id sid tid token lemma pos cord-285105-72v6qufw 1 1 key key NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 1 2 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 1 cord-285105 cord-285105 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 2 - - HYPH cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 3 72v6qufw 72v6qufw CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 4 authors author NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 5 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 6 Vierlboeck Vierlboeck NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 7 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 8 Maximilian Maximilian NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 9 ; ; : cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 10 Nilchiani Nilchiani NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 11 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 12 Roshanak Roshanak NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 13 R R NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 14 ; ; : cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 15 Edwards Edwards NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 16 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 17 Christine Christine NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 18 M M NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 19 title title NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 20 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 21 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 22 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 23 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 24 Passover Passover NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 25 Blip Blip NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 26 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 27 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 28 York York NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 29 City City NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 30 date date NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 31 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 32 2020 2020 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 33 - - HYPH cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 34 04 04 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 35 - - SYM cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 36 17 17 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 37 journal journal NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 38 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 39 nan nan NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 40 DOI DOI NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 41 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 42 10.1101/2020.04.14.20065300 10.1101/2020.04.14.20065300 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 43 sha sha NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 44 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 45 ec03292e5b03b42261c400a361840d7f22c6abf3 ec03292e5b03b42261c400a361840d7f22c6abf3 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 46 doc_id doc_id CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 2 47 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 3 1 285105 285105 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 3 2 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 3 3 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 4 1 72v6qufw 72v6qufw CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 4 2 Abstract Abstract NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 4 3 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 4 4 Executive Executive NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 4 5 Summary Summary NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 4 6 - - , cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 1 When when WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 3 comes come VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 4 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 5 pandemics pandemic NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 6 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 7 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 9 currently currently RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 10 present present JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 11 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 13 1 1 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 16 various various JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 17 issues issue NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 18 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 19 problems problem NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 20 arise arise VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 21 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 22 infrastructures infrastructure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 23 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 24 institutions institution NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 5 25 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 1 Due due IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 2 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 3 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 4 extreme extreme JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 5 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 6 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 7 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 8 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 9 hospitals hospital NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 10 potentially potentially RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 11 running run VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 12 out out IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 13 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 14 beds bed NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 15 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 16 medical medical JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 17 equipment equipment NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 18 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 20 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 21 essential essential JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 22 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 23 lower lower VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 25 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 26 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 27 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 28 create create VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 29 enough enough JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 30 space space NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 31 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 32 attend attend VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 33 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 34 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 35 affected affected JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 36 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 37 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 38 allow allow VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 39 enough enough JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 40 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 41 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 42 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 43 vaccine vaccine NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 44 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 45 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 46 developed develop VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 6 47 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 1 Unfortunately unfortunately RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 3 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 4 requires require VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 5 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 6 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 7 put put VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 8 into into IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 9 place place NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 10 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 11 upheld uphold VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 12 long long RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 13 enough enough RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 14 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 15 reduce reduce VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 17 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 18 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 19 sufficiently sufficiently RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 7 20 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 2 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 3 paper paper NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 4 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 6 describe describe VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 7 research research NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 8 simulating simulate VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 9 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 10 influences influence NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 11 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 13 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 14 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 15 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 17 spread spread NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 18 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 20 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 21 using use VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 22 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 23 York York NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 24 City City NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 25 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 26 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 27 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 29 Section Section NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 30 IV IV NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 32 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 33 especially especially RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 34 already already RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 35 observed observe VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 36 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 37 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 38 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 39 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 40 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 41 during during IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 42 holidays holiday NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 43 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 44 2 2 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 45 - - SYM cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 46 4 4 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 8 47 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 9 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 9 2 Section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 9 3 V v NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 9 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 9 5 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 2 multiple multiple JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 3 simulations simulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 4 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 5 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 6 Passover Passover NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 7 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 8 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 9 holidays holiday NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 10 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 12 evaluated evaluate VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 13 25 25 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 14 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 16 50 50 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 17 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 18 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 19 75 75 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 20 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 21 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 22 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 23 100 100 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 24 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 25 temporary temporary JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 26 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 27 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 28 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 29 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 30 using use VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 31 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 32 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 33 close close JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 34 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 35 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 36 currently currently RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 37 reported report VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 38 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 39 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 40 reference reference NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 41 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 42 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 43 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 44 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 45 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 46 bioterrorism bioterrorism NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 47 research research NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 48 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 49 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 50 ' ' `` cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 51 normal normal JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 52 ' ' '' cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 53 baseline baseline NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 54 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 55 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 10 56 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 2 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 3 general general JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 4 finding finding NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 5 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 7 simulations simulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 8 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 9 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 10 singular singular JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 11 events event NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 12 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 13 increased increase VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 14 visits visit NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 15 / / SYM cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 16 contacts contact NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 17 amplify amplify VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 18 each each DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 19 other other JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 20 disproportionately disproportionately RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 21 if if IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 22 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 23 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 24 happening happen VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 25 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 26 close close JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 27 proximity proximity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 29 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 30 intervals interval NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 32 together together RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 11 33 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 2 second second JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 3 general general JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 4 observation observation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 5 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 6 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 7 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 8 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 9 spikes spike NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 10 leave leave VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 11 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 12 permanently permanently RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 13 increased increase VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 14 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 15 devastating devastating JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 16 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 17 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 18 behind behind RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 19 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 20 even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 21 after after IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 22 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 23 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 24 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 25 returns return NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 26 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 27 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 28 reduced reduce VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 29 one one CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 12 30 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 2 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 3 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 4 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 5 temporary temporary JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 6 sustained sustained JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 7 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 8 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 9 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 10 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 11 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 12 just just RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 13 three three CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 14 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 15 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 16 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 17 row row NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 18 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 20 aftermath aftermath NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 21 results result NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 22 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 23 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 24 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 25 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 26 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 27 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 28 up up IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 29 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 30 40 40 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 31 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 32 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 33 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 34 causes cause VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 35 double double PDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 36 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 37 fatalities fatality NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 38 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 39 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 40 long long JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 41 run run NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 13 42 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 2 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 3 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 4 given give VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 5 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 6 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 7 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 8 25 25 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 9 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 10 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 11 50 50 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 12 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 13 seem seem VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 14 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 15 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 16 most most RBS cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 17 likely likely RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 18 given give VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 20 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 21 seen see VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 22 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 23 Germany Germany NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 24 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 25 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 26 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 27 weekend weekend NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 28 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 29 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 30 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 31 2 2 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 32 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 33 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 35 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 36 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 37 simulations simulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 38 show show VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 39 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 40 following follow VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 41 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 43 compared compare VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 44 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 45 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 46 realistic realistic JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 47 reference reference NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 48 run run NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 50 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 51 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 52 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 53 temporary temporary JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 54 25 25 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 55 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 56 surge surge NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 57 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 58 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 59 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 60 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 61 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 62 total total JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 63 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 64 grew grow VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 65 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 66 215,880 215,880 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 67 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 68 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 69 maximum maximum NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 70 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 71 required require VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 72 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 73 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 74 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 75 increased increase VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 76 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 77 63,063 63,063 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 78 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 79 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 80 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 81 total total JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 82 fatalities fatality NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 83 climbed climb VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 84 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 85 8,844 8,844 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 86 accumulated accumulate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 87 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 88 90 90 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 89 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 14 90 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 1 As as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 2 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 4 50 50 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 5 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 6 surge surge NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 7 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 9 saw see VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 11 total total JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 12 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 13 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 14 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 15 rise rise VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 16 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 17 461,090 461,090 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 18 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 20 maximum maximum JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 21 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 22 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 23 required require VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 24 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 25 increase increase VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 26 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 27 79,733 79,733 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 28 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 29 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 30 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 31 total total JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 32 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 33 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 34 fatalities fatality NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 35 climb climb VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 36 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 37 19,125 19,125 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 38 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 39 90 90 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 40 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 41 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 42 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 15 43 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 1 All all RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 2 in in RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 3 all all DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 4 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 6 conclude conclude VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 7 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 8 even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 9 very very RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 10 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 11 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 12 temporary temporary JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 13 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 14 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 15 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 16 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 17 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 18 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 19 disproportionate disproportionate JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 20 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 21 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 22 result result VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 23 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 24 unrecoverable unrecoverable JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 25 phenomena phenomenon NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 26 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 27 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 28 hardly hardly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 29 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 30 reversed reverse VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 31 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 32 managed manage VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 33 later later RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 16 34 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 2 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 3 show show VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 4 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 5 phenomena phenomena JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 6 before before IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 7 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 8 might may MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 9 develop develop VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 10 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 11 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 12 reality reality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 17 13 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 2 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 3 important important JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 4 because because IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 5 phenomena phenomenon NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 6 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 7 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 9 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 10 blip blip NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 11 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 12 impact impact VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 13 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 14 hospitals hospital NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 15 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 16 reality reality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 18 17 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 4 warn warn VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 5 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 6 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 7 wave wave NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 8 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 9 infections infection NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 10 due due JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 11 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 12 increased increase VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 13 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 14 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 15 during during IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 16 Passover Passover NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 17 / / SYM cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 18 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 19 might may MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 20 come come VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 21 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 22 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 23 result result NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 24 ! ! . cord-285105-72v6qufw 19 25 " " '' cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 1 A a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 2 Pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 3 Is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 5 Worldwide Worldwide NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 6 Spread Spread NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 7 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 8 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 9 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 10 Disease Disease NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 11 " " '' cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 13 5 5 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 20 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 2 above above RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 3 mentioned mention VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 4 definition definition NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 5 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 7 WHO who WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 8 describes describe VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 9 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 10 current current JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 11 global global JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 12 situation situation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 13 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 14 regard regard NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 15 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 17 virus virus NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 18 named name VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 20 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 21 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 22 emerged emerge VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 23 world world NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 24 wide wide JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 25 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 26 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 27 past past JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 28 months month NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 21 29 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 1 As as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 2 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 4 writing writing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 5 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 6 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 7 paper paper NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 9 April April NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 10 13 13 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 13 there there EX cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 14 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 15 1,848,439 1,848,439 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 16 confirmed confirm VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 17 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 18 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 19 world world VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 20 wide wide JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 21 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 22 117,217 117,217 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 23 confirmed confirm VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 24 deaths death NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 25 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 26 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 27 200 200 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 28 countries country NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 29 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 30 1 1 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 31 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 22 32 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 2 virus virus NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 3 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 4 confirmed confirm VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 5 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 6 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 7 transmissible transmissible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 8 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 9 human human JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 10 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 11 human human JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 13 6 6 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 14 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 15 7 7 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 17 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 18 has have VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 19 constantly constantly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 20 been be VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 21 spreading spread VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 22 due due IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 23 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 24 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 25 between between IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 26 individuals individual NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 23 27 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 2 problem problem NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 3 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 5 spread spread NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 6 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 7 though though RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 8 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 9 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 10 while while IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 12 seems seem VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 13 like like IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 14 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 15 simple simple JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 16 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 17 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 18 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 20 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 21 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 22 complex complex JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 23 system system NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 24 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 25 does do VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 26 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 27 necessarily necessarily RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 28 behave behave VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 29 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 30 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 31 linear linear JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 32 way way NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 24 33 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 1 Thus thus RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 3 predictions prediction NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 4 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 5 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 6 difficult difficult JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 7 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 9 actual actual JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 10 behavior behavior NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 11 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 13 whole whole JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 14 system system NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 16 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 17 therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 18 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 19 outcome outcome NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 20 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 21 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 22 fatalities fatality NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 23 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 24 infrastructure infrastructure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 25 strain strain NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 26 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 27 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 28 hard hard JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 29 