id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	1	key	key	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	2	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	3	cord-342211-y7zxipiz	cord-342211-y7zxipiz	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	4	authors	author	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	5	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	6	Dagpunar	Dagpunar	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	7	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	8	J.	J.	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	9	S.	S.	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	10	title	title	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	11	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	12	Sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	13	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	14	UK	UK	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	15	Covid-19	covid-19	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	16	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	17	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	18	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	19	timing	timing	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	20	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	21	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	22	measures	measure	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	23	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	24	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	25	relaxation	relaxation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	26	date	date	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	27	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	28	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	29	-	-	HYPH
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	30	05	05	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	31	-	-	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	32	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	33	journal	journal	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	34	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	35	nan	nan	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	36	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	1	37	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	2	1	10.1101/2020.05.09.20096859	10.1101/2020.05.09.20096859	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	2	2	sha	sha	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	2	3	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	2	4	9dd79b9be176b6c67d5a2fde62ef4507182f38dd	9dd79b9be176b6c67d5a2fde62ef4507182f38dd	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	2	5	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	2	6	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	2	7	342211	342211	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	2	8	cord_uid	cord_uid	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	2	9	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	3	1	y7zxipiz	y7zxipiz	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	1	In	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	2	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	4	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	5	examine	examine	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	6	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	7	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	8	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	9	total	total	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	10	UK	UK	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	11	Covid-19	covid-19	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	13	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	14	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	15	demand	demand	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	16	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	17	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	18	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	19	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	20	ward	ward	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	21	beds	bed	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	22	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	23	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	24	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	25	timing	timing	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	26	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	27	duration	duration	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	28	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	29	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	30	periods	period	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	31	during	during	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	32	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	33	500	500	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	34	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	35	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	4	36	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	5	1	This	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	5	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	5	3	achieved	achieve	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	5	4	via	via	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	5	5	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	5	6	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	5	7	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	5	8	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	2	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	3	expected	expect	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	4	latent	latent	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	5	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	7	4.5	4.5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	8	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	9	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	10	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	11	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	12	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	13	3.8	3.8	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	14	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	15	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	16	R_0	R_0	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	17	was	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	18	first	first	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	19	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	20	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	21	3.18	3.18	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	22	using	use	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	23	observed	observe	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	24	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	25	rates	rate	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	26	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	27	unmitigated	unmitigated	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	28	spread	spread	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	29	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	30	then	then	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	31	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	32	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	33	effects	effect	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	34	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	35	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	36	total	total	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	37	lock	lock	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	38	down	down	RP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	40	R_0=0.60	R_0=0.60	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	42	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	43	23	23	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	44	March	March	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	6	45	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	2	case	case	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	3	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	4	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	5	given	give	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	6	infection	infection	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	8	taken	take	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	9	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	10	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	11	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	7	12	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	1	Parameter	parameter	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	2	values	value	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	3	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	4	mean	mean	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	5	length	length	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	7	stay	stay	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	8	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	9	conditional	conditional	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	10	probability	probability	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	11	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	12	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	13	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	14	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	15	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	16	non	non	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	17	-	-	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	18	ICU	icu	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	19	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	20	admissions	admission	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	21	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	22	guided	guide	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	23	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	24	Ferguson	Ferguson	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	25	et	et	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	26	al.(2020	al.(2020	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	8	28	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	1	Under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	2	unmitigated	unmitigated	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	3	spread	spread	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	5	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	6	predicts	predict	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	7	around	around	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	8	600,000	600,000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	9	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	10	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	11	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	12	UK	UK	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	9	13	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	1	Starting	start	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	2	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	3	one	one	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	4	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	5	person	person	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	6	at	at	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	7	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	8	zero	zero	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	9	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	10	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	11	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	12	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	13	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	14	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	15	R_0	R_0	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	16	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	17	0.60	0.60	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	18	on	on	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	19	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	20	72	72	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	21	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	22	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	23	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	24	predicts	predict	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	25	around	around	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	26	39,000	39,000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	27	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	28	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	29	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	30	first	first	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	31	wave	wave	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	32	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	33	but	but	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	34	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	35	reduces	reduce	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	36	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	37	around	around	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	38	11,000	11,000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	39	if	if	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	40	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	41	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	42	takes	take	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	43	place	place	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	44	one	one	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	45	week	week	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	46	earlier	early	RBR
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	10	47	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	1	If	if	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	3	initial	initial	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	4	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	5	were	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	6	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	7	place	place	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	8	until	until	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	9	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	10	200	200	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	11	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	12	then	then	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	13	relaxed	relaxed	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	14	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	15	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	16	R_0	R_0	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	17	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	18	1.5	1.5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	19	between	between	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	20	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	21	200	200	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	22	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	23	300	300	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	24	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	25	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	26	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	27	followed	follow	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	28	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	29	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	30	return	return	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	31	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	32	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	33	R_0	R_0	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	34	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	35	0.60	0.60	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	36	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	37	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	38	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	39	predicts	predict	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	40	around	around	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	41	43,000	43,000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	42	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	11	43	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	1	This	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	2	would	would	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	3	increase	increase	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	4	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	5	around	around	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	6	48,000	48,000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	7	if	if	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	8	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	9	release	release	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	10	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	11	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	12	first	first	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	13	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	14	takes	take	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	15	place	place	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	16	one	one	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	17	week	week	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	18	earlier	early	RBR
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	12	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	2	results	result	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	3	indicate	indicate	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	5	extreme	extreme	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	6	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	7	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	8	timing	timing	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	9	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	10	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	11	consequences	consequence	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	12	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	13	even	even	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	14	small	small	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	15	delays	delay	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	16	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	17	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	18	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	19	premature	premature	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	20	relaxation	relaxation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	21	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	22	such	such	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	23	measures	measure	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	13	24	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	1	In	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	2	order	order	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	3	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	4	model	model	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	5	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	6	spread	spread	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	7	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	8	total	total	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	9	Covid-19	covid-19	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	10	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	11	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	12	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	13	UK	UK	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	14	over	over	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	16	next	next	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	17	500	500	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	18	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	19	say	say	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	20	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	21	one	one	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	22	can	can	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	23	build	build	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	24	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	25	detailed	detailed	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	26	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	27	micro	micro	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	28	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	29	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	30	that	that	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	31	includes	include	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	32	spatial	spatial	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	33	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	34	age	age	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	35	heterogeneity	heterogeneity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	36	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	37	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	38	Davies	Davies	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	39	et	et	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	40	al	al	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	14	41	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	15	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	15	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	15	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	15	4	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	15	5	Ferguson	Ferguson	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	15	6	et	et	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	15	7	al	al	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	15	8	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	16	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	16	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	16	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	16	4	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	1	In	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	2	order	order	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	3	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	4	gain	gain	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	5	some	some	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	6	understanding	understanding	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	7	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	8	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	9	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	10	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	11	respect	respect	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	12	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	13	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	14	timing	timing	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	15	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	16	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	17	measures	measure	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	18	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	19	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	20	relaxation	relaxation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	21	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	22	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	23	simple	simple	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	24	deterministic	deterministic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	25	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	26	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	27	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	28	see	see	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	29	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	30	example	example	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	31	Hethcote	Hethcote	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	33	2000	2000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	35	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	36	Blackwood	Blackwood	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	37	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	38	Childs	Childs	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	40	2008	2008	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	42	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	43	can	can	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	44	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	45	useful	useful	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	17	46	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	18	1	That	that	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	18	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	