id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-331497-mipg4mg7	McQuaid, C. Finn	The potential impact of COVID-19-related disruption on tuberculosis burden	2020-06-08		.txt	text/plain	1530	75	50	We used a mathematical model of TB with an age-specific contact matrix calibrated to data from China, India and South Africa, [9] key high TB burden countries accounting for approximately 40% of global TB cases, [1] to estimate the relative impact of reductions in social contacts and health services due to COVID-19 on TB burden. In our worst case scenario, where COVID-19 interventions to reduce social contacts are minimal, but TB health services are badly affected, results suggest an increase in TB deaths of 23,516 (range 18,560-27,940), 149,448 (85,000-233,602) and 28,631 (19,963-40,011) in China, India and South Africa, respectively between 2020-2024, totalling 201,595 (123,523-301,553) additional TB deaths in these three countries alone. However, if these countries are able to minimise the impact on TB health service delivery, major reductions in social contacts could keep the number of additional TB deaths comparatively low. The potential impact of the COVID-19 response on tuberculosis in high-burden countries: a modelling analysis	./cache/cord-331497-mipg4mg7.txt	./txt/cord-331497-mipg4mg7.txt