id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-310762-3clh1zv6	Azanza Ricardo, C. L.	The Risk of Lifting COVID-19 Confinement in Mexico	2020-06-02		.txt	text/plain	1715	103	58	In this paper, we projected different scenarios to evaluate sharp or gradual quarantine lifting strategies, however, even in the hypothetical scenario that Mexico would continue with full confinement, hospitals would be reaching the maximum capacity of hospital bed occupancy. Assuming the most optimistic scenario by our predictions, the smallest number of new COVID-19 cases, Mexico would require at least a 3 fold increase in hospital capacities dedicated for COVID-19. which is the peak infection phase, the central problem of pandemic surveillance is not to monitor the growth of In this work, we fit a derivation of the SEIR model for COVID-19 14 using data of the COVID-19 epidemic 30 in Mexico 12 as well as its public health capacities and demographic conditions 11 . With the progressing of information of COVID-19 pandemic as well as new data of infected cases in Mexico, 156 our predictions would be more accurate and hopefully less drastic scenarios.	./cache/cord-310762-3clh1zv6.txt	./txt/cord-310762-3clh1zv6.txt