key: cord-344423-jhdfscyw authors: Lian, Xinbo; Huang, Jianping; Huang, Rujin; Liu, Chuwei; Wang, Lina; Zhang, Tinghan title: Impact of city lockdown on the air quality of COVID-19-hit of Wuhan city date: 2020-06-30 journal: Sci Total Environ DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140556 sha: doc_id: 344423 cord_uid: jhdfscyw Abstract A series of strict lockdown measures were implemented in the areas of China worst affected by coronavirus disease 19, including Wuhan, to prevent the disease spreading. The lockdown had a substantial environmental impact, because traffic pollution and industrial emissions are important factors affecting air quality and public health in the region. After the lockdown, the average monthly air quality index (AQI) in Wuhan was 59.7, which is 33.9% lower than that before the lockdown (January 23, 2020) and 47.5% lower than that during the corresponding period (113.6) from 2015 to 2019. Compared with the conditions before the lockdown, fine particulate matter (PM2.5) decreased by 36.9% and remained the main pollutant. Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) showed the largest decrease of approximately 53.3%, and ozone (O3) increased by 116.6%. The proportions of fixed-source emissions and transported external-source emissions in this area increased. After the lockdown, O3 pollution was highly negatively correlated with the NO2 concentration, and the radiation increase caused by the PM2.5 reduction was not the main reason for the increase in O3. This indicates that the generation of secondary pollutants is influenced by multiple factors and is not only governed by emission reduction. J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f Recently, a new type of coronavirus has caused mass viral pneumonia , thus posing a major threat to international health . At present, the epidemic constitutes a public health emergency of international concern (WHO, 2020). Since the middle of December 2019, a number of family clustering outbreaks and transmission from patients to health-care workers have occurred, which shows that human-to-human transmission has happened through close contact . Most countries have imposed city lockdown and quarantine measures to reduce transmission to control the epidemic. The Chinese Health Authorities have made considerable efforts, including the positive detection of cases and retrospective investigation of patient clusters. Public risk communication activities have been performed to improve public awareness of self-protection (Hui, 2020) . The Chinese government has gradually implemented a strict lockdown on wuhan and surrounding cities as of January 23. Some processing and light industries have been shut down, and the catering and entertainment industries have temporarily closed, and flights, trains and public transport have been suspended . In addition to reducing the spread of the disease, the lockdown measures may also have additional health benefits. After the lockdown of city traffic, personnel flow control became the most important aspect. Traffic pollution produces nitrogen monoxide (NO), carbon monoxide (CO), carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), diesel-exhaust particles, and ozone (O 3 ), nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ), secondary aerosols formed through physical and chemical processes, and pollutants that arise from brake wear, tire wear and re-suspended particles (e.g., trace metals) J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 4 (Beckerman, 2008 , Guo, 2020 . There was a notable association between traffic-related air pollution and premature mortality, and the risk of respiratory and cardiovascular diseases increased in residents living close to high-traffic pollution areas (Brugge, 2007 , Im, 2019 . Reducing the emissions from motor vehicles, especially trucks and buses, could produce considerable health benefits (Kheirbek, 2016) . A survey of hospital visits in Busan city before and after the Asian Games shows that the traffic flow control over 14 consecutive days is associated with a significant decline in the hospitalization rate of children with asthma (Lee, 2007) . In addition, the reduction in industrial activities after the lockdown also imposes certain environmental and health effects. For example, oil shale mining and power generation processes discharge excessive sulphur dioxide (SO 2 ), particulate matter (PM 10 ) and nitrogen oxides (NO x ), as well as various other industrial pollutants, such as benzene and phenol, and trace elements (Saurabh, 