id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-245047-d81cf3ms	Gupta, Sourendu	Epidemic parameters for COVID-19 in several regions of India	2020-05-18		.txt	text/plain	5029	295	65	Bayesian analysis of publicly available time series of cases and fatalities in different geographical regions of India during April 2020 is reported. One point about the quality test that is developed here is that absolute numbers are not as important for it as the check that fatalities and identified cases are independently tracing the same rate of growth of the epidemic. Conversely, the regions which lie above the diagonal (namely Indore, Mumbai, and Pune, and, possibly, Chennai) could be seeing an increased growth in infections, not yet visible in fatalities because of the same time lag. Counts of known cases and fatalities of COVID-19 from five cities (Ahmedabad, Chennai, Delhi, Indore, and Mumbai), one district (Pune), and three states (Gujarat, Kerala and West Bengal) was investigated in this work. Since fatalities track cases with a delay of 17.8 days on the average, the early part of this data could track the growth in the time before the lock-down.	./cache/cord-245047-d81cf3ms.txt	./txt/cord-245047-d81cf3ms.txt