id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-355173-rnley2ow	Ibrahim, R. R.	Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 in Nigeria using Box-Jenkins Modeling Procedure	2020-05-08		.txt	text/plain	3755	165	54	To study the epidemic trend of COVID-19 in mainland China, Hubei province, Wuhan city and other provinces outside Hubei from January 16 to February 14, 2020, Zhu et al., (2020) generated the epidemic curve of the new confirmed cases, multiple of the new confirmed cases for period-over-period, multiple of the new confirmed cases for fixed-base, and the period-over-period growth rate of the new confirmed cases using data from National Health Commission. Using mathematical and statistical models as described in other studies above, study of the trend of the Covid-19 pandemic in Nigeria can provide critical information for responding to outbreaks and understanding the impact of strategies employed by the government in containing the spread of the disease. . https://doi.org/10.1101 As shown in Figure 3 , the daily spread data from April 26 to May 5, 2020, were predicted using the ARIMA(1,1,0) model based on the spread of COVID-19 in Nigeria from February 27 to April 26, 2020, the results of which suggested that the predicted values fitted well with the actual values.	./cache/cord-355173-rnley2ow.txt	./txt/cord-355173-rnley2ow.txt