2016) .The spatial lag model with fixed effects demonstrates that industrial air pollution causes an increase in medical expenses (Zeng, 2019) . Compared to nonindustrial areas, the residents of industrial areas more frequently reported wheezing, chest tightness, shortness of breath, hypertension, heart diseases, etc (Orru, 2018) . Wuhan is the transportation and trade center of Central China, a megacity and national central city of China, with a well-developed transportation system and a large number of motor vehicles. Due to the lack of central heating and chemical industry, in addition to the emissions from coal-fired enterprises such as power plants and the pollution transported from surrounding rural biomass burning activities, vehicle emissions are responsible for the most important pollution source affecting the air quality and public health in Wuhan (Daoru Liu, J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 5 2020). Wang et al. found that regional traffic has a significant impact on the formation of haze in Wuhan, and the main potential pollution sources are located in the north and south of Wuhan (Si Wang, 2017) . Liao et al. found that the increase in secondary organics (NH 4 ) 2 SO 4 and NH 4 NO 3 caused by vehicle exhaust and coal burning as well as the increased environmental moisture absorption were the main causes of pollution in Wuhan (Liao Weijie, 2020). In this report, we studied the change in air quality one month before and after the lockdown in Wuhan and compared it to that during corresponding periods. We analyzed the real-time concentrations of the six air pollutants monitored by the State Control Station, including fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ), PM 10 , SO 2 , NO 2 , CO, and O 3 , and compared the effects of the lockdown on the concentrations of the different pollutants. We studied the changes in PM 2.5 , NO 2 , and O 3 in Hubei Province one month before and after the closure of major cities severely affected by the epidemic and to further analyze the impact of human activities and the lockdown on atmospheric pollutant concentrations. The daily AQI data of Wuhan, from 1 January 2016 to 31 February 2020, were provided by the Wuhan Ecology and Environment Bureau (http://hbj.wh.gov.cn/). The ground observation daily data of Hubei province were provided by the China National Environmental Monitoring Centre (http://www.cnemc.cn/). Considering the retention of air pollutants, the data from 24 January 2020, to 23 February 2020, are selected as the representative data after J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 6 the lockdown, and the data from 24 December 2019, to 23 January 2020, are selected as the representative data before the lockdown. The historical data for the sake of comparison during the same period is from 24 January to 23 February, 2015-2020, which includes the yearly Chinese Spring Festival holiday. All monitoring instruments of the Wuhan air quality automatic monitoring system operate automatically 24 h a day. The monitoring items are PM 2.5 , PM 10 , SO 2 , NO 2 , CO and O 3 . The automatic monitoring of PM 2.5 and PM 10 adopts the micro-oscillating balance method and the β-absorption method, respectively (ambient air quality standards, GB 3095-2012), and their measuring instruments are a tapered element oscillating microbalance (TEOM) (Rupprecht & Patashnick Co, USA) and a BAM 1020 (Met One Instrument, USA), respectively. SO 2 , NO 2 , CO and O 3 were measured by instruments of TEI-43i, TEI-42i, TEI-48i and TEI-49i (Thermo Fisher Scientific, USA), respectively. The experimental methods are as follows the ultraviolet fluorescence method (SO 2 ), the chemiluminescence method (NO 2 ), the nondispersion infrared absorption method and gas filter correlation infrared absorption method (CO), and the UV-spectrophotometry (O 3 ). The average air quality index (AQI) is a dimensionless index, which is calculated according to the Chinese ambient air quality standard (G B3095-2012) and includes six pollutants in the calculation, i.e., SO 2 , NO 2 , PM 10 , PM 2.5 , O 3 and CO. The subindex of each pollutant is first calculated according to the fractional concentration and is labeled IAQI P . In equation (1), IAQIp is the air quality subindex of pollutant P; C P is the mass concentration of pollutant P; BP Hi is the upper limit value of the pollutant concentration close (1) J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 7 to C P in Table 1 ; BP Lo is the lower limit value of the pollutant concentration close to C P in Table 1 ; IAQI