18	3	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	18	4	approach	approach	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	18	5	used	use	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	18	6	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	18	7	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	18	8	paper	paper	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	18	9	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	1	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	3	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	4	compartment	compartment	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	5	based	base	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	6	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	7	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	8	transitions	transition	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	9	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	10	shown	show	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	11	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	12	Diagram	Diagram	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	13	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	19	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	1	S	S	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	2	stands	stand	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	3	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	5	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	7	susceptibles	susceptible	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	8	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	9	those	those	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	10	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	11	have	have	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	12	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	13	yet	yet	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	14	been	be	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	15	infected	infect	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	20	16	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	21	1	Initially	initially	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	21	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	21	3	almost	almost	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	21	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	21	5	entire	entire	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	21	6	population	population	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	21	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	21	8	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	21	9	that	that	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	21	10	category	category	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	21	11	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	1	E	E	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	3	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	4	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	5	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	6	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	7	currently	currently	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	8	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	9	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	10	that	that	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	11	is	is	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	12	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	13	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	14	infected	infect	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	15	but	but	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	16	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	17	yet	yet	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	18	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	22	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	1	After	after	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	2	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	3	latent	latent	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	4	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	5	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	6	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	7	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	8	person	person	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	9	becomes	become	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	10	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	11	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	13	able	able	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	14	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	15	infect	infect	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	16	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	17	persons	person	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	23	18	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	24	1	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	24	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	24	3	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	24	4	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	24	5	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	24	6	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	24	7	currently	currently	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	24	8	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	24	9	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	1	Initially	initially	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	3	both	both	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	4	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	5	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	6	E	E	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	7	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	8	small	small	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	9	numbers	number	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	10	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	11	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	12	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	13	N	n	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	14	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	16	population	population	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	17	size	size	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	25	18	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	26	1	Each	each	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	26	2	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	26	3	person	person	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	26	4	remains	remain	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	26	5	so	so	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	26	6	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	26	7	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	26	8	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	26	9	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	26	10	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	1	An	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	2	infective	infective	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	3	person	person	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	5	one	one	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	6	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	8	either	either	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	9	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	10	or	or	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	11	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	27	12	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	3	R	r	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	4	stands	stand	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	5	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	6	those	those	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	8	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	9	removed	remove	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	10	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	11	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	12	sense	sense	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	13	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	14	have	have	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	15	either	either	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	16	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	17	or	or	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	18	died	die	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	28	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	1	In	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	3	simple	simple	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	4	form	form	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	5	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	6	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	7	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	8	considered	consider	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	9	here	here	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	10	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	12	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	13	that	that	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	29	14	+	+	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	30	1	+	+	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	31	1	+	+	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	31	2	=	=	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	31	3	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	2	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	3	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	5	more	more	RBR
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	6	appropriate	appropriate	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	7	than	than	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	8	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	9	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	10	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	11	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	12	Covid-19	covid-19	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	13	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	14	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	15	does	do	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	16	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	17	separate	separate	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	18	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	19	exposed	exposed	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	20	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	21	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	22	states	state	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	32	23	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	33	1	A	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	33	2	key	key	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	33	3	controllable	controllable	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	33	4	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	33	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	33	6	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	33	7	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	33	8	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	33	9	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	1	which	which	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	3	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	4	expected	expect	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	5	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	7	susceptibles	susceptible	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	8	that	that	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	9	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	10	infector	infector	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	11	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	12	infect	infect	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	13	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	14	when	when	WRB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	16	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	17	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	19	close	close	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	20	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	21	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	34	22	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	3	thought	think	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	4	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	5	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	6	significant	significant	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	7	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	8	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	9	those	those	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	10	infected	infect	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	11	may	may	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	12	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	13	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	14	or	or	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	15	presymptomatic	presymptomatic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	16	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	17	which	which	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	18	case	case	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	19	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	20	might	may	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	21	spend	spend	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	22	all	all	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	23	or	or	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	24	part	part	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	25	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	26	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	27	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	28	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	29	unknowingly	unknowingly	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	30	infecting	infect	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	31	susceptibles	susceptible	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	32	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	33	although	although	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	34	there	there	EX
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	35	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	36	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	37	question	question	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	38	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	39	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	40	how	how	WRB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	41	much	much	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	42	virus	virus	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	43	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	44	shed	shed	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	35	45	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	1	On	on	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	3	other	other	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	4	hand	hand	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	5	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	6	those	those	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	8	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	9	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	10	may	may	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	11	spend	spend	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	12	some	some	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	13	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	14	that	that	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	15	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	16	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	17	self	self	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	19	isolation	isolation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	20	which	which	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	21	reduces	reduce	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	22	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	36	23	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	37	1	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	37	2	them	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	37	3	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	1	One	one	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	2	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	3	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	4	simplifying	simplify	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	5	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	7	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	8	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	9	developed	develop	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	10	here	here	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	12	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	13	people	people	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	14	can	can	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	15	transmit	transmit	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	16	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	17	virus	virus	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	18	throughout	throughout	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	19	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	20	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	21	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	38	22	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	39	1	A	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	39	2	person	person	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	39	3	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	39	4	transition	transition	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	39	5	between	between	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	39	6	these	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	39	7	compartments	compartment	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	39	8	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	2	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	3	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	4	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	5	keep	keep	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	6	track	track	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	7	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	8	how	how	WRB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	9	many	many	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	10	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	11	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	12	each	each	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	13	compartment	compartment	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	14	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	15	noting	note	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	16	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	17	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	18	at	at	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	19	which	which	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	20	people	people	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	21	join	join	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	22	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	23	leave	leave	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	24	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	25	compartment	compartment	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	40	26	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	2	key	key	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	3	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	4	element	element	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	5	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	6	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	7	process	process	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	9	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	10	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	11	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	12	at	at	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	13	which	which	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	14	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	15	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	16	person	person	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	17	infects	infect	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	18	susceptibles	susceptible	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	41	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	42	1	Diagram	Diagram	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	42	2	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	42	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	42	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	42	5	rates	rate	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	42	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	42	7	movement	movement	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	42	8	between	between	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	42	9	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	42	10	compartments	compartment	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	42	11	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	43	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	43	2	mean	mean	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	43	3	latent	latent	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	43	4	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	43	5	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	43	6	periods	period	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	43	7	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	43	8	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	43	9	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	43	10	"	"	''
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	1	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	2	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	3	#	#	$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	4	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	5	while	while	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	6	"	"	``
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	8	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	9	probability	probability	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	10	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	11	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	12	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	13	person	person	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	15	admitted	admit	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	16	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	17	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	44	18	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	1	R3	R3	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	3	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	4	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	5	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	6	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	7	do	do	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	8	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	9	require	require	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	10	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	11	treatment	treatment	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	45	12	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	3	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	4	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	5	all	all	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	6	such	such	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	7	persons	person	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	8	survive	survive	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	9	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	10	but	but	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	11	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	12	may	may	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	13	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	14	more	more	RBR
