id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-323943-9916y6x0 Platt, Daniel E Lies, Gosh Darn Lies, and Not Enough Good Statistics: Why Epidemic Model Parameter Estimation Fails 2020-04-21 .txt text/plain 4149 230 46 Therefore, we sought to understand whether the parameters of epidemic models could be determined from the trajectory of infections, recovery, and hospitalizations prior to peak, and also to evaluate the quality and comparability of data between jurisdictions reporting their statistics necessary for the analysis of model parameters across populations. Beside host and viral genetic impacts, other aspects driving SARS-COV-2 rates are population specific and demic, such as the impact of age on both asymptomatic and mild cases, as well as the proportion of severe and critical cases. In this paper, we seek to identify the limitations of using compartmental models to estimate or test hypotheses concerning parameters governing the growth of SARS-COV-2 epidemics. Therefore, infected population growth may be more closely reflected in the fraction of positive results normalized by total number of tests applied, in spite of very highly biased sampling selection. The rate of growth and doubling time may reflect availability and levels of testing more than the actual disease in the population. ./cache/cord-323943-9916y6x0.txt ./txt/cord-323943-9916y6x0.txt