id sid tid token lemma pos cord-352635-yrq58n4k 1 1 key key NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 1 2 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 1 cord-352635-yrq58n4k cord-352635-yrq58n4k NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 2 authors author NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 3 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 4 Teles Teles NNPS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 5 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 6 Pedro Pedro NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 7 title title NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 8 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 9 PREDICTING predict VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 10 THE the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 11 EVOLUTION evolution NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 12 OF of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 14 IN in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 15 PORTUGAL PORTUGAL NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 16 USING use VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 17 AN an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 18 ADAPTED adapt VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 19 SIR SIR NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 20 MODEL model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 21 PREVIOUSLY PREVIOUSLY VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 22 USED use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 23 IN in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 24 SOUTH SOUTH NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 25 KOREA KOREA NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 26 FOR for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 27 THE the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 28 MERS MERS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 29 OUTBREAK outbreak NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 2 30 date date NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 3 1 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 3 2 2020 2020 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 3 3 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 3 4 03 03 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 3 5 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 3 6 20 20 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 3 7 journal journal NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 3 8 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 4 1 nan nan NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 4 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 4 3 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 4 4 10.1101/2020.03.18.20038612 10.1101/2020.03.18.20038612 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 5 1 sha sha NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 5 2 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 5 3 77c9efeead1c9a877c5ce0192f00188537de235a 77c9efeead1c9a877c5ce0192f00188537de235a CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 5 4 doc_id doc_id CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 5 5 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 5 6 352635 352635 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 5 7 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 5 8 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 5 9 yrq58n4k yrq58n4k NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 1 Since since IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 2 original original JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 3 reports report NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 4 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 5 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 6 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 7 China China NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 8 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 9 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 10 new new JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 11 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 12 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 13 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 14 spread spread VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 15 very very RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 16 quickly quickly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 17 worldwide worldwide RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 18 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 19 leading lead VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 20 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 21 World World NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 22 Health Health NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 23 Organization Organization NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 25 WHO who WP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 27 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 28 declare declare VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 29 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 30 state state NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 31 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 32 pandemic pandemic NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 6 33 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 2 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 3 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 6 13th 13th NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 7 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 8 March March NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 9 2020 2020 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 10 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 11 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 12 WHO who WP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 13 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 14 announced announce VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 15 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 17 European european JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 18 continent continent NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 19 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 20 now now RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 21 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 22 main main JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 23 centre centre NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 24 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 25 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 26 pandemic pandemic NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 7 27 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 1 Many many JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 2 European european JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 3 governments government NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 4 have have VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 5 already already RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 6 implemented implement VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 7 harsh harsh JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 8 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 9 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 10 attempt attempt VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 11 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 12 contain contain VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 13 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 14 spread spread NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 15 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 17 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 8 18 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 2 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 3 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 4 there there EX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 5 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 6 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 7 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 8 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 9 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 10 20th 20th NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 11 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 12 March March NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 13 2020 2020 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 14 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 15 1020 1020 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 16 confirmed confirm VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 17 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 9 18 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 1 One one CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 2 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 3 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 4 questions question NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 5 many many JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 6 policy policy NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 7 makers maker NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 8 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 9 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 10 governments government NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 11 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 12 asking ask VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 13 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 14 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 15 how how WRB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 17 spread spread NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 18 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 19 going go VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 20 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 21 evolve evolve VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 22 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 23 time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 10 24 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 1 A a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 2 timely timely JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 3 idea idea NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 6 amount amount NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 7 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 8 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 9 that that WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 10 will will MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 11 exist exist VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 12 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 13 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 14 near near JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 15 future future NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 16 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 17 allow allow VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 18 governments government NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 19 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 20 policy policy NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 21 makers maker NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 22 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 23 act act VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 24 accordingly accordingly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 11 25 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 2 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 3 study study NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 4 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 6 applied apply VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 7 an an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 8 adapted adapt VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 9 SIR SIR NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 10 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 11 previously previously RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 12 used use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 13 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 14 South South NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 15 Korea Korea NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 16 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 17 model model VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 18 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 19 MERS MERS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 20 outbreak outbreak NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 21 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 22 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 23 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 24 also also RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 25 caused cause VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 26 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 27 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 28 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 29 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 30 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 31 estimate estimate VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 32 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 33 evolution evolution NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 34 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 35 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 36 curve curve NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 37 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 38 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 39 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 40 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 41 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 42 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 43 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 44 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 45 Portuguese portuguese JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 46 situation situation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 12 47 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 1 As as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 2 some some DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 3 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 6 were be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 7 unknown unknown JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 8 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 9 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 10 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 11 data datum NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 12 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 13 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 14 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 15 still still RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 16 scarce scarce JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 17 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 18 given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 19 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 20 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 21 outbreak outbreak NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 22 started start VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 23 later later RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 25 first first JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 26 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 27 on on IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 28 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 29 2nd 2nd NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 30 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 31 March March NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 33 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 34 used use VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 35 Italian italian JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 36 data datum NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 38 first first RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 39 reported report VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 40 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 41 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 42 Italy Italy NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 43 on on IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 44 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 45 31st 31st NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 46 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 47 January January NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 49 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 50 predict predict VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 51 them -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 13 52 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 2 then then RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 3 construct construct VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 4 two two CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 5 or or CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 6 three three CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 7 different different JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 8 scenarios scenario NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 9 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 10 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 11 evolution evolution NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 12 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 13 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 14 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 15 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 16 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 17 considering consider VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 18 both both CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 19 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 20 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 21 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 22 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 23 mitigation mitigation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 24 measurements measurement NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 25 implemented implement VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 26 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 27 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 28 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 29 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 30 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 31 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 32 self self NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 33 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 34 protective protective JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 35 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 36 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 37 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 38 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 39 population population NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 40 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 41 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 42 explained explain VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 43 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 44 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 45 South south JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 46 Korean korean JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 47 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 14 48 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 3 out out NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 5 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 6 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 7 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 8 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 9 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 10 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 11 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 12 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 13 could could MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 14 reach reach VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 15 as as RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 16 much much JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 17 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 18 ~40,000 ~40,000 NFP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 19 people people NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 20 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 21 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 22 beginning beginning NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 23 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 24 April April NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 15 25 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 1 If if IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 2 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 3 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 4 appropriately appropriately RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 5 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 6 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 7 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 8 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 9 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 10 reduced reduce VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 11 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 12 about about RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 13 800 800 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 14 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 16 15 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 2 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 3 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 4 some some DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 5 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 6 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 7 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 8 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 9 but but CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 10 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 11 implementation implementation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 12 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 13 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 14 done do VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 15 appropriately appropriately RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 16 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 17 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 18 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 19 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 20 could could MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 21 reach reach VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 22 circa circa RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 23 7,000 7,000 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 24 people people NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 17 25 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 2 actual actual JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 3 figures figure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 4 probably probably RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 5 lie lie VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 6 between between IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 7 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 8 interval interval NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 10 ~800 ~800 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 11 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 12 7,000 7,000 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 14 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 15 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 16 peak peak NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 17 will will MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 18 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 19 reached reach VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 20 between between IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 21 9th 9th NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 22 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 23 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 24 20nd 20nd NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 25 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 26 April April NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 27 2020 2020 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 18 28 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 1 Without without IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 2 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 3 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 4 self self NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 5 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 6 protective protective JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 7 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 8 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 9 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 10 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 11 predicts predict VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 12 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 13 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 14 figures figure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 15 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 16 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 17 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 18 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 19 SARS SARS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 20 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 21 covid-2 covid-2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 22 would would MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 23 reach reach VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 24 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 25 staggering staggering JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 26 ~40,000 ~40,000 NFP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 27 people people NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 28 It -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 29 shows show VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 30 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 31 importance importance NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 32 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 33 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 34 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 35 self self NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 36 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 37 protecting protect VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 38 measure measure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 39 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 40 bring bring VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 41 down down RP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 42 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 43 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 44 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 45 affected affect VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 46 people people NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 47 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 48 following follow VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 49 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 50 recommendations recommendation NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 51 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 52 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 53 WHO WHO NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 54 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 55 health health NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 56 authorities authority NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 19 57 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 1 With with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 3 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 4 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 5 