id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-264113-dh74pv64	Garcia Garcia de Alcaniz, J.	Groundbreaking predictions about COVID-19 pandemic duration, number of infected and dead: A novel mathematical approach never used in epidemiology	2020-08-06		.txt	text/plain	2809	202	53	Hundreds of predictions about the duration of the pandemic and the number of infected and dead have been carried out using traditional epidemiological tools (i.e. SIR, SIRD models, etc.) or new procedures of big-data analysis. However, several elegant mathematical approaches, based on physics and probability principles, like the Delta-t argument, Lindy's Law or the Doomsday principle-Carter's catastrophe, which have been successfully applied by scientists to unravel complex phenomena characterized by their great uncertainty (i.e. Human race's longevity; How many more humans will be born before extinction) allow predicting parameters of the Covid-19 pandemic. However, there are some elegant mathematical approaches, based on basic science, physics and probability principles, like the Copernican principle and the Delta-argument, Lindy's Law, the Doomsday principle-Carter's catastrophe, all of which allow predicting complex phenomena characterized by their great uncertainty, as the Covid-19 pandemic is. . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.08.05.20168781 doi: medRxiv preprint Table 3 Predictions about number of infected and dead by COVID-19 based on the Doomsday argument.	./cache/cord-264113-dh74pv64.txt	./txt/cord-264113-dh74pv64.txt