id sid tid token lemma pos cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 1 key key JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 2 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 3 cord-280975 cord-280975 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 4 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 5 9hgtvm6d 9hgtvm6d CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 6 authors author NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 7 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 8 Sarkar Sarkar NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 9 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 10 Kankan Kankan NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 11 ; ; : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 12 Khajanchi Khajanchi NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 13 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 14 Subhas Subhas NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 15 ; ; : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 16 Nieto Nieto NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 17 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 18 Juan Juan NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 19 J. J. NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 20 title title NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 21 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 22 Modeling modeling NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 23 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 24 forecasting forecast VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 25 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 26 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 27 pandemic pandemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 28 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 29 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 30 date date NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 31 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 32 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 33 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 34 06 06 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 35 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 36 28 28 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 37 journal journal NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 1 38 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 2 1 Chaos Chaos NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 2 2 Solitons Solitons NNPS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 2 3 Fractals Fractals NNPS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 2 4 DOI DOI NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 2 5 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 2 6 10.1016 10.1016 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 2 7 / / SYM cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 2 8 j.chaos.2020.110049 j.chaos.2020.110049 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 2 9 sha sha NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 2 10 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 3 1 f969705b11d4eb5ce20b56197a7f8854d448eaa0 f969705b11d4eb5ce20b56197a7f8854d448eaa0 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 3 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 3 3 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 3 4 280975 280975 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 3 5 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 3 6 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 3 7 9hgtvm6d 9hgtvm6d CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 1 In in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 2 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 3 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 4 1,00,340 1,00,340 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 5 confirmed confirm VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 6 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 7 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 8 3,155 3,155 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 9 confirmed confirm VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 10 deaths death NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 11 due due JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 12 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 14 were be VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 15 reported report VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 16 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 17 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 18 May May NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 19 18 18 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 20 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 21 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 4 22 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 1 Due due IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 2 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 3 absence absence NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 4 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 5 specific specific JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 6 vaccine vaccine NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 7 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 8 therapy therapy NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 9 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 10 non non JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 11 - - JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 12 pharmacological pharmacological JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 13 interventions intervention NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 14 including include VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 15 social social JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 16 distancing distancing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 17 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 18 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 19 tracing tracing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 20 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 21 essential essential JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 22 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 23 end end VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 24 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 25 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 26 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 5 27 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 2 propose propose VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 3 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 4 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 5 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 6 that that WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 7 predicts predict VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 10 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 11 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 12 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 13 17 17 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 14 provinces province NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 15 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 16 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 17 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 18 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 19 overall overall JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 20 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 6 21 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 1 A a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 2 complete complete JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 3 scenario scenario NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 4 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 5 given give VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 6 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 7 demonstrate demonstrate VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 9 estimated estimate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 11 life life NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 12 cycle cycle NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 13 along along IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 14 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 15 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 16 real real JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 17 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 18 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 19 history history NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 20 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 21 date date NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 22 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 23 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 24 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 25 turn turn NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 26 divulges divulge VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 27 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 28 predicted predict VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 29 inflection inflection NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 30 point point NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 31 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 32 ending ending NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 33 phase phase NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 34 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 35 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 36 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 37 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 7 38 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 2 proposed propose VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 3 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 4 monitors monitor VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 5 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 6 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 7 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 8 six six CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 9 compartments compartment NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 10 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 11 namely namely RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 12 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 14 S s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 16 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 17 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 19 A a NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 21 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 22 recovered recover VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 24 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 26 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 27 infected infect VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 29 I i NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 31 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 32 isolated isolate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 33 infected infect VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 35 I(q I(q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 38 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 39 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 40 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 42 S(q s(q NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 45 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 46 collectively collectively RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 47 expressed express VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 48 SARII(q)S(q sarii(q)s(q NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 8 50 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 1 A a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 2 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 3 analysis analysis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 4 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 5 conducted conduct VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 6 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 7 determine determine VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 9 robustness robustness NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 10 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 11 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 12 predictions prediction NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 13 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 14 parameter parameter VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 15 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 16 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 17 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 18 sensitive sensitive JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 19 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 20 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 21 estimated estimate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 22 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 23 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 24 real real JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 25 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 26 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 27 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 28 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 29 pandemic pandemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 30 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 31 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 9 32 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 2 results result NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 3 reveal reveal VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 4 that that IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 5 achieving achieve VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 6 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 7 reduction reduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 8 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 9 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 10 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 11 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 12 between between IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 13 uninfected uninfected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 14 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 15 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 16 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 17 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 18 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 19 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 20 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 21 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 22 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 23 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 24 effectively effectively RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 25 reduce reduce VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 26 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 27 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 28 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 29 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 10 30 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 2 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 3 simulations simulation NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 4 demonstrate demonstrate VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 5 that that IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 6 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 7 elimination elimination NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 8 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 9 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 10 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 11 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 12 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 14 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 15 possible possible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 16 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 17 combining combine VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 18 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 19 restrictive restrictive JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 20 social social JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 21 distancing distancing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 22 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 23 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 24 tracing tracing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 11 25 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 2 predictions prediction NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 3 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 4 based base VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 5 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 6 real real JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 7 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 8 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 9 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 10 assumptions assumption NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 11 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 12 whereas whereas IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 14 accurate accurate JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 15 course course NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 16 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 18 heavily heavily RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 19 depends depend VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 20 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 21 how how WRB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 22 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 23 when when WRB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 24 quarantine quarantine NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 25 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 26 isolation isolation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 27 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 28 precautionary precautionary JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 29 measures measure NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 30 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 31 enforced enforce VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 12 32 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 2 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 3 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 4 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 5 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 6 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 7 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 9 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 10 been be VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 11 announced announce VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 12 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 14 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 15 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 16 World World NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 17 Health Health NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 18 Organization Organization NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 20 WHO who WP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 22 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 23 March March NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 24 11 11 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 25 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 26 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 27 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 28 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 30 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 31 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 32 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 33 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 34 first first JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 35 phase phase NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 36 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 37 Govt Govt NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 38 . . NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 39 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 40 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 41 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 42 announced announce VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 43 21 21 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 44 days day NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 45 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 46 lockdown lockdown NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 47 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 48 March March NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 49 25 25 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 50 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 51 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 52 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 53 April April NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 54 14 14 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 55 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 56 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 57 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 58 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 59 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 60 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 61 second second JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 62 phase phase NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 63 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 64 lockdown lockdown NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 65 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 66 been be VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 67 extended extend VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 68 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 69 May May NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 70 03 03 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 71 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 72 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 73 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 74 prevent prevent VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 75 stage stage NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 76 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 77 III iii NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 78 spreading spreading NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 79 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 80 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 81 virus virus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 82 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 83 human human NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 84 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 85 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 86 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 87 human human JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 88 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 89 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 90 2 2 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 91 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 13 92 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 14 1 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 14 2 mitigate mitigate VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 14 3 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 14 4 unavoidable unavoidable JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 14 5 economic economic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 14 6 downturn downturn NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 14 7 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 1 Due due IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 2 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 3 absence absence NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 4 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 5 any any DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 6 specific specific JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 7 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 8 inter- inter- NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 9 35 35 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 10 ventions vention NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 11 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 12 government government NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 13 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 14 various various JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 15 countries country NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 16 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 17 imposing impose VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 18 different different JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 19 strategies strategy NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 20 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 21 prevent prevent VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 22 this this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 23 outbreak outbreak NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 24 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 25 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 26 lockdown lockdown NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 27 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 28 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 29 most most RBS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 30 common common JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 31 one one CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 15 32 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 1 As as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 2 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 3 examples example NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 4 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 5 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 6 measures measure NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 7 adopted adopt VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 8 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 9 this this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 10 time time NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 11 incorporated incorporate VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 12 social social JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 13 distancing distancing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 14 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 15 closing close VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 16 schools school NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 17 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 18 universities university NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 19 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 20 offices office NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 21 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 22 churches church NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 23 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 24 bars bar NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 25 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 26 avoid avoid VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 27 mass mass JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 28 gatherings gathering NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 29 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 30 other other JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 31 social social JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 32 places place NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 33 as as RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 34 well well RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 35 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 36 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 37 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 38 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 40 quarantine quarantine NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 41 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 42 surveillance surveillance NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 43 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 44 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 45 tracing tracing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 47 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 48 15 15 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 49 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 16 50 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 1 On on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 2 March March NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 3 19 19 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 4 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 5 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 6 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 7 Govt Govt NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 8 . . NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 9 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 10 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 11 suspended suspend VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 12 all all PDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 14 international international JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 15 flights flight NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 16 till till IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 17 March March NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 18 22 22 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 19 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 20 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 22 16 16 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 24 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 25 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 26 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 27 March March NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 28 23 23 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 29 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 30 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 17 31 40 40 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 18 1 