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 30 evaluate evaluate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 25 31 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 1 One one CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 2 way way NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 3 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 4 conduct conduct VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 5 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 6 evaluations evaluation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 7 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 8 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 9 design design VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 10 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 11 representative representative JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 12 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 13 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 14 simulates simulate VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 15 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 16 mimics mimic VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 17 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 18 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 19 world world NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 20 phenomena phenomena JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 21 as as RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 22 close close RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 23 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 24 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 26 25 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 1 With with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 2 such such PDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 3 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 4 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 5 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 6 certain certain JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 8 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 9 influences influence NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 10 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 11 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 12 assessed assess VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 13 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 14 modifying modify VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 16 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 17 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 18 observing observe VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 19 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 20 reaction reaction NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 21 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 22 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 23 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 24 what what WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 25 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 26 paper paper NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 27 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 28 about about IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 27 29 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 1 Due due IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 2 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 4 importance importance NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 5 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 7 above above RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 8 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 9 transmission transmission NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 10 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 11 human human JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 12 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 13 human human JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 14 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 16 involved involve VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 17 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 18 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 20 research research NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 21 presented present VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 22 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 23 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 24 following following JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 25 paragraphs paragraph NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 26 took take VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 27 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 28 look look NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 29 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 30 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 31 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 32 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 33 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 34 between between IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 35 humans human NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 36 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 37 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 38 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 39 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 40 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 41 using use VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 42 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 43 York York NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 44 City City NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 45 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 46 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 47 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 48 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 49 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 50 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 51 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 52 determine determine VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 53 what what WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 54 factors factor NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 55 play play VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 56 what what WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 57 role role NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 58 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 59 how how WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 60 certain certain JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 61 influences influence NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 62 interact interact VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 28 63 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 3 various various JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 4 simulations simulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 5 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 6 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 7 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 8 assessed assess VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 9 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 10 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 11 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 12 discovered discover VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 13 different different JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 14 behaviors behavior NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 15 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 16 potential potential JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 17 emergent emergent JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 18 phenomena phenomenon NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 19 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 20 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 21 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 22 dependent dependent JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 23 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 24 different different JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 25 factors factor NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 29 26 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 2 second second JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 3 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 4 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 5 describe describe VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 7 research research NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 8 methodology methodology NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 9 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 11 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 12 utilized utilize VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 13 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 14 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 15 simulations simulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 16 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 17 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 18 how how WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 20 specific specific JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 21 simulations simulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 22 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 23 conducted conduct VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 30 24 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 1 Section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 2 III III NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 3 describes describe VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 5 assumptions assumption NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 6 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 7 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 8 made make VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 9 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 10 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 11 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 12 design design VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 13 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 14 set set VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 15 up up RP cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 17 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 18 as as RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 19 well well RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 20 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 21 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 22 involved involved JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 23 parameter parameter NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 24 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 25 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 26 result result NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 31 27 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 1 Section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 2 IV IV NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 3 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 4 V v NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 5 then then RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 6 demonstrate demonstrate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 7 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 8 discuss discuss VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 9 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 10 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 11 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 12 likely likely JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 13 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 14 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 15 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 16 show show VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 17 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 18 behavior behavior NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 19 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 20 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 21 system system NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 22 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 23 certain certain JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 24 emergent emergent JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 25 phenomena phenomenon NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 32 26 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 1 Lastly lastly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 3 Section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 4 VI VI NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 5 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 6 summarize summarize VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 7 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 8 discuss discuss VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 9 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 10 outcomes outcome NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 11 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 12 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 13 give give VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 14 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 15 outlook outlook NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 16 how how WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 17 research research NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 18 might may MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 19 continue continue VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 33 20 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 1 When when WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 2 looking look VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 3 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 4 models model NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 5 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 7 spread spread NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 8 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 9 diseases disease NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 10 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 11 SIR SIR NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 12 models model NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 13 present present VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 14 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 15 simple simple JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 16 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 17 easy easy JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 18 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 19 adapt adapt VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 20 starting start VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 21 point point NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 22 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 23 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 24 situations situation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 34 25 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 1 SIR SIR NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 2 stands stand VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 3 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 4 " " `` cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 5 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 6 - - HYPH cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 7 infectiveremoved infectiveremoved JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 8 " " '' cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 9 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 10 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 11 first first RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 12 proposed propose VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 13 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 14 Kermack Kermack NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 15 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 16 McKendrick McKendrick NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 17 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 18 1927 1927 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 20 8 8 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 35 22 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 2 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 3 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 4 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 5 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 6 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 7 differential differential JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 8 system system NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 9 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 10 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 11 multiple multiple JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 12 factors factor NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 13 depend depend VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 14 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 15 each each DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 16 other other JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 17 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 18 determine determine VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 20 behavior behavior NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 21 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 22 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 23 three three CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 24 levels level NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 25 S S NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 26 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 27 I -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 28 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 29 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 36 30 R. R. NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 2 equations equation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 3 herein herein RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 4 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 5 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 6 follows follow VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 8 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 9 see see VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 10 9 9 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 11 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 12 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 13 With with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 14 these these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 15 equations equation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 16 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 17 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 18 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 19 system system NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 20 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 21 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 22 derived derive VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 23 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 24 models model VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 25 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 26 current current JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 27 situation situation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 28 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 29 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 30 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 31 spread spread NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 32 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 33 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 34 simplified simplified JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 35 way way NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 37 36 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 1 Since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 2 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 3 aforementioned aforementioned JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 4 infrastructure infrastructure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 5 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 6 hospital hospital NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 7 strain strain NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 8 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 9 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 10 importance importance NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 11 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 13 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 14 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 17 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 18 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 19 modified modify VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 20 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 21 include include VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 22 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 23 delays delay NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 24 due due JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 25 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 26 incubation incubation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 27 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 28 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 29 portion portion NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 30 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 31 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 32 infected infected JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 33 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 34 who who WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 35 would would MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 36 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 37 go go VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 38 directly directly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 39 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 40 " " `` cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 41 infected infect VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 42 " " '' cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 43 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 44 " " `` cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 45 removed remove VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 46 " " '' cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 47 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 48 rather rather RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 49 move move VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 50 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 51 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 38 52 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 1 From from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 2 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 3 then then RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 4 there there EX cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 5 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 6 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 7 options option NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 8 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 9 either either CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 10 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 11 delayed delay VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 12 demise demise NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 13 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 14 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 15 individual individual NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 16 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 17 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 18 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 19 delayed delay VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 20 recovery recovery NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 21 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 22 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 23 adds add VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 25 individual individual JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 26 back back RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 27 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 39 28 R. R. NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 1 These these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 2 additions addition NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 3 modify modify VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 5 equations equation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 6 above above IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 7 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 8 follows follow VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 9 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 10 add add VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 11 equations equation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 13 IV IV NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 15 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 17 VIII VIII NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 19 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 20 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 21 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 22 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 23 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 24 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 25 these these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 26 parameters parameter NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 27 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 28 setup setup NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 29 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 30 Vensim Vensim NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 32 10 10 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 33 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 34 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 35 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 36 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 37 calculation calculation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 38 steps step NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 39 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 40 one one CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 41 day day NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 40 42 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 1 A a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 2 flowchart flowchart NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 3 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 5 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 6 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 7 depicted depict VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 8 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 9 Figure figure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 10 1 1 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 11 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 13 right right NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 41 14 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 1 Based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 2 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 4 equations equation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 5 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 7 structure structure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 8 shown show VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 9 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 10 Figure Figure NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 11 1 1 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 13 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 14 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 15 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 16 designed design VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 17 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 18 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 19 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 20 allow allow VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 21 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 22 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 23 flexible flexible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 24 adjustment adjustment NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 25 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 26 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 27 parameters parameter NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 28 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 29 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 30 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 31 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 32 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 33 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 34 Section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 35 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 42 36 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 1 With with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 2 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 3 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 4 then then RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 5 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 7 chosen choose VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 8 research research NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 9 methodology methodology NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 10 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 11 applied apply VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 12 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 13 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 14 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 15 Maria Maria NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 17 11 11 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 43 19 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 1 Herein herein RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 3 after after IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 5 above above RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 6 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 7 problem problem NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 8 definition definition NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 9 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 10 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 11 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 12 step step NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 13 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 14 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 15 parameters parameter NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 16 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 17 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 18 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 19 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 20 set set VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 21 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 22 yield yield VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 23 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 24 adequate adequate JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 25 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 26 verifiable verifiable JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 27 outcome outcome NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 44 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 1 Such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 2 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 3 verification verification NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 4 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 5 conducted conduct VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 6 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 7 comparing compare VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 9 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 10 results result VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 11 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 12 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 13 world world NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 14 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 15 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 16 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 17 reported report VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 18 during during IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 20 current current JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 21 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 45 22 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 1 Wirth Wirth NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 2 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 3 set set NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 4 parameters parameter NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 6 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 7 see see VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 8 next next JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 9 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 11 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 12 multiple multiple JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 13 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 14 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 15 simulated simulate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 16 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 17 examined examine VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 18 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 19 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 20 various various JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 21 conditions condition NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 22 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 23 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 24 chosen choose VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 25 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 26 always always RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 27 derived derive VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 28 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 29 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 30 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 31 current current JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 32 circumstances circumstance NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 46 33 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 1 These these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 2 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 3 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 4 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 5 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 6 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 8 fourth fourth JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 9 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 10 fifth fifth JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 11 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 47 12 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 2 outcomes outcome NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 3 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 4 compared compare VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 5 as as RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 6 far far RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 7 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 9 different different JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 10 levels level NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 11 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 13 simulations simulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 14 components component NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 15 go go VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 48 16 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 1 For for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 2 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 3 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 5 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 6 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 7 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 8 total total JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 9 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 10 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 11 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 12 compared compare VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 13 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 14 determine determine VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 16 speed speed NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 17 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 18 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 19 spread spread NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 20 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 21 therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 22 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 23 rise rise NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 24 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 25 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 26 total total JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 27 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 28 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 29 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 30 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 49 31 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 1 Another another DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 2 option option NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 3 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 5 comparison comparison NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 6 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 7 evaluation evaluation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 8 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 9 fatality fatality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 10 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 11 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 12 hospital hospital NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 13 strain strain NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 14 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 15 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 16 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 17 assess assess VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 18 how how WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 19 different different JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 20 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 21 effect effect VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 22 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 23 end end NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 24 results result NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 25 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 26 possibly possibly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 27 discover discover VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 28 potential potential JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 29 shortages shortage NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 30 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 31 certain certain JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 32 times time NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 50 33 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 1 These these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 2 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 3 then then RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 4 allowed allow VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 5 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 6 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 7 general general JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 8 evaluation evaluation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 9 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 10 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 12 discovery discovery NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 13 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 14 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 15 main main JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 16 focus focus NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 17 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 18 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 19 paper paper NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 20 