id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-306284-bj8u0dtk Kimathi, Mark Age-structured model for COVID-19: Effectiveness of social distancing and contact reduction in Kenya 2020-11-10 .txt text/plain 3678 211 59 Similar to other countries in sub-Saharan Africa, the Kenyan government has imposed travel restrictions across counties, dusk-to-dawn curfew and school closure to ensure social distancing in the population and consequently slowed transmission of COVID-19. In this study, an age-structured SEIR mathematical model that examines the impact of NPIs in curbing COVID-19 severity and deaths in Kenya is developed, with the aim of achieving the following; (i) assessing the impact of reducing social contacts in different age-groups, (ii) examining the trend in infections during and after the NPIs, (iii) providing plausible period for lifting the NPIs. We postulate that this study can form a basis for policy formulation to enable Kenya delay the disease transmission and eventually flatten the epidemic curve. To show the impact of the highlighted measures in Kenya, we present results for daily and cumulative infections, severe and critical cases, deaths, as well as peak demand for hospital and ICU beds. ./cache/cord-306284-bj8u0dtk.txt ./txt/cord-306284-bj8u0dtk.txt