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 18 2 union union NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 18 3 Govt Govt NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 18 4 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 1 also also RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 2 suspended suspend VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 3 all all PDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 4 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 5 domestic domestic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 6 flights flight NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 7 till till IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 8 March March NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 9 25 25 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 10 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 11 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 13 17 17 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 15 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 16 maintain maintain VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 17 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 18 social social JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 19 distancing distancing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 20 among among IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 21 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 22 people people NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 19 23 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 2 prime prime JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 3 minister minister NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 4 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 5 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 6 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 7 announced announce VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 8 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 9 14 14 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 10 hours hour NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 11 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 12 public public JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 13 curfew curfew NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 15 ' ' '' cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 16 Janata Janata NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 17 Curfew Curfew NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 18 ' ' '' cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 20 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 21 March March NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 22 22 22 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 23 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 24 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 25 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 26 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 27 precautionary precautionary JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 28 measure measure NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 29 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 30 combat combat VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 31 against against IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 32 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 20 33 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 21 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 21 2 Govt Govt NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 21 3 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 1 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 2 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 3 followed follow VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 5 up up RP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 6 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 7 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 8 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 9 March March NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 10 23 23 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 11 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 12 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 13 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 14 prevent prevent VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 15 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 16 emanating emanate VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 17 threat threat NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 18 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 19 75 75 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 20 districts district NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 21 across across IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 22 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 23 country country NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 24 including include VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 25 major major JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 26 cities city NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 27 where where WRB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 28 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 29 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 30 infection infection NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 31 was be VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 32 endemic endemic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 33 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 34 18 18 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 35 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 22 36 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 23 1 45 45 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 24 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 24 2 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 24 3 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 24 4 March March NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 24 5 24 24 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 24 6 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 24 7 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 25 1 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 25 2 Govt Govt NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 25 3 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 1 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 2 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 3 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 4 ordered order VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 5 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 6 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 8 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 9 21 21 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 10 days day NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 11 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 12 overwhelming overwhelm VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 14 entire entire JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 15 1.3 1.3 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 16 billion billion CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 17 public public NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 18 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 19 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 21 19 19 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 23 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 24 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 25 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 26 lockdown lockdown NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 27 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 28 been be VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 29 extended extend VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 30 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 31 May May NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 32 03 03 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 33 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 34 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 35 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 36 prevent prevent VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 37 stage stage NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 38 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 39 III iii NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 40 spreading spreading NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 41 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 42 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 43 virus virus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 44 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 45 human human NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 46 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 47 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 48 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 49 human human JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 50 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 51 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 52 20 20 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 53 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 26 54 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 1 Predictive predictive JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 2 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 3 models model NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 4 play play VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 5 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 6 key key JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 7 role role NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 8 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 9 understand understand VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 10 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 11 course course NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 12 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 15 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 16 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 17 designing design VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 18 strategies strategy NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 19 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 20 contain contain VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 21 quickly quickly RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 22 spreading spread VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 23 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 24 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 25 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 26 lack lack NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 27 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 28 any any DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 29 specific specific JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 30 antivirals antiviral NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 31 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 32 50 50 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 33 effective effective JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 34 vaccine vaccine NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 35 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 36 21 21 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 37 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 38 22 22 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 39 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 40 23 23 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 41 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 42 24 24 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 43 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 27 44 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 1 In in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 2 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 3 year year NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 4 1927 1927 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 5 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 6 Kermack Kermack NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 7 & & CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 8 McKendrick McKendrick NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 10 25 25 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 11 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 12 developed develop VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 13 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 14 fundamental fundamental JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 16 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 17 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 18 human human NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 19 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 20 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 21 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 22 human human JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 23 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 24 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 25 describe describe VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 26 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 27 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 28 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 29 populations population NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 30 through through IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 31 three three CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 32 mutually mutually RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 33 exclusive exclusive JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 34 phages phage NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 35 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 36 infection infection NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 37 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 38 namely namely RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 39 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 41 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 43 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 44 infected infect VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 45 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 46 I i NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 47 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 48 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 49 removed remove VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 50 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 51 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 53 classes class NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 28 54 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 1 Mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 2 modeling modeling NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 3 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 4 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 5 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 6 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 7 now now RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 8 ubiquitous ubiquitous JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 9 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 10 many many JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 11 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 12 them -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 13 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 14 precisely precisely RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 15 depict depict VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 17 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 18 spread spread NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 19 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 20 particular particular JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 21 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 29 22 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 1 Several several JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 2 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 3 models model NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 4 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 5 been be VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 6 developed develop VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 7 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 8 study study VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 9 55 55 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 10 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 11 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 12 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 13 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 14 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 30 16 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 1 A a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 2 Bats Bats NNPS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 3 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 4 Hosts Hosts NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 5 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 6 Reservoir Reservoir NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 7 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 8 People People NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 9 network network NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 10 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 11 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 12 been be VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 13 developed develop VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 14 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 15 Chen Chen NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 16 et et NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 17 al al NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 31 18 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 32 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 32 2 26 26 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 32 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 33 1 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 33 2 study study VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 33 3 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 33 4 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 33 5 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 33 6 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 33 7 novel novel JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 33 8 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 33 9 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 34 1 Lin Lin NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 34 2 et et NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 34 3 al al NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 34 4 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 2 27 27 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 4 extended extend VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 5 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 6 SEIR seir NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 8 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 9 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 10 exposed expose VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 11 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 12 infectious infectious RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 13 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 14 removed remove VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 16 compartment compartment NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 17 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 18 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 19 study study VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 20 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 21 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 22 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 23 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 24 incorporating incorporate VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 25 public public JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 26 perception perception NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 27 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 28 risk risk NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 29 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 30 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 31 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 32 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 33 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 34 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 35 35 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 36 1 Khajanchi Khajanchi NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 36 2 et et FW cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 36 3 al al NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 36 4 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 2 28 28 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 4 studied study VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 5 an an DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 6 extended extend VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 7 SEIR seir NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 8 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 9 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 10 study study VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 11 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 12 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 13 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 14 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 16 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 17 perform perform VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 18 60 60 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 19 Analysis analysis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 20 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 21 viral viral JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 22 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 23 using use VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 24 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 25 models model NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 26 have have VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 27 helped help VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 28 gain gain VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 29 insights insight NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 30 into into IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 31 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 32 understanding understanding NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 33 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 34 viral viral JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 35 infections infection NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 36 such such JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 37 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 38 tuberculosis tuberculosis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 39 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 40 dengue dengue NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 41 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 42 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 43 zika zika NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 44 virus virus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 45 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 46 32 32 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 47 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 48 33 33 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 49 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 50 34 34 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 51 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 52 35 35 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 53 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 54 36 36 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 55 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 37 56 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 1 Here here RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 2 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 4 developed develop VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 5 70 70 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 6 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 7 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 8 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 9 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 10 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 11 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 12 novel novel JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 13 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 14 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 15 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 16 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 17 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 19 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 20 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 21 that that WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 22 extends extend VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 23 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 24 standard standard JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 25 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 26 compartment compartment NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 27 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 28 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 29 alike alike RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 30 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 31 that that DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 32 studied study VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 33 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 34 Tang Tang NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 35 et et NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 36 al al NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 38 37 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 39 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 39 2 37 37 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 39 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 39 4 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 39 5 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 39 6 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 2 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 3 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 4 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 6 proposed propose VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 7 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 8 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 10 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 11 illustrated illustrate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 12 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 14 Figure figure NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 15 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 40 16 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 2 develop develop VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 3 here here RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 4 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 5 classical classical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 6 SEIR seir NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 8 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 9 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 10 exposed expose VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 11 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 12 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 13 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 14 recovered)-type recovered)-type NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 15 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 16 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 17 75 75 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 18 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 19 introducing introduce VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 20 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 21 tracing tracing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 22 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 23 other other JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 24 interventions intervention NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 25 such such JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 26 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 27 quarantine quarantine NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 28 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 29 lockdown lockdown NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 30 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 31 social social JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 32 distancing distancing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 33 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 34 isolation isolation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 35 that that WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 36 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 37 represent represent VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 38 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 39 overall overall JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 40 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 41 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 42 novel novel JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 43 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 44 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 45 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 46 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 47 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 48 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 49 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 41 51 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 2 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 3 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 4 named name VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 5 SARII SARII NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 6 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 7 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 8 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 9 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 10 monitors monitor VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 11 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 12 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 13 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 14 six six CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 15 compartments compartment NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 17 classes class NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 19 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 20 namely namely RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 21 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 22 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 24 S s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 27 uninfected uninfected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 29 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 30 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 31 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 32 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 34 S s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 35 q q NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 38 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 39 at at IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 40 home home NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 42 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 43 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 44 but but CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 45 not not RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 46 yet yet RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 47 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 48 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 49 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 50 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 51 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 52 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 53 A A NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 54 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 55 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 56 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 57 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 58 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 59 80 80 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 60 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 61 symptoms symptom NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 62 / / , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 63 clinically clinically RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 64 ill ill JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 65 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 66 I i NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 67 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 68 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 69 isolated isolate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 70 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 71 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 72 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 73 I I NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 74 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 75 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 76 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 77 infected infect VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 78 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 79 life life NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 80 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 81 threatening threaten VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 82 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 83 detected detected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 84 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 85 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 86 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 87 recovered recover VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 88 compartment compartment NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 89 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 90 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 91 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 92 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 93 no no DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 94 more more RBR cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 95 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 96 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 42 97 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 43 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 43 2 total total JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 43 3 size size NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 43 4 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 43 5 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 43 6 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 43 7 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 44 1 N n NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 44 2 = = SYM cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 44 3 S s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 45 1 + + CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 46 1 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 46 2 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 47 1 + + CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 48 1 A a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 49 1 + + CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 50 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 50 2 + + CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 51 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 52 1 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 52 2 + + CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 1 R. R. NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 2 Asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 3 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 4 have have VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 5 been be VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 6 exposed expose VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 7 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 9 virus virus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 10 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 11 but but CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 12 have have VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 13 not not RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 14 yet yet RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 15 developed develop VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 16 clinical clinical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 17 symptoms symptom NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 18 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 19 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 20 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 21 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 22 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 23 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 24 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 26 38 38 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 27 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 53 28 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 1 In in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 3 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 4 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 5 quarantine quarantine NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 6 describes describe VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 7 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 8 separation separation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 9 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 10 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 11 infected infect VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 12 populations population NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 13 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 14 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 15 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 16 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 17 before before IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 18 progression progression NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 19 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 20 85 85 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 21 clinical clinical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 22 symptoms symptom NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 23 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 24 whereas whereas IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 25 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 26 isolation isolation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 27 refers refer VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 28 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 29 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 30 dissociation dissociation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 31 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 32 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 33 infected infect VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 34 populations population NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 35 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 36 such such JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 37 clinical clinical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 38 symptoms symptom NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 54 39 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 2 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 3 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 4 change change NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 5 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 6 each each DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 7 compartments compartment NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 8 at at IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 9 any any DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 10 time time NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 11 t t NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 12 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 13 represented represent VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 14 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 15 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 16 following follow VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 17 system system NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 18 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 19 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 20 ordinary ordinary JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 21 differential differential JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 22 equations equation NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 23 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 24 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 25 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 26 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 27 supplemented supplement VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 28 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 29 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 30 following follow VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 31 non non JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 32 - - JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 33 negative negative JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 34 initial initial JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 35 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 36 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 37 Herein herein RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 38 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 39 t t NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 40 ≥ ≥ NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 41 t t NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 42 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 43 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 44 time time NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 45 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 46 days day NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 47 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 48 t t NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 49 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 50 indicates indicate VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 51 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 52 starting start VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 53 date date NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 54 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 55 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 56 system system NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 57 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 58 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 59 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 60 90 90 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 61 epidemic epidemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 55 62 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 1 In in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 3 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 4 construction construction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 5 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 6 β β NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 7 s s POS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 8 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 9 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 10 probability probability NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 11 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 12 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 13 per per IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 14 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 15 between between IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 16 an an DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 17 infective infective JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 18 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 19 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 20 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 21 class class NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 22 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 23 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 24 ε ε NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 25 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 26 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 27 denoted denote VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 28 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 29 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 30 daily daily JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 31 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 32 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 33 per per IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 34 unit unit NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 35 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 36 time time NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 56 37 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 1 Here here RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 2 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 3 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 4 β β NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 5 = = SYM cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 6 β β NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 7 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 8 ε ε NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 9 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 10 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 11 explicitly explicitly RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 12 associated associate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 13 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 14 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 15 measures measure NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 16 like like IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 17 lock lock NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 18 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 19 down down RP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 20 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 21 social social JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 22 distancing distancing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 23 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 24 shaking shake VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 25 hand hand NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 26 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 27 coughing cough VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 28 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 29 sneezing sneeze VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 30 etc etc FW cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 31 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 32 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 33 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 34 exactly exactly RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 35 decrease decrease VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 36 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 37 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 38 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 39 social social JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 40 contacts contact NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 57 41 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 1 By by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 2 enforcing enforce VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 3 con-95 con-95 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 4 tact tact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 5 tracing tracing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 6 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 7 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 8 proportion proportion NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 9 ρ ρ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 10 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 11 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 12 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 13 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 14 exposed expose VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 15 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 17 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 18 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 19 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 58 20 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 59 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 59 2 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 59 3 classes class NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 59 4 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 59 5 either either CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 59 6 move move VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 59 7 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 59 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 59 9 compartment compartment NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 1 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 2 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 3 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 4 I I NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 5 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 6 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 7 depending depend VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 8 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 9 whether whether IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 10 they -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 11 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 12 effectively effectively RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 13 infected infect VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 14 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 15 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 16 not not RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 17 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 18 whereas whereas IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 19 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 20 another another DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 21 proportion proportion NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 22 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 23 − − NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 24 ρ ρ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 25 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 26 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 27 consists consist VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 28 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 29 populations population NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 30 exposed expose VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 31 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 32 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 33 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 34 who who WP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 35 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 36 missed miss VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 37 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 38 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 39 tracing tracing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 40 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 41 move move VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 42 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 43 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 44 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 45 class class NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 46 I -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 48 once once RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 49 infected infect VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 51 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 52 remaining remain VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 53 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 54 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 55 class class NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 56 S s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 57 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 58 if if IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 59 uninfected uninfected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 60 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 60 61 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 1 Then then RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 2 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 3 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 4 classes class NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 5 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 6 if if IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 7 uninfected uninfected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 9 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 10 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 12 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 13 move move VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 14 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 15 100 100 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 61 17 class class NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 1 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 2 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 4 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 5 I I NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 6 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 8 at at IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 9 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 10 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 11 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 13 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 14 − − NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 15 β β NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 16 s s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 62 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 1 ρ ρ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 2 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 3 ε ε NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 4 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 6 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 7 β β NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 8 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 9 ρ ρ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 10 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 11 ε ε NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 12 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 63 14 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 1 Those those DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 2 who who WP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 3 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 4 not not RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 5 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 6 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 7 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 8 but but CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 9 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 10 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 11 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 12 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 13 will will MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 14 move move VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 15 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 17 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 18 compartment compartment NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 19 A a NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 20 at at IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 21 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 22 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 23 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 24 tined tined JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 25 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 26 class class NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 27 due due IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 28 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 29 fever fever NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 30 and/or and/or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 31 illness illness NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 32 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 33 like like JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 34 clinical clinical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 35 symptoms symptom NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 64 36 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 65 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 65 2 symbolize symbolize VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 65 3 ξ ξ VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 65 4 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 65 5 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 65 6 ξ ξ ADD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 1 i i PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 2 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 3 ξ ξ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 4 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 5 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 6 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 7 rates rate NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 8 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 9 recovery recovery NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 10 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 11 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 12 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 13 class class NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 14 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 15 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 16 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 17 clinically clinically RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 18 ill ill JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 19 patients patient NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 20 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 21 isolated isolate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 22 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 23 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 24 respectively respectively RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 66 25 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 2 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 3 introduces introduce VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 4 some some DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 5 demographic demographic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 6 effects effect NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 7 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 8 considering consider VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 9 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 10 proportional proportional JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 11 natural natural JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 12 decay decay NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 13 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 14 δ δ NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 15 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 16 each each DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 17 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 18 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 19 six six CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 20 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 21 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 22 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 23 Λ Λ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 24 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 25 