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 21 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 22 phenomenon phenomenon NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 23 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 24 called call VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 25 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 26 " " `` cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 27 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 28 Blip Blip NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 29 " " '' cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 31 Section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 32 V v NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 51 34 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 1 Based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 2 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 4 results result NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 5 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 6 predictions prediction NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 7 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 8 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 9 behaviors behavior NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 10 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 12 current current JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 14 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 15 deduced deduce VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 16 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 17 potentially potentially RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 18 support support VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 19 governing governing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 20 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 21 regulating regulating NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 22 decision decision NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 23 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 24 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 25 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 26 avoid avoid VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 27 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 28 mitigated mitigate VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 29 unwanted unwanted JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 30 situations situation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 31 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 32 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 33 high high JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 34 fatality fatality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 35 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 36 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 37 collapse collapse NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 38 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 39 medical medical JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 40 support support NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 41 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 42 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 52 43 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 2 next next JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 3 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 4 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 5 describe describe VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 7 assumptions assumption NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 9 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 10 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 11 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 12 upon upon IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 13 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 14 allow allow VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 15 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 16 simulations simulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 17 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 18 mimic mimic VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 20 current current JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 21 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 22 world world NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 23 behavior behavior NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 24 as as RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 25 far far RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 26 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 27 feasible feasible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 53 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 2 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 3 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 4 design design VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 5 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 6 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 7 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 8 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 9 mimic mimic VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 10 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 11 simulate simulate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 13 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 14 world world NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 16 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 17 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 18 factors factor NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 19 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 20 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 21 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 22 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 23 equations equation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 25 IV IV NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 27 through through IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 29 VIII VIII NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 31 above above RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 32 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 33 had have VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 34 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 35 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 36 set set VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 37 so so IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 38 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 39 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 40 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 41 results result NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 42 would would MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 43 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 44 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 45 accordance accordance NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 46 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 47 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 48 world world NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 49 situations situation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 50 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 51 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 54 52 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 3 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 4 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 5 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 6 outline outline VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 8 assumptions assumption NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 9 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 10 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 11 made make VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 12 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 13 achieve achieve VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 14 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 15 accordance accordance NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 55 16 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 1 Hence hence RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 4 following follow VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 5 sub sub NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 6 - - HYPH cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 7 sections section NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 8 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 9 describe describe VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 10 one one CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 11 parameter parameter NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 12 each each DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 13 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 14 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 15 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 16 York York NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 17 City City NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 19 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 21 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 22 2020 2020 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 23 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 24 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 25 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 26 population population NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 27 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 28 8,398,748 8,398,748 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 29 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 30 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 31 12 12 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 32 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 56 33 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 2 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 3 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 4 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 6 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 7 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 8 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 9 describes describe VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 10 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 11 what what WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 12 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 13 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 14 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 15 population population NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 16 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 17 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 18 infected infect VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 19 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 20 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 21 defined define VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 22 depending depend VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 23 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 24 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 25 factors factor NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 26 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 27 infectivity infectivity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 29 i i NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 31 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 32 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 33 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 34 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 36 c c NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 57 38 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 1 These these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 2 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 3 factors factor NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 4 together together RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 5 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 7 infectious infectious JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 8 population population NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 10 I i NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 12 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 13 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 14 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 15 population population NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 17 S s NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 19 allow allow VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 20 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 21 calculation calculation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 22 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 23 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 24 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 25 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 26 according accord VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 27 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 28 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 29 following following JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 30 formula formula NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 31 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 32 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 33 infectivity infectivity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 35 i i NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 37 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 38 defined define VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 39 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 40 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 41 constant constant NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 42 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 43 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 44 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 45 likelihood likelihood NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 46 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 47 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 48 when when WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 49 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 50 interact interact VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 51 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 52 hence hence RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 53 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 54 derived derive VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 55 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 56 various various JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 57 sources source NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 58 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 59 set set VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 60 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 61 5 5 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 62 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 63 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 64 13 13 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 65 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 66 14 14 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 67 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 68 due due IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 69 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 70 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 71 higher high JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 72 population population NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 73 density density NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 74 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 75 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 76 compared compare VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 77 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 78 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 79 locations location NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 80 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 81 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 82 source source NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 83 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 58 84 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 2 constant constant JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 3 infectivity infectivity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 4 allowed allow VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 5 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 6 modulation modulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 7 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 8 adjustment adjustment NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 9 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 11 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 12 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 13 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 14 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 16 second second JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 17 component component NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 18 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 20 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 21 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 22 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 59 23 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 2 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 3 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 4 furthermore furthermore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 5 used use VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 6 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 7 model model VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 8 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 9 simulate simulate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 10 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 11 word word NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 12 behavior behavior NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 13 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 14 circumstances circumstance NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 15 like like IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 16 social social JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 17 distancing distancing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 18 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 19 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 20 impact impact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 21 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 22 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 23 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 24 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 25 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 26 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 27 population population NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 28 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 29 therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 30 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 31 ideal ideal JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 32 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 33 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 34 modeled model VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 35 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 36 way way NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 60 37 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 1 For for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 2 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 3 general general JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 4 magnitude magnitude NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 5 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 7 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 8 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 9 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 10 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 12 amount amount NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 13 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 14 average average JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 15 contacts contact NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 16 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 17 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 18 per per IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 19 day day NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 20 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 21 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 22 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 23 researched research VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 24 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 25 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 26 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 27 enable enable VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 28 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 29 realistic realistic JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 30 starting starting NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 31 point point NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 32 without without IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 33 any any DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 34 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 35 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 36 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 37 social social JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 38 distancing distancing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 61 39 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 1 Based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 2 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 3 literature literature NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 4 sources source NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 5 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 7 researched research VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 8 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 9 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 10 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 11 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 12 ranged range VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 13 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 14 5 5 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 15 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 16 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 17 who who WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 18 do do VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 19 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 20 use use VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 21 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 22 subway subway NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 23 up up IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 24 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 25 at at RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 26 least least RBS cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 27 10 10 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 28 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 29 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 30 who who WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 31 do do VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 32 utilize utilize VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 33 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 34 subway subway NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 35 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 36 15 15 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 37 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 62 38 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 1 Since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 2 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 3 data data NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 4 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 5 obtained obtain VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 6 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 7 measured measure VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 8 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 9 2003 2003 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 10 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 12 population population NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 13 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 14 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 15 increased increase VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 16 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 17 5 5 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 18 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 19 since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 20 then then RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 21 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 22 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 23 would would MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 24 yield yield VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 25 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 26 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 27 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 28 5.25 5.25 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 29 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 30 12.5 12.5 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 31 today today NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 63 32 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 1 Given give VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 2 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 4 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 5 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 6 subway subway NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 7 users user NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 8 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 9 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 10 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 11 higher high JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 12 than than IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 13 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 14 any any DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 15 other other JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 16 city city NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 17 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 18 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 19 United United NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 20 States States NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 22 16 16 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 24 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 25 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 26 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 27 assumed assume VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 28 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 29 70 70 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 30 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 31 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 32 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 33 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 34 population population NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 35 take take VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 36 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 37 subway subway NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 38 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 39 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 40 daily daily JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 41 basis basis NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 42 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 43 therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 44 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 45 more more RBR cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 46 active active JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 47 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 48 effectively effectively RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 49 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 50 more more JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 51 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 52 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 53 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 54 through through IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 55 surfaces surface NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 64 56 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 1 Together together RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 2 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 4 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 5 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 6 contacts contact NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 7 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 8 non non JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 9 - - JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 10 subway subway JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 11 users user NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 13 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 14 would would MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 15 yield yield VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 16 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 17 average average JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 18 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 19 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 20 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 21 without without IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 22 restrictions restriction NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 23 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 24 social social JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 25 distancing distancing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 26 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 27 10.325 10.325 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 65 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 1 All all RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 2 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 3 all all DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 4 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 6 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 7 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 8 therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 9 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 10 defined define VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 11 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 13 following following JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 14 equation equation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 15 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 16 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 17 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 18 parameters parameter NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 19 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 20 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 21 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 22 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 23 recovery recovery NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 24 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 25 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 26 assumed assume VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 27 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 28 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 29 directly directly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 30 connected connect VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 31 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 32 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 33 infected infected JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 34 person person NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 35 would would MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 36 either either CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 37 recover recover VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 38 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 39 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 40 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 42 see see VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 43 Figure figure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 44 1 1 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 66 46 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 4 recovery recovery NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 5 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 6 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 7 exactly exactly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 9 opposite opposite JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 10 portion portion NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 11 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 13 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 14 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 16 yielding yield VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 17 Since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 18 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 19 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 20 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 21 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 22 strongly strongly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 23 vary vary VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 24 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 25 age age NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 26 group group NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 27 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 28 therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 29 depend depend VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 30 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 31 demographics demographic NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 32 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 33 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 34 average average JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 35 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 36 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 37 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 38 calculated calculate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 39 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 40 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 41 official official JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 42 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 43 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 44 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 45 City City NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 46 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 47 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 48 York York NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 49 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 50 17 17 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 51 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 52 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 53 allow allow VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 54 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 55 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 56 use use NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 57 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 58 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 59 constant constant NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 67 60 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 2 resulting result VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 3 probability probability NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 4 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 5 0.27 0.27 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 6 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 7 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 8 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 9 thus thus RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 10 0.73 0.73 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 11 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 12 recovery recovery NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 68 13 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 1 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 2 Similar Similar NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 3 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 5 last last JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 6 sub sub NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 7 - - NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 8 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 9 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 12 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 13 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 14 hospital hospital NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 15 recovery recovery NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 16 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 17 death death NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 18 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 19 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 20 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 21 assumed assume VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 22 directly directly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 23 connected connect VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 24 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 25 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 26 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 27 person person NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 28 would would MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 29 either either CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 30 recover recover VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 31 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 32 decease decease NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 69 33 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 2 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 3 hospital hospital NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 4 recovery recovery NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 5 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 6 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 7 exactly exactly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 9 opposite opposite JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 10 portion portion NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 11 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 13 death death NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 14 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 16 yielding yield VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 17 Since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 18 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 19 death death NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 20 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 21 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 22 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 23 already already RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 24 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 25 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 26 much much RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 27 higher high JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 28 than than IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 29 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 30 death death NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 31 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 32 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 33 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 34 virus virus NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 35 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 36 general general JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 37 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 38 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 39 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 40 calculated calculate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 41 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 42 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 43 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 44 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 45 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 46 confirmed confirm VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 47 deaths death NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 48 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 49 