id sid tid token lemma pos cord-259236-8ezfke9z 1 1 key key JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 1 2 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 1 3 cord-259236 cord-259236 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 1 4 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 1 5 8ezfke9z 8ezfke9z CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 1 6 authors author NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 1 7 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 2 1 Baruah Baruah NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 2 2 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 2 3 H. H. NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 2 4 K. K. NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 2 5 title title NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 2 6 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 1 An an DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 2 Empirical empirical JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 3 Inference inference NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 4 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 5 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 6 Severity severity NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 7 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 8 Resurgence Resurgence NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 9 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 11 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 12 Europe Europe NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 13 date date NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 14 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 15 2020 2020 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 16 - - SYM cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 17 10 10 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 18 - - SYM cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 19 23 23 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 20 journal journal NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 21 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 22 nan nan NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 23 DOI DOI NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 3 24 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 4 1 10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 5 1 sha sha NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 5 2 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 6 1 4d41e60e962515f7be7c62dca292e0633aea09e3 4d41e60e962515f7be7c62dca292e0633aea09e3 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 6 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 6 3 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 6 4 259236 259236 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 6 5 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 6 6 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 6 7 8ezfke9z 8ezfke9z . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 2 Europe Europe NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 3 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 4 Corona Corona NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 5 Virus Virus NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 6 spread spread VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 7 had have VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 8 started start VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 9 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 10 retard retard VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 11 months month NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 12 ago ago RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 13 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 14 but but CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 15 after after IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 16 some some DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 17 time time NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 18 it -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 19 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 20 started start VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 21 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 22 accelerate accelerate VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 23 again again RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 7 24 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 2 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 3 article article NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 4 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 6 are be VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 7 going go VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 8 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 9 analyze analyze VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 10 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 11 current current JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 13 spread spread NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 14 patterns pattern NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 15 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 16 Italy Italy NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 17 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 18 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 19 UK UK NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 20 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 21 Germany Germany NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 22 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 23 Russia Russia NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 24 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 25 Spain Spain NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 26 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 27 France France NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 8 28 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 2 have have VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 3 found find VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 4 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 5 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 6 current current JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 7 spread spread NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 8 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 9 perhaps perhaps RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 10 been be VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 11 underestimated underestimate VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 12 as as IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 13 just just RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 14 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 15 second second JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 16 wave wave NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 9 17 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 1 As as IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 2 per per IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 4 analysis analysis NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 5 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 6 as as IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 7 on on IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 8 7 7 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 9 October October NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 10 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 11 resurgence resurgence NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 12 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 13 much much RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 14 more more RBR cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 15 vigorous vigorous JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 16 than than IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 17 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 18 first first JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 19 wave wave NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 20 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 21 spread spread NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 22 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 23 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 24 disease disease NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 10 25 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 2 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 3 going go VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 4 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 5 be be VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 6 most most RBS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 7 serious serious JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 8 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 9 Russia Russia NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 10 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 11 followed follow VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 12 by by IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 13 Italy Italy NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 14 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 15 Germany Germany NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 16 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 17 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 18 UK UK NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 19 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 20 while while IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 21 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 22 Spain Spain NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 23 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 24 France France NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 25 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 26 patterns pattern NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 27 are be VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 28 yet yet RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 29 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 30 take take VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 31 inferable inferable JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 32 shapes shape NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 11 33 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 3 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 4 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 5 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 6 second second JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 7 wave wave NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 8 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 10 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 11 been be VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 12 observed observe VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 13 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 14 be be VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 15 much much RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 16 more more RBR cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 17 serious serious JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 18 than than IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 19 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 20 first first JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 21 one one CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 12 22 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 2 data datum NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 3 clearly clearly RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 4 reflect reflect VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 5 resurgence resurgence NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 6 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 7 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 8 disease disease NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 9 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 10 but but CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 11 how how WRB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 12 serious serious JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 13 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 14 matter matter NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 15 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 16 can can MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 17 be be VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 18 judged judge VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 19 only only RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 20 after after IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 21 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 22 proper proper JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 23 data data NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 24 analysis analysis NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 13 25 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 2 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 3 article article NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 4 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 6 are be VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 7 going go VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 8 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 9 show show VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 10 how how WRB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 11 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 12 infer infer VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 13 empirically empirically RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 14 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 15 severity severity NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 16 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 17 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 18 spread spread NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 14 19 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 2 shall shall MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 3 show show VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 4 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 5 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 6 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 7 situation situation NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 8 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 9 Europe Europe NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 10 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 11 indeed indeed RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 12 very very RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 13 serious serious JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 15 14 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 1 A a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 2 look look NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 3 at at IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 4 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 5 daily daily JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 6 increase increase NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 7 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 8 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 9 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 10 totals total NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 11 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 12 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 13 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 14 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 15 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 16 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 17 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 18 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 19 mentioned mention VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 20 above above RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 21 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 22 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 23 World World NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 24 gives give VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 25 us -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 26 an an DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 27 apparently apparently RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 28 clear clear JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 29 picture picture NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 30 how how WRB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 31 much much RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 32 Europe Europe NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 33 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 34 contributing contribute VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 35 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 36 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 37 daily daily JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 38 increase increase NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 39 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 40 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 41 total total JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 42 number number NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 43 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 44 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 45 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 46 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 47 World World NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 16 48 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 1 For for IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 2 example example NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 3 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 4 on on IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 5 October October NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 6 7 7 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 7 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 8 increase increase NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 9 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 10 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 11 World World NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 12 total total NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 13 were be VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 14 348967 348967 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 15 out out IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 16 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 17 17 which which WDT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 1 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 2 UK UK NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 3 contributed contribute VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 4 14162 14162 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 6 4.06 4.06 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 7 % % NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 9 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 10 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 11 Italy Italy NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 12 contributed contribute VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 13 3678 3678 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 15 1.11 1.11 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 16 % % NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 18 