id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-257765-ljt9rn8z Ghisolfi, Selene Predicted COVID-19 fatality rates based on age, sex, comorbidities and health system capacity 2020-09-09 .txt text/plain 3980 189 50 Accounting for differences in the distribution of age, sex and relevant comorbidities yields substantial differences in the predicted IFR across 21 world regions, ranging from 0.11% in Western Sub-Saharan Africa to 1.07% for high-income Asia Pacific. To account for the likelihood of higher fatality rates in under-resourced health systems, we adjust the predicted IFRs for differences in the relative odds of infection fatality from childhood respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) between world regions as a proxy for local capacity to treat viral respiratory illnesses. We can test the validity of our core assumption, namely, that variation in age, sex and comorbidity distributions as well as health system capacity explain differences in IFRs across countries by comparing our predicted IFRs to independently measured IFRs. For this exercise, we consider all studies reporting either IFRs or infection rates for populations with available COVID-19 fatalities, which were listed in the systematic review by Meyerowitz-Katz and Merone 17 or retrieved through an online search on July 2. ./cache/cord-257765-ljt9rn8z.txt ./txt/cord-257765-ljt9rn8z.txt