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 50 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 51 provided provide VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 52 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 53 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 54 City City NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 55 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 56 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 57 York York NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 58 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 59 17 17 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 60 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 61 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 62 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 63 resulted result VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 64 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 65 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 66 death death NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 67 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 68 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 69 0.223 0.223 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 70 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 71 hence hence RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 72 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 73 hospital hospital NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 74 recovery recovery NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 75 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 76 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 77 0.777 0.777 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 70 78 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 1 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 2 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 3 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 4 positive positive JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 6 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 7 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 8 reported report VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 9 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 10 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 11 York York NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 12 City City NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 13 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 14 March March NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 15 1 1 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 16 st st NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 71 17 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 1 Unfortunately unfortunately RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 3 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 4 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 5 only only RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 7 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 8 confirmed confirm VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 9 positive positive JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 10 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 11 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 12 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 13 necessarily necessarily RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 14 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 15 likely likely RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 17 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 18 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 19 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 20 general general JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 72 21 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 1 Throughout throughout IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 2 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 3 spread spread NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 4 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 6 virus virus NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 7 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 8 only only RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 9 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 10 tested test VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 11 positive positive JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 12 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 13 reported report VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 14 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 15 therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 16 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 17 lack lack NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 18 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 19 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 20 who who WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 21 carry carry VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 22 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 23 virus virus NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 24 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 25 but but CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 26 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 27 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 28 aware aware JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 29 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 30 has have VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 31 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 32 continuously continuously RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 33 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 34 assumed assume VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 73 35 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 2 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 3 further far RBR cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 4 exacerbated exacerbate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 5 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 7 fact fact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 8 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 10 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 11 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 12 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 13 carry carry VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 14 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 15 virus virus NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 16 without without IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 17 ever ever RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 18 showing show VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 19 symptoms symptom NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 21 see see VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 22 18 18 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 74 24 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 1 Thus thus RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 4 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 5 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 6 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 7 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 8 resulting result VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 9 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 10 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 11 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 12 has have VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 13 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 14 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 15 way way RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 16 higher high JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 17 than than IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 18 what what WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 20 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 21 data data NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 22 represents represent VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 75 23 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 1 Actual actual JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 2 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 3 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 4 estimation estimation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 5 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 7 unknown unknown JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 8 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 9 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 10 hard hard JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 11 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 12 find find VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 13 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 14 estimations estimation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 15 range range VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 16 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 17 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 18 70 70 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 19 percent percent NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 20 unknown unknown JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 21 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 23 19 19 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 25 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 26 ten ten CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 27 times time NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 28 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 29 confirmed confirm VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 30 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 31 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 32 more more JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 33 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 34 20 20 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 35 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 76 36 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 4 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 5 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 6 unknown unknown JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 7 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 8 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 9 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 10 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 11 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 12 adjusted adjust VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 13 so so IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 14 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 16 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 17 aligned align VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 18 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 19 March March NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 20 1 1 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 21 st st NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 22 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 23 March March NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 24 20 20 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 25 th th XX cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 26 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 27 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 28 reported report VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 29 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 30 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 31 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 77 32 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 2 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 3 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 4 achieve achieve VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 5 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 6 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 8 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 9 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 10 set set VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 11 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 12 15 15 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 13 infections infection NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 14 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 16 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 17 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 18 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 19 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 20 reported report VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 21 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 78 22 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 2 lead lead NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 3 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 4 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 5 realistic realistic JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 6 outcome outcome NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 7 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 9 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 10 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 11 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 12 served serve VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 13 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 14 verification verification NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 15 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 17 design design NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 18 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 20 fatality fatality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 21 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 22 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 23 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 24 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 25 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 26 correlated correlate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 27 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 28 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 29 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 30 when when WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 31 taken take VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 32 into into IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 33 consideration consideration NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 34 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 35 unknown unknown JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 36 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 79 37 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 1 With with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 2 these these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 3 settings setting NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 4 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 6 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 8 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 9 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 11 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 12 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 13 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 14 run run VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 15 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 16 evaluated evaluate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 80 17 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 1 Since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 2 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 3 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 4 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 5 regulations regulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 6 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 7 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 8 put put VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 9 into into IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 10 place place NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 11 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 12 hard hard JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 13 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 14 quantify quantify VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 17 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 18 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 19 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 20 address address VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 21 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 22 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 23 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 24 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 25 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 26 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 27 show show VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 28 how how WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 29 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 30 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 31 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 32 affected affect VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 33 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 34 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 81 35 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 1 Then then RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 4 ensuing ensue VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 5 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 6 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 7 evaluate evaluate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 8 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 9 future future JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 10 occurrences occurrence NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 11 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 12 possibilities possibility NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 82 13 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 2 following follow VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 3 fourth fourth JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 4 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 5 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 6 cover cover VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 7 these these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 8 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 9 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 10 therein therein RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 11 discuss discuss VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 13 general general JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 14 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 15 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 17 variable variable NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 18 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 20 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 21 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 22 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 23 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 24 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 25 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 83 26 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 2 fifth fifth JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 3 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 4 then then RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 5 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 6 discuss discuss VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 7 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 8 show show VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 9 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 10 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 11 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 12 presumably presumably RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 13 likely likely JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 14 phenomenon phenomenon NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 15 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 16 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 17 await await VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 18 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 20 near near JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 21 future future NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 22 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 23 including include VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 24 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 25 implications implication NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 84 26 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 1 As as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 2 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 3 above above RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 4 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 6 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 7 baseline baseline JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 8 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 9 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 10 assess assess VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 11 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 12 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 13 figure figure VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 14 out out RP cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 15 what what WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 16 trajectory trajectory NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 17 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 18 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 19 world world NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 20 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 21 most most RBS cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 22 likely likely RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 23 followed follow VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 24 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 25 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 26 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 27 understand understand VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 28 what what WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 29 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 30 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 31 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 32 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 33 put put VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 34 into into IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 35 place place NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 36 changed change VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 37 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 38 how how WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 39 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 40 affected affect VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 41 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 42 model model NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 85 43 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 1 As as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 2 mentioned mention VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 3 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 5 variable variable NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 6 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 7 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 8 manipulated manipulate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 9 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 10 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 12 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 13 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 14 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 15 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 16 directly directly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 17 affects affect VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 18 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 19 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 20 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 86 21 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 2 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 3 measure measure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 4 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 5 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 6 put put VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 7 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 8 place place NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 9 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 10 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 11 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 12 social social JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 13 distancing distancing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 14 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 16 closing closing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 17 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 18 certain certain JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 19 institutions institution NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 20 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 21 stores store NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 22 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 23 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 24 implemented implement VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 25 immediately immediately RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 87 26 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 2 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 3 accompanied accompany VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 4 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 5 companies company NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 6 moving move VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 7 employees employee NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 8 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 9 work work VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 10 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 11 home home RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 12 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 13 stopping stop VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 14 work work NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 15 all all RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 16 together together RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 88 17 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 1 Official official JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 2 orders order NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 3 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 4 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 5 went go VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 6 into into IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 7 place place NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 8 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 9 March March NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 10 16 16 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 11 th th XX cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 12 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 13 March March NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 14 21 21 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 15 st st NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 16 after after IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 17 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 18 national national JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 19 emergency emergency NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 20 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 21 declared declare VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 22 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 23 March March NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 24 13 13 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 25 th th XX cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 27 see see VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 28 21 21 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 89 30 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 4 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 5 below below RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 6 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 7 constructed construct VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 8 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 9 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 10 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 11 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 12 evaluate evaluate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 13 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 14 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 90 15 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 2 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 3 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 4 run run NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 5 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 7 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 8 dates date NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 9 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 10 utilized utilize VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 11 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 12 introduce introduce VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 13 step step NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 14 reductions reduction NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 15 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 17 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 18 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 19 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 20 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 21 various various JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 22 heights height NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 23 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 25 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 26 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 27 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 28 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 29 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 30 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 31 compared compare VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 32 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 33 form form NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 34 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 35 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 36 graph graph NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 91 37 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 92 1 Figure figure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 92 2 2 2 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 1 Looking look VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 2 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 4 outcome outcome NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 5 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 7 see see VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 8 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 9 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 10 different different JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 11 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 12 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 13 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 14 steps step NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 15 flatten flatten VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 17 curve curve NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 18 significantly significantly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 19 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 20 stretch stretch VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 21 out out RP cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 22 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 23 infections infection NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 93 24 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 1 Looking look VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 2 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 4 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 5 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 6 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 7 April April NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 8 10 10 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 9 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 10 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 11 would would MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 12 correspond correspond VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 13 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 14 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 15 day day NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 16 41 41 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 17 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 18 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 19 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 20 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 21 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 22 fatality fatality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 23 count count NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 24 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 25 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 26 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 27 5,429 5,429 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 28 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 29 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 30 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 31 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 32 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 33 run run NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 34 above above IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 35 that that DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 36 included include VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 37 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 38 steps step NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 39 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 40 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 41 reduction reduction NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 42 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 43 2 2 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 44 each each DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 45 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 94 46 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 1 Unfortunately unfortunately RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 3 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 4 Figure figure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 5 2 2 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 6 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 7 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 8 show show VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 9 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 10 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 11 version version NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 12 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 13 Scenario Scenario NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 14 1 1 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 15 does do VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 16 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 17 do do VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 18 well well RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 19 as as RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 20 far far RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 21 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 22 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 23 reduction reduction NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 24 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 25 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 26 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 27 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 28 goes go VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 29 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 30 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 95 31 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 96 1 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 96 2 fatalities fatality NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 96 3 keep keep VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 96 4 increasing increase VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 96 5 exponentially exponentially RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 96 6 despite despite IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 96 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 96 8 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 96 9 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 2 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 3 due due JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 4 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 6 fact fact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 7 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 9 reductions reduction NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 10 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 11 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 12 significant significant JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 13 enough enough JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 14 overall overall NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 15 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 16 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 17 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 18 helpful helpful JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 19 impact impact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 97 20 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 3 such such PDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 4 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 5 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 6 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 7 while while IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 8 plausible plausible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 9 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 10 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 11 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 12 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 13 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 14 realistic realistic JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 15 since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 16 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 17 put put VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 18 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 19 place place NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 20 do do VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 21 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 22 go go VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 23 into into IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 24 effect effect NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 25 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 26 once once RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 27 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 28 everyone everyone NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 29 adheres adhere VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 30 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 31 them -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 32 immediately immediately RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 33 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 34 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 35 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 36 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 37 go go VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 38 into into IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 39 effect effect NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 98 40 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 3 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 4 continuous continuous JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 5 reduction reduction NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 6 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 7 more more RBR cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 8 realistic realistic JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 9 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 10 