id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-311195-oee19duz Gostic, Katelyn Estimated effectiveness of symptom and risk screening to prevent the spread of COVID-19 2020-02-24 .txt text/plain 8026 365 45 Next, we assess the overall effectiveness of a screening program by modeling screening outcomes in a hypothetical population of infected travellers, each with a different time since exposure (and hence a different probability of having progressed through incubation to show detectable symptoms). The probability that an infected person is detectable in a screening program depends on: the incubation period (the time from exposure to onset of detectable symptoms); the proportion of subclinical cases (mild cases that lack fever or cough); the sensitivity of thermal scanners used to detect fever; the fraction of cases aware they have high exposure risk; and the fraction of those cases who would self-report truthfully on a screening questionnaire. First, to estimate the probability that an infected individual would be detected or missed we considered a range of plausible values for the mean incubation time, and the fraction of subclinical Table 1 . ./cache/cord-311195-oee19duz.txt ./txt/cord-311195-oee19duz.txt