id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-347182-oj3v1x99	Catala, M.	Robust estimation of diagnostic rate and real incidence of COVID-19 for European policymakers	2020-05-06		.txt	text/plain	7902	426	65	While total deaths immediately indicate that countries like Italy and Spain have the worst situation as of mid April 2020, on its own, reported cases do not provide a correct picture of the situation. Then we discuss our key assumption: the real 41 case fatality rate (CFR) in European countries experiencing a significative incidence will 42 be roughly the same, given the similar structure of the population. Using this rate is straightforward to give a present-day estimate of the 63 incidence given the number of reported infected people in each country as long as we 64 can observe that the rate of diagnosis remains fairly constant. This value can 86 be compared with the number of cases detected 18 days ago, obtaining a diagnostic depending on the availability of tests, saturation of the health system and other 91 external factors, countries have a great variability in the time of diagnosis delay.	./cache/cord-347182-oj3v1x99.txt	./txt/cord-347182-oj3v1x99.txt