11 " " `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 12 global global JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 14 " " '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 15 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 16 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 17 shortly shortly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 18 after after IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 19 that that DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 20 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 21 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 22 United United NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 23 States States NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 24 declared declare VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 25 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 26 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 27 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 28 national national JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 29 emergency emergency NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 16 30 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 2 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 3 has have VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 4 caused cause VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 5 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 6 great great JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 7 threat threat NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 8 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 10 health health NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 11 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 12 safety safety NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 13 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 14 people people NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 15 all all RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 16 over over IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 17 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 18 world world NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 19 due due JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 20 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 21 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 22 widespread widespread JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 23 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 24 potential potential JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 25 harm harm NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 17 26 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 1 Thus thus RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 4 studies study NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 5 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 7 novel novel JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 9 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 10 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 11 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 12 future future JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 13 development development NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 14 trend trend NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 15 has have VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 16 become become VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 17 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 18 cutting cutting JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 19 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 20 edge edge NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 21 research research NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 22 topic topic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 23 at at IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 24 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 25 moment moment NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 18 26 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 19 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 19 2 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 19 3 therefore therefore RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 19 4 motivated motivated JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 19 5 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 19 6 ask ask VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 19 7 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 19 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 19 9 a a LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 19 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 1 Can Can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 3 generate generate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 4 real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 5 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 6 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 7 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 8 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 9 daily daily JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 10 new new JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 12 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 13 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 14 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 15 like like IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 16 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 17 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 18 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 19 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 20 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 21 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 22 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 23 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 24 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 25 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 26 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 27 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 20 28 ? ? . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 2 b b LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 4 What what WP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 5 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 7 probable probable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 8 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 9 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 10 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 11 have have VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 12 significant significant JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 13 impacts impact NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 14 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 16 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 17 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 18 rates rate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 19 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 20 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 21 profoundly profoundly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 22 affected affected JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 23 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 21 24 ? ? . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 1 To to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 2 answer answer VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 4 first first JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 5 question question NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 6 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 8 study study VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 9 classical classical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 10 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 11 modern modern JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 12 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 13 techniques technique NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 14 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 15 which which WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 17 prediction prediction NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 18 accuracy accuracy NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 19 largely largely RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 20 depend depend VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 21 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 23 availability availability NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 24 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 25 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 27 28 28 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 22 29 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 2 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 4 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 5 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 6 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 7 there there EX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 8 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 9 limited limited JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 10 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 11 available available JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 13 making make VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 14 predictions prediction NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 15 widely widely RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 16 uncertain uncertain JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 23 17 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 1 From from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 2 previous previous JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 3 studies study NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 6 was be VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 7 evident evident JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 8 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 10 timing timing NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 11 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 12 location location NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 13 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 15 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 16 facilitated facilitate VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 17 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 18 rapid rapid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 19 transmission transmission NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 20 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 21 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 22 virus virus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 23 within within IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 24 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 25 highly highly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 26 mobile mobile JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 27 population population NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 29 29 29 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 24 31 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 2 most most JJS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 5 affected affected JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 6 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 7 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 9 governments government NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 10 implemented implement VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 11 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 12 strict strict JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 13 lockdown lockdown NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 14 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 15 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 16 days day NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 17 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 18 initial initial JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 19 transmission transmission NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 20 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 21 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 22 virus virus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 23 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 24 within within IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 25 hospitals hospital NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 26 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 27 patients patient NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 28 who who WP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 29 fulfill fulfill VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 30 clinical clinical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 31 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 32 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 33 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 34 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 35 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 36 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 37 immediately immediately RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 38 isolated isolate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 25 39 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 2 constant constant JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 3 increase increase NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 4 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 6 global global JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 7 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 8 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 9 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 10 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 11 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 12 putting put VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 13 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 14 substantial substantial JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 15 burden burden NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 16 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 17 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 18 health health NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 19 care care NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 20 system system NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 21 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 22 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 23 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 24 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 25 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 26 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 27 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 28 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 29 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 30 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 31 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 32 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 33 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 26 34 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 1 To to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 2 anticipate anticipate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 3 additional additional JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 4 resources resource NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 5 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 6 combat combat VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 9 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 10 various various JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 11 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 12 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 13 statistical statistical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 14 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 15 tools tool NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 17 21 21 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 18 ; ; SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 19 34 34 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 21 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 22 outside outside IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 23 China China NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 25 20 20 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 26 ; ; SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 27 36 36 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 28 ; ; SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 29 10 10 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 31 were be VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 32 applied apply VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 33 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 34 generate generate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 35 short short JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 36 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 37 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 38 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 39 long long JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 40 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 41 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 42 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 43 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 44 reported report VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 45 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 27 46 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 28 1 These these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 28 2 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 28 3 predictions prediction NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 28 4 have have VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 28 5 shown show VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 28 6 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 28 7 wide wide JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 28 8 range range NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 28 9 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 28 10 variations variation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 28 11 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 1 Since since IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 3 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 4 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 5 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 6 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 7 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 8 contain contain VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 9 both both DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 10 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 11 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 12 nonstationary nonstationary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 13 patterns pattern NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 14 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 15 therefore therefore RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 17 making make VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 18 decisions decision NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 19 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 20 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 21 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 22 individual individual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 23 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 24 would would MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 25 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 26 critical critical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 29 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 2 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 3 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 6 propose propose VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 7 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 8 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 9 modeling modeling NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 10 approach approach NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 11 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 12 generate generate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 13 short short JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 14 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 15 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 16 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 17 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 18 multiple multiple JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 19 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 30 20 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 2 traditional traditional JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 3 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 4 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 5 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 6 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 8 autoregressive autoregressive NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 9 integrated integrate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 10 moving move VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 11 average average NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 13 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 15 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 16 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 17 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 18 predominantly predominantly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 19 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 20 forecasting forecast VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 21 linear linear JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 22 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 23 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 25 6 6 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 31 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 1 But but CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 2 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 3 recent recent JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 4 literature literature NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 7 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 8 transformation transformation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 9 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 10 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 11 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 12 has have VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 13 shown show VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 14 excellent excellent JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 15 performance performance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 16 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 17 nonstationary nonstationary NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 18 time time NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 19 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 20 data data NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 21 modeling model VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 23 27 27 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 32 25 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 1 Thus thus RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 3 combining combine VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 4 both both DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 5 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 6 may may MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 7 accurately accurately RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 8 model model VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 9 such such JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 10 complex complex JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 11 autocorrelation autocorrelation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 12 structures structure NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 13 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 15 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 16 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 17 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 18 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 19 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 20 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 21 reduce reduce VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 23 bias bias NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 24 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 25 variances variance NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 26 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 27 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 28 prediction prediction NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 29 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 30 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 31 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 32 component component NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 33 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 33 34 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 3 absence absence NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 5 vaccines vaccine NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 6 or or CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 7 antiviral antiviral JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 8 drugs drug NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 9 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 12 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 13 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 14 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 15 provide provide VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 16 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 17 insight insight NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 18 into into IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 20 resource resource NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 21 allocations allocation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 22 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 24 exceedingly exceedingly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 25 affected affected JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 26 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 27 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 28 keep keep VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 29 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 30 epidemic epidemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 31 under under IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 32 control control NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 34 33 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 1 Besides besides IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 2 shedding shed VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 3 light light NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 4 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 6 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 7 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 8 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 9 spreading spreading NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 10 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 12 practical practical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 13 intent intent NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 14 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 15 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 16 data data NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 17 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 18 driven drive VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 19 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 20 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 21 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 22 provide provide VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 23 government government NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 24 officials official NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 25 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 26 realistic realistic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 27 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 28 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 29 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 30 magnitude magnitude NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 31 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 32 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 33 epidemic epidemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 34 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 35 policy policy NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 36 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 37 making making NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 35 38 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 2 second second JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 3 problem problem NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 4 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 5 connected connect VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 6 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 8 global global JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 9 concern concern NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 10 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 11 health health NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 12 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 13 mortality mortality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 14 due due IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 15 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 17 significant significant JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 19 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 36 20 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 1 Mortality mortality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 2 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 3 crudely crudely RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 4 estimated estimate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 5 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 6 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 7 statistic statistic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 8 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 10 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 11 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 12 rate rate NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 14 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 17 which which WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 18 divides divide VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 20 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 21 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 22 known know VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 23 deaths death NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 24 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 26 total total JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 27 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 28 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 29 identified identify VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 30 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 32 18 18 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 33 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 34 5 5 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 35 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 36 30 30 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 37 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 37 38 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 1 During during IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 3 current current JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 4 phase phase NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 5 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 6 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 7 global global JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 8 pandemic pandemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 9 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 10 it -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 11 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 12 criti criti VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 13 - - : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 14 cally cally RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 15 important important JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 16 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 17 obtain obtain VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 18 reliable reliable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 19 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 20 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 21 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 22 overall overall JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 23 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 38 24 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 2 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 4 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 5 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 6 highly highly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 7 dependent dependent JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 8 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 9 several several JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 10 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 11 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 12 specific specific JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 13 demographic demographic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 14 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 15 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 16 various various JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 17 disease disease NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 18 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 39 19 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 1 A a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 2 key key JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 3 differentiation differentiation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 4 among among IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 6 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 7 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 8 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 9 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 10 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 11 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 12 found find VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 13 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 14 determining determine VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 15 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 16 exhaustive exhaustive JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 17 list list NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 18 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 19 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 20 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 21 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 22 significantly significantly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 23 affect affect VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 24 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 40 25 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 2 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 3 work work NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 6 put put VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 7 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 8 effort effort NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 9 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 10 identify identify VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 11 critical critical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 12 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 13 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 14 may may MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 15 help help VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 16 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 17 assess assess VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 18 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 19 risk risk NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 21 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 22 terms term NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 23 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 24 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 26 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 27 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 28 optimal optimal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 29 regression regression NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 30 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 31 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 32 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 33 7 7 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 41 35 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 2 regression regression NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 3 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 4 has have VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 5 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 6 built build VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 7 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 8 in in RP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 9 variable variable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 10 selection selection NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 11 mechanism mechanism NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 12 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 13 high high JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 14 dimensional dimensional JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 15 variable variable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 16 space space NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 17 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 18 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 19 model model VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 20 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 21 decision decision NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 22 boundaries boundary NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 42 23 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 2 regression regression NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 3 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 4 combines combine VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 5 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 6 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 7 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 8 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 9 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 10 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 12 disease disease NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 13 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 14 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 15 heath heath NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 16 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 17 care care NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 18 facilities facility NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 19 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 20 assess assess VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 21 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 22 risks risk NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 23 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 24 major major JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 25 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 26 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 27 profoundly profoundly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 28 affected affect VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 29 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 43 30 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 1 Such such JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 2 assessments assessment NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 3 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 4 help help VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 5 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 6 anticipate anticipate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 8 expected expect VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 9 morbidity morbidity NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 10 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 11 mortality mortality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 12 due due IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 13 