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	15	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	16	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	17	say	say	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	18	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	19	hindsight	hindsight	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	20	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	21	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	22	may	may	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	23	include	include	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	24	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	25	appreciable	appreciable	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	26	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	27	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	28	people	people	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	29	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	30	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	31	community	community	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	32	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	33	never	never	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	34	went	go	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	35	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	36	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	37	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	38	did	do	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	39	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	40	survive	survive	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	46	41	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	1	In	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	2	that	that	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	3	sense	sense	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	5	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	6	underestimates	underestimate	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	7	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	8	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	9	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	10	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	11	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	47	12	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	2	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	4	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	5	idealisation	idealisation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	7	what	what	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	8	happens	happen	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	9	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	10	practice	practice	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	11	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	12	some	some	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	13	people	people	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	14	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	15	enter	enter	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	16	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	17	while	while	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	18	still	still	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	19	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	20	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	21	some	some	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	22	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	23	self	self	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	25	isolate	isolate	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	26	during	during	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	27	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	28	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	29	state	state	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	48	30	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	49	1	This	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	49	2	can	can	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	49	3	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	49	4	compensated	compensate	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	49	5	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	49	6	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	49	7	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	49	8	suitable	suitable	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	49	9	choice	choice	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	49	10	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	49	11	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	1	Apart	apart	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	2	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	3	predicting	predict	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	5	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	7	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	8	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	10	also	also	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	11	important	important	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	12	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	13	predict	predict	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	14	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	15	demand	demand	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	16	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	17	ward	ward	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	18	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	19	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	20	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	21	beds	bed	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	50	22	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	2	UK	UK	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	3	National	National	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	4	Health	Health	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	5	Service	Service	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	7	NHS	NHS	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	9	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	10	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	11	150,000	150,000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	12	ward	ward	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	13	beds	bed	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	14	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	15	around	around	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	16	4,200	4,200	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	17	Intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	18	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	19	beds	bed	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	51	20	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	1	Clearly	clearly	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	3	one	one	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	4	could	could	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	5	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	6	expect	expect	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	7	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	8	access	access	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	9	all	all	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	10	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	11	these	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	12	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	13	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	14	occupancy	occupancy	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	17	high	high	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	18	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	19	normal	normal	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	20	times	time	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	52	21	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	53	1	There	there	EX
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	53	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	53	3	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	53	4	option	option	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	53	5	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	53	6	building	building	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	53	7	surge	surge	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	53	8	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	53	9	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	1	Ideally	ideally	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	3	that	that	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	4	would	would	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	5	need	need	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	6	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	7	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	8	matched	match	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	9	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	10	similar	similar	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	11	increases	increase	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	12	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	13	medical	medical	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	14	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	15	nursing	nursing	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	16	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	17	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	18	ancillary	ancillary	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	19	staff	staff	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	20	;	;	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	21	equipment	equipment	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	22	such	such	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	23	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	24	ventilators	ventilator	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	25	;	;	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	26	personal	personal	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	27	protective	protective	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	28	equipment	equipment	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	29	;	;	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	30	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	31	testing	testing	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	32	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	33	presence	presence	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	34	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	35	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	36	virus	virus	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	37	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	38	all	all	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	39	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	40	which	which	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	41	have	have	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	42	become	become	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	43	major	major	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	44	issues	issue	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	54	45	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	1	Turning	turn	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	2	now	now	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	3	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	4	what	what	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	5	happens	happen	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	6	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	7	hospitals	hospital	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	8	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	9	Diagram	Diagram	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	10	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	11	gives	give	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	12	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	13	schematic	schematic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	14	view	view	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	15	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	16	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	17	transition	transition	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	18	rates	rate	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	55	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	56	1	S	s	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	56	2	E	e	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	56	3	I	i	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	56	4	R3	r3	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	56	5	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	57	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	57	2	-	-	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	57	3	BY	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	57	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	57	5	International	international	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	57	6	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	58	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	58	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	58	3	made	make	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	58	4	available	available	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	58	5	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	58	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	3	author	author	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	4	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	6	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	11	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	12	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	13	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	14	display	display	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	17	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	59	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	4	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	5	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	7	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	8	version	version	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	10	May	May	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	11	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	60	15	 	 	_SP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	61	1	An	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	61	2	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	61	3	person	person	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	61	4	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	61	5	move	move	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	61	6	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	61	7	probability	probability	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	61	8	"	"	''
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	61	9	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	61	10	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	61	11	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	1	Of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	2	these	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	3	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	4	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	5	#	#	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	6	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	7	never	never	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	8	require	require	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	9	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	10	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	11	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	12	bed	bed	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	13	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	14	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	15	occupy	occupy	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	16	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	17	ward	ward	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	18	bed	bed	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	62	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	1	Of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	2	those	those	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	3	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	4	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	5	#	#	$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	6	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	7	die	die	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	8	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	9	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	10	rest	rest	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	11	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	12	recover	recover	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	63	13	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	64	1	Either	either	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	64	2	way	way	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	64	3	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	64	4	average	average	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	64	5	length	length	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	64	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	64	7	stay	stay	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	64	8	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	64	9	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	64	10	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	65	1	$	$	$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	65	2	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	65	3	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	2	remaining	remain	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	3	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	4	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	5	−	−	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	6	#	#	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	7	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	8	spend	spend	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	9	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	10	average	average	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	11	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	66	12	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	1	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	2	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	3	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	4	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	5	ward	ward	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	6	bed	bed	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	7	followed	follow	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	8	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	9	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	10	average	average	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	11	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	67	12	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	68	1	&	&	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	68	2	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	68	3	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	68	4	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	68	5	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	68	6	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	69	1	A	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	69	2	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	69	3	$	$	$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	69	4	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	69	5	those	those	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	69	6	entering	enter	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	69	7	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	69	8	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	69	9	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	69	10	die	die	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	69	11	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	1	For	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	2	simplicity	simplicity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	3	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	4	those	those	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	5	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	6	recover	recover	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	7	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	8	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	9	re	re	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	10	-	-	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	11	directed	direct	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	12	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	13	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	14	ward	ward	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	15	bed	bed	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	70	16	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	2	symbol	symbol	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	3	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	4	each	each	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	5	compartment	compartment	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	6	gives	give	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	7	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	8	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	9	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	10	persons	person	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	11	currently	currently	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	12	occupying	occupy	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	13	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	14	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	15	#	#	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	16	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	17	$	$	$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	18	being	be	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	19	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	20	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	21	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	22	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	23	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	24	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	25	non	non	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	26	-	-	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	27	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	28	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	29	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	30	patients	patient	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	31	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	71	32	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	72	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	72	2	-	-	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	72	3	BY	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	72	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	72	5	International	international	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	72	6	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	73	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	73	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	73	3	made	make	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	73	4	available	available	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	73	5	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	73	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	3	author	author	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	4	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	6	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	11	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	12	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	13	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	14	display	display	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	17	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	74	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	4	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	5	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	7	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	8	version	version	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	10	May	May	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	11	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	75	15	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	1	https://doi.org/10.1101	https://doi.org/10.1101	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	2	 	 	_SP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	3	Diagrams	Diagrams	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	4	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	5	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	6	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	7	lead	lead	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	