Hi is the air quality subindex corresponding to BP Hi in Table 1 ; and IAQI Lo is the air quality subindex corresponding to BP Lo in Table 1 . When the AQI is higher than 50, the pollutants with the highest air quality subindex are the primary pollutants. If there are two or more pollutants with the highest air quality subindex, they are listed as the primary pollutants. In addition, the pollutants with an IAQI higher than 100 are overstandard pollutants. A high AQI indicates that serious and concentrated air pollution will not only affect the outdoor activities of humans but also damage their health. The main administrative regions of Wuhan are relatively concentrated and the population difference is notable, the population density decreases from the central regions to the peripheral regions ( Fig. 1a) . After the lockdown, the AQI in the different administrative regions in Wuhan decreased, of which the air quality at Wujiashan station and Qiaokou Gutian station exhibited the most notable improvement (decreasing 37.4% and 37.3%, respectively), while Xinzhou district station attained the smallest decrease of 15.5%. The results show that the AQI improvement rate increased with the increase in population density ( Fig. 1b) . The average AQI improvement rate in districts with a population density of less than 5,000 was 25.7%, whereas that in areas with a population density of more than 20,000 was 34.9%. This difference was due to the frequent traffic congestion in populated areas J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 8 before the blockade, leading to additional emissions of exhaust gas. The wear and tear of roads, tires, and brakes caused by congestion are also sources of particulate matter (Han, 2019) . Furthermore, the high density of buildings reduces the wind speed and the diffusion of air pollution . After lockdown, of the nine state-controlled monitoring sites (excluding the background station), Hanyang Yuehu Station had the lowest AQI (54.1) because the site is far from the city's main roads and industrial areas. Qingshan Ganghua Station had the highest AQI (73.2) because it is close to Wuhan iron and steel Corporation. Studies have shown that the contribution rate of PM 2.5 from steel industry pollution sources in Wuhan in winter is second only to traffic sources, up to 30.8% (Huang, 2019) . Therefore, the high AQI of the site during the implementation of government intervention measures may be mainly influenced by heavy industry sources. 3.2. A comparison of the AQI from 2020 with that in 2015-2019 for the same period and before the control. We selected the period December 24, 2019 to January 23, 2020 as the period before the lockdown, and compared this period with the historical corresponding periods of January 24 to February 23 from 2015 to 2019. After the lockdown, the average AQI in Wuhan was 59.7, a decrease of 47.5% compared to that during the corresponding period from 2015-2019 (Fig. 2a ). Compared with before the lockdown, the average AQI decreased by 33.9%, and the differences among monitoring sites also decreased significantly (Fig. 2b) . The rate of days J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 9 with an AQI <100 was 96.8%, of which 41.9% had an AQI < 50, without moderately and severely polluted days. Compared with the corresponding periods, the rate of good days (AQI < 100) increased by 37.4%, which means that during the lockdown, the air quality in Wuhan had no significant effect on human health, and only some pollutants may have had a weak impact on the health of a small number of unusually sensitive people. Among the 18 pollution days, PM 2.5 was the primary pollutant on 16 days (88.9%), PM 10 and O 3 were the primary pollutants on 1 day (5.6%). On the lightly polluted day (February 5), PM 2.5 and PM 10 both increased considerably. Therefore, after the lockdown, the most important influencing factor of the AQI is PM 2.5 in Wuhan. The proportion of days with an IAQI PM2.5 < 100 increased substantially, with three stations reaching 100%. This is due to reductions in vehicle emissions and the closure of some industrial plants during government controls, which caused black carbon, organic components, sulphate particulate matter and important precursors such as SO 2 , NO x and hydrocarbons (CH x ) to be reduced to some extent (Richmond-Bryant, 2009 ), (Daellenbach, 2016) . After the lockdown, the rise of O 3 led to the first polluted day in winter in Wuhan with O 3 as the major pollutant since 2015. There were no days with NO 2 as the main pollutant during the control, which was a significant improvement compared with the historical period from 2015 -2019 and before the control period. 