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 26 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 27 constant constant JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 28 inflow inflow NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 29 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 30 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 31 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 67 32 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 1 Asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 2 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 3 develop develop VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 4 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 5 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 6 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 7 at at IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 9 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 10 γ γ NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 11 a a NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 12 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 13 so so CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 14 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 15 average average JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 16 time time NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 17 110 110 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 18 spent spend VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 19 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 20 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 21 asymptotic asymptotic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 68 22 class class NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 69 1 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 69 2 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 69 3 γa γa NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 69 4 per per IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 69 5 unit unit NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 69 6 time time NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 69 7 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 1 In in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 2 similar similar JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 3 fashion fashion NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 4 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 5 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 6 γi γi NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 7 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 9 mean mean JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 10 duration duration NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 11 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 12 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 13 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 70 14 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 2 ignore ignore VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 3 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 4 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 5 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 6 probability probability NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 7 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 8 transforming transform VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 9 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 10 again again RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 11 after after IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 12 having have VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 13 cured cure VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 15 recovered recover VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 17 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 18 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 19 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 20 infection infection NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 71 21 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 2 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 3 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 4 be be VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 5 noted note VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 6 that that IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 7 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 8 SARII SARII NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 9 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 10 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 11 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 12 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 13 did do VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 14 not not RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 15 take take VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 16 into into IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 17 account account NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 18 many many JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 19 important important JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 20 ingredients ingredient NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 21 that that WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 22 take take VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 23 part part NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 24 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 25 key key JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 26 role role NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 27 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 28 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 29 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 30 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 31 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 32 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 33 such such JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 34 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 35 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 36 influence influence NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 37 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 38 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 39 latency latency NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 40 period period NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 41 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 42 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 43 inhomogeneous inhomogeneous JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 44 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 45 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 46 network network NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 47 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 48 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 49 influence influence NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 50 115 115 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 51 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 52 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 53 measures measure NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 54 already already RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 55 considered consider VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 56 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 57 fight fight VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 58 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 59 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 60 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 61 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 62 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 63 features feature NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 64 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 65 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 66 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 67 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 68 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 69 example example NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 70 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 71 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 72 influence influence NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 73 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 74 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 75 stage stage NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 76 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 77 structure structure NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 78 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 79 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 80 who who WP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 81 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 82 already already RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 83 medically medically RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 84 unfit unfit JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 85 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 72 86 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 1 Some some DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 2 recent recent JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 3 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 4 models model NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 5 incorporate incorporate VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 6 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 7 such such JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 8 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 9 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 10 Ndairou Ndairou NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 11 et et FW cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 12 al al NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 73 13 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 74 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 74 2 39 39 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 74 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 75 1 but but CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 75 2 others other NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 75 3 do do VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 75 4 not not RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 75 5 include include VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 75 6 them -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 75 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 75 8 40 40 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 75 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 75 10 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 2 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 4 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 5 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 6 symbolized symbolize VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 7 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 8 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 9 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 10 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 11 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 12 ' ' `` cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 14 expected expect VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 15 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 16 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 17 secondary secondary JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 18 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 19 produced produce VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 20 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 21 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 22 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 23 completely completely RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 24 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 25 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 26 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 27 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 28 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 29 typical typical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 30 infective infective JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 31 individual individual NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 32 ' ' '' cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 33 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 34 41 41 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 35 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 36 42 42 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 37 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 76 38 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 2 dimensionless dimensionless JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 3 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 4 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 5 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 6 provides provide VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 7 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 8 threshold threshold NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 9 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 10 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 11 play play VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 12 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 13 crucial crucial JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 14 role role NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 15 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 16 determining determine VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 17 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 18 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 19 persists persist VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 20 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 21 dies die VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 22 out out RP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 23 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 24 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 25 individual individual NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 77 26 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 1 In in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 2 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 3 more more RBR cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 4 general general JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 5 way way NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 6 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 7 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 8 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 9 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 10 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 11 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 12 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 13 be be VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 14 stated state VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 15 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 17 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 18 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 19 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 20 infections infection NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 21 created create VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 22 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 23 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 24 typical typical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 25 infective infective JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 26 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 27 at at IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 28 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 29 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 30 free free JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 31 equilib-125 equilib-125 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 32 rium rium NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 78 33 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 1 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 2 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 3 < < XX cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 4 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 5 determines determine VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 6 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 7 average average PDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 8 an an DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 9 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 10 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 11 creates create VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 12 less less JJR cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 13 than than IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 14 one one CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 15 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 16 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 17 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 18 during during IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 19 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 20 course course NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 21 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 22 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 23 infective infective JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 24 period period NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 25 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 26 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 27 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 28 infection infection NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 29 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 30 die die VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 31 out out RP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 79 32 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 1 In in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 2 reverse reverse JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 3 way way NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 4 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 5 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 6 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 7 > > SYM cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 8 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 9 determines determine VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 10 each each DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 11 infected infect VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 12 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 13 creates create VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 14 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 15 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 16 average average JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 17 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 18 more more JJR cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 19 than than IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 20 one one CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 21 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 22 infection infection NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 23 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 24 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 25 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 26 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 27 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 28 spread spread VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 29 over over IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 30 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 31 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 80 32 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 2 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 4 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 5 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 6 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 7 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 8 be be VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 9 computed compute VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 10 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 11 using use VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 12 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 13 concept concept NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 14 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 15 next next JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 16 generation generation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 17 matrix matrix NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 19 41 41 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 20 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 21 42 42 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 81 23 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 1 In in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 2 order order NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 3 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 4 do do VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 5 this this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 6 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 8 consider consider VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 9 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 10 nonnegative nonnegative JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 11 matrix matrix NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 12 F F NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 13 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 14 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 15 130 130 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 16 non non JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 17 - - JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 18 singular singular JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 19 M m NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 20 −matrix −matrix NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 21 V V NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 22 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 23 expressing express VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 24 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 25 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 26 production production NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 27 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 28 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 29 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 30 infection infection NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 31 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 32 transition transition NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 33 part part NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 34 respectively respectively RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 35 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 36 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 37 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 38 system system NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 40 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 42 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 43 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 44 described describe VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 45 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 46 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 47 variational variational JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 48 matrix matrix NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 49 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 50 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 51 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 52 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 53 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 54 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 55 computed compute VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 56 at at IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 57 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 58 infection infection NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 59 free free JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 60 state state NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 61 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 62 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 63 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 64 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 65 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 66 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 67 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 82 68 = = NFP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 83 1 ρ(F ρ(F NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 83 2 V V NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 83 3 −1 −1 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 83 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 1 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 2 where where WRB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 3 ρ(F ρ(F NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 4 V V NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 5 −1 −1 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 7 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 9 spectral spectral JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 10 radius radius NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 11 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 12 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 13 135 135 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 14 next next JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 15 generation generation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 16 matrix matrix NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 17 F F NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 18 V V NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 19 −1 −1 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 84 20 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 1 Thus thus RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 2 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 3 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 4 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 5 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 6 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 7 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 9 system system NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 11 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 13 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 85 14 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 2 3 3 LS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 4 We -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 5 calibrated calibrate VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 7 SARII SARII NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 8 q q NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 9 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 10 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 11 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 12 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 14 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 15 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 16 daily daily JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 17 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 18 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 19 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 20 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 21 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 22 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 23 7 7 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 86 24 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 2 description description NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 3 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 4 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 5 SARII SARII NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 6 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 7 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 8 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 9 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 10 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 11 given give VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 12 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 13 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 14 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 15 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 16 list list NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 17 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 18 key key JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 19 estimated estimate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 20 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 21 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 22 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 23 specified specify VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 24 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 25 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 26 2 2 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 27 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 28 estimated estimate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 29 initial initial JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 30 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 31 size size NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 32 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 33 given give VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 34 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 35 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 36 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 37 3 3 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 87 38 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 1 By by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 2 calibrating calibrate VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 3 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 4 SARII SARII NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 5 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 6 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 7 q q NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 8 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 9 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 