id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-354133-11b0d499 Thomas, B. S. Estimating the Case Fatality Ratio for COVID-19 using a Time-Shifted Distribution Analysis 2020-10-27 .txt text/plain 7502 422 60 Analysis is performed for early COVID 19 outbreaks in many countries, and we discuss corrections to CFR values using excess-death and seroprevalence data to estimate the infection fatality ratio (IFR). Most previously published studies make use of a parametrised distribution of times from onset (or hospitalisation) to death, determined from individual case data from early in the outbreak (largely from China) [5, [10] [11] [12] , which is then used in combination with statistical methods to estimate the CFR using population-level data on cases and deaths [5, 10, 11, 13] . This may explain the short delay times for the United Kingdom, Italy, the Netherlands and the USA, as well as many other countries (for example, is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in (which was not certified by peer review) preprint An important conclusion from this analysis concerns the perils in calculating the CFR using established time distributions for onset to death obtained from case studies, as is common. ./cache/cord-354133-11b0d499.txt ./txt/cord-354133-11b0d499.txt