8	directly	directly	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	9	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	10	differential	differential	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	11	equations	equation	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	13	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	14	-	-	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	15	8	8	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	76	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	1	In	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	2	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	3	section	section	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	5	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	6	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	7	important	important	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	8	results	result	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	9	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	10	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	11	case	case	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	12	when	when	WRB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	13	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	14	≈	≈	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	15	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	77	16	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	78	1	Equations	equation	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	78	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	78	3	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	78	4	-	-	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	78	5	3	3	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	78	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	78	7	can	can	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	78	8	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	78	9	written	write	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	78	10	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	78	11	 	 	_SP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	2	negative	negative	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	3	root	root	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	4	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	5	give	give	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	7	solution	solution	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	8	that	that	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	9	decays	decay	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	10	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	11	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	12	can	can	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	13	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	14	ignored	ignore	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	15	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	16	see	see	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	17	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	79	18	example	example	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	80	1	Ma	Ma	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	80	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	80	3	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	80	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	80	5	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	1	So	so	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	3	while	while	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	5	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	6	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	8	close	close	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	9	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	10	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	11	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	12	have	have	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	13	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	14	solution	solution	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	15	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	16	where	where	WRB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	17	=	=	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	18	0(234)37(204	0(234)37(204	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	81	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	82	1	'	'	``
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	82	2	384	384	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	82	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	82	4	$	$	$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	82	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	82	6	13	13	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	82	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	82	8	that	that	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	82	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	82	10	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	83	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	83	2	-	-	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	83	3	BY	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	83	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	83	5	International	international	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	83	6	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	84	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	84	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	84	3	made	make	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	84	4	available	available	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	84	5	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	84	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	3	author	author	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	4	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	6	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	11	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	12	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	13	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	14	display	display	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	17	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	85	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	4	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	5	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	7	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	8	version	version	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	10	May	May	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	11	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	86	15	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	87	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.09.20096859	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.09.20096859	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	87	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	87	3	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	88	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	88	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	88	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	88	4	+	+	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	88	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	89	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	89	2	+	+	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	89	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	89	4	=	=	NFP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	89	5	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	90	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	90	2	14	14	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	90	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	2	expected	expect	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	3	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	4	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	5	secondary	secondary	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	6	infections	infection	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	7	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	8	one	one	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	9	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	10	person	person	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	12	For	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	13	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	14	special	special	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	15	case	case	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	16	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	91	17	=	=	NFP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	92	1	Substituting	substitute	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	92	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	92	3	10	10	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	92	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	92	5	into	into	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	92	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	92	7	9	9	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	92	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	1	While	while	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	2	>	>	XX
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	3	0	0	NFP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	5	doubling	double	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	6	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	8	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	9	when	when	WRB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	10	<	<	XX
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	11	0	0	NFP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	12	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	13	halving	halve	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	14	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	17	20	20	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	19	From	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	21	11	11	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	23	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	24	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	25	12	12	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	27	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	28	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	29	all	all	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	30	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	31	change	change	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	32	at	at	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	33	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	34	so	so	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	35	one	one	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	36	could	could	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	37	use	use	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	38	any	any	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	39	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	40	these	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	41	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	42	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	93	43	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	1	In	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	3	UK	UK	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	4	there	there	EX
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	5	were	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	7	large	large	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	8	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	9	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	10	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	11	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	12	persons	person	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	14	including	include	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	15	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	16	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	17	pre	pre	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	18	-	-	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	19	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	21	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	22	were	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	23	never	never	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	24	tested	test	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	25	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	26	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	27	availability	availability	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	28	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	29	tests	test	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	30	changed	change	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	31	markedly	markedly	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	32	over	over	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	33	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	94	34	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	5	felt	feel	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	6	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	7	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	8	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	9	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	10	positive	positive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	11	test	test	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	12	results	result	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	14	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	15	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	16	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	17	proxy	proxy	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	18	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	19	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	20	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	21	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	22	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	23	persons	person	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	95	24	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	96	1	1	1	LS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	1	If	if	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	3	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	4	case	case	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	5	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	6	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	7	then	then	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	8	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	9	expected	expect	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	10	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	11	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	13	up	up	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	14	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	15	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	18	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	19	−	−	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	21	−	−	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	97	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	98	1	where	where	WRB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	98	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	98	3	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	98	4	mean	mean	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	98	5	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	98	6	between	between	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	98	7	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	98	8	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	98	9	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	98	10	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	99	1	Differentiating	differentiate	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	99	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	99	3	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	99	4	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	99	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	99	6	at	at	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	99	7	−	−	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	99	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	99	9	−	−	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	2	Government	Government	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	3	told	tell	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	4	people	people	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	5	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	6	showed	show	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	7	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	8	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	9	stay	stay	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	10	at	at	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	11	home	home	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	13	without	without	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	14	testing	test	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	15	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	16	seven	seven	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	17	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	18	before	before	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	19	contemplating	contemplate	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	20	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	21	admission	admission	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	22	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	100	23	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	101	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	101	2	-	-	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	101	3	BY	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	101	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	101	5	International	international	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	101	6	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	102	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	102	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	102	3	made	make	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	102	4	available	available	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	102	5	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	102	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	3	author	author	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	4	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	6	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	11	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	12	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	13	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	14	display	display	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	17	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	103	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	4	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	5	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	7	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	8	version	version	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	10	May	May	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	11	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	104	15	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	105	1	https://doi.org/10	https://doi.org/10	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	105	2	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	106	1	1101	1101	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	1	For	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	2	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	3	reason	reason	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	4	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	5	was	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	6	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	7	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	8	fitting	fit	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	9	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	10	logarithm	logarithm	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	11	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	12	daily	daily	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	13	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	14	nonparametrically	nonparametrically	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	15	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	16	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	17	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	18	11	11	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	19	March	March	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	20	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	21	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	22	April	April	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	107	23	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	2	dates	date	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	3	were	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	4	selected	select	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	5	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	6	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	7	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	8	largely	largely	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	9	uninfluenced	uninfluenced	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	10	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	11	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	12	gentle	gentle	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	13	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	14	introduced	introduce	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	15	on	on	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	16	16	16	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	17	March	March	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	18	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	19	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	20	full	full	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	21	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	22	beginning	begin	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	23	23	23	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	24	March	March	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	25	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	26	given	give	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	27	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	28	there	there	EX
