id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-289722-cc05jqb6	Bendtsen Cano, Oliva	COVID-19 Modelling: the Effects of Social Distancing	2020-03-30		.txt	text/plain	2511	129	60	Day 55 is used for initiating social distancing since the simulations here showed 337 dead and 5486 sick consistent with reported numbers on 23 March 2020 when the United Kingdom initiated lockdown. In the case of perfect social distancing the mortality rate is only 0.04% (21474 dead) and the epidemic is resolved by day 90 with the number of people sick peaking on day 70. In the case of a more relaxed social distancing with R 0 = 0.50 the mortality rate is 0.13% (79781 dead) without having the epidemic resolved by day 250 and with the number of people sick peaking on day 71. Finally, if the social distancing is relaxed to R 0 = 0.75 we observe a much later peak in the number of people sick on day 112 and also a much larger mortality rate of 0.55% (330964 dead).	./cache/cord-289722-cc05jqb6.txt	./txt/cord-289722-cc05jqb6.txt