id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-257056-0z3qiz6p	Kivuti-Bitok, L. W.	System Dynamics Model of Possible Covid-19 Trajectories Under Various Non-Pharmaceutical Intervention Options in Low Resource Setting.	2020-10-08		.txt	text/plain	3840	284	55	We present a population-based System Dynamics Model (SDM) of possible Covid-19 trajectories under various intervention options in the uniqueness of Kenya. Since total lockdown of the country would not be feasible due to possible catastrophic social-economic impact, we assumed a scenario whereby the general population would is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in (which was not certified by peer review) preprint As demonstrated in Fig 11, realistic intervention levels of all the selected non pharmaceutical interventions; effectiveness of physical distancing and hand hygiene at 65%, curfew at 80%, quarantining at 80% and person to person contact at maximum of 30) would result to a delay of peak of Covid-19 cases from 178 th day since first confirmed infection to a peak of 246 th day allowing approximately 67 extra days for preparedness of health care system.	./cache/cord-257056-0z3qiz6p.txt	./txt/cord-257056-0z3qiz6p.txt