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 11 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 12 why why WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 13 such such PDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 14 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 15 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 16 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 17 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 18 presented present VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 19 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 20 evaluated evaluate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 21 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 22 Scenario Scenario NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 23 2 2 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 99 24 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 2 second second JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 3 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 4 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 5 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 6 above above RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 7 alluded allude VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 8 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 9 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 10 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 11 evaluate evaluate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 13 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 14 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 15 gradually gradually RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 16 reduced reduce VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 17 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 18 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 19 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 20 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 21 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 22 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 23 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 24 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 100 25 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 2 way way NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 3 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 5 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 6 decrease decrease VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 7 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 8 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 9 until until IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 10 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 11 reach reach VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 12 certain certain JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 13 events event NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 14 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 15 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 16 limit limit NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 17 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 18 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 19 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 20 more more RBR cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 21 realistic realistic JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 22 since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 23 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 24 adjust adjust VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 25 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 26 new new JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 27 circumstances circumstance NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 28 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 29 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 30 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 31 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 32 regulations regulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 33 gradually gradually RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 34 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 35 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 101 36 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 1 Thus thus RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 4 starting starting NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 5 point point NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 6 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 8 regulations regulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 9 mentioned mention VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 10 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 12 previous previous JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 13 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 14 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 15 used use VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 16 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 17 introduce introduce VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 18 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 19 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 20 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 21 reductions reduction NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 22 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 23 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 24 delay delay NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 25 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 26 one one CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 27 day day NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 102 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 1 For for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 2 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 3 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 5 blue blue JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 6 line line NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 7 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 8 Figure figure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 9 4 4 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 10 indicates indicate VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 11 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 12 reduction reduction NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 13 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 14 1 1 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 15 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 17 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 18 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 19 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 20 after after IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 21 day day NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 22 16 16 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 23 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 24 9 9 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 25 consecutive consecutive JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 26 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 27 until until IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 28 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 29 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 30 reaches reach VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 31 1.325 1.325 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 103 32 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 1 Steps step NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 2 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 3 1 1 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 4 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 5 1.325 1.325 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 6 Steps Steps NNPS cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 7 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 8 1 1 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 9 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 10 1.825 1.825 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 11 Steps Steps NNPS cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 12 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 13 0.5 0.5 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 14 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 15 1.325 1.325 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 16 Steps Steps NNPS cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 17 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 18 0.5 0.5 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 19 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 20 1.825 1.825 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 104 21 4 4 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 105 1 All all DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 105 2 rights right NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 105 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 105 4 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 106 1 No no DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 106 2 reuse reuse NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 106 3 allowed allow VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 106 4 without without IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 106 5 permission permission NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 106 6 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 2 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 3 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 4 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 5 certified certify VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 6 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 7 peer peer NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 8 review review NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 10 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 12 author author NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 13 / / SYM cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 14 funder funder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 16 who who WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 17 has have VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 18 granted grant VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 20 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 21 license license NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 22 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 23 display display VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 25 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 26 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 107 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 2 copyright copyright NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 3 holder holder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 4 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 5 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 6 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 7 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 8 version version NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 9 posted post VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 10 April April NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 11 17 17 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 13 2020 2020 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 14 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 108 15 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 109 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20065300 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20065300 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 109 2 doi doi NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 109 3 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 2 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 3 With with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 4 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 5 data data NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 6 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 8 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 9 see see VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 10 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 12 run run NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 13 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 14 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 15 steps step NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 16 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 17 0.5 0.5 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 18 down down RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 19 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 20 1.825 1.825 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 21 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 22 closest close JJS cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 23 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 24 reality reality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 25 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 26 approaches approach VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 27 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 28 fatality fatality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 29 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 30 currently currently RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 31 reported report VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 110 32 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 4 see see VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 5 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 7 gradual gradual JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 8 reduction reduction NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 9 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 11 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 12 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 13 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 14 leads lead VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 15 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 16 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 17 peak peak NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 18 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 20 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 21 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 22 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 23 then then RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 24 introduces introduce VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 25 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 26 downswing downswing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 27 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 28 successive successive JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 29 upswing upswing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 30 albeit albeit IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 31 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 32 latter latter JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 33 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 34 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 35 lower low JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 36 gradient gradient NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 37 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 38 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 39 Infection Infection NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 40 Rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 41 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 42 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 111 43 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 4 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 5 say say VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 6 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 8 gradual gradual JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 9 reduction reduction NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 10 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 12 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 13 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 14 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 15 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 16 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 17 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 18 measure measure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 19 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 20 control control VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 21 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 23 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 24 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 25 even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 26 hedge hedge VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 27 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 28 upswing upswing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 29 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 30 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 31 virus virus NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 32 spread spread NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 33 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 34 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 35 shown show VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 36 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 37 Figure Figure NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 38 4 4 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 112 39 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 1 So so RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 2 far far RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 3 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 5 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 6 looked look VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 7 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 8 baseline baseline JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 9 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 10 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 11 behave behave VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 13 same same JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 14 way way NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 15 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 16 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 17 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 18 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 19 changes change NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 20 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 21 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 22 linear linear JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 23 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 24 follow follow VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 25 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 26 gradient gradient NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 113 27 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 1 Unfortunately unfortunately RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 3 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 4 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 5 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 6 at at RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 7 all all PDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 9 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 10 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 11 reality reality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 13 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 14 singular singular JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 15 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 16 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 17 term term NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 18 relaxation relaxation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 19 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 20 rules rule NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 21 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 22 temporarily temporarily RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 23 making make VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 24 exceptions exception NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 25 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 26 cause cause VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 27 major major JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 28 changes change NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 29 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 30 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 31 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 32 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 33 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 34 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 35 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 36 brief brief JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 37 period period NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 38 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 39 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 114 40 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 1 Such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 2 events event NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 3 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 4 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 5 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 6 ones one NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 7 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 8 increase increase VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 9 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 10 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 11 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 12 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 13 momentarily momentarily RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 14 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 15 but but CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 16 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 17 longer long JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 18 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 19 periods period NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 20 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 21 show show VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 22 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 23 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 24 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 25 decrease decrease NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 26 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 27 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 28 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 29 seasons season NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 30 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 31 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 32 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 33 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 34 see see VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 35 22 22 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 36 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 115 37 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 1 Since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 2 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 3 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 4 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 5 more more RBR cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 6 critical critical JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 7 than than IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 9 decreases decrease NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 10 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 12 want want VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 13 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 14 take take VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 15 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 16 look look NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 17 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 18 them -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 19 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 20 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 21 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 116 22 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 1 At at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 2 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 3 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 4 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 5 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 6 writing writing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 8 April April NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 9 12 12 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 10 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 11 2020 2020 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 13 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 14 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 15 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 16 happening happen VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 17 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 18 during during IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 19 these these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 20 times time NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 21 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 22 various various JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 23 other other JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 24 religious religious JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 25 holidays holiday NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 26 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 27 happened happen VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 28 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 29 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 30 coming come VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 31 up up RP cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 32 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 33 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 34 near near JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 35 future future NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 117 36 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 1 During during IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 2 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 3 holidays holiday NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 4 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 5 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 6 tend tend VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 7 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 8 congregate congregate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 9 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 10 visit visit VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 11 religious religious JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 12 gatherings gathering NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 13 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 14 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 15 masses masse NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 16 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 17 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 18 visit visit VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 19 family family NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 20 members member NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 118 21 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 1 After after IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 2 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 3 prolonged prolonged JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 4 period period NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 5 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 6 solitude solitude NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 7 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 9 perceived perceive VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 10 need need NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 11 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 12 yearning yearn VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 13 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 14 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 15 close close JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 16 contacts contact NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 17 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 18 understandably understandably RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 19 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 20 there there EX cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 21 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 22 already already RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 23 been be VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 24 reports report NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 25 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 26 planned plan VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 27 gatherings gathering NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 29 4 4 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 31 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 32 measured measure VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 33 significantly significantly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 34 increased increase VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 35 mobility mobility NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 36 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 37 Germany Germany NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 38 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 39 2 2 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 40 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 41 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 42 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 43 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 44 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 45 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 46 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 47 including include VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 48 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 49 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 50 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 51 authors author NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 53 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 54 witnessed witness VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 55 Good Good NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 56 Friday Friday NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 57 gatherings gathering NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 58 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 59 homes home NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 60 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 61 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 62 Jersey Jersey NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 63 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 64 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 65 York York NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 66 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 67 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 68 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 119 69 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 1 These these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 2 phenomena phenomenon NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 3 raise raise VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 5 question question NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 6 what what WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 7 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 8 happen happen VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 9 if if IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 10 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 11 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 12 giving give VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 13 in in RP cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 14 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 15 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 16 yearnings yearning NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 17 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 18 defy defy VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 19 recommendations recommendation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 20 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 21 regulations regulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 120 22 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 1 Hence hence RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 3 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 4 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 5 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 6 look look VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 7 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 8 possibilities possibility NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 9 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 10 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 11 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 12 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 13 estimate estimate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 14 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 15 implications implication NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 16 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 17 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 18 defiance defiance NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 19 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 20 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 21 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 22 enable enable VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 23 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 24 prediction prediction NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 25 regarding regard VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 26 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 27 outcome outcome NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 28 if if IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 29 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 30 cause cause NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 31 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 32 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 33 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 34 prevented prevent VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 121 35 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 1 Scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 2 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 3 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 4 assess assess VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 6 possibility possibility NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 7 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 8 increased increase VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 9 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 10 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 11 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 12 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 13 separate separate JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 14 occasions occasion NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 15 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 16 Scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 17 4 4 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 18 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 19 assess assess VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 20 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 21 periods period NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 22 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 23 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 122 24 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 1 As as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 2 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 3 basis basis NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 4 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 6 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 7 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 9 trajectory trajectory NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 10 closest close JJS cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 11 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 12 reality reality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 13 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 14 Scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 15 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 16 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 17 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 18 utilized utilize VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 123 19 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 1 To to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 2 utilize utilize VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 3 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 4 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 5 life life NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 6 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 8 simulated simulate VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 9 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 10 Run Run NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 11 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 12 Scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 13 2 2 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 14 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 16 steps step NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 17 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 18 0.5 0.5 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 19 down down RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 20 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 21 1.325 1.325 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 22 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 23 implemented implement VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 24 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 25 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 26 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 27 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 28 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 29 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 30 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 31 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 32 Good Good NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 33 Friday Friday NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 34 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 35 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 36 Sunday Sunday NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 124 37 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 2 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 3 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 4 simulate simulate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 5 various various JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 6 severities severity NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 7 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 8 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 9 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 10 four four CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 11 runs run NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 12 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 13 conducted conduct VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 14 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 15 increments increment NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 16 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 17 25 25 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 18 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 19 yielding yield VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 20 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 21 last last JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 22 run run NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 23 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 24 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 25 return return NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 26 all all PDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 27 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 28 way way NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 29 back back RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 30 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 31 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 32 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 33 