3.3. The evolution of the pollutant concentration during the lockdown. Compared with the average concentration during the historical 2019 period and before the lockdown, the PM 10 , PM 2.5 , SO 2 , NO 2 , and CO concentrations all decreased to some extent, whereas the O 3 concentration increased greatly during the lockdown (Fig. 3) . The spatial differences in the pollutant concentrations were small. Due to the reduction in fugitive dust caused by the reduction in vehicles and the stoppage of construction after the lockdown, PM 10 decreased by 40.2% compared to before the lockdown. The monthly average PM 2.5 /PM 10 ratio was 0.9, so PM 2.5 was the main particle pollutant that decreased by 36.86% (Aldabe, 2011) . NO 2 exhibited the most notable improvement, with an average concentration reduction of approximately 53.3%, due to NO 2 is highly correlated with traffic pollution. According to the transportation index data, the decrease in national traffic volume was estimated to be 70% during the lockdown (Xin .O 3 is an important secondary pollutant in warm months but is generally less important in winter. Compared with the conditions before the control measures, the O 3 concentration increased by approximately 116.6%. This may be related to the change in the primary pollutant concentration and meteorological conditions. In addition, O 3 lasts longer in cold weather, which may contribute to its accumulation . The smaller decrease in SO 2 of only 3.9% may be related to the increase in domestic heating and cooking during the lockdown period. Compared with the summer of 2019, the SO 2 concentration only increased by approximately 0.6 μg/m 3 . This shows that the SO 2 emissions in Wuhan mainly come from power plant emissions and industrial and domestic coal combustion, and the correlations with traffic and heating were low. CO is a product of domestic combustion and power generation. The average CO J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 11 concentration was 0.9 mg/m 3 (down 22.7%), and the decrease in CO varied greatly among different sites, from 3.2% to 34.5%. 3.4. The diurnal variation in the PM 2.5 , NO 2 and O 3 concentrations. The average daily variation data for 1 month before and after the blockade were selected to analyze PM 2.5 , NO 2 , and O 3 . Because PM 2.5 comes from complex sources and the generation of secondary aerosols is affected by a variety of factors, the average daily variation range of PM 2.5 is small and highly discrete. The daily variation trend in PM 2.5 after the lockdown was similar to that before, although the range of variation increased and a significant decrease occurred at 18:00, which was attributed to the vertical expansion of the boundary layer and the vertical diffusion of pollutants during the day. (Shi, 2020) (Fig. 4a) . The concentration of NO 2 prior to the lockdown showed a peak in the morning and during evening traffic hours (8-11 a.m. and 6-9 p.m., respectively). However, during the lockdown, NO 2 did not exhibit peaks associated with morning rush hours, further indicating that traffic was not a major source of NO 2 during this period (Fig. 4b) . Before the lockdown, the diurnal peaks in O 3 occurred at 7:00 and from 15:00. After the lockdown, the range of the daily variation increased considerably. Only the peak from 15:00 was retained and some deviation occurred. In contrast to the control before the lockdown, O 3 showed a downward trend from 00:00 to 10:00, which may be related to the decrease in NO 2 in the peak morning period. When O 3 reached its maximum value, NO 2 and PM 2.5 decreased to the minimum values. This was probably due to the photolysis consumption of NO 2 and the attenuation of solar radiation J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 12 caused by the reduction of PM 2.5 accelerating the formation of O 3 . (Ma, 2019) (Fig. 4c) . In the actual atmosphere, the O 3 concentration is also affected by meteorological elements and important precursors such as volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and CO. When the VOC concentration and NO x ratio are unbalanced, this will also affect the steady-state cycle (Chung, 1996) . In the atmosphere, [NO 2 ]/[SO 2 ] is often adopted to indicate the change in the contribution rates of mobile and fixed emission sources. Studies have reported that the SO 2 emissions from motor vehicles in northern China is far lower than the NOx emissions, and