10 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 11 real real JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 12 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 13 up up IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 14 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 15 30 30 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 16 April April NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 17 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 18 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 20 make make VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 21 an an DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 22 attempt attempt NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 23 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 24 forecast forecast VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 25 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 26 evolution evolution NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 27 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 28 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 30 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 31 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 32 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 33 17 17 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 34 145 145 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 35 provinces province NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 36 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 37 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 88 38 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 1 In in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 2 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 3 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 4 exploration exploration NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 5 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 7 did do VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 8 not not RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 9 consider consider VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 10 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 11 demographic demographic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 12 effects effect NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 13 because because IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 14 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 15 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 16 short short JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 18 time time NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 19 scale scale NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 20 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 21 compare compare NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 22 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 23 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 24 demographic demographic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 25 time time NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 26 scale scale NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 27 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 28 that that RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 29 is is RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 30 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 31 Λ Λ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 32 s s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 89 33 = = NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 90 1 δ δ NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 90 2 = = SYM cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 90 3 0 0 NFP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 90 4 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 1 To to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 2 recognize recognize VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 3 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 4 most most RBS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 5 influential influential JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 7 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 8 respect respect NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 9 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 10 clinically clinically RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 11 ill ill RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 12 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 13 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 14 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 16 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 17 PRCC PRCC NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 18 results result NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 19 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 20 been be VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 21 shown show VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 22 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 23 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 24 Figure figure NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 25 2 2 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 26 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 27 six six CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 28 time time NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 29 points point NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 30 that that WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 31 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 32 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 33 highest high JJS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 34 positively positively RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 35 correlated correlate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 36 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 37 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 38 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 39 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 40 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 41 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 42 β β NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 43 s s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 44 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 45 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 46 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 47 ε ε NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 48 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 49 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 50 all all PDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 51 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 52 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 91 53 , , . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 1 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 2 probability probability NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 3 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 4 γ γ NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 5 a a NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 6 at at IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 7 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 9 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 10 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 11 develops develop VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 12 clinically clinically RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 13 symptoms symptom NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 14 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 15 highly highly RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 16 negatively negatively RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 17 correlated correlate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 18 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 19 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 20 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 21 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 22 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 23 ρ ρ NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 24 s s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 25 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 26 uninfected uninfected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 27 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 28 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 29 recovery recovery NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 30 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 31 ξ ξ VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 32 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 33 165 165 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 34 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 35 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 36 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 37 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 38 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 39 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 40 recovery recovery NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 41 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 42 ξ ξ VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 43 i i PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 44 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 45 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 46 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 47 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 48 accounts account VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 49 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 50 most most JJS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 51 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 52 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 53 respect respect NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 54 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 55 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 56 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 57 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 92 58 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 1 Thus thus RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 2 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 3 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 4 PRCC PRCC NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 5 analysis analysis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 6 yields yield VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 7 these these DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 8 six six CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 9 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 10 β β NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 11 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 12 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 13 ρ ρ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 14 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 15 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 16 ε ε NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 17 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 18 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 19 γ γ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 20 a a NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 21 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 22 ξ ξ VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 23 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 24 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 25 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 93 26 ξ ξ NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 94 1 i i PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 94 2 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 94 3 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 94 4 most most RBS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 94 5 influential influential JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 94 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 94 7 out out IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 94 8 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 94 9 9 9 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 94 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 94 11 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 2 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 4 estimated estimate VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 5 these these DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 6 six six CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 8 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 9 using use VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 10 least least JJS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 11 square square JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 12 method method NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 95 13 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 2 most most RBS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 3 important important JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 4 challenge challenge NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 5 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 6 any any DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 7 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 8 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 9 based base VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 10 study study NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 11 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 12 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 13 estimate estimate VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 14 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 15 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 16 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 17 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 18 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 19 initial initial JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 20 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 21 size size NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 96 22 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 2 solution solution NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 3 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 4 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 5 SARII SARII NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 6 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 7 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 8 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 9 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 10 system system NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 12 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 14 depends depend VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 15 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 16 both both CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 17 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 18 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 19 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 20 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 21 initial initial JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 22 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 23 size size NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 97 24 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 2 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 4 have have VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 5 been be VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 6 estimated estimate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 7 assuming assume VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 9 initial initial JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 10 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 11 size size NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 12 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 13 fitting fit VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 14 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 15 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 16 simulation simulation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 17 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 18 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 19 observed observe VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 20 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 21 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 98 22 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 2 assumed assumed JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 3 initial initial JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 4 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 5 sizes size NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 6 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 7 presented present VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 8 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 9 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 10 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 11 3 3 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 99 12 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 2 have have VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 3 estimated estimate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 4 six six CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 6 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 7 probability probability NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 8 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 9 175 175 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 10 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 11 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 13 β β NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 14 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 16 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 17 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 18 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 19 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 20 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 21 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 23 ρ ρ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 24 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 26 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 27 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 28 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 29 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 30 entire entire JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 31 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 33 s s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 35 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 36 probability probability NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 37 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 38 at at IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 39 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 40 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 41 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 42 develop develop VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 43 clinical clinical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 44 symptoms symptom NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 45 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 46 γ γ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 47 a a LS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 49 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 50 recovery recovery NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 51 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 52 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 53 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 54 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 55 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 56 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 57 ξ ξ VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 58 a a LS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 59 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 60 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 61 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 62 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 63 recovery recovery NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 64 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 65 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 66 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 67 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 68 ξ ξ NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 69 i i PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 70 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 71 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 72 these these DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 73 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 74 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 75 more more RBR cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 76 sensitive sensitive JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 77 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 78 PRCC PRCC NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 79 analysis analysis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 100 80 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 2 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 3 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 4 estimated estimate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 5 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 6 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 7 observed observed JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 8 daily daily JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 9 new new NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 11 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 12 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 13 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 14 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 15 viruses virus NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 101 16 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 1 Although although IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 2 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 4 have have VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 5 shown show VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 6 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 7 plot plot NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 8 validating validate VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 9 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 10 simulation simulation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 11 optimize optimize VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 12 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 13 error error NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 14 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 15 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 16 estimation estimation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 18 44 44 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 20 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 21 errors error NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 22 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 23 listed list VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 24 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 25 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 26 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 27 5 5 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 102 28 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 1 First first RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 3 have have VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 4 applied apply VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 5 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 6 five five CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 7 days day NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 8 moving move VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 9 average average JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 10 filter filter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 11 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 12 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 13 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 14 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 15 low low JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 16 pass pass NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 17 filter filter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 18 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 19 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 20 smooth smooth VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 21 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 22 random random JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 23 variation variation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 24 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 25 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 26 observed observed JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 27 daily daily JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 28 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 29 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 30 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 103 31 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 2 observed observed JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 3 daily daily JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 4 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 5 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 6 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 7 fitted fit VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 8 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 9 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 10 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 11 simulation simulation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 12 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 13 using use VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 14 least least JJS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 15 square square JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 16 method method NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 17 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 18 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 19 locally locally RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 20 minimizes minimize VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 21 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 22 sum sum NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 23 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 24 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 25 square square NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 26 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 27 errors error NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 104 28 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 2 square square NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 3 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 4 sum sum NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 5 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 6 185 185 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 7 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 8 error error NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 9 computed compute VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 10 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 11 Σ Σ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 12 n n NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 13 i=1 i=1 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 15 C(i c(i NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 17 − − NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 18 S(i s(i NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 21 2 2 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 22 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 23 where where WRB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 24 C(i c(i NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 26 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 27 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 28 observed observed JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 29 daily daily JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 30 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 31 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 32 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 33 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 34 i i NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 35 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 36 th th NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 37 day day NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 38 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 39 S(i S(i NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 41 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 42 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 43 SARII SARII NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 44 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 45 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 46 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 47 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 48 simulation simulation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 49 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 50 i i NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 51 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 52 th th NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 53 day day NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 54 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 55 n n NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 56 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 57 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 58 sample sample NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 59 size size NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 60 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 61 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 62 observed observed JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 63 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 105 64 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 2 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 3 been be VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 4 observed observe VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 5 that that IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 6 different different JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 7 set set NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 8 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 9 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 10 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 11 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 12 minimize minimize VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 14 sum sum NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 15 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 17 square square NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 18 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 19 errors error NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 20 between between IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 21 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 22 observed observed JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 23 daily daily JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 24 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 26 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 27 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 28 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 29 SARII SARII NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 30 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 31 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 32 q q NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 33 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 34 simulation simulation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 35 but but CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 36 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 37 have have VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 38 considered consider VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 39 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 40 set set NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 41 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 42 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 43 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 44 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 45 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 46 produce produce VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 47 realistic realistic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 48 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 49 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 106 50 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 107 1 Varying vary VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 107 2 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 107 3 random random JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 107 4 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 107 5 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 107 6 _SP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 1 Initially initially RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 3 have have VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 4 validated validate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 5 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 6 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 7 simulation simulation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 8 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 9 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 10 observed observe VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 11 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 12 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 108 13 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 2 sources source NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 3 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 4 duration duration NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 5 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 6 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 7 observed observed JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 8 data data NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 9 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 10 been be VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 11 presented present VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 12 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 13 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 14 7 7 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 109 15 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 1 Model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 2 simulated simulate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 3 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 4 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 5 first first JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 6 date date NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 7 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 8 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 9 infection infection NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 10 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 11 up up IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 12 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 13 30 30 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 14 April April NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 15 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 16 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 17 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 18 whole whole JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 19 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 20 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 21 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 22 seventeen seventeen CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 23 states state NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 24 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 25 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 110 26 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 2 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 3 simulation simulation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 4 fitted fit VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 5 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 6 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 7 observed observed JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 8 daily daily JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 9 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 11 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 12 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 13 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 14 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 15 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 111 16 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 2 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 3 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 4 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 5 taken take VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 6 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 7 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 8 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 9 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 10 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 11 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 12 2 2 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 13 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 14 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 15 initial initial JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 16 population population NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 17 size size NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 18 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 19 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 20 _SP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 21 205 205 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 22 3 3 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 112 23 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 1 To to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 2 describe describe VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 3 how how WRB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 4 best good JJS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 5 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 6 minimize minimize VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 7 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 8 impermanence impermanence NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 9 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 10 morbidity morbidity NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 11 due due IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 12 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 13 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 14 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 15 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 16 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 17 it -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 18 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 19 important important JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 20 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 21 see see VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 22 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 23 relative relative JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 24 significance significance NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 25 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 26 various various JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 27 ingredients ingredient NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 28 responsible responsible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 29 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 30 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 31 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 113 32 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 1 Transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 2 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 3 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 4 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 5 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 6 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 7 directly directly RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 8 related relate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 9 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 10 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 11 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 12 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 13 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 14 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 15 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 114 16 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 2 compute compute VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 3 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 4 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 5 indices index NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 6 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 7 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 8 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 9 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 10 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 12 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 14 SARII SARII NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 15 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 16 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 17 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 18 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 115 19 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 1 This this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 2 indices index NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 3 apprise apprise VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 4 us -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 5 how how WRB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 6 225 225 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 7 important important JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 8 each each DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 9 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 10 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 11 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 12 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 13 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 116 14 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 1 Sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 2 analysis analysis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 3 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 4 mainly mainly RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 5 used use VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 6 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 7 describe describe VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 9 robustness robustness NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 10 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 11 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 12 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 13 predictions prediction NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 14 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 15 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 16 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 17 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 18 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 19 there there EX cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 20 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 21 generally generally RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 22 errors error NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 23 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 24 collection collection NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 25 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 26 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 27 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 28 assumed assume VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 29 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 30 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 117 31 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 1 Sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 2 indices index NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 3 quantify quantify VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 4 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 5 relative relative JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 6 change change NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 7 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 8 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 9 state state NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 10 variable variable NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 11 when when WRB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 12 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 13 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 14 alters alter VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 118 15 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 2 normalized normalized JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 3 forward forward JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 4 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 5 index index NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 6 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 7 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 8 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 9 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 10 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 11 respect respect NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 12 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 14 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 15 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 16 coefficient coefficient NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 17 β β NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 18 s s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 19 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 20 be be VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 21 defined define VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 22 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 23 follows follow VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 24 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 25 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 26 demonstrates demonstrate VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 27 that that IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 28 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 29 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 30 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 31 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 32 increasing increase VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 33 function function NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 34 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 35 β β NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 36 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 119 37 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 1 This this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 2 implies imply VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 3 that that IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 4 probability probability NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 5 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 6 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 7 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 8 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 9 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 10 high high JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 11 influence influence NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 12 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 14 control control NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 15 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 16 management management NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 120 17 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 2 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 3 indices index NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 4 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 5 other other JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 7 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 8 given give VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 9 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 10 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 11 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 12 4 4 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 121 13 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 1 In in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 2 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 3 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 4 4 4 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 5 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 6 some some DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 7 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 9 indices index NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 10 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 11 positive positive JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 13 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 14 some some DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 15 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 16 negative negative JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 18 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 19 means mean VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 20 if if IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 21 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 22 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 23 increases increase VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 24 then then RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 25 increase increase VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 26 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 27 value value NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 28 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 29 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 30 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 32 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 33 if if IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 34 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 35 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 36 increases increase VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 37 then then RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 38 decrease decrease VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 39 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 40 value value NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 41 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 42 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 43 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 122 45 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 1 To to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 2 control control VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 3 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 4 outbreak outbreak NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 5 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 6 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 7 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 8 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 9 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 11 must must MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 12 select select VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 14 most most JJS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 15 235 235 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 16 sensitive sensitive JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 17 parameters parameter NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 18 who who WP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 19 have have VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 20 most most JJS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 21 influence influence NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 22 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 23 reduce reduce VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 24 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 25 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 123 26 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 1 As as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 2 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 3 example example NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 4 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 5 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 6 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 7 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 8 β β NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 9 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 10 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 11 an an DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 12 impact impact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 13 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 14 reducing reduce VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 15 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 17 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 18 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 19 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 20 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 21 easily easily RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 22 be be VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 23 observed observe VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 24 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 25 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 26 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 27 4 4 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 124 28 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 2 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 4 draw draw VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 5 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 6 contour contour NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 7 plots plot NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 8 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 9 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 10 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 11 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 12 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 13 Figure Figure NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 14 8 8 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 15 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 16 Figure figure NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 17 9 9 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 18 dependence dependence NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 19 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 20 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 21 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 22 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 23 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 24 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 25 probability probability NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 26 β β NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 27 s s NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 28 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 29 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 30 quarantine quarantine NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 31 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 32 ρ ρ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 33 s s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 125 34 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 1 Contour contour NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 2 plot plot NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 3 shows show VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 4 that that IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 5 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 6 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 7 higher high JJR cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 8 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 9 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 10 β β NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 11 s s VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 12 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 13 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 14 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 15 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 16 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 17 increases increase NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 18 significantly significantly RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 19 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 20 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 21 means mean VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 22 that that IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 23 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 24 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 25 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 26 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 27 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 28 will will MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 29 240 240 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 30 persist persist VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 31 among among IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 32 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 33 human human NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 34 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 35 spread spread VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 36 throughout throughout IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 37 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 38 community community NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 39 if if IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 40 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 41 public public NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 42 not not RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 43 take take VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 44 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 45 preventive preventive JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 46 measures measure NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 126 47 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 1 Thus thus RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 2 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 3 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 4 control control VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 5 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 6 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 7 must must MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 8 reduce reduce VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 9 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 10 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 11 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 12 coefficient coefficient NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 13 β β NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 14 s s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 15 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 16 increase increase VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 17 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 18 period period NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 19 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 20 quarantine quarantine NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 21 rate rate NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 22 ρ ρ NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 23 s s NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 127 24 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 1 Thus thus RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 2 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 4 may may MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 5 conclude conclude VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 6 that that DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 7 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 8 end end VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 9 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 11 outbreak outbreak NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 12 enhance enhance VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 14 quarantine quarantine NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 15 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 16 reduce reduce VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 17 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 18 probability probability NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 19 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 20 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 21 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 22 following follow VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 23 contact contact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 24 tracing tracing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 25 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 26 social social JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 27 distancing distancing NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 28 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 29 limit limit VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 30 or or CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 31 stop stop VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 32 theaters theater NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 33 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 34 cultural cultural JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 35 programme programme NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 36 etc etc FW cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 128 37 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 1 For for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 2 set set NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 3 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 4 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 5 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 6 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 7 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 8 Table table NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 9 1 1 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 10 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 11 estimated estimate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 12 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 13 245 245 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 14 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 15 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 17 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 18 2 2 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 19 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 20 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 21 plot plot VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 22 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 23 bar bar NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 24 diagram diagram NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 25 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 26 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 27 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 28 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 29 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 30 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 31 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 32 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 33 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 34 Figure figure NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 35 6 6 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 129 36 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 1 From from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 2 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 3 bar bar NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 4 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 5 diagram diagram NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 6 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 7 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 8 Figure Figure NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 9 6 6 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 10 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 12 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 13 be be VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 14 observed observe VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 15 that that IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 17 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 18 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 19 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 20 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 21 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 22 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 23 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 24 state state NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 25 Maharashtra Maharashtra NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 26 is be VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 27 too too RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 28 high high JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 29 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 30 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 31 indicates indicate VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 32 that that IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 33 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 34 substantial substantial JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 35 outbreak outbreak NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 36 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 37 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 38 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 39 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 40 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 41 state state NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 42 Maharashtra Maharashtra NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 130 43 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 131 1 will will MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 131 2 be be VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 131 3 more more RBR cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 131 4 accurate accurate JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 131 5 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 1 However however RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 2 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 3 this this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 4 prediction prediction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 5 gives give VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 6 us -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 7 an an DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 8 overview overview NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 9 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 10 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 12 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 13 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 14 will will MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 15 lead lead VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 16 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 17 decide decide VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 18 future future JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 19 planning planning NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 132 20 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 1 In in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 2 this this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 3 study study NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 4 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 6 fitted fit VBD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 7 SARII SARII NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 8 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 9 S S NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 10 q q NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 11 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 12 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 13 forecast forecast VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 14 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 16 trend trend NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 17 over over IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 18 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 19 period period NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 20 after after IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 21 30 30 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 22 April April NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 23 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 24 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 25 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 26 using use VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 27 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 28 observed observed JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 29 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 30 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 31 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 32 first first JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 33 day day NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 34 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 35 infection infection NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 36 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 37 30 30 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 133 38 _SP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 2 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 3 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 4 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 5 evolution evolution NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 6 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 8 become become VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 9 accessible accessible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 10 at at IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 11 an an DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 12 unparalleled unparalleled JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 13 pace pace NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 134 14 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 1 Howbeit howbeit RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 2 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 3 important important JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 4 questions question NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 5 still still RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 6 remain remain VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 7 undetermined undetermined JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 8 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 9 precise precise JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 10 answers answer NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 11 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 12 forecasting forecast VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 14 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 15 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 16 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 17 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 19 simply simply RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 20 can can MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 21 not not RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 22 be be VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 23 acquired acquire VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 24 at at IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 25 this this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 26 stage stage NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 135 27 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 2 emphasize emphasize VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 3 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 4 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 5 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 6 accessible accessible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 7 authentic authentic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 8 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 9 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 10 specially specially RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 11 concerning concern VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 12 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 14 accurate accurate JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 15 baseline baseline JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 16 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 17 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 18 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 19 individuals individual NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 20 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 21 which which WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 22 may may MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 23 guide guide VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 24 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 25 345 345 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 26 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 27 equivocal equivocal JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 28 outcomes outcome NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 29 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 30 inappropriate inappropriate JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 31 predictions prediction NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 32 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 33 orders order NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 34 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 35 size size NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 36 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 37 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 38 also also RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 39 identified identify VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 40 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 41 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 42 other other JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 43 researches research NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 44 [ [ -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 45 45 45 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 46 ] ] -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 136 47 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 137 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 137 2 hope hope VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 137 3 that that IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 137 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 137 5 predictions prediction NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 137 6 will will MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 137 7 be be VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 137 8 handy handy JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 137 9 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 137 10 Govt Govt NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 137 11 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 1 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 2 different different JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 3 companies company NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 4 as as RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 5 well well RB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 6 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 7 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 8 people people NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 9 towards towards IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 10 making make VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 11 resolutions resolution NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 12 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 13 considering consider VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 14 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 15 suitable suitable JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 16 actions action NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 17 that that WDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 18 contain contain VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 19 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 20 spreading spreading NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 21 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 22 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 23 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 24 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 25 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 26 possible possible JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 27 stage stage NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 28 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 138 29 _SP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 1 All all PDT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 2 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 3 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 4 used use VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 5 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 6 this this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 7 work work NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 8 has have VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 9 been be VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 10 obtained obtain VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 11 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 12 official official JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 13 sources source NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 139 14 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 1 All all DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 2 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 3 supporting support VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 4 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 5 findings finding NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 6 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 7 this this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 8 study study NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 9 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 10 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 11 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 12 paper paper NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 13 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 14 available available JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 15 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 17 corresponding correspond VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 18 author author NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 19 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 20 request request NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 140 21 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 1 Observed observe VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 2 data data NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 3 points point NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 4 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 5 displayed display VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 6 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 7 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 8 red red JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 9 dot dot NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 10 histogram histogram NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 11 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 12 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 13 blue blue JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 14 curve curve NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 15 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 17 best good JJS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 18 fitting fitting JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 19 curve curve NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 20 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 21 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 22 SARIIqSq SARIIqSq NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 23 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 141 24 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 2 first first JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 3 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 4 third third JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 5 rows row NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 6 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 7 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 8 daily daily JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 9 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 10 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 11 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 12 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 13 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 14 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 15 whereas whereas IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 17 second second JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 18 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 19 fourth fourth JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 20 rows row NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 21 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 22 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 23 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 24 confirmed confirm VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 25 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 26 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 27 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 142 28 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 3 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 4 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 5 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 6 listed list VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 7 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 9 Table table NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 10 _SP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 11 2 2 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 143 12 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 2 initial initial JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 3 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 4 used use VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 5 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 6 this this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 7 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 8 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 9 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 10 presented present VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 11 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 12 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 13 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 14 3 3 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 144 15 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 1 Observed observe VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 2 data data NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 3 points point NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 4 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 5 shown show VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 6 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 7 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 8 red red JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 9 dot dot NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 10 histogram histogram NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 11 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 12 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 13 blue blue JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 14 curve curve NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 15 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 17 best good JJS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 18 fitting fitting JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 19 curve curve NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 20 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 21 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 22 SARIIqSq SARIIqSq NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 23 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 145 24 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 2 first first JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 3 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 4 third third JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 5 rows row NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 6 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 7 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 8 daily daily JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 9 new new JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 10 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 11 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 12 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 13 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 14 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 15 whereas whereas IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 16 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 17 second second JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 18 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 19 fourth fourth JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 20 rows row NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 21 represents represent VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 22 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 23 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 24 confirmed confirm VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 25 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 26 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 27 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 146 28 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 3 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 4 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 5 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 6 listed list VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 7 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 9 Table table NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 10 _SP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 11 2 2 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 147 12 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 2 initial initial JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 3 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 4 used use VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 5 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 6 this this DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 7 parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 8 values value NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 9 are be VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 10 presented present VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 11 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 12 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 13 Table Table NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 14 3 3 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 148 15 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 149 1 Table table NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 149 2 7 7 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 149 3 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 150 1 Data data NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 150 2 duration duration NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 150 3 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 150 4 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 150 5 sources source NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 150 6 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 2 first first JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 3 column column NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 4 list list NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 5 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 6 name name NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 7 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 8 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 9 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 10 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 11 provinces province NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 12 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 14 second second JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 15 column column NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 16 list list NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 17 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 18 source source NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 19 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 20 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 21 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 22 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 23 third third JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 24 column column NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 25 list list VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 26 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 27 duration duration NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 28 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 29 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 30 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 31 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 32 fourth fourth JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 33 column column NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 