id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-325001-5zd6fydo Sinkala, M. The COVID-19 Pandemic in Africa: Predictions using the SIR Model Indicate the Cases are Falling 2020-06-03 .txt text/plain 1964 128 59 title: The COVID-19 Pandemic in Africa: Predictions using the SIR Model Indicate the Cases are Falling To predict the spread of COVID-19 in Africa and within each country on the continent, we applied a Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered mathematical model. Here, our results show that, overall, Africa is currently (May 29, 2020) at the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, after which we predict the number of cases would begin to fall in June 2020. Overall, at the end of this pandemic, we predict that approximately 279,000 (about 154,000 future cases) individuals in Africa would have been infected with the COVID-19 virus. Here, we use the SIR model to predict the spread of the COVID-19 positive cases on the African continent as a whole and in 45 different countries on the continent. Supplementary File 1: Predict cases of COVID-19 using the SIR model for each day across each country in Africa. ./cache/cord-325001-5zd6fydo.txt ./txt/cord-325001-5zd6fydo.txt