the emission ratio of [NO 2 ]/[SO 2 ] from motor vehicles ranged from 24 to 119 (Fiedler et al., 2009 ). Both NO x and SO 2 are discharged from stationary sources, with relatively more SO 2 . The ratio of [NO 2 ]/[SO 2 ] from stationary sources ranged from 0.2 to 0.8 (Fiedler et al., 2009) . After the lockdown, [NO 2 ]/[SO 2 ] decreased significantly (P < 0.01), and the contribution rate of fixed sources increased (factories, power plants, chimneys and boilers, etc.), while the contribution rate of mobile sources decreased, which was consistent with the reduction in vehicle emissions (Fig. 5a) can be adopted to roughly evaluate the impact and contribution of local pollutant discharge and external pollutant transportation on the pollution process, with higher ratios indicating higher local contributions (Tang, 2015) . After the lockdown, [CO]/[SO 2 ] decreased significantly (P < 0.01) in Wuhan, which indicated that the contribution rate of local emissions decreased, and the air pollution in local areas was affected by surrounding or remote sources (Fig. 5b) . The transport pathways in Wuhan were identified to be the northwest, east and south pathways (with relative contribution rates of 40%, 17% and 43%, respectively), and the major potential source regions were western Henan, northern Shanxi and southwestern Shanxi (Huang, 2019) . 3.6. The air quality improvement in Hubei Province during the lockdown period. As shown in Fig. 6 , 12 cities in Hubei Province were selected for analysis. After the lockdown, the average monthly PM 2.5 concentration in each city ranged from 31.2 μg/m 3 (Xianning) to 64.6 μg/m 3 (Xiangyang). According to the Chinese Ambient Air Quality Standards (CAAQS) (GB3095-2012), the average monthly IAQI PM2.5 in Xianning City was 44, thus reaching good level, and the average monthly IAQI PM2.5 values in the other 11 cities were moderate. The reason for the high PM 2.5 concentration in Xiangyang may be that the area has a large population, and the area of cultivated land ranks first in Hubei Province, which generates more agricultural pollution (ammonia-nitrogen fertilizers) (Wu, 2016) . The improvement rate of NO 2 is substantially higher than other pollutants, with an average concentration range of 8.1 μg/m 3 (Xianning) -21.4 μg/m 3 (Wuhan) after the lockdown. The J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 14 average concentration range of O 3 was 73.0 μg/m 3 (Xianning) -88.2 μg/m 3 (Jingmen), which was much higher than that before the lockdown, and it did not exceed the air quality standards in terms of potentially harming human health. The improvement rates of the AQI and PM 2.5 are lowest, 23.7% and 28.6%, respectively, when the population density ranged from 400-800 person/km 2 . The population density of Wuhan reached 1,304.6 person/km 2 , and the improvement rate was significantly higher than that in the other cities except Yichang and Xianning. The transportation industry in Yichang and Xianning is relatively well developed, and the passenger traffic volume was larger than 50 million in 2018 in Xianning (Statistics., 2020). The restrictions on vehicles during the control period may be the main reasons for the high improvement rate of PM 2.5 in the two regions. (Khalil, 1988) . After the lockdown, the decline in CO was far lower than 50%, and there was no clear trend of daily CO change, which shows that after the lockdown, the CO emissions from industrial boiler fuel and domestic coal combustion in the Wuhan area J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 15 account for a large proportion. The main source of gaseous SO 2 is the combustion of sulfur-containing fuels (oil, coal and diesel) . After the control period, the SO 2 improvement was not distinct. On the one hand, many coal-fired industries were not shut down, mainly due to the effectiveness of pollution control in recent years. Compared to 2015, the SO 2 concentration decreased 20.5 μg/m 3 , which is due to the upgrading of key industrial industries (power and steel), especially the role of the ultralow emissions of electric power generation, elimination of small and medium-sized coal-fired boilers, conversion of rural heating from coal to gas and electricity and other policies in recent years. The drop in PM 2.5 and PM 10 after the lockdown was not as major as expected, which may be related to a number of factors. First, after the lockdown, the most intensive control concerned traffic, and traffic pollution is not the most important source of PM 2.5 in Wuhan (Zong, 2020) . Second, since the implementation