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	29	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	30	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	31	lag	lag	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	32	between	between	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	33	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	34	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	35	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	36	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	37	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	38	order	order	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	39	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	40	24	24	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	41	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	108	42	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	2	fit	fit	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	3	gave	give	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	4	=	=	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	5	0.189	0.189	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	6	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	7	95	95	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	8	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	9	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	10	interval	interval	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	12	0.172	0.172	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	13	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	14	0.206	0.206	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	16	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	17	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	18	amount	amount	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	19	explained	explain	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	20	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	21	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	22	regression	regression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	23	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	24	$	$	$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	25	=	=	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	26	0.96	0.96	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	109	27	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	2	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	3	doubling	double	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	4	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	5	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	6	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	7	early	early	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	8	stages	stage	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	9	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	10	unmitigated	unmitigated	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	11	spread	spread	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	13	In	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	14	order	order	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	15	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	16	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	110	17	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	1	using	use	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	3	18	18	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	6	need	need	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	7	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	8	only	only	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	9	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	10	but	but	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	11	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	12	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	13	mean	mean	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	14	latent	latent	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	15	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	16	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	17	periods	period	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	111	18	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	112	1	Ferguson	Ferguson	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	112	2	et	et	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	112	3	al	al	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	112	4	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	4	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	5	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	6	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	7	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	8	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	9	5.1	5.1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	10	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	11	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	12	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	13	12	12	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	14	hour	hour	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	15	pre	pre	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	16	-	-	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	17	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	18	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	19	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	20	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	21	some	some	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	22	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	23	together	together	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	24	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	25	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	26	6.5	6.5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	27	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	28	mean	mean	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	29	generation	generation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	30	interval	interval	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	113	31	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	114	1	Anderson	Anderson	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	114	2	et	et	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	114	3	al	al	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	114	4	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	4	thought	think	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	5	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	6	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	7	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	8	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	9	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	10	around	around	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	11	5	5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	12	-	-	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	13	6	6	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	14	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	15	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	16	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	17	serial	serial	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	18	interval	interval	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	19	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	20	similar	similar	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	21	duration	duration	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	115	22	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	116	1	Davies	Davies	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	116	2	et	et	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	116	3	al	al	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	116	4	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	4	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	5	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	6	gamma	gamma	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	7	distributed	distribute	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	8	latent	latent	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	9	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	10	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	11	mean	mean	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	12	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	13	standard	standard	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	14	deviation	deviation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	15	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	16	4	4	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	17	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	18	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	19	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	20	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	21	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	22	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	23	mean	mean	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	24	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	25	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	26	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	27	5.5	5.5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	28	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	29	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	30	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	31	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	32	serial	serial	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	33	interval	interval	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	34	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	35	6.5	6.5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	36	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	117	37	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	1	In	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	2	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	5	take	take	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	6	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	7	mean	mean	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	8	latent	latent	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	9	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	10	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	11	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	12	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	13	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	14	4.5	4.5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	15	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	16	3.8	3.8	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	17	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	18	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	19	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	20	leading	lead	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	21	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	22	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	23	crude	crude	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	24	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	25	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	26	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	27	serial	serial	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	28	interval	interval	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	29	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	30	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	31	4.5	4.5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	118	32	+	+	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	119	1	0.5x3.8	0.5x3.8	NFP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	119	2	=	=	NFP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	120	1	6.4	6.4	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	120	2	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	120	3	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	121	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	121	2	these	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	121	3	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	121	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	121	5	18	18	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	121	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	121	7	gives	give	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	121	8	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	121	9	=	=	NFP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	122	1	3.18	3.18	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	122	2	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	2	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	4	was	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	5	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	6	pertaining	pertain	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	7	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	8	English	english	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	9	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	10	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	11	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	12	date	date	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	13	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	14	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	15	3	3	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	123	16	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	1	This	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	2	data	data	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	3	set	set	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	4	was	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	5	chosen	choose	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	6	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	7	many	many	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	8	other	other	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	9	accessible	accessible	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	10	sets	set	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	11	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	12	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	13	date	date	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	14	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	15	recording	record	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	16	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	17	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	18	which	which	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	19	can	can	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	20	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	21	several	several	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	22	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	23	after	after	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	24	actual	actual	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	25	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	124	26	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	2	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	3	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	5	growth	growth	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	6	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	7	decline	decline	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	8	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	10	similar	similar	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	11	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	12	all	all	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	13	four	four	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	14	countries	country	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	15	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	16	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	17	UK	UK	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	125	18	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	2	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	3	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	4	all	all	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	5	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	6	occur	occur	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	7	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	8	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	9	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	10	applies	apply	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	11	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	12	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	13	entire	entire	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	14	UK	UK	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	15	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	16	population	population	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	17	67	67	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	18	million	million	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	126	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	1	For	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	2	illustrative	illustrative	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	3	purposes	purpose	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	4	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	6	considered	consider	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	7	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	8	although	although	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	9	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	10	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	11	event	event	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	12	many	many	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	13	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	14	occurred	occur	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	15	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	16	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	17	community	community	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	18	including	include	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	19	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	20	homes	home	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	127	21	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	2	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	3	calculates	calculate	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	4	bed	bed	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	5	occupancy	occupancy	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	6	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	7	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	8	ideal	ideal	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	9	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	10	where	where	WRB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	11	all	all	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	12	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	13	need	need	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	14	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	15	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	16	receive	receive	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	17	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	128	18	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	3	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	4	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	5	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	6	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	7	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	8	those	those	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	9	infected	infect	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	10	die	die	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	11	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	12	4.4	4.4	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	13	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	14	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	15	those	those	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	16	infected	infect	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	17	require	require	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	18	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	19	treatment	treatment	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	129	20	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	1	Of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	2	these	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	3	70	70	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	4	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	5	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	6	never	never	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	7	require	require	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	8	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	9	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	10	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	11	spend	spend	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	12	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	13	average	average	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	14	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	15	8	8	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	16	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	17	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	18	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	19	ward	ward	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	20	bed	bed	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	130	21	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	131	1	Of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	131	2	these	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	131	3	11	11	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	131	4	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	131	5	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	131	6	die	die	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	131	7	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	1	Of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	3	remaining	remain	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	4	30	30	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	5	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	6	all	all	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	7	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	8	spend	spend	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	9	6	6	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	10	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	11	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	12	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	13	ward	ward	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	14	followed	follow	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	15	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	16	10	10	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	17	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	18	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	19	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	20	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	21	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	22	50	50	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	23	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	24	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	25	these	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	26	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	27	die	die	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	28	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	29	These	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	30	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	31	values	value	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	32	give	give	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	33	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	34	case	case	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	35	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	36	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	37	given	give	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	38	infection	infection	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	39	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	40	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	41	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	132	42	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	133	1	These	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	133	2	figures	figure	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	133	3	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	133	4	adapted	adapt	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	133	5	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	133	6	those	those	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	133	7	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	133	8	Ferguson	Ferguson	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	133	9	et	et	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	133	10	al	al	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	133	11	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	134	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	134	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	134	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	134	4	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	1	Table	table	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	2	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	3	summarises	summarise	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	5	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	6	results	result	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	7	over	over	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	8	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	9	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	10	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	11	500	500	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	12	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	13	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	14	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	15	initial	initial	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	16	condition	condition	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	17	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	18	one	one	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	19	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	20	person	person	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	21	at	at	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	22	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	23	zero	zero	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	24	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	135	25	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	136	1	=	=	NFP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	137	1	3.18	3.18	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	137	2	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	2	1	1	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	5	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	