id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-326579-vz8n2jsj Keeling, Matt J Efficacy of contact tracing for the containment of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) 2020-06-22 .txt text/plain 3730 169 48 Results Taking recent estimates for COVID-19 transmission we predict that under effective contact tracing less than 1 in 6 cases will generate any subsequent untraced infections, although this comes at a high logistical burden with an average of 36 individuals traced per case. Results Taking recent estimates for COVID-19 transmission we predict that under effective contact tracing less than 1 in 6 cases will generate any subsequent untraced infections, although this comes at a high logistical burden with an average of 36 individuals traced per case. Conclusions The current contact tracing strategy within the UK is likely to identify a sufficient proportion of infected individuals such that subsequent spread could be prevented, although the ultimate success will depend on the rapid detection of cases and isolation of contacts. 7 8 Here we leverage detailed social network data from the UK to model both transmission and the act of tracing, and identify the implications of early contact tracing for containment of a novel pathogen, using parameters for the novel coronavirus (COVID-19). ./cache/cord-326579-vz8n2jsj.txt ./txt/cord-326579-vz8n2jsj.txt