id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-302774-ekw2oxw2	Lin, Gary	Explaining the Bomb-Like Dynamics of COVID-19 with Modeling and the Implications for Policy	2020-04-07		.txt	text/plain	4452	234	53	Given the mounting evidence that potentially large fractions of the population are asymptomatic, the weaker priors that generate the high R0 values to fit the data required assumptions about the epidemiology of COVID-19 that do not fit with the biology, particularly regarding the timeframe that people remain infectious. Our results suggest that models of transmission assuming a relatively lower R0 value that do not consider a large number of asymptomatic cases can result in misunderstanding of the underlying dynamics, leading to poor policy decisions and outcomes. Our goal was to estimate the ranges of parameters that would fit the data of the beginning of an outbreak in a country, assuming that initially the effects of distancing and other measures to control the disease are largely absent and thus the data are largely representative of the transmission dynamics but that some proportion of the infected population is not observed.	./cache/cord-302774-ekw2oxw2.txt	./txt/cord-302774-ekw2oxw2.txt