id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-309950-nutxlvmm	Vieira, André	Rapid Estimation of Excess Mortality during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Portugal -Beyond Reported Deaths	2020-09-17		.txt	text/plain	2735	151	58	To understand the overall impact on mortality of the pandemic of COVID-19, we estimated the excess mortality registered in Portugal during the first month of the epidemic, from March 16 until April 14 using two different methods. For estimating total EM, we calculated the historical average and respective Standard Deviation (SD) of the number of daily all-cause mortality for the last 10 years, between January 1 and April 14. We considered Relevant Excess Mortality (REM) when the daily observed values exceed the estimated average value of deaths for each day plus corresponding 2 SDs or if they exceed the limits of the 95% confidence interval in the Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. In the study period, 599 deaths were registered by COVID-19, so we estimate that the excess of non-COVID-19 Mortality (EMnC) was 615 deaths (1214 -599), due to other causes natural causes not directly related to the pandemic.	./cache/cord-309950-nutxlvmm.txt	./txt/cord-309950-nutxlvmm.txt