of the national policy on smog governance, the fine particulate emissions in China have been effectively controlled, especially in areas where central heating is generally not provided, such as central and southern China . Since 2013, the national average annual concentration of PM 2.5 has dropped substantially, and the number of heavily polluted days has decreased drastically, especially in autumn and winter (Ministry, 2020b). Third, due to the epidemic control period and the return of migrant workers, the proportion of bulk coal heating users has increased, which may also have mitigated some of the reductions in PM 2.5 , NO x and SO 2 due to the decreased vehicle emissions (Ministry, 2020a) . Recently studies have shown that the formation of secondary particles significantly enhanced during the lockdown (Xin Huang, 2020). In the J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 16 early stage, Wuhan coal combustion was the main source of NO x (41.0% ± 13.7%), and motor vehicle emissions were the second main source (21.8%) from 2013 to 2014 (Zong, 2020) . After the implementation of emission standards of coal-fired power plants, multiple technical improvements such as SCR, SNCR, etc, greatly decreased the NO 2 emissions from coal-fired sources, which further led to the most notable improvement in NO 2 after the traffic control due to the increasing of the proportion of NO 2 traffic source emissions. At present, O 3 pollution has occurred in most parts of China in summer and tends to be a complex type of air pollution (PM 2.5 pollution in winter and O 3 pollution in summer). This study shows that the O 3 concentration may also become a major pollutant in winter, requiring further analysis of the reasons for its rise to avoid more serious O 3 pollution in winter. After the lockdown, the NO x control effect is very distinct; however, the effectiveness of the VOC control measures needs to be further studied. A change in NO x to VOC ratio may also lead to an increase in O 3 generation (Owoade, 2015) . The transformation and connection between pollutants in terms of the quality and quantity are very complicated. Although NO x is one of the precursors of O 3 , NO x reduction has a negative effect on the O 3 concentration. Therefore, the generation of secondary pollutants is affected by multiple factors, and its governance is not only related to emission reductions. Meteorological elements play significant roles in air pollution formation, transport, deposition and transformation. The relatively low relative humidity and wind speed in winter are conducive to the generation and resuspension of dust, and the height of the boundary layer is low, while precipitation is low, which is conducive to the accumulation of secondary J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f sulfate and nitrate (Miao, 2018) . In Wuhan, the formation of O 3 at the urban site is controlled by VOC s , while the formation of O 3 at the urban site is controlled by VOC s and NO . VOC s is greatly affected by pollution sources, photochemical reaction processes and regional transportation . A recent study by Wang et al suggested that meteorological conditions in most Chinese cities caused an increase in pollutants that outweighed the positive impact of emission reductions during COVID-19 outbreak, but for Wuhan, unfavorable meteorology had less effect compared with emission changes . However, the reason for the increase in O 3 needs to be combined with meteorological conditions of photochemical production for further research. Our results show that the air quality in Hubei province and Wuhan improved significantly during the COVID-19 lockdown, with concentrations of all six standard pollutants, except O 3 , dropping to some extent with the largest decrease in NO 2 . The significant increase in the O 3 concentration may be related to the changes in NO 2 , VOC s , and PM 2.5 , and the reaction mechanism should be studied further in combination with meteorological elements and the photochemical mechanism. Air pollution is a complex problem linked to multiple factors. The reduction in pollutant discharge will improve air quality, but it may also bring new problems. The generation mechanism of secondary pollutants should be investigated to provide a more comprehensive scientific basis for formulating pollution prevention and control policies. Dr. Jianping Huang(hjp@lzu.edu.cn)and Dr. Rujin Huang are co-corresponding author. 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All of the authors contributed to the data analysis,