id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-350001-pd2bnqbp Liu, L. Estimating the Changing Infection Rate of COVID-19 Using Bayesian Models of Mobility 2020-08-07 .txt text/plain 5516 276 53 We propose a hierarchical Bayesian extension to the classic susceptible-exposed-infected-removed (SEIR) compartmental model that adds compartments to account for isolation and death and allows the infection rate to vary as a function of both mobility data collected from mobile phones and a latent time-varying factor that accounts for changes in behavior not captured by mobility data. On the other hand, compartmental models [e.g., 1, 6, 7] assume a flexible, causal story for the spread of a disease and can also incorporate mobility data as a covariate for predicting the time-varying infection rate of a disease. However, most often though we don't know the parameters of the model beforehand, but we do have some data that can provide a learning signal to fit the parameters, One such signal is the daily number of new cases of a disease, which can be predicted by a compartmental model as the change in I + R between each day. ./cache/cord-350001-pd2bnqbp.txt ./txt/cord-350001-pd2bnqbp.txt