6	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	7	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	8	required	require	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	9	ward	ward	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	10	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	11	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	12	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	13	beds	bed	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	14	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	15	numbers	number	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	16	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	17	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	18	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	19	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	20	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	21	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	22	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	23	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	24	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	25	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	26	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	27	over	over	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	28	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	138	29	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	1	Of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	2	note	note	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	5	great	great	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	6	speed	speed	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	7	at	at	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	8	which	which	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	9	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	10	disease	disease	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	11	spreads	spread	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	13	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	14	almost	almost	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	15	all	all	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	16	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	17	occurring	occur	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	18	within	within	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	19	70	70	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	20	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	139	21	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	1	Secondly	secondly	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	5	fact	fact	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	6	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	7	at	at	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	8	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	9	peak	peak	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	10	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	11	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	12	wave	wave	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	13	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	14	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	15	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	16	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	17	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	18	heath	heath	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	19	service	service	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	20	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	21	even	even	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	22	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	23	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	24	was	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	25	exclusively	exclusively	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	26	available	available	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	27	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	28	Covid-19	covid-19	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	29	patients	patient	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	30	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	31	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	32	exceeded	exceed	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	33	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	34	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	35	factor	factor	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	36	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	37	around	around	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	38	50	50	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	39	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	40	4	4	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	41	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	42	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	43	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	44	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	45	ward	ward	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	46	beds	bed	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	47	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	140	48	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	141	1	3	3	LS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	141	2	https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/	https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	141	3	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	142	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	142	2	-	-	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	142	3	BY	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	142	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	142	5	International	international	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	142	6	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	143	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	143	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	143	3	made	make	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	143	4	available	available	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	143	5	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	143	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	3	author	author	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	4	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	6	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	11	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	12	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	13	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	14	display	display	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	17	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	144	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	4	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	5	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	7	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	8	version	version	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	10	May	May	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	11	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	145	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	146	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	146	2	102	102	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	146	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	146	4	232,000	232,000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	146	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	146	6	109	109	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	146	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	1	Next	next	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	3	consider	consider	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	5	effect	effect	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	7	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	8	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	9	such	such	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	10	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	11	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	12	one	one	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	13	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	14	on	on	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	15	23	23	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	16	March	March	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	17	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	147	18	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	2	used	use	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	3	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	5	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	6	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	7	period	period	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	8	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	9	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	10	30	30	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	11	April	April	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	12	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	13	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	14	=	=	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	15	−0.054	−0.054	FW
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	16	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	17	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	18	95	95	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	19	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	20	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	21	interval	interval	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	23	-0.058	-0.058	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	24	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	25	-0.050	-0.050	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	27	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	28	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	29	explanatory	explanatory	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	30	$	$	$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	31	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	32	0.96	0.96	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	148	33	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	3	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	4	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	5	halving	halve	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	6	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	7	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	8	declining	decline	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	9	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	10	peak	peak	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	11	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	12	once	once	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	13	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	14	effect	effect	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	15	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	16	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	17	previous	previous	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	149	18	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	1	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	2	3.18	3.18	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	3	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	4	been	be	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	5	largely	largely	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	6	eliminated	eliminate	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	7	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	9	Exposed	expose	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	10	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	11	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	150	12	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	151	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	151	2	-	-	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	151	3	BY	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	151	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	151	5	International	international	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	151	6	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	152	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	152	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	152	3	made	make	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	152	4	available	available	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	152	5	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	152	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	3	author	author	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	4	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	6	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	11	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	12	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	13	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	14	display	display	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	17	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	153	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	4	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	5	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	7	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	8	version	version	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	10	May	May	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	11	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	154	15	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	155	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.09.20096859	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.09.20096859	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	155	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	155	3	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	3	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	4	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	5	behavioural	behavioural	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	6	survey	survey	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	7	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	8	people	people	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	9	's	's	POS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	10	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	11	following	follow	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	12	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	156	13	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	1	Table	table	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	2	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	4	summary	summary	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	5	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	6	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	7	figure	figure	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	8	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	9	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	10	associated	associate	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	11	graphs	graph	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	157	12	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	158	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	158	2	92	92	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	158	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	1	Of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	2	note	note	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	5	speed	speed	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	6	at	at	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	7	which	which	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	8	peak	peak	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	9	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	10	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	12	reached	reach	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	13	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	14	some	some	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	15	16	16	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	16	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	17	after	after	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	18	starting	start	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	19	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	159	20	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	160	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	160	2	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	160	3	Suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	160	4	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	160	5	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	160	6	=	=	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	160	7	0.60	0.60	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	160	8	on	on	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	160	9	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	160	10	72	72	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	2	note	note	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	3	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	4	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	5	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	7	exceeded	exceed	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	8	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	9	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	10	factor	factor	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	11	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	12	3	3	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	13	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	14	while	while	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	15	ward	ward	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	16	bed	bed	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	17	demand	demand	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	19	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	20	25	25	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	21	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	22	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	23	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	161	24	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	162	1	Exposed	exposed	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	162	2	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	162	3	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	162	4	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	163	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	163	2	-	-	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	163	3	BY	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	163	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	163	5	International	international	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	163	6	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	164	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	164	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	164	3	made	make	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	164	4	available	available	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	164	5	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	164	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	3	author	author	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	4	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	6	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	11	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	12	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	13	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	14	display	display	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	17	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	165	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	4	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	5	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	7	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	8	version	version	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	10	May	May	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	11	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	166	15	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	167	1	https://doi.org/10.1101	https://doi.org/10.1101	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	167	2	 	 	_SP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	1	Now	now	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	2	suppose	suppose	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	3	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	5	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	6	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	7	table	table	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	8	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	9	takes	take	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	10	place	place	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	11	one	one	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	12	week	week	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	13	earlier	early	RBR
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	14	on	on	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	15	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	16	65	65	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	168	17	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	1	Table	table	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	2	3	3	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	3	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	4	figure	figure	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	5	3	3	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	6	show	show	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	7	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	8	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	9	results	result	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	11	84	84	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	169	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	2	see	see	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	3	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	4	very	very	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	5	large	large	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	6	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	7	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	8	absolute	absolute	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	9	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	10	numbers	number	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	11	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	12	around	around	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	13	39,000	39,000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	14	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	15	11,000	11,000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	16	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	17	This	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	18	extreme	extreme	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	19	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	20	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	21	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	22	result	result	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	23	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	24	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	25	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	26	rise	rise	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	27	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	28	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	29	numbers	number	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	30	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	31	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	32	hindsight	hindsight	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	33	clearly	clearly	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	34	illustrates	illustrate	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	35	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	36	earlier	early	JJR