34 list list NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 35 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 36 web web NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 37 address address NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 38 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 39 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 40 data datum NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 41 sources source NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 42 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 151 43 _SP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 1 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 2 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 4 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 6 outbreak outbreak NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 7 situation situation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 8 Situation Situation NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 9 Report Report NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 10 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 11 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 12 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 152 13 2019 2019 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 1 A a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 2 375 375 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 3 novel novel NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 4 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 5 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 6 patients patient NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 7 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 8 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 9 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 10 china china NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 11 Characteristics Characteristics NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 12 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 13 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 14 important important JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 15 lessons lesson NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 16 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 17 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 18 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 19 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 20 2019 2019 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 22 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 24 outbreak outbreak NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 25 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 26 China China NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 27 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 28 summary summary NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 29 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 30 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 31 report report NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 32 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 33 72,314 72,314 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 34 cases case NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 35 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 36 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 37 Chinese chinese JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 38 center center NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 39 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 40 disease disease NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 41 control control NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 42 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 43 prevention prevention NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 44 New New NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 45 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 46 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 47 like like JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 48 virus virus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 49 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 50 China China NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 51 triggers trigger VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 153 52 alarm alarm NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 1 How how WRB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 2 will will MD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 3 country country NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 4 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 5 based base VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 6 385 385 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 7 mitigation mitigation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 8 measures measure NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 9 influence influence VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 10 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 11 course course NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 12 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 13 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 14 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 16 Preliminary preliminary JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 17 estimation estimation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 18 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 19 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 20 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 21 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 22 number number NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 23 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 24 novel novel JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 25 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 26 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 154 27 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 1 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 2 data data NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 3 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 4 driven drive VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 5 analysis analysis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 6 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 7 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 8 early early JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 9 phase phase NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 10 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 11 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 155 12 outbreak outbreak NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 1 SARS SARS NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 2 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 3 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 4 viral viral JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 5 load load NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 6 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 7 upper upper JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 8 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 9 specimens specimen NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 10 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 11 infected infected JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 12 patients patient NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 13 Impact Impact NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 14 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 15 non non JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 16 - - JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 17 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 18 interventions intervention NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 20 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 22 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 23 reduce reduce VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 24 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 25 mortality mortality NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 26 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 27 healthcare healthcare NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 28 demand demand NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 29 Suspension Suspension NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 30 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 31 international international JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 32 flight flight NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 33 Millions Millions NNPS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 34 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 35 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 36 under under IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 37 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 38 lockdown lockdown NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 39 as as IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 40 major major JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 41 cities city NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 42 restrict restrict VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 43 daily daily JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 156 44 life life NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 1 What what WP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 2 It -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 3 Looks look VBZ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 4 Like like IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 5 When when WRB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 6 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 7 's 's POS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 8 1.3 1.3 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 9 Billion billion CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 10 People People NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 11 Stay stay VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 12 Home Home NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 13 Extension Extension NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 14 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 15 lockdown lockdown NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 16 till till IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 17 3 3 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 18 Infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 19 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 20 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 21 humans human NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 22 Mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 23 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 24 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 25 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 26 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 27 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 28 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 29 building building NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 30 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 31 analysis analysis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 32 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 157 33 interpretation interpretation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 158 1 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 158 2 mathematics mathematic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 158 3 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 158 4 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 158 5 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 159 1 A a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 159 2 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 159 3 Model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 159 4 to to TO cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 159 5 Elucidate elucidate VB cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 159 6 Brain Brain NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 159 7 Tumor tumor NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 160 1 Abro-415 abro-415 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 160 2 gation gation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 160 3 by by IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 160 4 Immunotherapy Immunotherapy NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 160 5 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 160 6 T11 T11 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 160 7 Target Target NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 160 8 Structure Structure NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 161 1 A a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 161 2 contribution contribution NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 161 3 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 161 4 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 161 5 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 161 6 theory theory NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 161 7 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 161 8 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 1 A a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 2 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 3 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 4 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 5 simulating simulate VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 6 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 7 phase phase NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 8 - - HYPH cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 9 based base VBN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 10 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 11 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 12 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 13 novel novel JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 162 14 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 1 He -PRON- PRP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 2 A a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 3 conceptual conceptual JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 4 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 5 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 6 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 7 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 8 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 9 2019 2019 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 13 outbreak outbreak NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 14 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 15 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 16 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 17 China China NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 18 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 19 individual individual JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 20 reaction reaction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 21 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 22 governmental governmental JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 23 action action NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 24 Dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 25 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 26 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 27 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 28 pandemic pandemic NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 29 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 30 India India NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 163 31 . . . cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 164 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 164 2 2020 2020 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 164 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 1 Modeling model VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 2 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 3 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 4 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 5 novel novel JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 6 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 8 2019-nCov 2019-ncov CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 10 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 11 fractional fractional JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 12 derivative derivative JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 13 Estimating estimate VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 14 clinical clinical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 15 severity severity NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 16 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 17 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 18 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 19 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 20 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 21 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 22 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 23 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 24 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 25 China China NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 26 Early early JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 27 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 28 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 29 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 30 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 31 control control NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 32 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 33 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 165 34 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 1 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 2 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 3 modelling modelling NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 4 study study NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 5 The the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 6 impact impact NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 7 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 8 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 9 media medium NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 10 awareness awareness NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 11 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 12 optimal optimal JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 13 strategy strategy NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 14 on on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 15 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 16 prevalence prevalence NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 17 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 18 tuberculosis tuberculosis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 19 Fatmawati Fatmawati NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 20 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 21 Parameter parameter NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 22 estimation estimation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 23 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 24 fractional fractional JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 25 derivatives derivative NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 26 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 27 dengue dengue NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 28 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 29 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 30 A a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 31 dynamical dynamical JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 32 model model NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 33 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 34 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 35 carrier carrier NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 36 zika zika NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 37 virus virus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 38 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 39 optimal optimal JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 40 control control NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 41 strategies strategy NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 42 Dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 43 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 44 tuberculosis tuberculosis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 45 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 46 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 47 exogenous exogenous JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 48 reinfec-440 reinfec-440 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 49 tions tion NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 50 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 51 endogenous endogenous JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 52 reactivations reactivation NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 53 Modeling Modeling NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 54 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 55 analysis analysis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 56 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 57 Tuberculosis Tuberculosis NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 58 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 59 TB TB NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 60 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 61 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 62 Khyber Khyber NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 63 Pakhtunkhwa Pakhtunkhwa NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 64 Estimation Estimation NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 65 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 66 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 67 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 68 risk risk NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 69 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 70 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 71 2019-ncov 2019-ncov CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 72 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 73 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 74 implication implication NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 75 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 76 public public JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 77 health health NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 78 interventions intervention NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 79 Modelling model VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 80 strategies strategy NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 81 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 82 controlling control VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 83 sars sars NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 84 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 85 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 86 modeling modeling NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 87 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 88 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 89 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 90 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 91 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 92 a a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 93 case case NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 94 study study NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 95 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 96 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 97 Analysis Analysis NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 98 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 99 forecast forecast NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 100 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 101 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 102 spreading spreading NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 103 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 104 China China NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 105 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 106 Italy Italy NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 107 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 108 France France NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 109 On on IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 110 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 111 definition definition NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 112 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 113 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 114 computation computation NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 115 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 116 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 117 basic basic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 118 reproduction reproduction NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 119 ratio ratio NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 120 R r NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 121 0 0 CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 122 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 123 models model NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 124 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 125 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 126 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 127 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 128 heterogeneous heterogeneous JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 129 populations population NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 130 Reproduction Reproduction NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 131 numbers number NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 132 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 133 subthreshold subthreshold VBP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 134 endemic endemic JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 135 equilibria equilibrium NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 136 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 137 compartmental compartmental JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 138 models model NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 139 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 140 disease disease NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 141 transmission transmission NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 142 A a DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 143 methodology methodology NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 144 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 145 performing perform VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 146 global global JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 147 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 148 and and CC cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 149 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 150 analysis analysis NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 151 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 152 systems system NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 153 biology biology NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 154 Avoidable avoidable JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 155 errors error NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 156 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 157 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 158 modelling modelling NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 159 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 160 out-460 out-460 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 161 breaks break NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 162 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 163 emerging emerge VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 164 pathogens pathogen NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 165 , , , cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 166 with with IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 167 special special JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 168 reference reference NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 169 to to IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 170 Ebola Ebola NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 171 2019-novel 2019-novel CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 172 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 173 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 174 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 175 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 176 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 177 estimating estimate VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 178 the the DT cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 179 case case NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 180 fatality fatality NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 181 ratea ratea JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 182 word word NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 183 of of IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 184 caution caution NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 185 Campus campus NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 186 quarantine quarantine NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 187 ( ( -LRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 188 Fengxiao Fengxiao NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 189 ) ) -RRB- cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 190 for for IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 191 curbing curb VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 192 emer-465 emer-465 JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 193 gent gent NN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 194 infectious infectious JJ cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 195 diseases disease NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 166 196 : : : cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 167 1 Lessons lesson NNS cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 167 2 from from IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 167 3 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 167 4 A A NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 167 5 / / SYM cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 167 6 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 167 7 in in IN cord-280975-9hgtvm6d 167 8 Xi'an Xi'an NNP