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 6 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 7 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 8 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 9 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 10 brought bring VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 11 down down RP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 12 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 13 ~800 ~800 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 14 - - : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 15 7,000 7,000 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 16 people people NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 20 17 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 1 Hopefully hopefully RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 2 that that DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 3 will will MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 4 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 6 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 7 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 8 just just RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 9 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 10 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 11 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 12 but but CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 13 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 15 rest rest NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 16 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 17 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 18 World World NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 21 19 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 1 There there EX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 2 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 3 already already RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 4 abundant abundant JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 5 information information NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 6 on on IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 7 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 8 new new JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 9 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 10 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 11 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 12 spread spread NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 13 worldwide worldwide RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 15 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 18 2 2 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 21 3 3 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 23 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 24 as as RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 25 well well RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 26 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 27 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 28 risks risk NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 29 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 30 poses pose VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 31 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 32 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 33 population population NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 22 34 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 23 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 23 2 person person NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 23 3 infected infect VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 23 4 with with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 23 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 23 6 severe severe JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 23 7 acute acute JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 23 8 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 23 9 syndrome syndrome NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 23 10 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 23 11 2 2 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 2 SARS SARS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 3 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 4 cov-2 cov-2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 6 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 7 4 4 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 9 may may MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 10 develop develop VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 11 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 12 disease disease NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 13 called call VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 15 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 16 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 17 manifests manifest VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 18 with with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 19 mild mild JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 20 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 21 severe severe JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 22 symptoms symptom NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 23 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 24 fever fever NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 25 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 26 cough cough NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 27 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 28 shortness shortness NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 29 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 30 breath breath NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 31 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 32 other other JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 33 signs sign NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 34 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 35 5 5 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 36 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 24 37 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 3 most most RBS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 4 severe severe JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 5 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 6 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 7 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 8 infection infection NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 9 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 10 lead lead VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 11 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 12 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 13 development development NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 14 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 15 acute acute JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 16 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 17 distress distress NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 18 syndrome syndrome NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 20 ARDS ARDS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 22 causing cause VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 23 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 24 failure failure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 25 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 26 septic septic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 27 shock shock NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 28 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 29 or or CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 30 multiorgan multiorgan NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 31 failure failure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 32 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 33 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 34 even even RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 35 death death NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 36 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 37 6 6 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 38 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 25 39 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 1 There there EX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 2 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 3 yet yet RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 4 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 5 lot lot NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 6 about about IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 7 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 8 new new JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 9 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 10 that that WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 11 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 12 still still RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 13 unknown unknown JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 26 14 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 1 Studies study NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 2 suggest suggest VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 3 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 5 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 6 fatality fatality NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 7 rate rate NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 8 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 9 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 10 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 11 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 12 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 13 about about IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 14 3.5 3.5 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 15 % % NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 16 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 17 mainland mainland NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 18 China China NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 19 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 20 but but CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 21 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 22 authors author NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 23 suggest suggest VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 24 considering consider VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 25 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 26 range range NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 27 0.2 0.2 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 28 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 29 3.0 3.0 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 30 % % NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 32 7 7 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 33 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 27 34 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 1 However however RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 2 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 3 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 4 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 5 seems seem VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 6 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 7 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 8 much much RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 9 higher high JJR cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 10 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 11 Italy Italy NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 13 8 8 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 15 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 16 suggesting suggest VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 17 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 18 strong strong JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 19 dependence dependence NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 20 on on IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 21 demographics demographic NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 28 22 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 2 fact fact NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 3 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 5 Chinese Chinese NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 6 Center Center NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 7 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 8 Disease Disease NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 9 Control Control NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 10 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 11 released release VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 12 an an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 13 analysis analysis NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 14 that that WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 15 showed show VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 16 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 17 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 18 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 19 fatality fatality NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 20 rate rate NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 21 ranged range VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 22 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 23 0 0 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 24 % % NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 25 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 26 children child NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 27 aged age VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 28 0 0 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 29 - - SYM cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 30 9 9 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 31 years year NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 32 old old JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 33 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 34 14.8 14.8 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 35 % % NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 36 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 37 those those DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 38 over over IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 39 80 80 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 40 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 41 9 9 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 42 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 43 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 44 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 45 implies imply VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 46 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 47 countries country NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 48 with with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 49 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 50 high high JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 51 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 52 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 53 elderly elderly JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 54 citizens citizen NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 55 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 56 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 57 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 58 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 59 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 60 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 61 Italy Italy NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 62 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 63 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 64 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 65 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 66 more more RBR cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 67 prone prone JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 68 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 69 having have VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 70 higher high JJR cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 71 death death NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 72 rates rate NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 29 73 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 2 quick quick JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 3 spread spread NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 6 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 7 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 8 Europe Europe NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 9 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 10 led lead VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 11 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 12 WHO who WP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 13 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 14 declare declare VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 15 Europe Europe NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 16 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 17 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 18 new new JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 19 epicentre epicentre NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 20 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 21 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 22 disease disease NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 23 on on IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 24 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 25 13th 13th NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 26 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 27 March March NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 28 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 29 2020 2020 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 30 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 31 10 10 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 32 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 30 33 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 2 rapid rapid JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 3 growth growth NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 6 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 7 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 8 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 9 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 10 presenting present VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 11 severe severe JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 12 symptoms symptom NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 13 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 14 saturated saturate VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 15 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 16 health health NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 17 services service NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 18 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 19 most most JJS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 20 countries country NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 21 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 22 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 23 continent continent NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 24 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 25 especially especially RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 26 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 27 Italy Italy NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 29 11 11 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 31 31 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 2 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 3 yet yet RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 4 unknown unknown JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 5 when when WRB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 6 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 8 will will MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 9 reach reach VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 10 an an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 11 end end NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 12 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 13 but but CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 14 governments government NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 15 throughout throughout IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 16 Europe Europe NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 17 have have VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 18 implemented implement VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 19 harsh harsh JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 20 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 21 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 22 prevent prevent VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 23 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 24 mitigate mitigate VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 25 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 26 spread spread NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 27 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 28 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 29 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 32 30 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 1 Yet yet RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 2 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 3 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 5 today today NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 6 there there EX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 7 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 8 as as RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 9 many many JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 10 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 11 77,394 77,394 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 12 confirmed confirm VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 13 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 14 on on IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 15 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 16 European european JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 17 continent continent NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 18 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 19 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 20 46 46 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 21 territories territory NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 22 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 23 resulting result VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 24 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 25 3,457 3,457 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 26 deaths death NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 27 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 28 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 29 rising rise VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 30 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 31 2 2 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 32 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 33 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 34 3 3 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 35 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 33 36 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 2 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 3 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 5 two two CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 6 first first RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 7 confirmed confirm VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 8 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 9 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 10 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 11 Portuguese portuguese JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 12 territory territory NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 13 were be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 14 announced announce VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 15 on on IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 17 2nd 2nd NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 18 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 19 March March NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 20 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 21 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 22 puts put VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 23 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 24 country country NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 25 slightly slightly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 26 behind behind IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 27 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 28 curve curve NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 29 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 30 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 31 outbreak outbreak NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 32 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 33 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 34 European european JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 35 continent continent NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 34 36 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 1 As as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 2 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 3 today today NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 4 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 5 there there EX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 6 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 7 642 642 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 8 confirmed confirm VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 9 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 10 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 11 2 2 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 12 deaths death NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 13 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 14 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 15 3 3 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 16 recovered recover VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 18 12 12 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 35 20 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 1 Also also RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 2 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 3 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 4 country country NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 5 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 6 on on IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 8 since since IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 9 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 10 13th 13th NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 11 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 12 March March NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 13 2020 2020 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 14 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 15 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 17 Portuguese Portuguese NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 18 Parliament Parliament NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 19 declared declare VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 20 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 21 State State NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 22 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 23 Emergency Emergency NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 24 today today NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 26 18th 18th NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 27 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 28 March March NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 29 2020 2020 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 36 31 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 1 One one CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 2 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 3 