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 14 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 15 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 16 provide provide VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 17 some some DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 18 critical critical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 19 information information NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 20 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 21 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 22 planning planning NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 23 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 24 health health NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 25 care care NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 26 systems system NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 27 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 28 various various JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 29 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 30 facing face VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 31 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 32 epidemic epidemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 44 33 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 45 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 45 2 rest rest NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 45 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 45 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 45 5 paper paper NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 45 6 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 45 7 organized organize VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 45 8 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 45 9 follows follow NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 45 10 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 2 Section section NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 3 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 6 discuss discuss VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 8 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 9 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 10 development development NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 11 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 12 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 13 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 14 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 15 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 16 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 17 experimental experimental JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 18 results result NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 19 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 20 short short JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 21 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 22 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 23 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 24 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 26 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 27 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 28 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 29 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 30 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 31 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 32 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 33 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 34 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 35 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 36 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 37 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 38 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 46 39 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 2 Section section NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 3 3 3 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 5 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 6 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 7 wise wise JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 8 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 9 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 10 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 11 method method NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 13 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 14 results result NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 15 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 16 finding find VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 17 critical critical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 18 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 19 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 20 presented present VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 47 21 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 2 discuss discuss VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 4 assumptions assumption NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 5 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 6 limitations limitation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 7 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 9 findings finding NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 10 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 11 Section section NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 12 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 48 13 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 1 Finally finally RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 4 discussions discussion NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 5 about about IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 7 results result NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 8 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 9 policy policy NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 10 recommendations recommendation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 11 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 12 given give VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 13 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 14 Section section NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 15 5 5 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 49 16 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 2 focus focus VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 3 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 5 daily daily JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 6 figures figure NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 7 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 8 confirmed confirm VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 9 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 10 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 11 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 12 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 13 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 14 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 15 namely namely RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 16 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 17 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 18 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 19 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 20 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 21 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 22 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 23 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 24 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 25 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 26 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 27 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 50 28 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 2 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 3 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 4 retrieved retrieve VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 5 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 7 Global Global NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 8 Change Change NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 9 Data Data NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 10 Lab Lab NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 11 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 51 13 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 1 All all PDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 2 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 3 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 4 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 5 collected collect VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 6 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 8 starting start VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 9 date date NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 10 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 12 disease disease NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 13 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 15 respective respective JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 16 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 17 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 18 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 19 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 20 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 21 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 52 22 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 2 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 3 section section NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 6 first first RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 7 briefly briefly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 8 discuss discuss VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 9 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 10 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 12 followed follow VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 13 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 15 development development NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 16 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 17 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 18 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 19 hybrid hybrid NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 20 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 21 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 22 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 23 finally finally RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 24 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 26 application application NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 27 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 28 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 29 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 30 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 31 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 32 generate generate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 33 short short JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 34 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 35 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 36 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 37 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 38 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 39 future future JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 40 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 41 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 42 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 43 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 44 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 45 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 53 46 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 1 All all PDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 2 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 3 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 4 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 5 codes code NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 6 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 7 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 8 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 9 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 10 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 11 section section NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 12 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 13 made make VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 14 publicly publicly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 15 available available JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 16 at at IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 17 https://github.com/indrajitg-r/COVID https://github.com/indrajitg-r/covid ADD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 18 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 20 reproducibility reproducibility NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 21 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 22 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 23 work work NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 54 24 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 1 Five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 2 univariate univariate JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 3 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 4 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 5 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 6 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 7 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 8 collected collect VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 9 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 11 real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 12 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 13 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 14 prediction prediction NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 15 purpose purpose NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 16 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 17 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 18 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 19 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 20 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 21 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 22 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 23 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 24 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 25 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 26 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 27 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 28 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 29 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 30 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 31 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 55 32 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 1 Several several JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 2 previous previous JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 3 studies study NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 4 have have VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 5 forecasted forecast VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 6 future future JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 7 COVID covid NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 8 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 9 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 10 China China NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 11 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 12 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 13 few few JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 14 other other JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 15 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 16 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 17 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 18 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 19 traditional traditional JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 20 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 21 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 22 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 23 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 24 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 25 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 26 details detail NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 27 see see VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 29 29 29 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 30 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 31 21 21 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 32 ; ; SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 33 34 34 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 34 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 35 20 20 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 36 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 37 36 36 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 38 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 56 39 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 2 try try VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 3 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 4 nowcast nowcast VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 6 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 7 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 8 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 9 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 10 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 11 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 12 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 13 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 14 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 15 past past JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 16 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 57 17 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 1 For for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 2 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 3 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 4 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 7 consider consider VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 9 daily daily JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 10 laboratory laboratory NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 11 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 12 confirmed confirm VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 13 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 14 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 15 January January NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 16 30 30 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 17 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 18 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 19 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 20 through through IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 21 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 22 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 23 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 24 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 25 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 26 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 27 January January NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 28 31 31 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 29 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 30 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 31 through through IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 32 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 33 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 34 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 35 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 36 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 37 respectively respectively RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 38 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 39 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 40 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 41 building building NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 58 42 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 1 Daily Daily NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 3 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 4 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 5 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 6 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 7 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 8 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 9 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 10 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 11 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 12 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 13 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 14 taken take VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 15 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 17 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 18 period period NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 19 January January NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 20 20 20 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 21 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 22 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 23 through through IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 24 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 25 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 26 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 27 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 28 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 29 January January NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 30 25 25 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 31 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 32 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 33 through through IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 34 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 35 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 36 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 37 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 38 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 39 January January NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 40 26 26 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 41 through through IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 42 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 43 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 44 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 45 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 46 respectively respectively RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 59 47 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 2 dataset dataset NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 3 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 4 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 5 contains contain VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 6 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 7 total total NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 8 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 9 64 64 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 10 observations observation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 12 65 65 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 13 observations observation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 14 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 16 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 17 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 18 70 70 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 19 observations observation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 20 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 21 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 22 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 23 71 71 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 24 observations observation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 25 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 26 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 27 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 28 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 29 76 76 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 30 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 31 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 32 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 60 33 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 1 For for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 2 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 3 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 4 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 6 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 7 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 9 started start VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 10 almost almost RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 11 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 12 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 13 same same JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 14 timeline timeline NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 15 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 18 curves curve NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 19 still still RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 20 not not RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 21 showing show VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 23 sharp sharp JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 24 diminishing diminish VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 25 nature nature NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 26 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 27 just just RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 28 like like IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 29 China China NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 61 30 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 2 limit limit VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 4 attention attention NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 5 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 6 trended trended JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 7 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 8 non non JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 9 - - JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 10 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 11 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 13 given give VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 15 patterns pattern NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 17 observed observe VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 18 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 19 Table Table NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 20 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 62 21 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 1 Note note VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 2 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 4 follow follow VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 5 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 6 pragmatic pragmatic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 7 approach approach NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 8 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 9 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 11 assume assume VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 12 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 14 trend trend NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 15 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 16 continue continue VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 17 indefinitely indefinitely RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 18 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 20 future future NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 21 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 22 contradiction contradiction NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 23 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 24 other other JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 25 S s NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 26 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 27 curve curve NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 28 or or CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 29 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 30 SIR SIR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 31 modeling modeling NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 32 approaches approach NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 33 which which WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 34 assume assume VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 35 convergence convergence NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 63 36 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 64 1 Training training NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 64 2 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 64 3 ACF ACF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 64 4 plot plot NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 64 5 PACF PACF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 64 6 plot plot NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 64 7 _SP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 1 To to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 2 forecast forecast VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 3 confirmed confirmed JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 4 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 5 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 7 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 9 adopt adopt VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 10 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 11 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 12 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 13 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 14 approaches approach NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 15 combining combine VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 16 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 17 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 18 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 19 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 20 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 21 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 22 techniques technique NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 65 23 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 2 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 3 hybrid hybrid NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 4 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 5 overcome overcome VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 7 deficiencies deficiency NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 8 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 10 single single JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 11 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 12 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 13 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 66 14 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 1 Before before IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 2 describing describe VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 4 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 5 methodology methodology NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 6 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 8 give give VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 9 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 10 brief brief JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 11 description description NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 12 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 14 individual individual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 15 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 16 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 17 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 18 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 19 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 20 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 21 hybridization hybridization NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 67 22 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 1 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 2 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 3 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 4 classical classical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 5 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 6 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 7 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 8 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 9 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 10 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 11 tracking track VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 12 linear linear JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 13 tendencies tendency NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 14 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 15 stationary stationary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 16 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 17 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 18 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 68 19 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 1 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 2 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 3 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 4 denoted denote VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 5 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 6 ARIMA(p arima(p NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 7 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 8 d d NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 9 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 10 q q NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 69 12 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 2 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 3 p p NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 4 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 5 q q NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 6 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 8 order order NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 9 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 11 AR AR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 12 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 13 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 15 MA MA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 16 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 17 respectively respectively RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 18 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 19 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 20 d d NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 21 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 23 level level NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 24 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 25 differencing differencing NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 27 9 9 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 70 29 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 71 1 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 71 2 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 71 3 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 71 4 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 71 5 mathematically mathematically RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 71 6 expressed express VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 71 7 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 71 8 follows follow VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 71 9 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 1 where where WRB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 2 y y NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 3 t t NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 4 denotes denote VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 6 actual actual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 7 value value NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 8 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 10 variable variable NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 11 under under IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 12 consideration consideration NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 13 at at IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 14 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 15 t t NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 17 ε ε NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 18 t t NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 19 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 20 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 21 random random JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 22 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 23 at at IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 72 24 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 73 1 t. t. NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 2 φ φ NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 3 i i NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 4 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 5 θ θ NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 6 j j NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 7 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 9 coefficients coefficient NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 10 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 12 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 13 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 74 14 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 2 basic basic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 3 assumption assumption NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 4 made make VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 5 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 7 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 8 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 9 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 10 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 12 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 13 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 14 follows follow VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 15 zero zero CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 16 mean mean NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 17 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 18 constant constant JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 19 variance variance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 20 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 21 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 22 satisfies satisfy VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 24 i.i.d i.i.d JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 25 condition condition NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 75 26 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 1 Building build VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 2 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 3 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 4 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 5 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 6 any any DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 7 given give VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 8 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 9 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 10 dataset dataset NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 11 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 12 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 13 described describe VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 14 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 15 three three CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 16 iterative iterative JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 17 steps step NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 18 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 19 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 20 identification identification NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 22 achieving achieve VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 23 stationarity stationarity NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 25 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 26 parameter parameter NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 27 estimation estimation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 29 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 30 autocorrelation autocorrelation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 31 function function NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 33 ACF ACF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 35 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 36 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 37 partial partial JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 38 autocorrelation autocorrelation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 39 function function NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 41 PACF PACF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 43 plots plot NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 44 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 45 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 46 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 47 select select VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 48 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 49 values value NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 50 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 51 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 52 p p NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 53 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 54 q q NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 55 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 56 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 57 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 58 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 59 diagnostics diagnostic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 60 checking check VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 61 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 62 finding find VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 63 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 64 ' ' `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 65 best good JJS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 66 ' ' '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 67 fitted fit VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 68 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 69 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 70 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 71 Akaike Akaike NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 72 Information Information NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 73 Criterion Criterion NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 74 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 75 AIC AIC NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 76 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 77 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 78 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 79 Bayesian Bayesian NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 80 Information Information NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 81 Criterion Criterion NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 82 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 83 BIC BIC NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 84 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 76 85 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 77 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 77 2 15 15 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 77 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 77 4 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 1 Wavelet wavelet JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 2 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 3 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 4 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 5 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 6 tool tool NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 7 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 8 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 9 reveal reveal VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 10 information information NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 11 within within IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 12 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 13 signals signal NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 14 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 15 both both CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 17 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 18 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 19 scale scale NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 21 frequency frequency NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 23 domains domain NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 25 27 27 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 78 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 1 This this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 2 property property NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 3 overcomes overcome VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 5 basic basic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 6 drawback drawback NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 7 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 8 Fourier Fourier NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 9 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 10 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 11 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 12 transforms transform VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 14 original original JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 15 signal signal NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 16 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 18 especially especially RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 19 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 20 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 21 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 22 domain domain NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 24 into into IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 25 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 26 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 27 domain domain NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 28 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 29 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 30 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 31 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 32 processing processing NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 79 33 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 1 Wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 2 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 3 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 4 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 5 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 6 most most RBS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 7 suitable suitable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 8 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 9 nonstationary nonstationary NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 10 data data NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 12 unlike unlike IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 13 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 15 23 23 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 80 17 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 1 Most Most JJS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 2 epidemic epidemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 3 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 4 climatic climatic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 5 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 6 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 7 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 8 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 9 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 10 nonstationary nonstationary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 11 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 12 therefore therefore RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 13 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 14 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 15 transforms transform NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 16 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 17 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 18 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 19 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 20 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 21 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 22 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 23 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 24 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 26 11 11 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 27 ; ; SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 28 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 81 30 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 1 When when WRB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 2 conducting conduct VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 3 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 4 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 5 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 7 context context NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 8 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 9 time time NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 10 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 11 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 14 selection selection NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 15 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 17 optimal optimal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 18 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 19 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 20 decomposition decomposition NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 21 levels level NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 22 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 23 vital vital JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 24 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 25 determine determine VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 26 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 27 performance performance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 28 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 29 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 30 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 31 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 32 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 33 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 34 domain domain NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 82 35 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 2 following following JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 3 formula formula NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 4 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 6 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 7 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 8 decomposition decomposition NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 9 levels level NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 10 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 11 W w NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 12 L l NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 13 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 14 int[log(n int[log(n NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 17 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 18 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 19 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 20 select select VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 21 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 22 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 23 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 24 decomposition decomposition NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 25 levels level NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 26 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 27 where where WRB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 28 n n NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 29 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 30 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 31 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 32 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 33 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 34 length length NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 83 35 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 2 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 3 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 4 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 5 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 7 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 9 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 10 transforms transform VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 12 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 13 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 14 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 15 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 16 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 17 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 18 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 19 maximal maximal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 20 overlap overlap NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 21 discrete discrete JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 22 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 23 transform transform NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 25 MODWT modwt NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 27 algorithm algorithm VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 28 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 29 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 30 ' ' `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 31 haar haar NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 32 ' ' '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 33 filter filter NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 84 34 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 1 Daubechies daubechie NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 2 wavelets wavelet NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 3 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 4 produce produce VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 5 identical identical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 6 events event NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 7 across across IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 9 observed observed JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 10 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 11 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 12 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 13 so so RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 14 many many JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 15 fashions fashion NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 16 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 17 most most JJS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 18 other other JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 19 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 20 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 21 prediction prediction NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 22 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 23 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 24 not not RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 25 recognize recognize VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 27 3 3 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 85 29 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 2 necessary necessary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 3 steps step NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 5 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 6 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 7 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 8 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 9 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 10 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 12 defined define VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 13 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 15 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 17 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 18 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 19 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 20 follows follow VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 86 21 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 1 Firstly firstly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 4 Daubechies Daubechies NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 5 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 6 transformation transformation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 7 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 8 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 9 decomposition decomposition NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 10 level level NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 11 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 12 applied apply VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 13 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 15 nonstationary nonstationary NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 16 time time NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 17 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 18 data data NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 87 19 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 1 Secondly secondly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 4 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 5 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 6 reconstructed reconstruct VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 7 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 8 removing remove VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 10 high high JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 11 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 12 frequency frequency NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 13 component component NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 14 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 15 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 17 wavelet wavelet JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 18 denoising denoising NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 19 method method NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 88 20 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 1 And and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 3 lastly lastly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 5 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 6 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 7 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 8 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 9 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 10 applied apply VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 11 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 12 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 13 reconstructed reconstruct VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 14 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 15 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 16 generate generate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 17 out out RP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 18 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 19 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 20 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 21 sample sample NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 22 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 23 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 24 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 25 given give VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 26 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 27 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 28 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 89 29 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 1 For for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 3 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 4 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 7 propose propose VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 8 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 9 hybridization hybridization NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 10 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 11 stationary stationary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 12 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 13 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 14 nonstationary nonstationary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 15 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 16 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 17 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 18 reduce reduce VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 20 individual individual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 21 biases bias NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 22 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 24 component component NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 25 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 27 24 24 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 90 29 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 2 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 3 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 4 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 5 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 6 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 7 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 8 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 9 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 10 complex complex JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 11 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 12 nature nature NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 91 13 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 1 Thus thus RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 4 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 5 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 6 fails fail VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 7 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 8 produce produce VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 9 random random JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 10 errors error NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 11 or or CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 12 even even RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 13 stationary stationary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 14 residual residual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 15 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 17 evident evident JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 18 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 19 Figure figure NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 20 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 92 21 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 2 behavior behavior NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 5 residual residual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 6 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 7 generated generate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 8 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 9 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 10 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 11 mostly mostly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 12 oscillatory oscillatory JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 13 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 14 periodic periodic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 15 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 16 thus thus RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 17 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 19 choose choose VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 20 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 21 wavelet wavelet JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 22 function function NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 23 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 24 model model VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 26 remaining remain VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 27 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 93 28 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 1 Several several JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 2 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 3 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 4 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 5 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 6 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 7 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 8 neural neural JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 9 networks network NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 10 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 11 available available JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 12 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 14 field field NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 15 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 16 time time NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 17 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 18 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 19 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 20 see see VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 21 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 22 example example NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 24 35 35 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 25 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 26 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 27 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 28 12 12 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 29 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 30 19 19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 31 ; ; SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 32 8 8 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 33 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 34 25 25 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 35 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 94 36 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 95 1 Algorithm algorithm NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 95 2 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 96 1 Proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 96 2 Hybrid Hybrid NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 96 3 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 96 4 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 96 5 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 96 6 Model Model NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 96 7 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 97 1 Given give VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 97 2 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 97 3 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 97 4 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 97 5 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 97 6 length length NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 97 7 n n NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 97 8 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 98 1 input input NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 98 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 98 3 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 98 4 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 98 5 sample sample NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 98 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 98 7 training training NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 98 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 99 1 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 99 2 daily daily JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 99 3 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 99 4 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 99 5 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 100 1 2 2 LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 100 2 Determine determine VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 100 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 100 4 best good JJS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 100 5 ARIMA(p arima(p NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 100 6 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 1 d d NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 3 q q NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 5 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 6 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 8 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 9 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 10 sample sample NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 12 training training NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 14 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 101 15 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 102 1 • • NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 102 2 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 102 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 102 4 p p NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 102 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 102 6 d d NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 102 7 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 102 8 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 1 q q NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 2 values value NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 3 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 4 selected select VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 5 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 7 procedures procedure NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 8 described describe VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 9 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 10 Section section NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 11 2.2.1 2.2.1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 103 12 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 104 1 • • NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 1 Obtain obtain VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 3 predictions prediction NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 4 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 6 selected select VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 7 ARIMA(p arima(p NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 8 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 9 d d NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 10 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 11 q q NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 13 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 14 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 16 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 17 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 18 sample sample NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 19 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 20 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 21 generate generate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 22 required require VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 23 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 24 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 25 out out IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 26 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 27 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 28 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 29 sample sample NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 30 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 105 31 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 106 1 • • NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 1 Obtain obtain VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 3 residual residual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 4 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 6 ε ε NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 7 t t NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 9 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 10 subtracting subtract VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 11 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 12 predicted predict VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 13 values value NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 14 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 16 original original JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 17 training training NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 18 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 107 19 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 1 3 3 LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 2 Train train VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 4 residual residual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 5 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 7 ε ε NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 8 t t NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 10 generated generate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 11 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 12 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 13 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 15 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 16 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 17 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 18 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 19 described describe VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 20 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 21 Section section NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 22 2.2.2 2.2.2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 108 23 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 109 1 • • NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 1 Select select VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 3 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 5 decomposition decomposition NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 6 level level NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 7 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 9 formulae formula NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 10 W W NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 11 L l NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 12 = = NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 13 int[log(n int[log(n NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 16 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 17 boundary boundary NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 18 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 19 chosen choose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 20 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 21 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 22 ' ' `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 23 periodic periodic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 24 ' ' '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 110 25 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 111 1 • • NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 1 Obtain obtain VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 2 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 3 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 4 sample sample NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 5 predictions prediction NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 7 ε ε NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 8 t t NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 10 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 12 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 13 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 14 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 15 generate generate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 16 required require VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 17 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 18 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 19 out out IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 20 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 21 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 22 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 23 sample sample NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 24 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 112 25 .. .. . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 1 Motivated motivate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 2 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 4 above above JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 5 discussion discussion NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 6 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 8 propose propose VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 9 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 10 novel novel JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 11 hybrid hybrid NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 12 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 13 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 14 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 15 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 16 which which WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 17 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 18 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 19 two two CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 20 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 21 step step NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 22 pipeline pipeline NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 23 approach approach NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 113 24 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 3 first first JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 4 step step NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 5 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 7 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 8 hybrid hybrid NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 9 approach approach NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 10 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 11 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 12 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 13 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 14 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 15 built build VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 16 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 17 model model VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 18 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 19 linear linear JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 20 components component NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 21 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 24 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 25 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 26 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 27 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 28 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 29 set set NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 30 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 31 outof outof JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 32 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 33 sample sample NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 34 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 35 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 36 generated generate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 114 37 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 3 second second JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 4 phase phase NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 7 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 8 residuals residual NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 10 oscillatory oscillatory JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 11 residual residual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 12 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 14 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 15 remodeled remodel VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 16 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 17 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 18 mathematically mathematically RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 19 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 20 grounded ground VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 21 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 22 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 115 23 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 1 Here here RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 3 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 4 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 6 left leave VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 7 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 8 over over RP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 9 autocorrelations autocorrelation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 11 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 12 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 13 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 14 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 16 oscillatory oscillatory JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 17 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 18 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 19 Figure figure NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 20 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 22 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 24 residuals residual NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 25 which which WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 26 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 27 could could MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 28 not not RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 29 model model VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 116 30 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 2 algorithmic algorithmic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 3 presentation presentation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 6 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 7 hybrid hybrid NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 8 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 9 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 10 given give VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 11 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 12 Algorithm Algorithm NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 13 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 117 14 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 2 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 3 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 4 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 5 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 6 looked look VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 7 upon upon IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 8 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 9 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 10 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 11 remodeling remodeling NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 12 approach approach NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 13 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 14 which which WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 16 use use VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 17 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 18 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 20 base base NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 21 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 22 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 23 remodel remodel VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 24 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 25 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 26 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 27 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 28 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 29 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 30 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 31 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 32 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 33 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 34 technique technique NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 35 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 36 generate generate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 37 more more RBR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 38 accurate accurate JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 39 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 118 40 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 1 This this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 2 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 3 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 4 relevance relevance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 5 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 6 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 7 misspecification misspecification NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 8 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 9 which which WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 10 disturbances disturbance NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 11 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 12 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 13 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 14 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 15 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 16 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 17 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 18 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 19 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 20 not not RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 21 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 22 correctly correctly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 23 modeled model VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 24 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 26 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 27 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 119 28 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 3 if if IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 5 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 6 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 7 generated generate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 8 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 9 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 10 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 11 adequately adequately RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 12 modeled model VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 13 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 14 incorporated incorporate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 15 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 17 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 18 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 20 performance performance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 21 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 23 out out JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 24 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 25 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 26 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 27 sample sample NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 28 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 29 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 30 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 31 improved improve VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 32 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 33 even even RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 34 though though IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 35 marginally marginally RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 36 at at IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 37 times time NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 120 38 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 121 1 Remark remark NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 121 2 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 2 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 3 hybrid hybrid NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 4 approach approach NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 5 contradicts contradict VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 6 other other JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 7 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 8 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 9 traditional traditional JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 10 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 11 modeling modeling NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 12 approaches approach NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 13 applied apply VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 14 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 16 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 122 17 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 2 choose choose VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 3 two two CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 4 completely completely RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 5 diverse diverse JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 6 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 7 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 8 hybridization hybridization NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 9 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 10 one one CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 11 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 12 classical classical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 13 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 14 literature literature NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 15 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 16 another another DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 17 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 18 modern modern JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 19 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 20 approaches approach NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 123 21 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 1 Five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 2 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 3 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 4 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 5 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 6 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 7 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 8 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 9 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 10 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 11 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 13 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 14 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 15 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 16 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 17 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 18 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 19 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 20 considered consider VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 21 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 22 training train VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 24 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 25 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 26 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 27 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 28 component component NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 29 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 124 30 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 2 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 3 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 4 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 6 nonstationary nonstationary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 7 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 8 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 9 non non JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 10 - - JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 11 gaussian gaussian JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 12 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 13 nature nature NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 125 14 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 2 have have VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 3 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 4 root root NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 5 mean mean VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 6 square square JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 7 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 9 RMSE RMSE NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 12 mean mean VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 13 absolute absolute JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 14 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 16 MAE MAE NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 18 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 19 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 20 evaluate evaluate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 21 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 22 predictive predictive JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 23 performance performance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 24 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 26 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 27 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 28 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 29 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 30 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 32 17 17 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 33 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 126 34 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 1 Since since IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 3 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 5 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 6 points point NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 7 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 8 both both CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 10 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 11 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 12 limited limit VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 13 thus thus RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 14 going go VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 15 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 16 advanced advanced JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 17 deep deep JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 18 learning learning NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 19 techniques technique NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 20 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 21 simply simply RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 22 over over RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 23 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 24 fit fit VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 26 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 27 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 28 14 14 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 127 30 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 2 start start VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 4 experimental experimental JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 5 evaluation evaluation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 6 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 7 all all PDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 9 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 10 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 11 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 12 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 13 classical classical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 14 ARIMA(p arima(p NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 15 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 16 d d NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 17 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 18 q q NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 20 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 21 ' ' `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 22 forecast forecast NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 23 ' ' '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 25 16 16 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 27 statistical statistical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 28 package package NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 29 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 30 R r NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 31 software software NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 128 32 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 1 To to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 2 fit fit VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 3 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 4 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 5 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 6 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 8 first first RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 9 specify specify VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 12 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 14 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 129 15 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 1 Using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 2 ACF ACF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 3 plot plot NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 4 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 5 PACF PACF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 6 plot plot NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 8 See see VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 9 Table table NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 10 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 14 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 15 decide decide VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 17 value value NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 18 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 20 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 21 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 23 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 130 24 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 2 have have VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 3 also also RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 4 performed perform VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 5 unit unit NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 6 root root NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 7 tests test NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 8 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 9 stationarity stationarity NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 10 check check NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 11 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 12 all all PDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 14 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 15 were be VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 16 found find VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 17 nonstationary nonstationary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 131 18 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 2 ' ' `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 3 best good JJS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 4 ' ' '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 5 fitted fit VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 6 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 7 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 8 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 9 chosen choose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 10 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 11 AIC AIC NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 12 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 13 BIC BIC NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 14 values value NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 15 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 16 each each DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 17 training training NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 18 dataset dataset NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 132 19 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 133 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 133 2 fitted fit VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 133 3 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 133 4 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 133 5 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 133 6 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 133 7 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 133 8 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 133 9 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 133 10 follows follow VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 133 11 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 1 ARIMA(1,2,1 ARIMA(1,2,1 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 3 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 4 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 6 ARIMA(1,1,2 ARIMA(1,1,2 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 8 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 9 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 10 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 11 ARIMA(0,1,1 ARIMA(0,1,1 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 13 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 14 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 15 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 16 ARIMA(2,1,0 arima(2,1,0 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 18 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 19 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 20 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 21 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 22 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 23 ARIMA(2,2,2 ARIMA(2,2,2 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 25 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 26 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 27 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 134 28 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 2 employ employ VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 3 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 4 pre pre NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 5 - - JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 6 defined define VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 7 Box Box NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 8 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 9 Cox Cox NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 10 transformation transformation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 11 set set VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 12 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 13 λ λ NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 14 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 15 0 0 NFP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 16 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 17 ensure ensure VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 18 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 19 forecast forecast NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 20 values value NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 21 stay stay VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 22 positive positive JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 135 23 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 1 As as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 3 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 4 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 5 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 6 fitted fit VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 7 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 8 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 9 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 10 generated generate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 11 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 12 10-time 10-time JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 13 steps step NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 15 5 5 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 16 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 17 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 18 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 19 14 14 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 20 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 21 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 23 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 24 all all PDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 26 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 27 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 136 28 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 2 also also RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 3 compute compute VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 4 training training NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 5 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 6 predicted predict VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 7 values value NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 8 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 9 calculate calculate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 11 residual residual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 12 errors error NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 137 13 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 138 1 Plots plot NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 138 2 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 138 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 138 4 residual residual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 138 5 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 138 6 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 138 7 given give VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 138 8 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 138 9 Figure figure NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 138 10 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 138 11 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 2 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 3 interesting interesting JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 4 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 5 see see VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 6 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 8 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 9 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 11 residuals residual NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 13 generated generate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 14 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 15 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 16 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 17 oscillating oscillate VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 18 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 19 nonstationary nonstationary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 20 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 21 all all PDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 23 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 139 24 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 1 These these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 2 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 3 oscillations oscillation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 4 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 5 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 6 captured capture VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 7 through through IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 9 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 10 transform transform NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 12 which which WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 13 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 14 decompose decompose VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 15 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 16 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 17 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 18 into into IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 19 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 20 linear linear JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 21 combination combination NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 22 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 23 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 24 frequencies frequency NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 140 25 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 1 These these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 2 residual residual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 3 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 4 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 5 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 6 Figure figure NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 7 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 9 satisfy satisfy VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 11 admissibility admissibility NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 12 condition condition NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 14 zero zero CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 15 mean mean NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 17 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 18 forces force NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 19 wavelet wavelet VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 20 functions function NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 21 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 22 wiggle wiggle VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 24 oscillate oscillate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 25 between between IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 26 positive positive JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 27 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 28 negative negative JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 30 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 31 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 32 typical typical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 33 property property NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 34 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 35 wavelets wavelet NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 141 36 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 1 Thus thus RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 4 remodel remodel VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 6 residuals residual NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 7 obtained obtain VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 8 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 10 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 11 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 12 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 13 that that DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 14 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 16 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 17 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 142 18 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 2 value value NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 4 Wavelet wavelet JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 5 levels level NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 6 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 7 obtained obtain VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 8 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 9 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 11 formula formula NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 13 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 14 mentioned mention VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 15 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 16 Algorithm Algorithm NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 17 1 1 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 143 18 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 1 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 2 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 3 was be VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 4 implemented implement VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 5 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 6 ' ' `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 7 WaveletArima WaveletArima NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 8 ' ' '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 10 26 26 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 11 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 12 package package NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 13 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 14 R r NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 15 software software NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 16 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 17 ' ' `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 18 periodic periodic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 19 ' ' '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 20 boundary boundary NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 21 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 22 all all PDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 24 other other JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 25 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 26 were be VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 27 kept keep VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 28 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 29 default default NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 144 30 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 1 As as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 3 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 4 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 5 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 6 fitted fit VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 7 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 9 residual residual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 10 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 11 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 13 predictions prediction NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 14 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 15 generated generate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 16 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 17 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 18 next next JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 19 ten ten CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 20 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 21 steps step NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 23 5 5 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 24 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 25 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 26 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 27 14 14 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 28 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 29 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 145 31 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 1 Further further RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 3 both both CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 5 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 6 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 7 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 8 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 9 residual residual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 10 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 11 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 12 added add VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 13 together together RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 14 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 15 get get VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 17 final final JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 18 out out NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 19 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 20 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 21 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 22 sample sample NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 23 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 24 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 26 next next JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 27 ten ten CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 28 days day NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 30 5 5 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 31 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 32 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 33 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 34 14 14 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 35 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 36 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 146 38 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 2 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 3 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 4 fittings fitting NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 6 training training NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 7 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 9 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 10 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 11 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 13 namely namely RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 14 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 15 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 16 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 17 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 18 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 19 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 20 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 21 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 22 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 24 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 25 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 26 displayed display VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 27 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 28 Figures figure NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 29 2(a 2(a CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 31 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 32 3(a 3(a CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 34 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 35 4(a 4(a CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 37 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 38 5(a 5(a CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 40 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 41 6(a 6(a CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 43 respectively respectively RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 147 44 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 2 real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 3 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 4 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 6 short short JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 7 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 8 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 10 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 11 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 12 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 13 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 14 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 15 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 16 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 17 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 18 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 19 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 20 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 21 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 22 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 23 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 24 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 25 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 26 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 27 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 28 