id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-306784-0cmekxs0 Malmberg, Hannes Inflow restrictions can prevent epidemics when contact tracing efforts are effective but have limited capacity 2020-09-09 .txt text/plain 2404 129 52 title: Inflow restrictions can prevent epidemics when contact tracing efforts are effective but have limited capacity When a region tries to prevent an outbreak of an epidemic, two broad strategies are available: limiting the inflow of infected cases by using travel restrictions and quarantines or limiting the risk of local transmission from imported cases by using contact tracing and other community interventions. Regulating λ is particularly important when the contact tracing system is close to being overwhelmed by new cases arriving from elsewhere, in which case even moderate reductions in λ can strongly reduce the probability of an epidemic outbreak. By contrast, if contact tracing is effective but has limited capacity, there can still be an epidemic because of an overload of the system, and travel restrictions will affect the probability that such an overload happens. ./cache/cord-306784-0cmekxs0.txt ./txt/cord-306784-0cmekxs0.txt