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 4 questions question NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 5 many many JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 6 policy policy NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 7 makers maker NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 8 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 9 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 10 governments government NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 11 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 12 asking ask VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 13 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 14 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 15 how how WRB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 17 spread spread NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 18 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 19 going go VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 20 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 21 evolve evolve VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 22 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 23 time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 37 24 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 1 A a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 2 timely timely JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 3 idea idea NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 6 amount amount NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 7 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 8 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 9 that that WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 10 will will MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 11 exist exist VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 12 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 13 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 14 near near JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 15 future future NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 16 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 17 allow allow VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 18 governments government NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 19 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 20 policy policy NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 21 makers maker NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 22 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 23 act act VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 24 accordingly accordingly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 38 25 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 2 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 3 study study NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 4 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 6 adapted adapt VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 7 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 8 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 9 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 10 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 11 SIR SIR NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 12 type type NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 13 used use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 14 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 15 South South NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 16 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 17 Korea Korea NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 18 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 19 model model VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 20 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 21 evolution evolution NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 22 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 23 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 24 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 25 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 26 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 27 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 28 MERS MERS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 29 outbreak outbreak NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 30 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 31 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 32 country country NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 33 back back RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 34 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 35 2015 2015 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 36 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 37 13 13 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 38 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 39 39 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 1 Although although IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 2 there there EX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 3 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 4 other other JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 5 models model NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 6 being be VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 7 used use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 9 14 14 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 12 15 15 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 14 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 15 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 16 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 17 seemed seem VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 18 most most RBS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 19 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 20 given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 21 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 22 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 23 MERS MERS NNPS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 24 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 25 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 26 SARS SARS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 27 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 28 cov-2 cov-2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 29 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 30 related relate VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 31 illnesses illness NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 32 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 33 both both DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 34 provoked provoke VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 35 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 36 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 37 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 38 strand strand NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 39 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 40 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 41 with with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 42 similar similar JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 43 symptoms symptom NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 44 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 45 although although IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 46 MERS MERS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 47 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 48 much much RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 49 deadlier deadly JJR cord-352635-yrq58n4k 40 50 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 2 order order NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 3 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 4 fit fit VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 7 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 8 given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 9 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 10 there there EX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 11 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 12 still still RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 13 very very RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 14 little little JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 15 data datum NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 16 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 17 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 18 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 19 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 20 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 21 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 22 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 23 used use VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 24 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 25 data datum NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 26 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 27 Italy Italy NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 28 instead instead RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 41 29 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 1 This this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 2 allowed allow VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 3 me -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 4 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 5 fit fit VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 6 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 7 curve curve NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 8 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 9 current current JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 10 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 11 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 12 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 13 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 14 with with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 15 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 16 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 17 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 18 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 19 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 20 then then RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 21 use use VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 22 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 23 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 24 implementing implement VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 25 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 26 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 27 measure measure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 28 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 29 predicted predict VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 30 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 31 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 32 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 33 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 34 predict predict VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 35 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 36 future future JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 37 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 38 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 39 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 40 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 41 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 42 three three CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 43 different different JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 44 scenarios scenario NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 45 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 46 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 47 outof outof JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 48 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 49 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 50 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 51 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 52 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 53 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 54 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 55 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 56 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 57 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 58 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 59 successful successful JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 60 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 61 applying apply VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 62 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 63 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 64 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 65 citizens citizen NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 66 mildly mildly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 67 adhere adhere VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 68 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 69 self self NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 70 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 71 protection protection NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 72 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 73 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 74 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 75 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 76 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 77 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 78 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 79 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 80 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 81 fails fail VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 82 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 83 completely completely RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 84 apply apply VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 85 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 86 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 87 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 88 yet yet CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 89 citizens citizen NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 90 still still RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 91 adhere adhere VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 92 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 93 some some DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 94 measure measure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 95 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 96 self self NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 97 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 98 protection protection NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 99 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 42 100 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 2 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 3 used use VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 4 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 6 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 7 described describe VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 8 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 9 Xia Xia NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 10 et et NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 11 al al NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 13 13 13 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 15 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 16 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 17 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 18 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 19 understood understand VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 20 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 21 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 22 flow flow NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 23 diagram diagram NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 24 shown show VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 25 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 26 figure figure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 27 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 29 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 30 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 31 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 32 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 33 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 34 paper paper NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 35 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 36 page page NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 37 4 4 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 43 39 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 2 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 3 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 4 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 5 S S NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 6 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 7 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 8 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 9 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 10 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 11 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 12 individuals individual NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 13 ; ; : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 14 E e UH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 15 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 17 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 18 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 19 exposed expose VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 20 individuals individual NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 21 ; ; : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 22 A a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 23 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 24 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 25 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 26 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 27 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 28 infected infected JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 29 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 30 ; ; : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 31 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 32 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 33 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 34 total total JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 35 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 36 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 37 mild mild JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 38 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 39 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 40 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 41 severe severe JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 42 infected infected JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 43 patients patient NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 44 44 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 1 H h NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 2 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 3 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 4 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 5 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 6 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 7 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 8 ; ; : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 9 R r NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 10 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 11 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 12 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 13 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 14 removed remove VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 15 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 16 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 17 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 18 finally finally RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 19 N n CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 20 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 21 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 22 total total JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 23 population population NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 24 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 25 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 45 26 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 1 β1 β1 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 2 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 3 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 4 transmission transmission NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 5 coefficient coefficient NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 6 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 7 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 8 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 9 infected infected JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 10 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 11 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 12 β2 β2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 13 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 15 transmission transmission NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 16 coefficient coefficient NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 17 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 18 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 19 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 20 infected infected JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 21 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 23 mild mild JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 24 infected infected JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 25 person person NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 26 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 27 severe severe JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 28 patients patient NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 30 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 31 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 32 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 33 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 34 β3 β3 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 35 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 36 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 37 transmission transmission NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 38 coefficient coefficient NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 39 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 40 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 41 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 42 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 43 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 44 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 45 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 46 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 47 1/ 1/ CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 48 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 49 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 50 mean mean JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 51 incubation incubation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 52 period period NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 46 53 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 1 1/ 1/ CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 2 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 3 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 4 mean mean JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 5 time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 6 between between IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 7 symptom symptom NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 8 onset onset NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 9 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 10 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 11 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 12 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 13 / / SYM cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 14 k1 k1 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 15 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 17 mean mean JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 18 infectious infectious JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 19 period period NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 20 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 21 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 22 infected infected JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 23 person person NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 24 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 25 survivors survivor NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 26 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 27 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 28 / / SYM cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 29 k2 k2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 30 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 31 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 32 mean mean JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 33 duration duration NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 34 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 35 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 36 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 37 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 38 survivors survivor NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 39 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 40 1/ 1/ CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 41 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 42 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 43 mean mean JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 44 time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 45 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 46 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 47 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 48 death death NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 49 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 50 γ γ NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 51 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 52 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 53 clinical clinical JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 54 outbreak outbreak NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 55 rate rate NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 56 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 57 all all PDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 58 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 59 infected infected JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 60 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 47 61 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 48 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 48 2 time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 48 3 unit unit NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 48 4 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 48 5 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 48 6 day day NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 48 7 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 49 1 Figure figure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 49 2 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 49 3 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 1 Flow flow NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 2 chart chart NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 3 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 5 SIR SIR NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 6 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 7 type type NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 8 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 9 used use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 10 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 11 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 12 work work NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 13 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 14 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 15 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 17 13 13 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 50 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 2 set set NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 3 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 4 differential differential JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 5 equations equation NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 6 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 7 then then RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 8 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 9 written write VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 10 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 11 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 13 1 1 LS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 15 Given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 16 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 17 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 18 available available JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 19 data datum NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 20 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 21 covid-19 covid-19 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 22 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 23 still still RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 24 very very RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 25 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 26 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 27 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 28 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 29 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 30 further further RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 31 adapted adapt VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 51 32 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 1 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 2 only only JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 4 that that WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 5 were be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 6 considered consider VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 7 " " `` cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 8 known know VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 9 " " '' cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 10 were be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 11 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 12 mean mean JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 13 incubation incubation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 14 time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 15 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 16 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 17 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 18 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 19 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 20 1/ 1/ CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 21 = = SYM cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 22 5.1 5.1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 23 days day NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 24 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 25 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 26 literature literature NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 28 here here RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 29 using use VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 30 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 31 median median NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 32 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 33 equal equal JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 34 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 35 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 36 mean mean NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 38 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 39 16 16 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 40 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 41 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 42 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 43 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 44 mean mean JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 45 infectious infectious JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 46 period period NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 47 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 48 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 49 people people NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 50 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 51 where where WRB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 52 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 53 conservative conservative JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 54 estimate estimate NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 55 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 56 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 57 / / SYM cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 58 k1=14 k1=14 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 59 days day NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 60 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 61 used use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 52 62 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 53 1 All all DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 53 2 other other JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 53 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 53 4 were be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 53 5 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 53 6 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 53 7 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 53 8 " " `` cord-352635-yrq58n4k 53 9 unknown unknown JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 53 10 " " '' cord-352635-yrq58n4k 53 11 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 2 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 3 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 4 because because IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 6 fitting fitting NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 7 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 8 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 9 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 10 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 11 difficult difficult JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 12 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 13 achieve achieve VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 14 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 15 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 16 took take VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 54 17 β1= β1= XX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 1 β2 β2 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 2 = = SYM cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 3 β3 β3 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 4 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 5 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 6 first first JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 7 approximation approximation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 8 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 9 meaning mean VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 10 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 11 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 12 mean mean JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 13 transmission transmission NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 14 coefficient coefficient NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 15 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 17 same same JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 18 independently independently RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 19 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 20 type type NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 21 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 22 setting setting NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 23 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 24 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 25 transmission transmission NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 55 26 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 1 Finally finally RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 2 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 3 unlike unlike IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 4 Xia Xia NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 5 et et NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 6 al al NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 8 13 13 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 10 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 11 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 12 consider consider VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 13 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 16 starts start VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 17 with with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 18 only only RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 19 one one CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 20 person person NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 21 infected infect VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 23 I0=1 I0=1 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 25 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 26 being be VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 27 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 28 rest rest NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 29 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 30 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 31 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 32 0 0 NFP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 33 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 34 except except IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 35 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 36 S0 s0 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 37 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 38 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 39 simply simply RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 40 N-1 N-1 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 56 41 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 1 See see VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 2 table table NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 3 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 4 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 5 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 6 breakdown breakdown NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 7 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 8 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 9 different different JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 11 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 12 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 13 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 57 14 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 2 solving solving NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 3 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 5 system system NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 6 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 7 differential differential JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 8 equations equation NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 9 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 10 performed perform VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 11 using use VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 12 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 13 Mathematica Mathematica NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 14 code code NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 16 17 17 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 18 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 19 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 20 also also RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 21 allows allow VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 22 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 23 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 24 use use NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 25 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 26 fittable fittable JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 27 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 28 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 29 using use VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 30 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 31 function function NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 32 " " `` cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 33 NonLinearModelFit NonLinearModelFit NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 34 " " '' cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 35 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 36 18 18 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 37 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 58 38 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 1 Given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 2 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 3 there there EX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 4 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 5 still still RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 6 very very RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 7 little little JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 8 data datum NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 9 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 10 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 11 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 12 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 13 data datum NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 14 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 15 Italy Italy NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 16 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 17 used use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 18 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 19 proxy proxy NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 59 20 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 1 This this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 2 seems seem VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 3 like like IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 5 most most RBS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 6 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 7 approach approach NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 9 instead instead RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 10 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 11 using use VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 12 data datum NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 13 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 14 China China NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 15 or or CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 16 another another DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 17 Asian asian JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 18 country country NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 20 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 21 given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 22 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 23 cultural cultural JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 24 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 25 health health NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 26 system system NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 27 proximity proximity NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 28 between between IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 29 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 30 two two CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 31 countries country NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 60 32 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 61 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 61 2 order order NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 61 3 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 61 4 determine determine VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 61 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 61 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 61 7   CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 62 1   LS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 2 used use VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 3 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 4 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 5 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 6 deaths death NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 7 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 8 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 9 reported report VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 10 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 11 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 12 Italian italian JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 13 ministry ministry NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 14 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 15 Health Health NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 16 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 17 available available JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 18 online online RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 20 19 19 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 63 22 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 1 For for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 3 estimation estimation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 6 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 7 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 8 k2 k2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 9 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 10 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 11 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 12 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 13 recovered recover VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 14 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 15 used use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 64 16 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 1 After after IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 2 determining determine VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 3 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 4 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 5 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 6 these these DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 8 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 9 they -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 10 were be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 11 used use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 12 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 13 fit fit VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 15 curve curve NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 16 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 17 infected infected JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 18 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 19 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 20 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 21 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 22 where where WRB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 23 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 24 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 25 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 26 === === CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 27 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 28   NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 29 were be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 30 fitted fit VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 31 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 32 obtain obtain VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 33 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 34 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 65 35 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 1 This this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 2 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 3 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 4 then then RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 5 used use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 6 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 7 estimate estimate VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 8 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 9 future future JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 10 evolution evolution NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 11 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 12 future future JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 13 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 14 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 15 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 16 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 17 according accord VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 18 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 19 three three CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 20 different different JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 21 scenarios scenario NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 66 22 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 67 1 • • NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 67 2 Out out IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 67 3 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 67 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 67 5 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 67 6 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 67 7 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 67 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 67 9 nothing nothing NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 67 10 done do VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 68 1 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 68 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 68 3 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 68 4 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 68 5 free free JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 68 6 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 68 7 spread spread VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 68 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 68 9 ; ; . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 1 • • NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 2 Scenario Scenario NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 3 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 4 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 6 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 7 takes take VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 8 severe severe JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 9 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 10 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 11 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 12 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 13 population population NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 14 mildly mildly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 15 adheres adhere VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 16 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 17 self self NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 18 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 19 protecting protect VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 20 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 69 21 ; ; . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 70 1 • • NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 1 Scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 2 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 3 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 5 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 6 fails fail VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 7 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 8 implement implement VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 9 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 10 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 11 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 12 yet yet CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 13 still still RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 14 implements implement VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 15 some some DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 16 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 17 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 18 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 19 population population NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 20 mildly mildly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 21 adheres adhere VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 22 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 23 selfprotecting selfprotecte VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 24 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 71 25 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 72 1 3.1 3.1 LS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 72 2 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 73 1 Fitting fitting NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 73 2 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 73 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 73 4   NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 73 5 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 73 6   NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 73 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 73 8 Italy Italy NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 73 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 73 10 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 2 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 3 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 4 deaths death NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 5 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 6 Italy Italy NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 7 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 8 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 9 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 11 18 18 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 13 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 14 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 15 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 16 set set NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 17 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 18 differential differential JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 19 equations equation NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 20 described describe VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 21 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 22 eq eq NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 23 . . NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 24 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 25 fitted fit VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 26 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 27 obtain obtain VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 28 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 29 best good JJS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 30 possible possible JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 31 fit fit NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 32 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 33 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 34   NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 74 35 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 1   NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 2 An an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 3 R2 R2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 4 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 5 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 6 0.99255 0.99255 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 7 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 8 obtain obtain VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 9 with with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 10 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 11 fit fit NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 75 12 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 76 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 76 2 rest rest NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 76 3 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 76 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 76 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 76 6 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 76 7 presented present VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 76 8 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 76 9 table table NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 76 10 3 3 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 76 11 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 77 1 Results result NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 77 2 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 77 3 shown show VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 77 4 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 77 5 figure figure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 77 6 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 77 7 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 1 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 3 author author NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 4 / / SYM cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 5 funder funder NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 6 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 7 who who WP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 8 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 9 granted grant VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 11 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 12 license license NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 13 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 14 display display VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 15 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 16 preprint preprint NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 17 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 78 19 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 79 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 79 2 copyright copyright NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 79 3 holder holder NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 79 4 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 79 5 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 79 6 preprint preprint NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 79 7 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 80 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.18.20038612 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.18.20038612 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 80 2 doi doi NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 80 3 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 81 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 81 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 1 As as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 2 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 3 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 4 seen see VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 5 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 6 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 7 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 8 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 9 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 10 recovered recovered JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 11 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 12 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 13 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 14 fit fit NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 15 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 16 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 17 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 18 same same JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 19 quality quality NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 20 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 21 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 22 fit fit NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 23 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 24 3.1 3.1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 82 25 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 1 This this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 2 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 3 further further RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 4 evidenced evidence VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 5 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 6 figure figure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 7 2 2 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 8 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 9 where where WRB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 10 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 11 graphical graphical JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 12 representation representation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 13 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 15 fit fit NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 16 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 17 shown show VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 83 18 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 1 After after IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 3 two two CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 4 previous previous JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 5 procedures procedure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 6 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 8 now now RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 9 have have VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 10 all all PDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 11 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 12 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 14 need need VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 15 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 16 fit fit VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 17 Eq Eq NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 84 18 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 1 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 2 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 3 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 4 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 5 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 6 Portuguese portuguese JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 7 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 8 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 9 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 10 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 11 order order NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 12 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 13 determine determine VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 15 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 16 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 17   NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 18 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 85 19   CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 2 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 3 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 4 Portuguese portuguese JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 5 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 6 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 7 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 8 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 9 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 11 20 20 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 13 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 14 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 15 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 16 updated update VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 17 daily daily RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 86 18 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 2 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 3 previously previously RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 4 obtained obtain VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 5 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 7   CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 8   CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 9 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 10 k2 k2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 11 were be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 12 used use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 87 13 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 1 As as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 2 explained explain VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 3 previously previously RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 4 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 5 because because IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 6 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 7 fitting fitting NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 8 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 9 difficult difficult JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 10 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 11 obtain obtain VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 12 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 13 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 14 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 15 first first JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 16 approximation approximation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 17 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 19 considered consider VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 88 20 β1= β1= XX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 89 1 β2 β2 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 89 2 = = SYM cord-352635-yrq58n4k 89 3 β3 β3 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 89 4 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 2 obtained obtain VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 3 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 4 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 5   NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 6 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 7   NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 8 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 9 given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 10 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 11 table table NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 12 4 4 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 90 13 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 1 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 3 author author NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 4 / / SYM cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 5 funder funder NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 6 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 7 who who WP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 8 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 9 granted grant VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 11 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 12 license license NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 13 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 14 display display VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 15 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 16 preprint preprint NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 17 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 91 19 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 92 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 92 2 copyright copyright NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 92 3 holder holder NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 92 4 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 92 5 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 92 6 preprint preprint NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 92 7 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 1 A a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 2 graphical graphical JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 3 depiction depiction NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 6 fitted fit VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 7 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 8 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 9 given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 10 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 11 figure figure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 12 3 3 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 93 13 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 2 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 3 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 4 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 6 out out JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 7 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 8 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 9 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 10 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 11 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 12 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 13 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 14 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 15 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 16 corona corona NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 17 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 18 would would MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 19 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 20 " " `` cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 21 free free JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 22 " " '' cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 23 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 24 spread spread VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 25 within within IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 26 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 27 country country NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 28 would would MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 29 lead lead VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 30 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 31 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 32 pic pic NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 33 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 34 ~40,000 ~40,000 NFP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 35 infected infect VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 36 around around IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 37 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 38 6th 6th NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 39 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 40 April April NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 41 2020 2020 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 94 42 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 1 A a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 2 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 3 that that WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 4 will will MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 5 very very RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 6 likely likely RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 7 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 8 avoided avoid VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 9 given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 10 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 11 strong strong JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 12 containment containment NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 13 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 14 implemented implement VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 15 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 17 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 18 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 95 19 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 96 1 CC CC NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 96 2 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 96 3 BY BY NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 96 4 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 96 5 ND ND NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 96 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 96 7 International international JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 96 8 license license NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 97 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 97 2 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 97 3 made make VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 97 4 available available JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 97 5 under under IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 97 6 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 1 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 3 author author NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 4 / / SYM cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 5 funder funder NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 6 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 7 who who WP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 8 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 9 granted grant VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 11 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 12 license license NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 13 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 14 display display VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 15 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 16 preprint preprint NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 17 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 98 19 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 99 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 99 2 copyright copyright NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 99 3 holder holder NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 99 4 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 99 5 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 99 6 preprint preprint NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 99 7 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 100 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.18.20038612 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.18.20038612 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 100 2 doi doi NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 100 3 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 101 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 101 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 102 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 102 2 fitting fitting NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 102 3 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 102 4 these these DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 102 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 102 6 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 102 7 difficult difficult JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 102 8 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 102 9 obtain obtain VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 102 10 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 1 There there EX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 2 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 3 enough enough JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 4 systematic systematic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 5 error error NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 6 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 7 lack lack NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 8 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 9 statistics statistic NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 10 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 11 make make VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 12 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 13 present present JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 14 results result NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 15 very very RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 16 unreliable unreliable JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 103 17 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 2 order order NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 3 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 4 obtain obtain VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 7 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 8   NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 9 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 10 k2 k2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 11 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 12 an an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 13 ersatz ersatz JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 14 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 15 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 16   NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 17 had have VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 18 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 19 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 20 given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 104 21 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 2 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 3 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 4 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 5   NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 6 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 7 originally originally RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 8 defined define VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 9 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 10 " " `` cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 11 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 12 clinical clinical JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 13 outbreak outbreak NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 14 rate rate NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 15 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 16 all all PDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 17 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 18 infected infected JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 19 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 20 " " '' cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 21 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 22 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 23 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 24 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 25 itself -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 26 difficult difficult JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 27 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 28 understand understand VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 29 what what WP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 30 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 31 means mean VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 105 32 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 3 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 6 fits fit NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 7 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 8   NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 9 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 10 k2 k2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 11 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 12 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 13 ersatz ersatz JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 14 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 15 used use VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 16 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 17   PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 18 had have VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 19 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 20 very very RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 21 strong strong JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 22 impact impact NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 23 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 24 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 25 results result NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 26 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 27 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 28 other other JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 29 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 106 30 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 2 fact fact NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 3 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 4 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 6 comes come VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 7 multiplied multiply VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 8 with with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 9   NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 10 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 11 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 12 transfer transfer NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 13 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 14 compartment compartment NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 15 E(t E(t NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 17 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 18 compartments compartment NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 19 A(t A(t NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 21 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 22 S(t S(t NNPS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 24 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 25 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 26 think think VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 27 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 28 high high JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 29 variation variation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 30 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 31 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 32 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 33 could could MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 34 very very RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 35 well well RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 36 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 37 due due JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 38 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 39 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 40 huge huge JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 41 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 42 there there EX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 43 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 44 at at IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 45 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 46 moment moment NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 47 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 48 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 49 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 