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 29 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 30 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 31 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 32 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 33 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 34 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 35 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 36 displayed display VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 37 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 38 Figures figure NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 39 2(b 2(b CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 41 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 42 3(b 3(b CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 44 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 45 4(b 4(b CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 47 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 48 5(b 5(b CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 50 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 51 6(b 6(b LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 53 respectively respectively RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 148 54 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 2 predicted predict VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 3 values value NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 4 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 6 training training NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 7 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 8 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 9 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 10 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 12 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 13 hybrid hybrid NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 14 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 15 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 16 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 17 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 18 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 19 further further RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 20 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 21 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 22 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 23 adequacy adequacy NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 24 checking checking NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 25 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 26 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 27 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 28 actual actual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 29 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 30 predicted predict VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 31 test test NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 149 32 outputs output NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 1 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 3 computed compute VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 4 RMSE RMSE NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 5 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 6 MAE MAE NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 7 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 8 all all PDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 10 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 11 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 12 reported report VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 13 them -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 14 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 15 Table Table NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 16 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 150 17 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 2 performances performance NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 5 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 6 hybrid hybrid NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 7 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 8 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 9 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 10 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 11 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 12 superior superior JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 13 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 14 compared compare VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 15 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 17 individual individual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 18 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 19 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 20 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 21 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 22 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 23 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 24 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 26 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 27 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 28 whereas whereas RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 29 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 30 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 31 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 32 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 33 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 34 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 35 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 36 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 37 results result NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 38 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 39 competitive competitive JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 40 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 41 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 151 42 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 2 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 3 often often RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 4 true true JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 5 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 6 no no DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 7 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 8 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 9 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 10 universally universally RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 11 employed employ VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 12 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 13 all all DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 14 circumstances circumstance NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 15 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 16 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 17 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 18 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 19 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 20 relevance relevance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 21 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 22 " " `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 23 no no DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 24 free free JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 25 lunch lunch NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 26 theorem theorem NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 27 " " '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 29 33 33 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 152 31 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 1 Even even RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 2 if if IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 3 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 4 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 5 very very RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 6 few few JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 7 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 8 hybrid hybrid VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 9 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 10 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 11 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 12 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 13 gave give VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 14 lower low JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 15 information information NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 16 criteria criterion NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 17 values value NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 19 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 20 terms term NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 21 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 22 RMSE RMSE NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 23 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 24 MAE MAE NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 25 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 26 training training NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 27 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 29 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 30 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 31 still still RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 32 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 33 opt opt VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 34 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 35 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 36 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 37 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 38 given give VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 39 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 40 asymmetric asymmetric JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 41 risks risk NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 42 involved involve VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 43 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 44 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 45 believe believe VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 46 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 47 it -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 48 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 49 better well JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 50 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 51 take take VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 52 decisions decision NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 53 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 54 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 55 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 56 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 57 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 58 rather rather RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 59 than than IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 60 depending depend VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 61 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 62 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 63 single single JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 64 one one NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 65 at at IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 66 least least JJS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 67 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 68 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 69 pandemic pandemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 153 70 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 2 produced produce VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 3 ten ten CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 4 days day NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 5 ahead ahead RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 6 point point NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 7 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 8 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 9 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 10 all all PDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 12 three three CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 13 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 14 discussed discuss VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 15 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 16 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 17 chapter chapter NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 18 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 19 reported report VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 20 then then RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 21 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 22 Figures figure NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 23 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 24 - - SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 25 6 6 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 154 26 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 2 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 3 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 4 easily easily RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 5 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 6 updated update VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 7 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 8 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 9 daily daily JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 10 or or CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 11 periodic periodic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 12 basis basis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 13 once once IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 15 actual actual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 16 values value NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 17 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 18 received receive VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 19 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 20 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 21 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 22 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 23 wise wise JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 24 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 25 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 155 26 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 156 1 Remark remark NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 156 2 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 1 Please please UH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 2 note note VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 3 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 4 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 5 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 6 not not RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 7 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 8 ex ex JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 9 - - JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 10 post post JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 11 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 13 but but CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 14 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 15 real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 17 live live JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 18 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 19 exercise exercise NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 157 20 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 1 Thus thus RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 3 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 4 real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 5 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 6 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 7 short short JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 8 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 9 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 10 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 11 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 12 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 14 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 15 hybrid hybrid NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 16 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 17 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 18 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 19 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 20 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 21 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 22 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 23 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 24 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 25 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 26 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 27 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 28 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 29 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 30 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 31 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 32 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 33 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 34 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 35 helpful helpful JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 36 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 37 government government NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 38 officials official NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 39 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 40 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 41 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 42 allocate allocate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 43 adequate adequate JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 44 health health NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 45 care care NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 46 resources resource NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 47 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 48 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 49 coming come VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 50 days day NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 158 51 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 1 At at IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 3 outset outset NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 7 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 8 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 9 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 10 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 11 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 12 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 13 wise wise JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 14 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 15 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 16 rates rate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 17 due due JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 18 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 20 were be VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 21 obtained obtain VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 22 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 23 50 50 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 24 affected affected JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 25 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 159 26 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 2 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 3 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 4 rate rate NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 5 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 6 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 7 crudely crudely RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 8 defined define VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 9 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 11 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 12 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 13 deaths death NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 14 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 15 persons person NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 16 who who WP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 17 tested test VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 18 positive positive JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 19 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 20 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 21 divided divide VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 22 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 24 confirmed confirm VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 25 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 26 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 27 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 28 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 160 29 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 2 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 3 section section NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 6 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 7 going go VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 8 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 9 find find VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 10 out out RP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 11 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 12 list list NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 13 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 14 essential essential JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 15 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 16 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 17 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 18 have have VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 19 strong strong JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 20 influences influence NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 21 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 23 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 161 24 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 2 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 3 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 4 codes code NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 5 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 6 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 7 section section NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 8 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 9 made make VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 10 publicly publicly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 11 available available JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 12 at at IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 13 https://github.com/indrajitg-r/COVID https://github.com/indrajitg-r/covid ADD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 14 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 16 reproducibility reproducibility NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 17 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 18 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 19 work work NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 162 20 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 3 face face NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 5 rapidly rapidly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 6 changing change VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 7 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 8 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 10 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 12 calculated calculate VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 14 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 15 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 16 ratio ratio NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 17 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 18 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 19 50 50 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 20 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 21 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 23 day day NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 24 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 25 starting start VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 26 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 27 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 28 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 29 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 30 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 31 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 32 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 33 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 34 following follow VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 35 website website NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 36 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 163 37 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 1 A a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 2 lot lot NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 4 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 5 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 6 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 7 done do VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 8 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 9 determine determine VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 10 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 11 set set NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 12 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 13 possible possible JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 14 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 15 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 16 some some DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 17 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 18 which which WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 19 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 20 expected expect VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 21 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 22 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 23 critical critical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 24 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 25 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 26 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 27 risk risk NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 28 assessments assessment NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 29 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 30 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 31 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 32 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 33 affected affect VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 34 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 164 35 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 1 Previous previous JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 2 studies study NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 4 22 22 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 5 ; ; SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 6 30 30 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 7 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 8 18 18 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 9 ; ; SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 10 5 5 LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 11 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 12 have have VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 13 suggested suggest VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 14 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 16 total total JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 17 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 18 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 19 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 20 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 21 age age NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 22 distributions distribution NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 23 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 24 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 25 shutdown shutdown NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 26 period period NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 27 have have VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 28 high high JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 29 impacts impact NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 30 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 31 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 32 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 33 values value NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 34 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 35 some some DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 36 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 37 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 38 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 165 39 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 1 Along along IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 2 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 3 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 4 three three CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 5 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 6 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 8 also also RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 9 considered consider VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 10 seven seven CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 11 more more JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 12 demographic demographic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 13 structures structure NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 14 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 15 disease disease NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 16 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 17 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 18 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 19 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 20 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 21 input input NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 22 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 23 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 24 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 25 likely likely JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 26 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 27 have have VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 28 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 29 potential potential JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 30 impact impact NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 31 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 32 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 33 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 34 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 166 35 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 4 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 5 modeling modeling NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 6 dataset dataset NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 7 consists consist VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 8 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 9 50 50 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 10 observations observation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 11 having have VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 12 ten ten CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 13 possible possible JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 14 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 15 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 16 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 17 one one CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 18 numerical numerical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 19 output output NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 20 variable variable NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 22 viz viz NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 167 23 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 168 1 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 168 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 168 3 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 168 4 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 168 5 reported report VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 168 6 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 168 7 Table Table NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 168 8 3 3 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 168 9 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 2 possible possible JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 3 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 4 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 5 considered consider VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 6 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 7 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 8 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 9 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 11 followings following NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 12 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 14 total total JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 15 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 16 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 17 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 18 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 20 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 21 thousands thousand NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 23 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 24 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 25 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 26 till till IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 27 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 28 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 29 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 30 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 31 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 32 population population NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 33 density density NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 34 per per IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 35 km km NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 36 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 37 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 38 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 39 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 40 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 41 total total JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 42 population population NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 44 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 45 millions million NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 47 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 48 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 49 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 50 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 51 approx approx NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 52 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 53 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 54 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 55 percentage percentage NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 56 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 57 people people NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 58 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 59 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 60 age age NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 61 group group NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 62 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 63 greater great JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 64 than than IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 65 65 65 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 66 years year NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 67 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 68 lockdown lockdown NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 69 days day NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 70 count count NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 71 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 72 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 73 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 74 starting start VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 75 day day NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 76 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 77 lockdown lockdown NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 78 till till IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 79 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 80 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 81 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 82 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 83 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 84 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 85 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 86 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 87 period period NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 88 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 89 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 90 days day NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 91 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 92 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 93 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 94 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 95 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 96 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 97 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 98 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 99 starting start VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 100 date date NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 101 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 102 April April NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 103 4 4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 104 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 105 2020 2020 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 106 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 107 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 108 doctors doctor NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 109 per per IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 110 1000 1000 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 111 people people NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 112 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 113 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 114 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 115 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 116 hospital hospital NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 117 beds bed NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 118 per per IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 119 1000 1000 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 120 people people NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 121 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 122 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 123 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 124 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 125 income income NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 126 standard standard NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 127 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 128 e.g. e.g. RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 129 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 130 high high JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 131 or or CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 132 lower low JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 133 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 134 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 135 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 136 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 137 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 138 climate climate NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 139 zones zone NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 140 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 141 e.g. e.g. RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 142 