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	37	action	action	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	38	was	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	39	needed	need	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	40	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	41	would	would	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	42	have	have	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	43	saved	save	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	44	many	many	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	45	lives	life	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	170	46	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	2	peak	peak	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	3	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	4	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	5	occurs	occur	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	6	16	16	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	7	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	8	after	after	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	9	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	10	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	11	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	12	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	171	13	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	172	1	Exposed	exposed	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	172	2	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	172	3	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	172	4	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	173	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	173	2	-	-	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	173	3	BY	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	173	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	173	5	International	international	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	173	6	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	174	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	174	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	174	3	made	make	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	174	4	available	available	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	174	5	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	174	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	3	author	author	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	4	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	6	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	11	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	12	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	13	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	14	display	display	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	17	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	175	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	4	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	5	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	7	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	8	version	version	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	10	May	May	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	11	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	176	15	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	177	1	https://doi.org/10.1101	https://doi.org/10.1101	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	177	2	9	9	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	177	3	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	1	Releasing	release	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	3	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	4	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	5	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	6	relaxed	relaxed	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	7	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	8	1.5	1.5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	9	A	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	10	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	11	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	12	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	178	13	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	1	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	2	0.60	0.60	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	3	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	4	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	5	72	72	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	6	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	7	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	8	500	500	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	10	unrealistic	unrealistic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	11	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	12	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	13	causes	cause	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	14	great	great	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	15	economic	economic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	16	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	17	societal	societal	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	18	damage	damage	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	19	as	as	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	20	well	well	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	21	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	22	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	23	other	other	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	24	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	25	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	26	morbidity	morbidity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	179	27	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	1	Now	now	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	2	suppose	suppose	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	3	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	5	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	7	figure	figure	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	8	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	10	released	release	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	11	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	12	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	13	more	more	RBR
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	14	relaxed	relaxed	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	180	15	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	181	1	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	181	2	1.5	1.5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	181	3	between	between	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	181	4	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	181	5	200	200	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	181	6	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	181	7	300	300	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	181	8	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	182	1	That	that	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	182	2	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	182	3	mean	mean	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	182	4	there	there	EX
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	182	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	182	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	182	7	second	second	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	182	8	wave	wave	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	183	1	so	so	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	183	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	183	3	limit	limit	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	183	4	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	183	5	effect	effect	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	183	6	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	183	7	suppressing	suppress	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	183	8	again	again	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	183	9	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	183	10	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	184	1	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	184	2	0.60	0.60	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	184	3	between	between	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	184	4	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	184	5	300	300	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	184	6	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	184	7	500	500	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	184	8	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	2	results	result	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	3	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	4	shown	show	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	5	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	6	table	table	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	7	4	4	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	8	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	9	figure	figure	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	10	4	4	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	11	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	185	12	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	186	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	186	2	-	-	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	186	3	BY	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	186	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	186	5	International	international	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	186	6	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	187	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	187	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	187	3	made	make	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	187	4	available	available	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	187	5	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	187	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	3	author	author	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	4	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	6	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	11	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	12	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	13	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	14	display	display	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	17	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	188	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	4	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	5	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	7	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	8	version	version	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	10	May	May	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	11	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	189	15	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	190	1	https://doi.org/10.1101	https://doi.org/10.1101	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	2	total	total	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	3	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	4	have	have	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	5	been	be	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	6	limited	limit	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	7	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	8	around	around	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	9	43,000	43,000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	10	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	11	driving	drive	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	12	down	down	RP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	13	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	14	numbers	number	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	15	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	16	very	very	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	17	low	low	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	18	levels	level	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	19	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	20	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	21	first	first	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	22	wave	wave	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	191	23	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	192	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	192	2	first	first	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	192	3	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	192	4	was	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	192	5	released	release	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	192	6	on	on	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	192	7	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	192	8	200	200	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	192	9	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	1	What	what	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	2	happens	happen	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	3	if	if	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	5	release	release	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	6	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	7	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	8	first	first	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	9	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	11	brought	bring	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	12	forward	forward	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	13	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	14	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	15	200	200	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	16	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	17	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	18	190	190	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	193	19	?	?	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	194	1	Table	table	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	194	2	5	5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	194	3	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	194	4	figure	figure	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	194	5	5	5	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	194	6	show	show	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	194	7	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	194	8	results	result	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	194	9	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	1	Exposed	exposed	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	2	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	3	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	4	 	 	_SP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	5	Ward	Ward	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	6	Beds	Beds	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	7	Intensive	Intensive	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	8	Care	Care	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	9	Beds	Beds	NNPS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	10	Ward	Ward	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	11	Capacity	Capacity	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	12	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	13	Capacity	Capacity	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	195	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	196	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	196	2	-	-	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	196	3	BY	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	196	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	196	5	International	international	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	196	6	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	197	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	197	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	197	3	made	make	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	197	4	available	available	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	197	5	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	197	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	3	author	author	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	4	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	6	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	7	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	11	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	12	license	license	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	13	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	14	display	display	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	15	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	17	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	198	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	4	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	5	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	7	this	this	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	8	version	version	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	10	May	May	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	11	15	15	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	12	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	14	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	199	15	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	200	1	https://doi.org/10.1101	https://doi.org/10.1101	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	2	note	note	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	3	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	5	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	6	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	7	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	9	increased	increase	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	10	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	11	around	around	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	12	5,700	5,700	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	13	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	14	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	15	increase	increase	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	16	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	17	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	18	13	13	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	19	%	%	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	201	20	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	202	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	202	2	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	202	3	constructed	construct	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	202	4	here	here	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	202	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	202	6	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	202	7	simple	simple	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	202	8	one	one	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	202	9	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	203	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	203	2	can	can	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	203	3	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	203	4	compete	compete	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	203	5	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	203	6	detailed	detailed	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	203	7	micro	micro	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	203	8	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	203	9	models	model	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	203	10	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	204	1	Many	many	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	204	2	simplifying	simplify	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	204	3	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	204	4	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	204	5	made	make	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	204	6	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	1	There	there	EX
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	3	much	much	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	4	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	5	about	about	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	6	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	7	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	8	values	value	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	9	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	10	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	11	examples	example	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	12	shown	show	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	205	13	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	1	In	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	2	reality	reality	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	3	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	4	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	5	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	6	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	7	influenced	influence	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	8	by	by	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	9	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	10	degree	degree	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	11	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	12	stress	stress	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	13	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	14	health	health	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	15	system	system	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	17	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	18	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	206	19	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	1	Rather	rather	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	2	than	than	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	3	precise	precise	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	4	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	5	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	6	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	7	intention	intention	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	9	been	be	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	10	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	11	show	show	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	12	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	13	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	14	principles	principle	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	15	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	16	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	17	demonstrate	demonstrate	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	18	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	19	extreme	extreme	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	20	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	21	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	22	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	23	total	total	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	24	number	number	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	25	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	26	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	27	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	28	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	29	timing	timing	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	30	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	31	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	32	measures	measure	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	33	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	34	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	35	release	release	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	36	/	/	SYM