50 incubation incubation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 51 time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 52 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 53 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 54 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 55 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 56 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 57 some some DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 58 authors author NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 59 claim claim VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 60 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 61 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 62 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 63 up up IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 64 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 65 27 27 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 66 days day NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 67 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 68 21 21 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 69 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 70 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 71 although although IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 72 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 73 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 74 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 75 probably probably RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 76 an an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 77 outlier outlier NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 107 78 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 1 Finally finally RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 2 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 3 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 4 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 5 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 6 an an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 7 incubation incubation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 8 period period NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 9 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 10 18 18 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 11 days day NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 12 seems seem VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 13 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 14 have have VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 15 been be VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 16 confirmed confirm VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 17 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 18 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 19 recent recent JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 20 study study NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 22 22 22 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 108 24 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 109 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 109 2 other other JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 109 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 109 4 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 109 5 somewhat somewhat RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 109 6 less less RBR cord-352635-yrq58n4k 109 7 elusive elusive JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 109 8 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 2 obtained obtain VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 3 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 4 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 5 =0.0168 =0.0168 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 6 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 7 50 50 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 8 % % NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 9 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 10 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 11 obtained obtain VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 12 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 13 Xia Xia NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 14 et et NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 15 al al NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 17 13 13 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 19 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 20 0.0348 0.0348 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 21 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 22 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 23 shows show VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 24 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 25 difference difference NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 26 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 27 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 28 fatality fatality NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 29 rates rate NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 30 between between IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 31 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 32 SARS SARS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 33 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 34 covid-2 covid-2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 36 7.2 7.2 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 37 % % NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 38 currently currently RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 39 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 40 Italy Italy NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 42 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 43 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 44 MERS MERS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 45 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 46 estimated estimate VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 47 at at IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 48 34 34 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 49 % % NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 51 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 52 but but CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 53 then then RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 54 again again RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 55 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 56 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 57 should should MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 58 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 59 20 20 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 60 % % NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 61 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 62 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 63 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 64 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 65 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 66 50 50 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 67 % % NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 68 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 69 further further RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 70 implying imply VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 71 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 72 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 73 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 74 fatality fatality NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 75 rate rate NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 76 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 77 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 78 SARScovid-2 SARScovid-2 NNPS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 79 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 80 still still RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 81 difficult difficult JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 82 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 83 determine determine VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 84 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 85 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 86 could could MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 87 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 88 higher high JJR cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 89 than than IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 90 previously previously RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 91 thought think VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 110 92 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 1 Finally finally RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 2 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 3 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 5 obtained obtain VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 6 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 8 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 9 also also RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 10 possible possible JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 11 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 12 determine determine VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 13 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 14 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 15 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 17 basic basic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 18 reproduction reproduction NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 19 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 20 R0 R0 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 21 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 22 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 23 here here RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 24 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 25 take take VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 26 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 27 being be VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 28 simply simply RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 29 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 30 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 31 R0==5.916 R0==5.916 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 32 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 33 demonstrates demonstrate VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 34 how how WRB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 35 strong strong JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 36 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 37 capacity capacity NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 38 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 39 spreading spread VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 40 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 41 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 42 particular particular JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 43 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 44 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 111 45 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 2 table table NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 3 4 4 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 4 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 6 final final JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 7 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 8 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 9 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 10 obtained obtain VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 12 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 13 given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 14 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 112 15 _SP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 2 paper paper NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 3 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 4 Xia Xia NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 5 et et NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 6 al al NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 8 13 13 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 10 further further RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 11 presents present VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 12 an an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 13 extra extra JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 14 7 7 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 15 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 16 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 17 take take VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 18 into into IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 19 account account NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 20 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 21 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 22 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 23 time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 24 evolution evolution NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 25 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 26 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 27 epidemic epidemic NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 113 28 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 1 These these DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 2 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 3 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 4 meant mean VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 5 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 6 take take VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 7 into into IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 8 account account NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 9 two two CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 10 things thing NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 11 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 12 -Isolation -isolation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 13 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 14 monitoring monitoring NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 15 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 16 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 17 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 18 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 19 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 21 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 22 d1 d1 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 23 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 24 d2 d2 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 25 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 26 d3 d3 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 27 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 28 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 29 d4 d4 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 114 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 1 ; ; : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 2 -Self -self NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 3 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 4 protection protection NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 5 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 6 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 7 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 8 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 9 population population NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 12 l1 l1 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 13 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 14 l2 l2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 15 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 16 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 17 l3 l3 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 19 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 115 20 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 116 1 CC CC NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 116 2 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 116 3 BY BY NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 116 4 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 116 5 ND ND NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 116 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 116 7 International international JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 116 8 license license NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 117 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 117 2 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 117 3 made make VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 117 4 available available JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 117 5 under under IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 117 6 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 1 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 3 author author NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 4 / / SYM cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 5 funder funder NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 6 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 7 who who WP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 8 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 9 granted grant VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 11 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 12 license license NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 13 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 14 display display VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 15 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 16 preprint preprint NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 17 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 118 19 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 119 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 119 2 2 2 LS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 119 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 2 l1 l1 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 3 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 4 l2 l2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 5 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 6 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 7 l3 l3 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 9 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 10 basically basically RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 11 multiplication multiplication NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 12 factors factor NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 13 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 15 transmission transmission NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 16 parameter parameter NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 17   VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 18 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 19 so so CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 20 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 21 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 22 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 23 we -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 24 only only RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 25 consider consider VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 26 one one CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 27 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 28 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 29 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 30 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 31 we -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 32 did do VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 33 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 120 34 . . NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 2 d1 d1 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 3 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 4 d2 d2 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 5 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 6 d3 d3 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 7 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 8 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 9 d4 d4 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 11 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 12 summed sum VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 13 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 15 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 16 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 17 spread spread NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 18 between between IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 19 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 20 infected infected JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 21 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 22 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 23 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 24 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 25 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 26 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 27 further further RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 28 stressing stress VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 29 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 30 connection connection NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 31 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 32 implemented implement VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 33 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 34 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 121 35 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 2 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 3 provided provide VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 4 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 5 Xia Xia NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 6 et et NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 7 al al NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 8 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 9 13 13 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 10 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 11 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 12 when when WRB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 13 applied apply VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 14 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 15 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 16 Portuguese portuguese JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 17 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 18 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 19 seem seem VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 20 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 21 provide provide VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 22 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 23 very very RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 24 unrealistic unrealistic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 25 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 26 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 27 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 28 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 29 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 30 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 31 would would MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 32 immediately immediately RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 33 start start VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 34 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 35 diminish diminish VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 122 36 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 1 Perhaps perhaps RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 2 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 3 made make VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 4 sense sense NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 5 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 6 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 7 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 8 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 9 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 10 MERS MERS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 12 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 13 given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 14 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 16 was be VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 17 much much RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 18 more more RBR cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 19 localised localised JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 20 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 21 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 22 one one CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 23 provoked provoke VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 24 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 25 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 26 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 123 27 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 1 As as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 2 such such JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 3 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 4 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 5 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 6 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 7 lack lack NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 8 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 9 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 10 better well JJR cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 11 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 12 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 13 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 14 devised devise VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 15 two two CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 16 different different JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 17 scenarios scenario NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 18 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 19 addition addition NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 20 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 21 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 22 " " `` cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 23 outof outof JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 24 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 25 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 26 " " '' cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 27 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 28 described describe VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 29 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 30 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 31 previous previous JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 32 section section NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 33 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 34 • • NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 35 Scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 36 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 37 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 38 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 39 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 40 takes take VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 41 severe severe JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 42 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 43 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 44 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 45 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 46 population population NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 47 mildly mildly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 48 adheres adhere VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 49 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 50 self self NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 51 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 52 protecting protect VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 53 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 