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 34 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 35 c0 c0 NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 36 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 37 10.325 10.325 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 125 38 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 2 results result NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 3 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 4 depicted depict VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 5 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 6 Figure figure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 7 6 6 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 8 through through IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 9 9 9 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 10 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 12 next next JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 13 pages page NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 14 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 15 discussed discuss VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 16 hereinafter hereinafter RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 126 17 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 2 figures figure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 3 6 6 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 4 through through IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 5 9 9 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 6 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 8 next next JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 9 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 10 pages page NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 11 demonstrate demonstrate VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 13 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 14 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 15 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 16 outbursts outburst NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 17 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 18 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 19 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 20 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 21 few few JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 22 takeaways takeaway NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 23 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 24 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 25 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 26 mentioned mention VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 27 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 28 pointed point VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 29 out out RP cord-285105-72v6qufw 127 30 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 1 First first RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 3 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 4 return return NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 5 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 7 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 8 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 9 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 10 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 11 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 12 " " `` cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 13 normal normal JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 14 " " '' cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 15 state state NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 16 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 17 increase increase VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 18 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 19 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 20 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 21 temporarily temporarily RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 22 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 23 980 980 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 24 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 25 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 26 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 27 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 28 day day NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 29 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 30 increased increase VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 31 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 32 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 33 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 34 amplifies amplify VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 35 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 36 second second JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 37 one one NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 128 38 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 2 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 3 due due JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 4 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 6 decrease decrease NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 7 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 8 between between IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 9 those those DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 10 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 11 dates date NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 12 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 13 being be VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 14 sufficient sufficient JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 15 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 17 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 18 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 19 fight fight VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 20 back back RP cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 21 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 22 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 23 upswing upswing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 24 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 25 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 26 limited limited JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 27 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 129 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 3 these these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 4 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 5 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 6 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 7 yield yield VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 8 hundreds hundred NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 9 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 10 thousands thousand NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 11 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 12 new new JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 13 infections infection NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 14 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 15 thus thus RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 16 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 17 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 18 even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 19 double double VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 20 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 21 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 22 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 23 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 24 patients patient NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 130 25 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 1 Second second RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 3 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 5 long long JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 6 run run NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 7 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 8 these these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 9 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 10 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 11 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 12 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 13 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 14 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 15 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 16 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 17 detrimental detrimental JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 18 impacts impact NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 19 when when WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 20 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 21 comes come VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 22 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 23 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 24 fatality fatality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 25 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 26 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 27 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 28 result result NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 29 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 30 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 31 increased increase VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 32 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 131 33 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 2 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 3 worst bad JJS cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 4 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 5 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 6 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 7 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 8 lead lead VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 9 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 10 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 11 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 12 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 13 fatality fatality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 14 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 15 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 16 60 60 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 17 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 18 after after IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 19 90 90 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 20 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 21 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 22 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 23 taking take VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 24 into into IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 25 consideration consideration NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 26 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 27 hospitals hospital NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 28 might may MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 29 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 30 overloaded overload VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 31 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 32 forced force VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 33 into into IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 34 triage triage NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 35 procedure procedure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 36 where where WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 37 limited limited JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 38 resources resource NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 39 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 40 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 41 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 42 allocated allocate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 43 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 44 decisions decision NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 45 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 46 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 47 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 48 made make VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 49 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 50 patients patient NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 51 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 52 receive receive VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 53 treatments treatment NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 54 at at RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 55 all all RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 132 56 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 1 Overall overall RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 3 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 4 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 5 shows show VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 6 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 7 singular singular JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 8 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 9 already already RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 10 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 11 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 12 detrimental detrimental JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 13 impacts impact NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 14 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 15 make make VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 17 difference difference NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 18 between between IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 19 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 20 infrastructure infrastructure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 21 being be VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 22 overloaded overload VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 23 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 24 able able JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 25 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 26 handle handle VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 27 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 28 demand demand NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 133 29 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 2 addition addition NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 3 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 5 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 6 shows show VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 8 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 9 immediately immediately RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 10 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 11 whereas whereas IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 12 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 13 reality reality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 14 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 16 incubation incubation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 17 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 18 might may MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 19 lead lead VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 20 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 21 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 22 delay delay NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 23 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 24 thus thus RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 25 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 26 individuals individual NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 27 infected infect VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 28 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 29 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 30 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 31 potentially potentially RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 32 affect affect VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 33 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 34 medical medical JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 35 infrastructure infrastructure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 36 one one CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 37 week week NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 38 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 39 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 40 weeks week NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 41 later later RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 134 42 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 1 With with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 2 these these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 3 aspects aspect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 4 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 5 mind mind NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 6 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 8 last last JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 9 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 10 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 11 assess assess VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 13 worst bad JJS cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 14 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 15 option option NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 16 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 17 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 18 temporarily temporarily RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 19 sustained sustain VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 20 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 21 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 22 beginning begin VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 23 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 24 page page NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 25 8 8 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 135 26 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 136 1 6 6 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 137 1 All all DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 137 2 rights right NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 137 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 137 4 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 138 1 No no DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 138 2 reuse reuse NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 138 3 allowed allow VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 138 4 without without IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 138 5 permission permission NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 138 6 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 2 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 3 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 4 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 5 certified certify VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 6 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 7 peer peer NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 8 review review NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 10 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 12 author author NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 13 / / SYM cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 14 funder funder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 16 who who WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 17 has have VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 18 granted grant VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 20 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 21 license license NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 22 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 23 display display VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 25 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 26 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 139 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 2 copyright copyright NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 3 holder holder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 4 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 5 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 6 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 7 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 8 version version NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 9 posted post VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 10 April April NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 11 17 17 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 13 2020 2020 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 14 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 140 15 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 1 Rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 2 -Hospitalizations -hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 3 showing show VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 4 how how WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 5 many many JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 6 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 7 require require VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 8 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 9 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 10 Scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 11 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 12 each each DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 13 day day NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 14 after after IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 16 delay delay NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 17 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 18 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 19 incubation incubation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 141 20 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 2 represents represent VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 4 required require VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 5 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 6 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 7 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 8 may may MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 9 exceed exceed VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 11 real real JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 12 capacities capacity NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 13 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 14 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 15 hospitals hospital NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 16 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 17 therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 18 cause cause VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 19 shortage shortage NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 20 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 21 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 22 even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 23 triage triage NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 24 situations situation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 25 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 26 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 27 before before RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 142 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 2 predicted predict VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 3 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 4 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 5 allow allow VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 6 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 7 estimation estimation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 8 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 9 necessary necessary JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 10 resources resource NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 11 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 12 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 13 simulated simulated JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 14 area area NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 143 15 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 144 1 Reference reference NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 144 2 25 25 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 144 3 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 144 4 50 50 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 144 5 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 144 6 75 75 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 144 7 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 144 8 100 100 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 144 9 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 144 10 7 7 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 145 1 All all DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 145 2 rights right NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 145 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 145 4 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 146 1 No no DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 146 2 reuse reuse NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 146 3 allowed allow VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 146 4 without without IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 146 5 permission permission NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 146 6 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 2 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 3 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 4 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 5 certified certify VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 6 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 7 peer peer NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 8 review review NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 10 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 12 author author NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 13 / / SYM cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 14 funder funder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 16 who who WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 17 has have VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 18 granted grant VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 20 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 21 license license NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 22 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 23 display display VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 25 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 26 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 147 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 2 copyright copyright NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 3 holder holder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 4 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 5 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 6 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 7 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 8 version version NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 9 posted post VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 10 April April NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 11 17 17 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 13 2020 2020 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 14 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 148 15 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 2 above above RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 3 descried descried JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 4 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 5 assessed assess VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 6 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 7 singular singular JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 8 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 9 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 10 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 11 might may MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 12 happen happen VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 13 again again RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 14 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 16 future future NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 17 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 18 certain certain JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 19 events event NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 149 20 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 2 leaves leave VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 4 question question NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 5 though though RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 6 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 7 since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 9 last last JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 10 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 11 already already RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 12 showed show VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 13 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 14 interplay interplay NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 15 between between IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 16 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 17 singular singular JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 18 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 19 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 20 how how WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 21 sustained sustained JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 22 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 23 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 24 even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 25 if if IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 26 temporarily temporarily RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 27 limited limit VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 28 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 29 various various JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 30 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 31 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 32 affect affect VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 33 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 34 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 35 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 36 if if IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 37 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 38 reciprocity reciprocity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 39 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 40 multiply multiply VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 150 41 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 3 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 4 last last JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 5 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 6 assesses assess VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 7 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 8 constant constant JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 9 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 10 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 11 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 12 weekend weekend NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 13 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 14 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 15 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 16 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 17 if if IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 18 people people NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 19 would would MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 20 spend spend VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 21 multiple multiple JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 22 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 23 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 24 family family NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 25 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 26 other other JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 27 gathers gather NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 28 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 29 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 30 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 31 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 32 unusual unusual JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 151 33 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 1 Again again RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 3 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 4 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 5 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 6 simulate simulate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 7 various various JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 8 severities severity NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 9 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 10 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 11 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 12 four four CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 13 runs run NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 14 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 15 conducted conduct VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 16 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 17 differences difference NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 18 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 19 25 25 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 20 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 21 yielding yield VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 22 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 23 past past JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 24 run run NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 25 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 26 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 27 return return NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 28 all all PDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 29 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 30 way way NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 31 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 32 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 33 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 34 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 35 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 36 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 37 10.325 10.325 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 38 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 39 three three CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 40 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 42 Good good JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 43 Friday Friday NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 44 through through IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 45 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 46 Sunday Sunday NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 47 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 152 48 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 2 results result NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 3 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 4 depicted depict VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 5 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 6 Figure figure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 7 10 10 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 8 through through IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 9 13 13 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 10 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 12 next next JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 13 pages page NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 14 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 15 discussed discuss VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 16 thereinafter thereinafter NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 153 17 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 1 Figure figure NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 2 14 14 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 3 shows show VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 5 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 6 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 7 180 180 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 8 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 9 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 10 demonstration demonstration NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 11 purposes purpose NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 154 12 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 2 figures figure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 3 resulting result VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 4 from from IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 6 last last JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 7 scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 8 show show VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 9 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 11 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 12 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 13 partially partially RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 14 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 15 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 16 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 17 expected expect VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 18 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 19 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 20 Scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 21 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 22 since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 23 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 24 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 25 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 26 steadily steadily RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 27 rises rise VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 28 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 29 every every DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 30 day day NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 31 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 32 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 33 persists persist VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 34 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 35 therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 36 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 37 impact impact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 38 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 39 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 40 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 41 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 42 when when WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 43 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 44 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 45 back back RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 46 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 47 effect effect NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 48 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 49 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 50 reduced reduce VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 155 51 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 1 For for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 2 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 3 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 4 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 6 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 7 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 8 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 9 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 10 first first JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 11 day day NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 12 after after IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 13 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 14 increased increase VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 15 period period NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 16 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 17 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 18 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 19 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 20 