id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-274339-gj9wjkoo Swanson, D. A. A Simple Method for Estimating the Number of Unconfirmed COVID-19 Cases in a Local Area that Includes a Confidence Interval: A Case Study of Whatcom County, Washington 2020-05-05 .txt text/plain 2060 119 61 title: A Simple Method for Estimating the Number of Unconfirmed COVID-19 Cases in a Local Area that Includes a Confidence Interval: A Case Study of Whatcom County, Washington We go on to show how a confidence interval can be constructed around an estimate of positive, unconfirmed COVID-19 cases constructed from this method, using Whatcom County, Washington as a case study. We conclude with the application of these steps to Whatcom County, Washington to obtain an estimate of its number of positive, unconfirmed cases along with 95% lower and upper confidence limits. In adapting the censal-ratio method to estimate the number of positive, unconfirmed COVID-19 cases, we revise equations [1] and [2] as follows . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.30.20086181 doi: medRxiv preprint Developing a Confidence Interval Swanson and Tayman (2012: 189-191) describe how inferential measures such as the coefficient of variation can be obtained from censal-ratio methods. ./cache/cord-274339-gj9wjkoo.txt ./txt/cord-274339-gj9wjkoo.txt