54 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 55 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 56 1 1 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 57 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 58 ; ; : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 124 59 • • XX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 1 Scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 2 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 3 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 5 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 6 fails fail VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 7 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 8 implement implement VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 9 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 10 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 11 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 12 yet yet CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 13 still still RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 14 implements implement VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 15 some some DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 16 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 17 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 18 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 19 population population NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 20 mildly mildly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 21 adheres adhere VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 22 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 23 selfprotecting selfprotecte VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 24 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 26 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 27 2 2 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 125 29 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 126 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 126 2 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 126 3 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 126 4 these these DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 126 5 scenarios scenario NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 126 6 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 126 7 given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 126 8 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 126 9 table table NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 126 10 5 5 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 126 11 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 127 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 127 2 13 13 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 127 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 127 4 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 3 second second JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 4 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 6 keep keep VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 7 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 8 50 50 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 9 % % NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 10 reduction reduction NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 11 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 12 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 13 transmission transmission NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 14 rate rate NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 15 but but CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 16 diminish diminish VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 17 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 18 efforts effort NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 19 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 20 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 21 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 22 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 23 half half NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 128 24 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 129 1 Results result NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 129 2 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 129 3 shown show VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 129 4 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 129 5 figure figure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 129 6 4 4 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 129 7 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 1 Results result NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 2 show show VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 3 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 4 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 5 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 6 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 7 effective effective JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 8 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 9 " " `` cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 10 flattening flatten VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 11 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 12 curve curve NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 13 " " '' cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 14 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 15 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 17 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 18 come come VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 19 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 20 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 21 called call VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 22 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 23 effect effect NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 24 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 25 recent recent JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 26 times time NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 130 27 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 3 first first JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 4 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 6 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 7 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 8 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 9 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 10 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 11 seems seem VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 12 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 13 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 14 at at IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 15 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 16 maximum maximum NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 17 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 18 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 19 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 20 maximum maximum NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 21 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 22 just just RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 23 about about RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 24 700 700 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 25 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 26 would would MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 27 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 28 reached reach VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 131 29 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 1 This this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 2 seems seem VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 3 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 4 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 5 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 6 today today NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 7 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 8 there there EX cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 9 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 10 641 641 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 11 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 12 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 13 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 15 country country NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 132 16 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 2 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 3 2 2 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 4 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 6 maximum maximum NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 7 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 8 shifted shift VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 9 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 10 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 11 20th 20th NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 12 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 13 April April NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 14 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 15 reaching reach VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 16 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 17 maximum maximum JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 18 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 19 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 20 ~7,000 ~7,000 DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 21 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 22 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 23 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 24 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 25 country country NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 133 26 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 2 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 3 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 4 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 6 transmission transmission NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 7 rate rate NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 8 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 9 been be VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 10 cut cut VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 11 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 12 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 13 half half NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 14 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 15 but but CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 17 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 18 has have VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 19 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 20 been be VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 21 effective effective JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 22 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 23 implementing implement VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 24 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 25 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 134 26 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 1 As as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 2 said say VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 3 previously previously RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 4 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 5 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 6 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 7 out out JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 8 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 9 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 10 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 11 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 12 scenario scenario NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 13 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 15 peak peak NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 16 would would MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 17 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 18 reached reach VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 19 at at IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 20 about about IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 21 ~40,000 ~40,000 NFP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 22 people people NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 135 23 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 1 Given give VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 2 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 3 huge huge JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 4 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 5 concerning concern VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 6 these these DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 7 numbers number NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 8 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 9 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 10 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 11 current current JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 12 lack lack NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 13 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 14 knowledge knowledge NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 15 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 16 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 17 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 19 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 20 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 21 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 22 very very RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 23 hard hard JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 24 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 25 make make VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 26 sense sense NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 27 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 28 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 29 evolution evolution NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 30 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 31 even even RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 32 using use VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 33 well well RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 34 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 35 established establish VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 36 SIR SIR NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 37 methods method NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 136 38 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 2 current current JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 3 work work NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 4 makes make VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 5 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 6 series series NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 7 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 8 assumptions assumption NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 9 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 10 may may MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 11 or or CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 12 may may MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 13 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 14 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 15 proven prove VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 16 correct correct JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 17 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 18 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 19 future future NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 20 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 21 including include VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 22 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 23 incubation incubation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 24 period period NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 25 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 26 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 27 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 28 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 29 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 30 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 31 still still RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 32 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 33 well well RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 34 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 35 known know VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 137 36 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 1 This this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 2 proved prove VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 3 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 4 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 5 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 6 major major JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 7 source source NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 8 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 9 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 10 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 11 fit fit VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 12 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 13 results result NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 14 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 15 because because IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 17 had have VBD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 18 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 19 great great JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 20 influence influence NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 21 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 22 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 23 other other JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 24 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 25 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 26 especially especially RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 27 parameter parameter NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 28   NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 29 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 30 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 31 seems seem VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 32 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 33 describe describe VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 34 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 35 probability probability NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 36 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 37 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 38 person person NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 39 being be VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 40 exposed expose VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 41 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 42 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 43 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 44 being be VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 45 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 46 or or CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 47 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 138 48 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 1 Instead instead RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 2 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 3 parameter parameter NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 4 seems seem VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 5 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 6 behave behave VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 7 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 8 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 9 study study NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 10 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 11 an an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 12 indicator indicator NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 13 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 15 huge huge JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 16 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 17 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 18 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 19 value value NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 20 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 21 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 22 incubation incubation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 23 period period NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 139 24 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 1 Finally finally RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 2 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 3 epidemiologists epidemiologist NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 4 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 5 pathologists pathologist NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 6 will will MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 7 tell tell VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 8 you -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 9 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 10 these these DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 12 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 13 unlike unlike IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 14 what what WP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 15 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 16 considered consider VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 17 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 18 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 19 study study NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 20 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 21 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 22 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 23 only only RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 24 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 25 constant constant JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 26 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 27 but but CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 28 dependent dependent JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 29 on on IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 30 time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 31 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 32 location location NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 33 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 34 culture culture NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 35 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 36 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 37 other other JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 38 factors factor NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 140 39 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 2 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 3 therefore therefore RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 4 particularly particularly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 5 hard hard JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 6 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 7 model model VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 8 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 9 current current JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 11 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 12 covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 141 13 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 1 Also also RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 2 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 3 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 4 study study NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 5 takes take VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 6 into into IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 7 account account NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 8 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 9 particular particular JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 10 situation situation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 11 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 12 one one CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 13 country country NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 15 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 17 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 18 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 20 know know VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 21 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 22 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 23 globalised globalised JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 24 times time NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 25 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 26 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 27 likelihood likelihood NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 28 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 29 new new JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 30 foci foci NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 31 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 32 infections infection NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 33 arise arise VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 34 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 35 outside outside JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 36 visitors visitor NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 37 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 38 also also RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 39 very very RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 40 high high JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 142 41 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 1 Although although IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 2 currently currently RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 3 most most JJS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 4 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 5 have have VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 6 implemented implement VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 7 serious serious JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 8 travel travel NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 9 restrictions restriction NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 10 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 12 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 13 now now RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 14 well well RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 15 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 16 known know VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 17 exactly exactly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 18 how how WRB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 19 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 20 parameter parameter NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 21 could could MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 22 affect affect VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 23 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 24 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 25 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 26 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 27 does do VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 28 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 29 take take VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 30 that that DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 31 into into IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 32 account account NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 143 33 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 1 In in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 2 fact fact NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 3 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 