id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-273772-nolyx9g3	Calder-Gerver, G. D.	Real-Time Monitoring of COVID-19 in Scotland	2020-08-02		.txt	text/plain	2405	137	64	As lockdown measures took effect and the transmission rate of SARS-CoV-2 decreased, we required a method to infer the prevailing trajectory of the epidemic from data that were available from Health Protection Scotland (HPS) on a daily basis [1] . Ratios for deaths first fell below 1 on 19 th April, and stayed at around this level for a further two weeks before becoming consistently lower in mid-May. This delayed decline is likely to have been influenced by the fact that the peak for deaths occurred later in care homes than in other settings (Figure 3 ), and also by the increasing proportion of 'tested' deaths being included in the HPS counts (see Figure 2 , where HPS ratios are noticeably higher than those for NRS in late April and early May). The number of COVID-19 patients in hospital and in ICUs at midnight is reported by NHS health boards on a daily basis.	./cache/cord-273772-nolyx9g3.txt	./txt/cord-273772-nolyx9g3.txt