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 143 tropical tropical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 144 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 145 subtropical subtropical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 146 or or CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 147 moderate moderate JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 148 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 149 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 150 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 151 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 169 152 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 2 dataset dataset NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 3 contains contain VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 4 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 5 total total NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 6 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 7 8 8 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 8 numerical numerical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 9 input input NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 10 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 11 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 12 two two CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 13 categorical categorical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 14 input input NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 15 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 170 16 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 1 For for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 3 risk risk NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 4 assessment assessment NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 5 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 7 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 8 dataset dataset NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 9 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 10 50 50 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 11 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 14 apply apply VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 16 regression regression NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 17 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 19 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 22 7 7 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 24 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 25 has have VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 26 built build VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 27 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 28 in in RP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 29 feature feature NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 30 selection selection NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 31 mechanism mechanism NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 32 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 33 easy easy JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 34 interpretability interpretability NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 35 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 36 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 37 provides provide VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 38 better well JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 39 visualization visualization NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 171 40 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 1 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 3 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 4 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 5 widely widely RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 6 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 7 simple simple JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 8 machine machine NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 9 learning learning NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 10 algorithm algorithm NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 12 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 13 model model VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 14 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 15 decision decision NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 16 boundaries boundary NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 172 17 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 2 methodology methodology NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 3 outlined outline VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 4 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 6 7 7 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 8 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 9 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 10 summarized summarize VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 11 into into IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 12 three three CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 13 stages stage NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 173 14 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 2 first first JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 3 stage stage NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 4 involves involve VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 5 growing grow VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 7 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 8 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 9 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 10 recursive recursive JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 11 partitioning partitioning NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 12 technique technique NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 13 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 14 select select VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 15 essential essential JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 16 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 17 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 18 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 19 set set NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 20 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 21 possible possible JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 22 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 23 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 24 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 25 split split NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 26 points point NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 27 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 28 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 29 splitting splitting JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 30 criterion criterion NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 174 31 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 2 standard standard JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 3 splitting splitting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 4 criteria criterion NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 5 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 6 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 7 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 9 mean mean JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 10 squared squared JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 11 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 13 MSE MSE NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 175 15 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 1 After after IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 2 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 3 large large JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 4 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 5 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 6 identified identify VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 7 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 9 second second JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 10 stage stage NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 11 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 12 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 13 methodology methodology NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 14 uses use VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 15 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 16 pruning pruning NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 17 procedure procedure NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 18 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 19 gives give VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 20 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 21 nested nest VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 22 subset subset NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 23 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 24 trees tree NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 25 starting start VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 26 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 27 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 28 largest large JJS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 29 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 30 grown grow VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 31 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 32 continuing continue VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 33 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 34 process process NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 35 until until IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 36 only only RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 37 one one CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 38 node node NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 39 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 40 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 41 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 42 remains remain VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 176 43 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 2 cross cross NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 3 - - JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 4 validation validation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 5 technique technique NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 6 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 7 popularly popularly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 8 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 9 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 10 provide provide VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 11 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 12 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 13 future future JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 14 prediction prediction NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 15 errors error NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 16 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 17 each each DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 18 subtree subtree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 177 19 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 2 last last JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 3 stage stage NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 6 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 7 methodology methodology NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 8 selects select VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 10 optimal optimal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 11 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 12 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 13 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 14 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 15 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 16 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 17 yielding yield VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 18 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 19 lowest low JJS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 20 cross cross NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 21 - - JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 22 validated validate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 23 or or CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 24 testing testing NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 25 set set NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 26 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 27 rate rate NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 178 28 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 1 To to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 2 avoid avoid VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 3 instability instability NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 5 trees tree NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 6 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 7 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 8 stage stage NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 9 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 10 trees tree NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 11 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 12 smaller small JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 13 sizes size NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 14 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 15 but but CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 16 comparable comparable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 17 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 18 terms term NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 19 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 20 accuracy accuracy NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 21 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 22 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 23 chosen choose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 24 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 25 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 26 alternative alternative NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 179 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 1 This this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 2 process process NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 3 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 4 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 5 tuned tune VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 6 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 7 obtain obtain VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 8 trees tree NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 9 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 10 varying vary VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 11 sizes size NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 12 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 13 complexity complexity NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 180 14 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 1 A a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 2 measure measure NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 4 variable variable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 5 importance importance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 6 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 7 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 8 achieved achieve VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 9 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 10 observing observe VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 12 drop drop NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 13 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 15 error error NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 16 rate rate NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 17 when when WRB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 18 another another DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 19 variable variable NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 20 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 21 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 22 instead instead RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 23 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 24 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 25 primary primary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 26 split split NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 181 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 2 general general JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 3 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 5 more more RBR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 6 frequent frequent JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 7 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 8 variable variable NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 9 appears appear VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 10 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 11 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 12 primary primary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 13 split split NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 14 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 16 higher high JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 17 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 18 importance importance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 19 score score NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 20 assigned assign VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 182 21 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 1 A a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 2 detailed detailed JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 3 description description NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 6 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 7 building building NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 8 process process NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 9 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 10 available available JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 11 at at IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 13 17 17 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 183 15 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 2 rationale rationale NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 3 behind behind IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 5 choice choice NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 6 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 7 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 8 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 9 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 10 potential potential JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 11 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 12 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 13 find find VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 15 important important JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 16 casual casual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 17 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 18 out out IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 19 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 20 10 10 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 21 input input NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 22 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 23 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 24 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 25 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 26 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 27 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 28 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 29 simplicity simplicity NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 30 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 31 easy easy JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 32 interpretability interpretability NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 33 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 34 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 35 high high JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 36 accuracy accuracy NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 37 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 38 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 39 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 40 algorithm algorithm NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 184 41 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 2 apply apply VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 3 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 4 optimal optimal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 5 RT rt NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 6 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 7 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 9 dataset dataset NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 10 consisting consisting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 11 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 12 50 50 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 13 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 14 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 15 samples sample NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 16 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 17 try try VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 18 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 19 find find VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 20 out out RP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 21 potential potential JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 22 casual casual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 23 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 24 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 26 set set NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 27 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 28 available available JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 29 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 30 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 31 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 32 related relate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 33 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 34 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 35 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 36 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 37 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 38 rates rate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 185 39 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 1 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 2 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 3 implemented implement VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 4 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 5 ' ' `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 6 rpart rpart NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 7 ' ' '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 9 31 31 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 11 package package NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 12 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 13 R r NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 14 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 15 " " `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 16 minsplit minsplit NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 17 " " '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 18 equals equal VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 19 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 20 10 10 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 21 % % NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 22 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 24 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 25 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 26 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 27 control control NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 28 parameter parameter NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 186 29 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 2 have have VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 3 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 4 RMSE RMSE NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 6 co co JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 7 - - JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 8 efficient efficient JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 9 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 10 multiple multiple JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 11 determination determination NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 13 R R NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 14 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 17 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 18 adjusted adjust VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 19 R R NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 20 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 22 AdjR AdjR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 23 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 25 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 26 evaluate evaluate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 27 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 28 predictive predictive JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 29 performance performance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 30 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 31 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 32 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 33 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 34 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 35 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 36 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 37 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 38 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 39 17 17 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 40 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 187 41 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 1 An an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 2 optimal optimal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 3 regression regression NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 4 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 5 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 6 built build VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 7 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 8 7 7 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 9 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 10 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 11 ' ' `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 12 minsplit minsplit NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 13 ' ' '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 14 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 15 5 5 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 16 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 17 equal equal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 18 costs cost NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 19 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 20 each each DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 21 variable variable NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 188 22 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 2 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 5 performance performance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 6 metrics metric NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 7 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 9 fitted fit VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 10 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 11 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 12 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 13 follows follow VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 189 14 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 1 RMSE RMSE NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 2 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 3 0.013 0.013 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 5 R r NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 6 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 7 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 8 0.896 0.896 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 9 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 10 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 11 AdjR AdjR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 12 2 2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 13 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 14 0.769 0.769 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 190 15 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 1 A a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 2 variable variable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 3 importance importance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 4 list list NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 5 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 7 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 8 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 9 given give VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 10 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 11 Figure Figure NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 12 7 7 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 13 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 15 fitted fitted JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 16 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 17 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 18 provided provide VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 19 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 20 Figure Figure NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 21 8 8 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 191 22 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 1 From from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 3 variable variable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 4 importance importance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 5 plot plot NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 6 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 7 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 9 complexity complexity NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 10 parameter parameter NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 11 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 12 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 13 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 14 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 16 also also RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 17 see see VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 18 Figure Figure NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 19 7 7 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 21 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 22 seven seven CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 23 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 24 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 25 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 26 obtained obtain VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 27 out out IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 28 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 29 10 10 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 30 potential potential JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 31 input input NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 32 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 33 having have VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 34 higher high JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 35 importance importance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 192 36 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 1 These these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 2 seven seven CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 3 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 4 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 5 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 6 significantly significantly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 7 affect affect VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 9 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 10 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 11 50 50 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 12 most most RBS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 13 affected affected JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 14 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 15 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 17 followings following NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 18 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 19 total total JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 20 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 21 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 22 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 23 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 24 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 26 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 28 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 29 thousands thousand NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 31 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 32 percentage percentage NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 33 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 34 people people NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 35 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 36 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 37 age age NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 38 group group NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 39 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 40 greater great JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 41 than than IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 42 65 65 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 43 years year NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 44 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 45 total total JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 46 population population NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 48 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 49 millions million NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 51 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 52 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 53 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 54 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 55 doctors doctor NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 56 per per IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 57 1000 1000 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 58 people people NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 59 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 60 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 61 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 62 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 63 lockdown lockdown NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 64 period period NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 65 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 66 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 67 days day NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 68 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 69 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 70 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 71 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 72 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 73 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 74 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 75 period period NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 76 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 77 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 78 days day NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 79 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 80 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 81 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 82 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 83 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 84 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 85 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 86 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 87 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 88 hospital hospital NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 89 beds bed NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 90 per per IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 91 1000 1000 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 92 people people NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 93 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 94 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 95 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 193 96 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 2 results result NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 3 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 4 consistent consistent JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 5 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 6 previous previous JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 7 results result NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 8 obtained obtain VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 9 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 11 30 30 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 12 ; ; SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 13 18 18 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 14 ; ; SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 15 5 5 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 17 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 18 where where WRB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 20 authors author NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 21 suggested suggest VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 22 that that IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 24 total total JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 25 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 26 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 27 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 28 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 29 age age NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 30 distributions distribution NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 31 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 32 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 33 shutdown shutdown NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 34 period period NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 35 have have VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 36 high high JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 37 impacts impact NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 38 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 39 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 40 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 41 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 194 42 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 1 But but CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 2 interestingly interestingly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 3 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 5 obtained obtain VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 6 four four CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 7 more more RBR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 8 essential essential JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 9 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 10 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 11 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 12 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 13 provide provide VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 14 some some DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 15 new new JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 16 insights insight NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 17 into into IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 18 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 19 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 20 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 21 risk risk NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 22 assessments assessment NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 23 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 24 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 25 affected affected JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 26 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 195 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 1 Out out IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 2 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 3 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 4 7 7 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 5 numerical numerical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 6 input input NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 7 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 8 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 9 there there EX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 10 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 11 four four CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 12 control control NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 13 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 15 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 16 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 17 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 18 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 19 people people NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 20 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 21 age age NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 22 group group NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 23 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 24 65 65 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 25 years year NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 26 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 27 lockdown lockdown NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 28 period period NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 29 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 30 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 31 hospital hospital NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 32 beds bed NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 33 per per IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 34 1000 1000 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 35 people people NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 37 present present VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 38 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 39 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 40 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 41 managed manage VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 42 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 43 fight fight VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 44 against against IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 45 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 46 deadly deadly JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 47 disease disease NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 196 48 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 1 Once once IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 2 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 3 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 4 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 5 taken take VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 6 care care NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 7 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 8 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 10 respective respective JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 11 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 12 may may MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 13 reduce reduce VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 14 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 15 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 16 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 17 rate rate NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 18 at at IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 19 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 20 significant significant JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 21 rate rate NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 197 22 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 198 1 x.x3 x.x3 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 198 2 x.x9 x.x9 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 198 3 x.x8 x.x8 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 198 4 x.x5 x.x5 XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 199 1 x.x6 x.x6 SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 199 2 x.x7 x.x7 XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 200 1 x.x2 x.x2 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 200 2 x.x4 x.x4 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 200 3 x.x1 x.x1 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 200 4 Figure Figure NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 200 5 7 7 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 200 6 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 1 Variable variable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 2 Importance importance NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 3 Percentages percentage NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 4 affecting affect VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 6 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 7 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 8 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 9 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 10 complexity complexity NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 11 parameter parameter NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 12 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 13 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 14 Figure Figure NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 15 8 8 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 16 shows show VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 17 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 18 relationship relationship NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 19 between between IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 20 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 21 important important JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 22 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 23 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 24 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 25 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 201 26 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 2 Figure Figure NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 3 8 8 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 6 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 7 starts start VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 8 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 10 total total JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 11 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 12 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 13 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 14 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 15 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 17 most most RBS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 18 crucial crucial JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 19 causal causal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 20 variable variable NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 21 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 23 parent parent NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 24 node node NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 202 25 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 2 each each DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 3 box box NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 6 top top JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 7 most most RBS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 8 numerical numerical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 9 values value NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 10 suggest suggest VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 12 average average JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 13 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 14 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 15 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 16 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 17 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 18 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 203 19 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 1 One one CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 2 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 4 key key JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 5 findings finding NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 6 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 8 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 9 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 11 following following JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 12 rule rule NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 13 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 14 When when WRB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 16 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 17 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 18 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 19 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 20 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 21 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 22 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 23 greater great JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 24 than than IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 25 14,000 14,000 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 26 having have VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 27 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 28 population population NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 29 between between IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 30 14 14 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 31 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 32 75 75 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 33 million million CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 34 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 35 having have VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 36 second second RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 37 highest high JJS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 38 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 39 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 40 rate rate NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 41 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 42 viz viz NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 204 43 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 205 1 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 205 2 10 10 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 205 3 % % NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 205 4 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 1 Similarly similarly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 3 one one PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 4 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 5 see see VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 6 all all PDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 8 rules rule NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 9 generated generate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 10 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 11 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 12 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 13 get get VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 14 additional additional JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 15 information information NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 16 about about IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 17 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 18 relationships relationship NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 19 between between IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 20 control control NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 21 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 22 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 23 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 24 response response NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 25 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 26 variable variable NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 206 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 207 1 x.x1 x.x1 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 207 2 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 207 3 = = NFP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 1 0.99 0.99 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 2 x.x1 x.x1 XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 3 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 4 14 14 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 5 x.x4 x.x4 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 6 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 7 = = CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 8 7.4 7.4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 9 x.x4 x.x4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 10 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 11 19 19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 12 x.x7 x.x7 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 13 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 14 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 15 3.4 3.4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 208 16 x.x4 x.x4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 209 1 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 210 1 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 210 2 21 21 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 211 1 x.x5 x.x5 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 211 2 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 211 3 21 21 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 212 1 x.x4 x.x4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 213 1 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 213 2 6.6 6.6 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 213 3 x.x2 x.x2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 214 1 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 215 1 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 215 2 75 75 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 215 3 x.x6 x.x6 SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 215 4 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 215 5 76 76 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 216 1 x.x2 x.x2 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 216 2 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 216 3 14 14 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 217 1 x.x8 x.x8 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 218 1 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 218 2 1.5 1.5 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 219 1 yes yes UH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 220 1 no no DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 220 2 x.x1 x.x1 XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 220 3 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 1 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 2 0.99 0.99 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 3 x.x1 x.x1 XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 4 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 5 14 14 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 6 x.x4 x.x4 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 7 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 8 = = CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 9 7.4 7.4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 10 x.x4 x.x4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 11 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 12 19 19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 13 x.x7 x.x7 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 14 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 15 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 16 3.4 3.4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 221 17 x.x4 x.x4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 222 1 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 223 1 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 223 2 21 21 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 224 1 x.x5 x.x5 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 224 2 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 224 3 21 21 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 225 1 x.x4 x.x4 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 226 1 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 226 2 6.6 6.6 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 226 3 x.x2 x.x2 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 227 1 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 228 1 = = SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 228 2 75 75 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 228 3 x.x6 x.x6 SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 228 4 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 228 5 76 76 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 229 1 x.x2 x.x2 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 230 1 < < XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 231 1 14 14 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 232 1 x x NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 232 2 _SP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 2 made make VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 3 some some DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 4 simplifying simplify VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 5 assumptions assumption NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 6 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 7 carry carry VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 8 out out RP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 9 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 10 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 11 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 13 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 233 14 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 2 assumptions assumption NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 3 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 4 listed list VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 5 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 6 follows follow VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 7 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 9 a a LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 12 virus virus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 13 mutation mutation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 14 rates rate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 15 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 16 comparable comparable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 17 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 18 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 19 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 20 ; ; , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 22 b b NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 24 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 25 recovered recover VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 26 persons person NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 27 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 28 achieve achieve VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 29 permanent permanent JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 30 immunity immunity NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 31 against against IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 32 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 33 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 35 c c NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 37 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 38 ignore ignore VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 39 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 40 effect effect NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 41 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 42 climate climate NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 43 change change NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 45 also also RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 46 spatial spatial JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 47 data data NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 48 structures structure NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 50 during during IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 51 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 52 shortterm shortterm JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 53 predictions prediction NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 234 54 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 1 Along along IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 2 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 3 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 4 line line NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 5 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 7 presented present VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 8 two two CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 9 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 10 approaches approach NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 11 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 12 deal deal VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 13 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 14 two two CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 15 inter inter JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 16 - - JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 17 connected connected JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 18 problems problem NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 19 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 20 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 235 21 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 3 first first JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 4 problem problem NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 5 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 6 short short JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 7 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 8 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 9 predictions prediction NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 10 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 11 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 12 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 13 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 14 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 15 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 18 proposed propose VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 19 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 20 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 21 methodology methodology NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 22 combining combine VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 23 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 24 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 25 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 26 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 236 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 3 second second JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 4 problem problem NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 5 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 6 risk risk NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 7 assessment assessment NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 8 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 10 found find VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 11 some some DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 12 important important JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 13 factors factor NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 14 affecting affect VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 15 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 16 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 17 rates rate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 18 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 19 COVID COVID NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 20 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 21 50 50 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 22 highly highly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 23 affected affect VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 24 nations nation NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 237 25 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 1 However however RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 3 there there EX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 4 may may MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 5 exist exist VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 6 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 7 few few JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 8 more more RBR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 9 controllable controllable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 10 factor(s factor(s NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 13 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 14 some some DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 15 disease disease NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 16 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 17 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 18 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 19 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 20 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 21 also also RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 22 have have VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 23 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 24 impact impact NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 25 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 26 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 27 value value NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 28 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 29 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 30 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 31 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 32 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 33 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 34 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 35 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 36 regarded regard VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 37 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 38 future future JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 39 scope scope NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 40 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 41 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 42 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 238 43 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 2 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 3 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 4 globally globally RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 5 present present VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 6 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 7 significant significant JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 8 challenge challenge NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 9 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 10 modelers modeler NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 12 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 13 there there EX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 14 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 15 limited limited JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 16 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 17 available available JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 18 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 20 early early JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 21 growth growth NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 22 trajectory trajectory NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 23 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 24 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 25 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 26 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 27 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 28 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 29 novel novel JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 30 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 31 have have VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 32 not not RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 33 been be VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 34 fully fully RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 35 elucidated elucidate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 239 36 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 1 In in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 2 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 3 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 4 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 6 considered consider VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 7 two two CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 8 alarmingly alarmingly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 9 important important JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 10 problems problem NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 11 relevant relevant JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 12 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 13 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 14 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 240 16 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 2 first first JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 3 problem problem NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 4 deals deal VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 5 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 6 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 7 real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 8 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 9 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 10 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 11 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 12 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 13 daily daily JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 14 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 15 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 16 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 17 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 18 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 19 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 241 20 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 2 proposed propose VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 3 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 4 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 5 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 6 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 7 WBF WBF NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 8 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 9 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 10 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 11 explain explain VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 12 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 13 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 14 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 15 nonstationary nonstationary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 16 behavior behavior NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 17 present present JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 18 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 20 univariate univariate JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 21 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 22 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 23 datasets dataset NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 24 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 25 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 26 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 242 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 1 Ten ten CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 2 days day NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 3 ahead ahead RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 4 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 5 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 6 provided provide VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 7 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 8 Canada Canada NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 9 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 10 France France NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 12 India India NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 13 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 14 South South NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 15 Korea Korea NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 17 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 18 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 19 UK UK NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 243 20 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 2 proposed propose VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 3 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 4 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 5 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 6 used use VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 7 as as IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 8 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 9 early early JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 10 warning warning NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 11 system system NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 12 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 13 fight fight VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 14 against against IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 17 pandemic pandemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 244 18 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 1 Below below IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 3 present present VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 4 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 5 list list NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 6 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 7 suggestions suggestion NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 8 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 9 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 11 results result NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 12 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 14 real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 15 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 16 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 17 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 245 18 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 246 1 1 1 LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 246 2 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 1 Since since IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 3 presented present VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 4 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 5 real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 6 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 7 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 8 forecast forecast NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 9 system system NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 10 unlike unlike IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 11 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 12 ex ex JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 13 - - JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 14 post post JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 15 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 17 thus thus RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 18 one one PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 19 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 20 regularly regularly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 21 update update VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 23 actual actual NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 24 confirmed confirm VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 25 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 26 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 27 update update VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 28 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 29 predictions prediction NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 30 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 31 just just RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 32 like like IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 33 it -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 34 happens happen VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 35 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 36 weather weather NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 37 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 247 38 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 248 1 2 2 LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 248 2 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 2 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 3 mostly mostly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 4 show show VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 5 oscillating oscillating JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 6 behavior behavior NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 7 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 9 next next JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 10 10 10 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 11 days day NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 12 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 13 reflect reflect VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 14 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 15 impact impact NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 16 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 17 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 18 broad broad JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 19 spectrum spectrum NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 20 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 21 social social JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 22 distancing distance VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 23 measures measure NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 24 implemented implement VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 25 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 26 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 27 governments government NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 28 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 29 which which WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 30 likely likely RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 31 helped help VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 32 stabilize stabilize VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 33 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 34 epidemic epidemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 249 35 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 250 1 3 3 LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 250 2 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 2 short short JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 3 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 4 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 5 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 6 do do VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 7 n't not RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 8 necessarily necessarily RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 9 show show VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 10 any any DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 11 stiff stiff JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 12 decay decay NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 13 sooner soon RBR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 14 ; ; : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 15 also also RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 17 these these DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 18 five five CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 19 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 20 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 21 not not RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 22 going go VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 23 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 24 face face VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 25 any any DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 26 unlike unlike JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 27 uplifts uplift NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 28 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 29 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 30 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 31 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 32 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 33 too too RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 251 34 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 252 1 4 4 LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 252 2 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 1 Guided guide VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 2 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 4 short short JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 5 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 6 term term NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 7 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 8 reported report VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 9 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 10 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 11 paper paper NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 12 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 13 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 14 lockdown lockdown NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 15 period period NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 16 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 17 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 18 adjusted adjust VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 19 accordingly accordingly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 253 20 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 1 Secondly secondly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 2 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 4 assessed assess VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 5 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 6 risk risk NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 7 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 9 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 10 finding find VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 11 seven seven CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 12 key key JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 13 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 14 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 15 are be VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 16 expected expect VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 17 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 18 have have VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 19 powerful powerful JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 20 associations association NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 21 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 22 that that DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 23 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 24 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 25 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 26 rates rate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 254 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 1 This this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 2 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 3 done do VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 4 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 5 designing design VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 6 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 7 optimal optimal JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 8 regression regression NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 9 tree tree NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 10 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 12 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 13 simplified simplify VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 14 machine machine NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 15 learning learning NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 16 approach approach NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 255 17 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 2 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 3 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 4 very very RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 5 flexible flexible JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 6 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 7 easily easily RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 8 interpretable interpretable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 9 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 10 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 12 more more JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 13 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 14 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 15 come come VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 16 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 17 one one PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 18 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 19 just just RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 20 incorporate incorporate VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 21 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 22 new new JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 23 data data NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 24 sets set NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 25 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 26 rebuild rebuild VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 27 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 28 trees tree NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 29 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 30 get get VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 31 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 32 updated update VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 33 estimates estimate NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 256 34 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 1 RT RT NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 2 provides provide VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 3 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 4 better well JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 5 visual visual JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 6 representation representation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 7 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 8 is be VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 9 easily easily RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 10 interpretable interpretable JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 11 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 12 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 13 understood understand VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 14 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 15 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 16 broader broad JJR cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 17 audience audience NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 257 18 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 1 Quantification quantification NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 2 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 3 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 4 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 5 risks risk NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 6 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 7 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 8 dependencies dependency NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 9 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 11 key key JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 12 parameters parameter NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 13 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 14 support support VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 16 governments government NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 17 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 18 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 19 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 20 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 21 planning planning NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 22 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 23 health health NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 24 care care NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 25 systems system NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 26 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 27 different different JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 28 countries country NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 29 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 30 faced face VBD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 31 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 32 epidemic epidemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 258 33 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 1 Experimental experimental JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 2 results result NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 3 suggest suggest VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 4 four four CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 5 control control NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 6 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 7 out out IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 8 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 9 seven seven CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 10 highly highly RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 11 influential influential JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 12 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 13 that that WDT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 14 will will MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 15 have have VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 16 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 17 significant significant JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 18 impact impact NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 19 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 20 controlling control VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 21 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 259 22 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 1 Below below IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 3 present present VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 4 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 5 point point NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 6 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 7 point point NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 8 discussion discussion NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 9 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 10 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 11 control control NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 12 variables variable NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 13 affecting affect VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 14 CFR CFR NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 15 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 16 preventive preventive JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 17 actions action NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 18 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 19 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 20 taken take VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 21 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 22 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 23 governments government NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 260 24 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 261 1 1 1 LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 261 2 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 2 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 4 covid covid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 5 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 6 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 8 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 9 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 10 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 11 reduced reduce VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 12 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 13 enforcing enforce VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 14 social social JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 15 distancing distance VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 16 strategies strategy NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 262 17 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 263 1 2 2 LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 263 2 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 1 Number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 2 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 3 people people NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 4 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 5 age age NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 6 group group NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 7 > > XX cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 8 65 65 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 9 years year NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 10 should should MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 11 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 12 specially specially RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 13 taken take VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 14 care care NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 15 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 16 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 17 isolated isolate VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 264 18 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 265 1 3 3 LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 265 2 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 1 Lockdown lockdown NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 2 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 3 period period NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 4 can can MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 5 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 6 extended extend VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 7 if if IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 8 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 9 country country NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 10 faces face VBZ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 11 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 12 sharp sharp JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 13 increase increase NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 14 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 15 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 16 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 17 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 18 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 19 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 20 or or CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 21 deaths death NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 266 22 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 267 1 4 4 LS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 267 2 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 2 number number NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 4 hospital hospital NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 5 beds bed NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 6 should should MD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 7 be be VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 8 increased increase VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 9 by by IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 10 making make VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 11 special special JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 12 health health NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 13 care care NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 14 arrangements arrangement NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 15 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 16 other other JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 17 places place NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 18 to to TO cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 19 deal deal VB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 20 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 21 this this DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 22 emergency emergency NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 23 due due IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 24 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 268 26 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 1 Forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 2 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 3 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 4 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 5 with with IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 6 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 7 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 8 methodology methodology NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 9 Forecasting Forecasting NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 10 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 11 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 12 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 13 wavelets wavelets NNPS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 14 Wavelet Wavelet NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 15 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 16 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 17 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 18 multiscale multiscale JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 19 decomposition decomposition NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 20 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 21 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 22 electricity electricity NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 23 load load NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 24 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 25 Modeling modeling NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 26 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 27 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 28 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 30 spreading spreading NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 31 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 32 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 33 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 34 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 35 covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 36 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 37 beyond beyond IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 38 Risk Risk NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 39 assessment assessment NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 40 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 41 novel novel JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 42 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 43 covid-19 covid-19 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 44 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 45 outside outside IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 46 china china NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 47 Time Time NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 48 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 49 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 50 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 51 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 52 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 53 control control NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 54 Classification classification NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 55 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 56 regression regression NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 57 trees tree NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 58 Forecasting forecast VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 59 dengue dengue NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 60 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 61 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 62 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 63 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 269 64 methodology methodology NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 2 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 4 time time NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 5 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 6 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 7 an an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 8 introduction introduction NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 9 Analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 10 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 11 forecast forecast NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 12 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 13 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 14 spreading spreading NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 15 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 16 china china NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 17 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 18 italy italy NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 19 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 270 20 france france NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 1 A a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 2 wavelet wavelet JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 3 transfer transfer NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 4 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 5 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 6 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 7 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 8 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 9 Correcting correct VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 10 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 11 combining combine VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 12 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 13 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 14 forecasters forecaster NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 15 Clinical clinical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 16 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 17 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 18 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 19 disease disease NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 20 2019 2019 CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 21 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 271 22 china china NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 2 elements element NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 4 statistical statistical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 5 learning learning NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 6 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 7 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 8 mining mining NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 9 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 10 inference inference NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 11 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 12 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 13 prediction prediction NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 14 Forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 15 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 16 principles principle NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 17 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 18 practice practice NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 272 19 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 273 1 OTexts OTexts NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 1 An an DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 2 introduction introduction NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 3 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 4 statistical statistical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 5 learning learn VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 6 Real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 7 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 8 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 9 estimation estimation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 10 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 11 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 12 risk risk NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 13 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 14 death death NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 15 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 16 novel novel JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 17 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 19 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 21 infection infection NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 22 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 23 Inference inference NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 24 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 25 exported export VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 26 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 27 A a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 28 comparative comparative JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 29 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 30 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 31 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 32 arima arima NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 33 / / SYM cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 34 mlp mlp NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 35 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 36 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 37 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 38 stock stock NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 39 price price NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 40 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 41 Early early JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 42 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 43 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 44 transmission transmission NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 45 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 46 control control NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 47 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 48 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 49 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 50 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 51 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 52 modelling modelling NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 53 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 274 54 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 275 1 The the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 275 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 275 3 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 275 4 Diseases disease NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 1 Early early JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 2 transmission transmission NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 3 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 4 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 5 wuhan wuhan NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 6 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 7 china china NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 8 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 9 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 10 novel novel JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 11 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 12 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 13 infected infect VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 14 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 15 Serial serial JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 16 interval interval NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 17 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 18 novel novel JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 19 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 21 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 23 infections infection NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 276 24 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 277 1 International international JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 277 2 journal journal NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 277 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 277 4 infectious infectious JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 277 5 diseases disease NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 1 Comparative comparative JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 2 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 4 wavelet wavelet NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 5 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 6 arima arima JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 7 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 8 wavelet wavelet NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 9 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 10 ann ann NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 11 models model NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 12 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 13 temperature temperature NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 14 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 15 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 16 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 17 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 18 northeastern northeastern JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 19 bangladesh bangladesh NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 20 Ensembles Ensembles NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 21 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 22 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 23 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 24 forecasting forecast VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 25 A a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 26 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 27 arima arima NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 28 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 29 svm svm NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 30 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 31 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 32 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 33 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 34 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 35 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 36 remaining remain VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 37 useful useful JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 38 life life NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 39 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 40 aircraft aircraft NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 41 engines engine NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 42 Wavelet wavelet VBP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 43 methods method NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 44 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 45 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 46 series series NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 47 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 48 Forecasting forecast VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 49 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 50 novel novel JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 278 51 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 1 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 2 Real real JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 3 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 4 time time NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 5 forecasts forecast NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 6 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 7 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 8 covid-19 covid-19 JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 10 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 11 china china NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 12 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 13 february february NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 14 5th 5th NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 15 to to IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 16 february february NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 17 24th 24th NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 18 CM CM NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 19 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 20 MID MID NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 21 nCov nCov NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 22 working work VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 23 group group NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 24 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 25 et et NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 26 al al NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 279 27 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 1 Estimating estimate VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 2 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 3 infection infection NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 4 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 5 case case NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 6 fatality fatality NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 7 ratio ratio NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 8 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 9 covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 10 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 11 age age NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 12 - - HYPH cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 13 adjusted adjust VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 14 data datum NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 15 from from IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 16 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 17 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 18 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 19 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 20 diamond diamond NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 21 princess princess NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 22 cruise cruise NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 23 ship ship NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 280 24 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 281 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 281 2 Package Package NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 281 3 ' ' `` cord-258235-khdyxiwe 281 4 rpart rpart NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 281 5 ' ' '' cord-258235-khdyxiwe 281 6 . . . cord-258235-khdyxiwe 282 1 Available available JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 282 2 online online RB cord-258235-khdyxiwe 282 3 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 282 4 cran cran NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 1 A a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 2 novel novel JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 3 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 4 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 5 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 6 global global JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 7 health health NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 8 concern concern NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 9 No no DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 10 free free JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 11 lunch lunch NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 12 theorems theorem NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 13 for for IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 14 optimization optimization NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 15 Nowcasting Nowcasting NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 16 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 17 forecasting forecast VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 18 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 19 potential potential JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 20 domestic domestic JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 21 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 22 international international JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 23 spread spread NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 24 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 25 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 26 2019-ncov 2019-ncov CD cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 27 outbreak outbreak NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 28 originating originate VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 29 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 30 wuhan wuhan NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 31 , , , cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 32 china china NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 33 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 34 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 35 modelling modelling NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 36 study study NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 37 Time Time NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 38 series series NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 39 forecasting forecasting NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 40 using use VBG cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 41 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 42 hybrid hybrid JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 43 arima arima NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 44 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 45 neural neural JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 46 network network NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 283 47 model model NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 1 Preliminary preliminary JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 2 estimation estimation NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 3 of of IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 4 the the DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 5 novel novel JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 6 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 7 disease disease NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 9 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 11 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 12 in in IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 13 iran iran NNP cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 14 : : : cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 15 a a DT cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 16 modelling modelling NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 17 analysis analysis NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 18 based base VBN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 19 on on IN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 20 overseas overseas JJ cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 21 cases case NNS cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 22 and and CC cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 23 air air NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 24 travel travel NN cord-258235-khdyxiwe 284 25 data datum NNS