between between IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 21 10 10 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 22 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 23 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 24 40 40 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 25 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 26 higher high JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 27 than than IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 28 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 29 were be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 30 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 31 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 32 respective respective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 33 runs run NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 34 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 35 Scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 36 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 156 37 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 2 means mean VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 3 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 4 each each DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 5 day day NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 7 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 8 persists persist VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 9 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 10 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 11 permanent permanent JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 12 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 13 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 14 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 15 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 16 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 17 even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 18 once once IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 20 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 21 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 22 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 23 goes go VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 24 back back RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 25 down down RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 157 26 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 2 permanent permanent JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 3 influence influence NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 4 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 5 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 6 extreme extreme JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 7 ripple ripple JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 8 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 9 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 11 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 12 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 13 fatality fatality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 14 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 15 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 16 shown show VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 17 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 18 Figures figure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 19 12 12 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 20 _SP cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 21 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 22 13 13 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 23 below below RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 24 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 25 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 26 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 27 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 28 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 29 between between IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 30 8.9 8.9 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 31 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 32 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 33 34.9 34.9 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 34 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 35 higher high JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 36 than than IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 37 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 38 respective respective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 39 runs run NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 40 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 41 Scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 42 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 43 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 44 between between IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 45 29 29 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 46 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 47 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 48 146 146 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 49 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 50 higher high JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 51 than than IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 52 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 53 reference reference NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 54 run run NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 55 ; ; : cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 56 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 57 fatality fatality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 58 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 59 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 60 between between IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 61 6.8 6.8 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 62 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 63 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 64 28.6 28.6 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 65 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 66 higher high JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 67 than than IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 68 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 69 respective respective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 70 runs run NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 71 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 72 Scenario scenario NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 73 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 74 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 75 between between IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 76 21.4 21.4 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 77 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 78 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 79 106 106 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 80 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 81 higher high JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 82 than than IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 83 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 84 reference reference NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 85 run run VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 86 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 87 90 90 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 88 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 158 89 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 1 All all RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 2 in in RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 3 all all DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 4 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 6 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 7 see see VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 8 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 9 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 10 temporarily temporarily RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 11 sustained sustain VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 12 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 13 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 14 only only RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 15 increases increase VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 16 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 17 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 18 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 19 therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 20 causes cause VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 21 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 22 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 23 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 24 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 25 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 26 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 27 existence existence NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 28 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 29 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 30 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 31 affects affect VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 32 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 33 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 34 after after IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 35 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 36 subsidence subsidence NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 37 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 38 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 39 permanently permanently RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 40 increases increase VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 41 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 42 severity severity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 43 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 44 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 45 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 159 46 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 2 allows allow VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 3 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 4 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 5 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 6 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 7 one one CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 8 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 10 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 11 imperative imperative JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 12 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 13 prevent prevent VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 14 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 15 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 16 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 17 any any DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 18 costs cost NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 19 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 20 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 21 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 22 if if IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 23 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 24 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 25 inevitable inevitable JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 26 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 27 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 28 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 29 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 30 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 31 kept keep VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 32 as as RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 33 low low JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 34 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 35 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 36 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 37 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 38 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 39 minimize minimize VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 40 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 41 permanent permanent JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 42 impact impact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 43 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 44 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 160 45 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 161 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 161 2 concludes conclude VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 161 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 161 4 simulations simulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 161 5 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 161 6 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 161 7 assessed assess VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 161 8 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 161 9 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 161 10 research research NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 161 11 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 2 last last JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 3 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 4 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 5 give give VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 6 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 7 overview overview NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 8 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 9 summary summary NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 10 including include VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 11 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 12 conclusion conclusion NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 13 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 14 outlook outlook NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 15 regarding regard VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 16 future future JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 17 research research NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 18 opportunities opportunity NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 19 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 20 plans plan NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 162 21 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 163 1 All all DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 163 2 rights right NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 163 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 163 4 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 164 1 No no DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 164 2 reuse reuse NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 164 3 allowed allow VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 164 4 without without IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 164 5 permission permission NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 164 6 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 2 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 3 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 4 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 5 certified certify VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 6 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 7 peer peer NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 8 review review NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 10 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 12 author author NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 13 / / SYM cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 14 funder funder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 16 who who WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 17 has have VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 18 granted grant VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 20 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 21 license license NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 22 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 23 display display VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 25 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 26 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 165 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 2 copyright copyright NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 3 holder holder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 4 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 5 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 6 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 7 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 8 version version NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 9 posted post VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 10 April April NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 11 17 17 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 13 2020 2020 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 14 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 166 15 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 167 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20065300 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20065300 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 167 2 doi doi NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 167 3 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 167 4 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 167 5 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 167 6 10 10 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 168 1 All all DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 168 2 rights right NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 168 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 168 4 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 169 1 No no DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 169 2 reuse reuse NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 169 3 allowed allow VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 169 4 without without IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 169 5 permission permission NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 169 6 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 2 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 3 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 4 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 5 certified certify VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 6 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 7 peer peer NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 8 review review NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 10 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 12 author author NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 13 / / SYM cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 14 funder funder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 16 who who WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 17 has have VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 18 granted grant VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 20 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 21 license license NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 22 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 23 display display VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 25 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 26 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 170 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 2 copyright copyright NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 3 holder holder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 4 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 5 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 6 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 7 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 8 version version NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 9 posted post VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 10 April April NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 11 17 17 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 13 2020 2020 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 14 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 171 15 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 172 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20065300 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20065300 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 172 2 doi doi NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 172 3 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 173 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 173 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 2 previous previous JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 3 sections section NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 4 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 5 shown show VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 6 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 8 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 9 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 10 such such PDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 11 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 12 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 13 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 14 complex complex JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 15 systems system NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 16 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 17 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 18 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 19 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 20 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 21 no no DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 22 means means NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 23 linear linear JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 24 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 25 predictable predictable JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 26 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 27 mere mere JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 28 extrapolation extrapolation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 174 29 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 1 Even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 2 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 4 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 5 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 7 current current JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 8 standings standing NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 9 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 10 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 11 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 12 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 13 maybe maybe RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 14 even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 15 returns return VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 16 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 17 " " `` cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 18 normal normal JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 19 " " '' cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 20 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 21 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 22 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 23 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 24 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 25 detrimental detrimental JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 26 outcomes outcome NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 27 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 28 cause cause VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 29 permanent permanent JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 30 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 31 impossible impossible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 32 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 33 cure cure VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 34 even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 35 when when WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 36 caught catch VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 37 early early RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 175 38 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 2 two two CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 3 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 4 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 5 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 6 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 7 4 4 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 8 demonstrated demonstrate VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 9 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 10 even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 11 single single JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 12 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 13 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 14 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 15 show show VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 16 these these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 17 behaviors behavior NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 18 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 19 temporarily temporarily RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 20 sustained sustain VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 21 ones one NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 22 increase increase VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 23 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 24 amplify amplify VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 25 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 26 impact impact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 27 through through IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 28 reciprocity reciprocity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 176 29 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 2 simulations simulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 3 have have VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 4 shown show VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 5 that that WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 6 increases increase VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 7 permanently permanently RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 8 increase increase VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 9 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 10 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 11 after after IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 12 subsidence subsidence NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 13 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 14 as as RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 15 much much JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 16 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 17 40 40 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 18 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 19 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 20 higher high JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 21 surges surge NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 22 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 23 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 24 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 25 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 26 return return NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 27 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 28 " " `` cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 29 normal normal JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 30 " " '' cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 31 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 32 therefore therefore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 33 100 100 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 34 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 35 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 36 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 37 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 38 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 39 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 40 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 41 would would MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 42 increase increase VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 43 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 44 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 45 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 46 temporarily temporarily RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 47 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 48 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 49 1,000 1,000 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 50 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 177 51 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 1 These these DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 2 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 3 ripple ripple VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 4 through through IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 6 system system NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 7 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 8 impact impact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 9 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 10 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 11 ultimately ultimately RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 12 fatalities fatality NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 13 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 14 increasing increase VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 15 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 16 former former JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 17 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 18 as as RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 19 much much JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 20 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 21 146 146 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 22 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 23 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 25 peak peak NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 26 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 27 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 28 latter latter JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 29 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 30 as as RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 31 much much JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 32 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 33 106 106 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 34 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 35 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 36 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 37 worst bad JJS cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 38 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 39 compared compare VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 40 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 41 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 42 references reference NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 43 without without IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 44 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 45 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 178 46 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 2 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 3 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 4 given give VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 5 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 6 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 7 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 8 25 25 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 9 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 10 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 11 50 50 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 12 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 13 seem seem VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 14 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 15 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 16 most most RBS cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 17 likely likely RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 18 given give VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 20 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 21 seen see VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 22 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 23 Germany Germany NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 24 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 25 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 26 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 27 weekend weekend NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 28 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 29 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 30 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 31 2 2 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 32 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 33 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 35 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 36 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 37 simulations simulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 38 show show VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 39 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 40 following follow VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 41 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 43 compared compare VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 44 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 45 realistic realistic JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 46 reference reference NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 47 run run NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 49 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 50 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 51 temporary temporary JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 52 25 25 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 53 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 54 surge surge NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 55 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 56 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 57 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 58 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 59 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 60 total total JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 61 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 62 grew grow VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 63 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 64 215,880 215,880 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 65 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 66 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 67 maximum maximum NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 68 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 69 required require VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 70 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 71 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 72 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 73 increased increase VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 74 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 75 63,063 63,063 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 76 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 77 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 78 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 79 total total JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 80 climb climb NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 81 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 82 fatalities fatality NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 83 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 84 8,844 8,844 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 85 accumulated accumulate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 86 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 87 90 90 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 88 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 179 89 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 1 As as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 2 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 4 50 50 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 5 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 6 surge surge NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 7 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 9 saw see VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 11 total total JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 12 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 13 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 14 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 15 rise rise VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 16 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 17 461,090 461,090 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 18 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 20 maximum maximum JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 21 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 22 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 23 required require VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 24 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 25 increase increase VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 26 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 27 79,733 79,733 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 28 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 29 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 30 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 31 total total JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 32 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 33 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 34 fatalities fatality NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 35 climb climb VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 36 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 37 19,125 19,125 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 38 over over IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 39 90 90 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 40 days day NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 41 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 42 NYC NYC NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 180 43 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 1 In in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 2 conclusion conclusion NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 3 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 5 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 6 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 7 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 8 demonstrated demonstrate VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 9 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 10 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 11 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 12 any any DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 13 kind kind NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 14 have have VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 15 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 16 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 17 prevent prevent JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 18 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 19 any any DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 20 costs cost NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 21 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 22 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 23 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 24 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 25 permanently permanently RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 26 impact impact VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 27 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 28 progress progress NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 29 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 30 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 31 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 32 containment containment NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 181 33 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 1 If if IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 2 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 3 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 4 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 5 