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	37	relaxation	relaxation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	207	38	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	1	Literally	literally	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	3	each	each	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	4	day	day	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	5	's	's	POS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	6	delay	delay	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	7	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	8	starting	start	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	9	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	10	can	can	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	11	result	result	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	12	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	13	thousands	thousand	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	14	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	15	extra	extra	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	16	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	208	17	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	1	After	after	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	3	peak	peak	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	4	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	5	been	be	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	6	passed	pass	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	7	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	9	equally	equally	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	10	important	important	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	11	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	12	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	13	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	14	relaxation	relaxation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	15	so	so	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	16	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	17	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	18	further	further	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	19	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	20	toll	toll	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	22	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	23	excessive	excessive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	209	24	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	1	These	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	2	conclusions	conclusion	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	3	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	5	incontrovertible	incontrovertible	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	6	consequence	consequence	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	7	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	8	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	9	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	10	growth	growth	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	11	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	12	decline	decline	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	13	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	14	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	15	managed	manage	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	210	17	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	1	A	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	2	more	more	RBR
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	3	sophisticated	sophisticated	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	4	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	5	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	6	enable	enable	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	7	more	more	RBR
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	8	precise	precise	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	9	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	10	on	on	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	11	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	13	under	under	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	14	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	15	range	range	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	16	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	17	control	control	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	18	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	19	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	20	such	such	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	21	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	22	shielding	shielding	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	23	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	24	segmentation	segmentation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	25	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	26	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	27	population	population	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	211	28	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	1	These	these	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	2	can	can	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	3	then	then	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	4	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	5	put	put	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	6	alongside	alongside	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	7	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	8	economic	economic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	9	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	10	other	other	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	11	effects	effect	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	12	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	13	prolonged	prolong	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	14	suppression	suppression	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	212	15	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	213	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	213	2	political	political	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	213	3	decisions	decision	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	213	4	can	can	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	213	5	then	then	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	213	6	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	213	7	well	well	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	213	8	informed	informed	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	213	9	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	1	At	at	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	3	time	time	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	4	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	5	writing	writing	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	6	on	on	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	7	9	9	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	8	May	May	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	9	some	some	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	10	47	47	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	11	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	12	after	after	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	13	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	14	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	15	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	16	23	23	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	17	March	March	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	18	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	19	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	20	note	note	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	21	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	22	total	total	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	23	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	24	were	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	25	32,000	32,000	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	26	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	27	rising	rise	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	28	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	29	which	which	WDT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	31	perhaps	perhaps	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	32	quite	quite	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	33	close	close	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	34	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	35	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	36	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	37	considered	consider	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	38	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	39	figure	figure	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	40	2	2	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	214	41	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	1	Comparing	compare	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	2	with	with	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	3	figure	figure	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	4	3	3	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	5	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	6	does	do	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	7	pose	pose	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	8	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	9	question	question	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	10	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	11	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	12	why	why	WRB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	13	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	14	did	do	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	15	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	16	occur	occur	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	17	earlier	early	RBR
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	215	18	?	?	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	3	quite	quite	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	4	possible	possible	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	5	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	6	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	7	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	8	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	9	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	10	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	11	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	12	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	13	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	14	an	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	15	underestimate	underestimate	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	16	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	17	since	since	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	18	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	19	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	20	event	event	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	21	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	22	substantial	substantial	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	23	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	24	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	25	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	26	occurring	occur	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	27	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	28	care	care	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	29	homes	home	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	30	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	31	lagging	lag	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	32	those	those	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	33	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	34	hospitals	hospital	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	35	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	36	were	be	VBD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	37	not	not	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	38	used	use	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	39	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	40	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	41	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	42	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	43	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	216	44	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	1	Further	further	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	2	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	3	no	no	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	4	account	account	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	5	has	have	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	6	been	be	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	7	taken	take	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	8	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	9	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	10	model	model	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	11	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	12	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	13	gradual	gradual	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	14	transition	transition	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	15	from	from	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	16	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	17	unmitigated	unmitigated	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	217	18	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	218	1	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	218	2	3.18	3.18	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	218	3	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	218	4	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	218	5	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	218	6	value	value	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	218	7	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	218	8	0.60	0.60	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	218	9	following	follow	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	218	10	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	218	11	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	219	1	Going	go	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	219	2	forward	forward	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	219	3	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	219	4	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	220	1	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	220	2	be	be	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	220	3	monitored	monitor	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	220	4	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	220	5	update	update	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	220	6	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	220	7	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	1	A	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	2	disadvantage	disadvantage	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	3	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	4	using	use	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	5	death	death	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	8	that	that	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	9	one	one	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	11	essentially	essentially	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	12	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	221	13	!	!	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	222	1	some	some	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	222	2	20	20	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	222	3	days	day	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	222	4	previously	previously	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	222	5	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	1	But	but	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	3	alternative	alternative	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	4	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	5	using	use	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	6	positive	positive	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	7	test	test	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	8	numbers	number	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	9	might	may	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	10	lead	lead	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	11	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	12	biased	biased	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	13	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	14	due	due	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	15	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	16	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	17	volatility	volatility	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	18	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	19	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	20	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	21	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	22	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	23	persons	person	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	24	who	who	WP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	25	are	be	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	26	represented	represent	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	27	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	28	such	such	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	29	figures	figure	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	223	30	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	1	Perhaps	perhaps	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	2	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	3	compromise	compromise	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	5	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	6	use	use	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	7	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	8	admissions	admission	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	9	as	as	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	10	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	11	proxy	proxy	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	12	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	13	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	14	numbers	number	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	224	15	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	1	How	how	WRB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	2	will	will	MD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	3	country	country	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	4	based	base	VBN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	5	mitigation	mitigation	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	6	measures	measure	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	7	influence	influence	VBP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	8	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	9	course	course	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	10	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	11	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	12	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	225	14	?	?	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	226	1	An	an	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	226	2	introduction	introduction	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	226	3	to	to	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	226	4	compartmental	compartmental	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	226	5	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	226	6	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	226	7	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	226	8	budding	bud	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	226	9	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	226	10	disease	disease	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	226	11	modeler	modeler	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	2	effect	effect	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	3	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	4	non	non	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	5	-	-	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	6	pharmaceutical	pharmaceutical	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	7	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	8	on	on	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	9	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	11	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	13	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	14	demand	demand	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	15	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	16	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	17	services	service	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	18	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	19	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	20	UK	UK	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	21	:	:	:
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	22	a	a	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	23	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	24	study	study	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	25	Impact	impact	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	26	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	27	Non	non	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	28	-	-	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	29	pharmaceutical	pharmaceutical	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	30	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	31	(	(	-LRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	32	NPIs	NPIs	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	34	to	to	TO
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	35	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	36	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	37	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	38	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	39	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	227	40	demand	demand	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	1	The	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	2	mathematics	mathematic	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	3	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	4	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	5	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	6	Quantifying	quantify	VBG
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	7	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	8	impact	impact	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	9	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	10	physical	physical	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	11	distance	distance	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	12	measures	measure	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	13	on	on	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	14	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	15	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	16	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	17	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	18	in	in	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	19	the	the	DT
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	20	UK	UK	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	228	21	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	1	Centre	Centre	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	2	for	for	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	3	Mathematical	Mathematical	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	4	Modelling	Modelling	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	5	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	6	Infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	7	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	8	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	9	Department	Department	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	10	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	11	Infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	12	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	13	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	14	London	London	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	15	School	School	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	16	of	of	IN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	17	Hygiene	Hygiene	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	18	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	19	Tropical	Tropical	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	20	Medicine	Medicine	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	21	,	,	,
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	22	London	London	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	23	WC1E	wc1e	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	24	7HT	7HT	NNP
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	229	25	.	.	.
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	1	First	first	RB
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	2	online	online	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	3	31	31	CD
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	4	Estimating	estimating	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	5	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	6	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	7	growth	growth	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	8	rate	rate	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	9	and	and	CC
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	10	basic	basic	JJ
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	11	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-342211-y7zxipiz	230	12	number	number	NN