4 one one CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 5 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 6 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 7 major major JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 8 issues issue NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 9 with with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 10 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 11 SARS SARS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 12 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 13 covid-2 covid-2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 14 virus virus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 15 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 16 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 17 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 18 unlike unlike IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 19 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 20 other other JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 21 SARS SARS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 22 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 23 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 24 seems seem VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 25 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 26 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 27 much much RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 28 less less RBR cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 29 contained contain VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 30 locally locally RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 31 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 32 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 33 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 34 evident evident JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 35 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 36 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 37 amount amount NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 38 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 39 countries country NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 40 afflicted afflict VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 144 41 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 2 amount amount NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 3 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 4 actual actual JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 5 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 6 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 7 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 8 another another DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 9 clear clear JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 10 source source NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 11 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 12 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 145 13 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 1 This this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 2 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 3 takes take VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 5 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 6 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 7 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 8 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 9 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 10 compares compare VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 11 them -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 12 with with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 13 official official NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 15 numbers number NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 16 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 17 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 18 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 19 only only RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 20 may may MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 21 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 22 smaller small JJR cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 23 than than IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 24 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 25 actual actual JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 26 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 27 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 28 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 29 are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 30 released release VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 31 at at IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 32 an an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 33 administratively administratively RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 34 defined define VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 35 time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 36 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 37 which which WDT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 38 probably probably RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 39 does do VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 40 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 41 correspond correspond VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 42 to to IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 43 something something NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 44 realistic realistic JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 146 45 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 2 author author NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 3 believes believe VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 4 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 6 values value NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 7 obtained obtain VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 8 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 9 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 10 study study NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 11 should should MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 12 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 13 taken take VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 14 qualitatively qualitatively RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 15 rather rather RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 16 than than IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 17 quantitatively quantitatively RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 147 18 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 1 One one PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 2 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 3 think think VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 6 scenarios scenario NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 7 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 8 defining define VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 9 two two CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 10 limits limit NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 11 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 12 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 13 likelihood likelihood NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 14 interval interval NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 15 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 16 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 17 as as RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 18 such such JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 19 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 20 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 21 actual actual JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 22 figure figure NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 23 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 24 maximum maximum JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 25 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 26 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 27 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 28 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 29 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 30 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 31 will will MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 32 likely likely RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 33 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 34 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 35 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 36 interval interval NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 37 ~700 ~700 VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 38 - - : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 39 7,000 7,000 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 40 between between IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 41 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 42 9th-20th 9th-20th CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 43 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 44 April April NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 148 45 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 1 This this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 2 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 3 perhaps perhaps RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 4 serve serve VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 5 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 6 advise advise VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 7 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 8 competent competent JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 9 authorities authority NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 10 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 11 taking take VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 12 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 13 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 14 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 149 15 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 2 also also RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 3 serves serve VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 4 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 5 show show VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 6 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 7 importance importance NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 8 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 9 control control NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 10 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 11 self self NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 12 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 13 protecting protect VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 14 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 150 15 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 2 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 3 possible possible JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 4 to to TO cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 5 bring bring VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 6 down down RP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 7 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 8 number number NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 9 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 10 affected affect VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 11 people people NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 12 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 13 following follow VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 15 recommendations recommendation NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 16 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 17 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 18 WHO WHO NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 19 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 20 health health NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 21 authorities authority NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 151 22 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 1 Without without IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 2 them -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 3 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 4 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 5 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 6 predicts predict VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 7 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 8 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 9 figures figure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 10 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 11 active active JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 12 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 13 would would MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 14 reach reach VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 15 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 16 staggering staggering JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 17 ~40,000 ~40,000 NFP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 18 people people NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 152 19 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 2 also also RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 3 shows show VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 4 that that IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 5 with with IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 6 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 7 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 8 measures measure NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 9 this this DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 10 can can MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 11 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 12 indeed indeed RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 13 brought bring VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 14 down down RP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 153 15 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 1 Hopefully hopefully RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 2 that that DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 3 will will MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 4 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 5 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 6 case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 7 not not RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 8 just just RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 9 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 10 Portugal Portugal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 11 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 12 but but CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 13 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 15 rest rest NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 16 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 17 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 18 World World NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 154 19 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 1 Novel Novel NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 2 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 4 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 6 situation situation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 7 reports report VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 8 -World -world IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 9 Health Health NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 10 Organization Organization NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 11 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 12 Disease Disease NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 16 -Research -Research : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 17 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 155 18 Statistics Statistics NNPS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 2 species specie NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 3 Severe severe JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 4 acute acute JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 5 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 6 syndrome syndrome NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 7 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 8 related relate VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 9 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 10 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 11 classifying classify VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 12 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 13 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 14 naming name VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 16 SARS SARS NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 17 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 18 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 19 Epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 20 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 21 clinical clinical JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 22 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 23 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 24 99 99 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 25 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 26 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 27 2019 2019 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 28 novel novel JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 29 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 30 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 31 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 32 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 33 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 34 China China NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 35 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 36 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 37 descriptive descriptive JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 38 study study NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 39 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 40 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 41 what what WP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 42 is be VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 43 next next JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 44 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 45 public public JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 46 health health NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 47 Case case NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 48 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 49 fatality fatality NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 50 estimates estimate NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 51 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 52 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 53 calculated calculate VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 54 by by IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 55 using use VBG cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 56 a a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 57 lag lag NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 58 time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 59 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 60 fatality fatality NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 61 Emerg Emerg NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 62 Infect infect VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 63 Dis dis NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 64 Why why WRB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 65 Deaths death NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 66 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 67 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 68 Are be VBP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 69 So so RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 70 High high JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 71 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 72 Italy Italy NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 73 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 74 Rachael Rachael NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 75 Rettner Rettner NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 76 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 77 LiveScience LiveScience NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 78 on on IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 79 March March NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 80 Novel Novel NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 81 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 82 Pneumonia Pneumonia NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 83 Emergency Emergency NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 84 Response Response NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 85 Epidemiology Epidemiology NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 86 Teamexternal Teamexternal NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 87 icon icon NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 156 88 . . . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 2 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 3 Epidemiological Epidemiological NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 4 Characteristics Characteristics NNPS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 5 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 6 an an DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 7 Outbreak outbreak NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 8 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 9 Novel Novel NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 10 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 11 Diseases Diseases NNPS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 13 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 15 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 16 China China NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 17 WHO WHO NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 18 Director Director NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 19 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 20 General General NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 21 's 's POS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 22 opening opening NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 23 remarks remark NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 24 at at IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 25 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 26 media medium NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 27 briefing briefing NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 28 on on IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 29 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 157 30 -13 -13 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 2 Atlantic Atlantic NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 3 Modeling Modeling NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 4 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 5 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 6 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 7 Middle Middle NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 8 East East NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 9 Respirator Respirator NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 10 Syndrome Syndrome NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 11 Corona Corona NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 12 Virus Virus NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 13 in in IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 14 the the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 15 Republic Republic NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 16 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 17 Korea Korea NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 158 18 Xia Xia NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 1 A a DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 2 Time time NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 3 - - HYPH cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 4 dependent dependent JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 5 SIR SIR NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 6 model model NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 7 for for IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 9 Risk Risk NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 10 Assessment Assessment NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 11 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 12 Novel Novel NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 13 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 14 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 15 Outbreaks Outbreaks NNPS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 16 Outside Outside NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 159 17 China China NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 1 The the DT cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 2 incubation incubation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 3 period period NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 4 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 5 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 6 disease disease NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 7 2019 2019 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 11 from from IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 12 publicly publicly RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 13 reported report VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 15 cases case NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 16 : : : cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 17 Estimation estimation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 18 and and CC cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 19 application application NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 20 Mathematica Mathematica NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 21 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 22 Version version NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 23 12 12 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 24 Dipartimento Dipartimento NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 25 della della NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 26 Protezione Protezione NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 27 Civile Civile NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 28 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 29 Italia Italia NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 160 30 -Monitoraggio -Monitoraggio . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 1 della della NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 2 situazione situazione NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 3 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 4 incubation incubation NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 5 could could MD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 6 be be VB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 7 as as RB cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 8 long long JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 9 as as IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 10 27 27 CD cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 11 days day NNS cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 12 , , , cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 13 Chinese chinese JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 14 provincial provincial JJ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 15 government government NN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 16 says say VBZ cord-352635-yrq58n4k 161 17 -Reuters -Reuters . cord-352635-yrq58n4k 162 1 Presumed Presumed NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 162 2 Asymptomatic Asymptomatic NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 162 3 Carrier Carrier NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 162 4 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-352635-yrq58n4k 162 5 of of IN cord-352635-yrq58n4k 162 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP