id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-224211-6lsvjfqb	Schaback, Robert	Modelling Recovered Cases and Death Probabilities for the COVID-19 Outbreak	2020-03-26		.txt	text/plain	814	56	70	title: Modelling Recovered Cases and Death Probabilities for the COVID-19 Outbreak From March 23rd, the data for the recovered cases of COVID-19 are missing from the standard repository maintained by the Johns Hopkins University in collaboration with the WHO. But since data concerning recovered patients are extremely important for modelling the COVID-19 outbreak, a method for estimating the missing data is provided and tested. As a byproduct, it produces estimates for the probabilities to die $k$ days after confirmation, or to survive after $d$ days. The COVID-19 repository [1] at Johns Hopkins University provides cumulative data on • Confirmed infected persons (C) and Authorities only report confirmed cases and deaths, but they say [2] that a person with mild or no symptoms is considered to be recovered after 14 days. This is automatically cumulative and maintains the integrity of person counts between the Confirmed, Deaths, and Recovered.	./cache/cord-224211-6lsvjfqb.txt	./txt/cord-224211-6lsvjfqb.txt