id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-344817-8xz7xbh1 Hens, Niel The COVID-19 epidemic, its mortality, and the role of non-pharmaceutical interventions 2020-04-30 .txt text/plain 2458 163 57 7, 8 A key difference between COVID-19 and seasonal influenza is the very different reproduction number, b, [9] [10] [11] a key quantity that, together with the recovery rate, k, drives the evolution over time of the susceptible, infected and recovered fractions, S(t), I(t) and R(t), respectively. [10] [11] [12] The reproduction number is very different between seasonal influenza, where it is usually around 1.5, and COVID-19, where it is estimated at about 2.5 if medication nor vaccines are available, and no nonpharmaceutical interventions are implemented. The total volume of the epidemic will reduce, as the total fraction of infected population members is roughly equal to 1 -1/ b, but a much more important effect is that the number of infected cases at any point in time remains below the (perhaps enhanced) capacity of the health care system. ./cache/cord-344817-8xz7xbh1.txt ./txt/cord-344817-8xz7xbh1.txt