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 6 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 7 prevented prevent VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 8 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 10 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 11 imperative imperative JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 12 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 13 keep keep VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 14 them -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 15 as as RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 16 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 17 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 18 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 19 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 20 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 21 if if IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 22 necessary necessary JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 23 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 24 separate separate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 25 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 26 peaks peak NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 27 as as RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 28 much much RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 29 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 30 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 31 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 32 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 33 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 34 allow allow VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 35 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 36 regulation regulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 37 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 38 mitigation mitigation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 39 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 40 between between IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 182 41 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 3 other other JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 4 mitigation mitigation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 5 strategies strategy NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 6 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 7 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 8 stricter strict JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 9 regulations regulation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 10 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 11 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 12 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 13 possibility possibility NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 14 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 15 mitigate mitigate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 16 already already RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 17 happened happen VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 18 singular singular JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 19 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 183 20 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 1 As as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 2 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 3 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 5 previous previous JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 6 section section NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 7 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 8 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 9 results result NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 10 obtained obtain VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 11 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 12 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 13 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 14 possess possess VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 15 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 16 certain certain JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 17 predictive predictive JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 18 power power NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 19 within within IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 20 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 21 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 22 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 23 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 24 show show VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 25 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 26 phenomena phenomena NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 27 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 28 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 29 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 30 increases increase NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 31 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 32 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 33 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 34 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 35 implications implication NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 36 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 37 before before IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 38 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 39 develop develop VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 40 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 41 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 42 reality reality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 184 43 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 2 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 3 especially especially RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 4 important important JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 5 when when WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 6 it -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 7 comes come VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 8 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 9 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 10 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 11 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 13 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 14 increases increase VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 15 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 16 rates rate NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 17 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 18 even even RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 19 short short JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 20 phenomena phenomenon NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 21 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 22 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 23 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 24 described describe VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 25 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 26 Blip Blip NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 27 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 28 significantly significantly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 29 impact impact VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 30 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 31 hospitals hospital NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 32 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 33 reality reality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 185 34 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 1 Thus thus RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 3 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 4 results result NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 5 allow allow VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 6 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 7 predictions prediction NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 8 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 9 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 10 extent extent NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 11 when when WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 12 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 13 wave wave NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 14 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 15 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 16 result result NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 17 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 18 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 19 increase increase NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 20 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 21 infection infection NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 22 numbers number NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 23 might may MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 24 come come VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 186 25 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 2 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 3 allow allow VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 4 authorities authority NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 5 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 6 assign assign VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 7 resources resource NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 8 accordingly accordingly RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 9 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 10 at at IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 11 least least JJS cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 12 prepare prepare VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 13 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 14 possible possible JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 15 impacts impact NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 16 especially especially RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 17 since since IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 18 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 19 seen see VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 20 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 21 reality reality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 22 already already RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 23 shows show VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 25 trajectory trajectory NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 26 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 27 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 28 evaluated evaluate VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 29 scenarios scenario NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 30 [ [ -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 31 2 2 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 32 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 33 3 3 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 187 35 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 1 As as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 2 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 3 future future JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 4 research research NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 5 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 6 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 7 outlook outlook NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 8 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 9 other other JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 10 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 11 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 12 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 13 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 14 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 15 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 16 protective protective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 17 gear gear NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 18 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 19 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 20 public public NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 21 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 22 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 23 assessed assess VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 24 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 25 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 26 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 27 might may MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 28 reduce reduce VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 29 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 30 infectivity infectivity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 31 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 32 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 33 effective effective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 34 contact contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 35 rate rate NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 36 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 37 example example NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 188 38 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 1 This this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 2 would would MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 3 allow allow VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 4 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 5 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 6 selective selective JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 7 use use NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 8 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 9 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 10 measures measure NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 11 wherever wherever WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 12 necessary necessary JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 13 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 14 order order NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 15 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 16 purposefully purposefully RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 17 utilize utilize VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 18 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 19 effects effect NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 189 20 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 3 other other JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 4 branches branch NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 5 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 6 population population NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 7 areas area NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 8 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 9 planned plan VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 10 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 11 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 12 researched research VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 13 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 14 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 15 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 16 EMTs emt NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 17 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 18 police police NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 19 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 20 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 21 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 22 impact impact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 23 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 25 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 26 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 27 such such JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 28 forces force NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 29 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 30 also also RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 31 important important JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 32 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 33 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 34 general general JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 35 public public JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 36 safety safety NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 190 37 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 2 see see VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 3 that that IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 4 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 5 current current JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 6 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 7 impacts impact VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 8 all all PDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 9 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 10 lives life NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 11 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 12 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 13 most most RBS cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 14 likely likely RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 15 continue continue VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 16 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 17 do do VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 18 so so RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 19 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 20 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 21 as as IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 22 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 23 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 24 time time NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 25 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 26 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 27 writing writing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 28 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 29 an an DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 30 unexpected unexpected JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 31 future future NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 191 32 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 1 Fortunately fortunately RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 2 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 3 research research NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 4 conducted conduct VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 5 allows allow VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 6 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 7 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 8 mimicking mimicking NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 9 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 11 reality reality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 12 with with IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 13 predictive predictive JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 14 power power NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 15 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 17 will will MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 18 continue continue VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 19 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 20 adjust adjust VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 21 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 22 models model NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 23 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 24 include include VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 25 any any DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 26 new new JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 27 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 28 important important JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 29 occurrences occurrence NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 192 30 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 1 Staying stay VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 2 home home RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 3 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 4 social social JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 5 distancing distancing NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 6 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 7 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 8 most most RBS cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 9 powerful powerful JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 10 weapons weapon NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 11 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 12 fighting fight VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 13 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 14 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 16 but but CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 17 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 18 only only RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 19 work work VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 20 if if IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 21 everyone everyone NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 22 participates participate VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 23 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 24 wide wide RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 25 spread spread VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 26 individual individual JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 27 exceptions exception NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 28 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 29 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 30 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 31 granted grant VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 32 nor nor CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 33 accepted accept VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 34 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 35 they -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 36 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 37 sabotage sabotage VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 38 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 39 whole whole JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 40 mission mission NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 193 41 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 1 Let let VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 2 's -PRON- PRP cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 3 all all DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 4 do do VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 6 part part NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 7 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 8 participate participate VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 9 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 10 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 11 fight fight NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 13 everyone everyone NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 14 can can MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 15 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 16 everyone everyone NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 17 has have VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 18 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 194 19 ! ! . cord-285105-72v6qufw 195 1 Stay stay VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 195 2 safe safe JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 195 3 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 195 4 stay stay VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 195 5 home home RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 195 6 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 195 7 stay stay VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 195 8 healthy healthy JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 195 9 ! ! . cord-285105-72v6qufw 196 1 11 11 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 197 1 All all DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 197 2 rights right NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 197 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 197 4 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 198 1 No no DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 198 2 reuse reuse NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 198 3 allowed allow VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 198 4 without without IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 198 5 permission permission NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 198 6 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 2 which which WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 3 was be VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 4 not not RB cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 5 certified certify VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 6 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 7 peer peer NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 8 review review NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 10 is be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 11 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 12 author author NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 13 / / SYM cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 14 funder funder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 15 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 16 who who WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 17 has have VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 18 granted grant VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 20 a a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 21 license license NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 22 to to TO cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 23 display display VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 24 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 25 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 26 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 199 28 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 1 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 2 copyright copyright NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 3 holder holder NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 4 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 5 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 6 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 7 this this DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 8 version version NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 9 posted post VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 10 April April NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 11 17 17 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 12 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 13 2020 2020 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 14 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 200 15 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 201 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20065300 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20065300 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 201 2 doi doi NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 201 3 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 202 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 202 2 preprint preprint NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 202 3 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 202 4 disease disease NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 202 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 203 1 COVID-19 covid-19 LS cord-285105-72v6qufw 203 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 203 3 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 203 4 COVID-19 COVID-19 VBD cord-285105-72v6qufw 203 5 -Mobility -mobility CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 204 1 Trends trend NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 204 2 Reports report VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 205 1 Deutsche Deutsche NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 205 2 sind sind NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 206 1 immer immer NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 206 2 mehr mehr NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 206 3 unterwegs unterwegs NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 206 4 States States NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 206 5 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 206 6 restricting restrict VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 206 7 Easter Easter NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 206 8 gatherings gathering NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 206 9 amid amid IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 206 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 206 11 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 207 1 Churches church NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 207 2 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 207 3 lawmakers lawmaker NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 207 4 are be VBP cord-285105-72v6qufw 207 5 pushing push VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 207 6 back back RP cord-285105-72v6qufw 207 7 World World NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 207 8 Health Health NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 207 9 Organization Organization NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 207 10 GISAID GISAID NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 207 11 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 208 1 Global global JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 208 2 initiative initiative NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 208 3 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 208 4 sharing share VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 208 5 all all DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 208 6 influenza influenza NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 208 7 data datum NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 209 1 -from -from JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 209 2 vision vision NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 209 3 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 209 4 reality reality NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 210 1 Genome Genome NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 210 2 Composition Composition NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 210 3 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 210 4 Divergence Divergence NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 210 5 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 210 6 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 210 7 Novel Novel NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 210 8 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 210 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 210 10 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 210 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-285105-72v6qufw 211 1 Originating originate VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 211 2 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 1 Chinacell Chinacell NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 2 A a DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 3 contribution contribution NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 4 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 5 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 6 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 7 theory theory NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 8 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 9 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 10 Differential Differential NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 11 Equations Equations NNPS cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 12 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 13 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 14 Biology Biology NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 15 Vensim Vensim NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 16 Software Software NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 17 Introduction introduction NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 18 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 19 modeling modeling NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 20 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 21 simulation simulation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 22 City City NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 23 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 24 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 25 York York NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 212 26 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 213 1 www1.nyc.gov/site/planning/planning-level/nyc-population/currentfuture-populations.page www1.nyc.gov/site/planning/planning-level/nyc-population/currentfuture-populations.page NFP cord-285105-72v6qufw 213 2 Modelling modelling NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 213 3 transmission transmission NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 213 4 and and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 213 5 control control NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 213 6 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 213 7 the the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 213 8 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 213 9 pandemic pandemic NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 213 10 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 213 11 Australia Australia NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 1 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 2 update update NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 3 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 4 Transmission transmission NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 5 5 5 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 6 % % NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 7 or or CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 8 less less JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 9 among among IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 10 close close JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 11 contacts contact NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 12 Bioterrorism Bioterrorism NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 13 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 14 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 15 Modeling Modeling NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 16 Applications Applications NNPS cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 17 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 18 Homeland Homeland NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 19 Security Security NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 214 20 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 1 Philadelphia Philadelphia NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 2 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 3 PA PA NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 4 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 5 Society Society NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 6 for for IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 7 Industrial Industrial NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 8 andApplied andApplied NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 9 Mathematics Mathematics NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 10 Means Means NNPS cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 11 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 12 Transportation transportation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 13 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 14 Work work NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 15 by by IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 16 Selected Selected NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 17 Characteristics Characteristics NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 18 City City NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 19 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 20 New New NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 21 York York NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 215 22 . . . cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 1 www1 www1 WDT cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 2 Presumed Presumed NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 3 Asymptomatic Asymptomatic NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 4 Carrier Carrier NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 5 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 6 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 7 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 8 Estimation Estimation NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 9 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 11 outbreak outbreak NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 12 size size NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 13 in in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 14 Italy Italy NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 15 based base VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 16 on on IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 17 international international JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 18 case case NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 19 exportations exportation NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 20 The the DT cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 21 total total JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 22 number number NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 23 of of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 24 Italian italian JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 25 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 26 cases case NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 27 could could MD cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 28 be be VB cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 29 ' ' `` cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 30 10 10 CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 31 times time NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 32 higher high JJR cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 33 ' ' '' cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 34 than than IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 35 known know VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 36 tally tally NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 37 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 38 according accord VBG cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 39 to to IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 40 one one CD cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 41 official official NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 42 What what WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 43 's be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 44 Closed close VBN cord-285105-72v6qufw 216 45 ? ? . cord-285105-72v6qufw 217 1 What what WP cord-285105-72v6qufw 217 2 's be VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 217 3 Mandatory mandatory JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 217 4 ? ? . cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 1 How how WRB cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 2 Tri Tri NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 3 - - NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 4 State State NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 6 Action Action NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 7 Affects affect VBZ cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 8 Daily Daily NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 9 Life life NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 10 RECURRENT recurrent JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 11 OUTBREAKS outbreak NNS cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 12 OF of IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 13 MEASLES measles NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 14 , , , cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 15 CHICKENPOX chickenpox NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 16 AND and CC cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 17 MUMPS mumps NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 18 : : : cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 19 I. I. NNP cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 20 SEASONAL seasonal JJ cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 21 VARIATION variation NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 22 IN in IN cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 23 CONTACT contact NN cord-285105-72v6qufw 218 24 RATES rate NNS