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 19 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 20 Germany Germany NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 21 contributed contribute VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 22 3994 3994 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 24 1.14 1.14 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 25 % % NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 27 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 28 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 29 France France NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 30 contributed contribute VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 31 18746 18746 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 33 5.37 5.37 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 34 % % NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 36 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 37 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 38 Russia Russia NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 39 contributed contribute VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 40 11115 11115 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 42 3.18 3.18 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 43 % % NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 45 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 46 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 47 Spain Spain NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 48 contributed contribute VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 49 10574 10574 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 50 ( ( -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 51 3.03 3.03 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 52 % % NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 53 ) ) -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 54 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 18 55 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 2 total total JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 3 increase increase NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 4 on on IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 5 that that DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 6 day day NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 7 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 8 these these DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 9 six six CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 10 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 11 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 12 were be VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 13 62269 62269 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 15 17.84 17.84 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 16 % % NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 18 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 19 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 20 total total JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 21 increase increase NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 22 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 23 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 24 World World NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 19 25 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 1 On on IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 2 that that DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 3 same same JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 4 day day NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 5 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 6 India India NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 7 which which WDT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 8 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 9 currently currently RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 10 contributing contribute VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 11 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 12 maximum maximum NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 13 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 14 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 15 daily daily JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 16 increase increase NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 17 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 18 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 19 World World NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 20 contributed contribute VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 21 78809 78809 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 23 22.58 22.58 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 24 % % NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 26 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 27 while while IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 28 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 29 USA USA NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 30 on on IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 31 that that DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 32 day day NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 33 contributed contribute VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 34 49398 49398 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 36 14.15 14.15 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 37 % % NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 39 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 20 40 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 3 can can MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 4 be be VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 5 seen see VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 6 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 7 on on IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 8 October October NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 9 7 7 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 10 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 11 these these DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 12 six six CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 13 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 14 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 15 together together RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 16 had have VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 17 contributed contribute VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 18 more more JJR cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 19 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 20 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 21 World World NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 22 total total NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 23 than than IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 24 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 25 USA USA NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 26 although although IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 27 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 28 contribution contribution NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 29 was be VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 30 less less JJR cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 31 than than IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 32 that that DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 33 from from IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 34 India India NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 21 35 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 1 However however RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 2 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 4 have have VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 5 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 6 note note VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 7 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 8 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 9 India India NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 10 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 11 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 12 USA USA NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 13 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 14 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 15 spread spread NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 16 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 17 retarding retard VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 18 while while IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 19 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 20 these these DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 21 six six CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 22 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 23 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 24 that that WDT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 25 kind kind NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 26 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 27 retardations retardation NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 28 took take VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 29 place place NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 30 months month NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 31 ago ago RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 32 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 33 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 34 thereafter thereafter RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 35 it -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 36 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 37 started start VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 38 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 39 move move VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 40 towards towards IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 41 resurgence resurgence NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 42 -the -the NFP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 43 so so RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 44 called call VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 45 second second JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 46 wave wave NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 22 47 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 1 Indeed indeed RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 3 figures figure NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 4 for for IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 5 one one CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 6 single single JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 7 day day NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 8 may may MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 9 actually actually RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 10 be be VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 11 misleading mislead VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 23 12 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 2 shall shall MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 3 put put VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 4 forward forward RP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 5 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 6 numerical numerical JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 7 analysis analysis NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 8 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 9 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 10 spread spread NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 11 data datum NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 12 for for IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 13 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 14 period period NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 15 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 16 15 15 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 17 days day NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 18 from from IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 19 23 23 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 20 September September NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 21 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 22 7 7 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 23 October October NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 24 24 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 2 would would MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 3 like like VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 4 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 5 mention mention VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 6 at at IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 7 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 8 point point NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 9 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 10 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 11 current current JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 12 growth growth NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 13 curves curve NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 14 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 16 disease disease NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 17 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 18 these these DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 19 six six CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 20 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 21 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 22 are be VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 23 obviously obviously RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 24 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 25 like like IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 26 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 27 curve curve NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 28 assumed assume VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 29 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 30 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 31 compartmental compartmental JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 32 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 33 models model NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 34 [ [ -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 35 1 1 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 36 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 37 2 2 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 38 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 39 3 3 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 40 ] ] -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 25 41 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 1 At at IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 3 start start NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 4 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 5 an an DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 6 epidemic epidemic NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 7 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 8 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 9 classical classical JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 10 compartmental compartmental JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 11 models model NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 12 do do VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 13 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 14 presume presume VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 15 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 16 change change NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 17 from from IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 18 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 19 retarding retard VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 20 state state NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 21 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 22 an an DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 23 accelerating accelerate VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 24 state state NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 26 25 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 2 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 3 apparent apparent JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 4 from from IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 5 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 6 graphs graph NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 7 published publish VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 8 by by IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 9 Worldometers.info Worldometers.info VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 11 4 4 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 13 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 14 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 15 spread spread NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 16 patterns pattern NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 17 are be VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 18 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 19 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 20 exponential exponential JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 21 type type NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 22 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 23 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 24 six six CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 25 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 26 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 27 mentioned mention VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 28 above above RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 27 29 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 2 shall shall MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 3 consider consider VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 4 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 5 total total JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 6 number number NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 7 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 8 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 9 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 10 these these DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 11 six six CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 12 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 13 from from IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 14 22 22 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 15 September September NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 16 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 17 7 7 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 18 starts start NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 19 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 20 follow follow VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 21 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 22 reducing reduce VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 23 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 28 24 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 2 was be VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 3 earlier early RBR cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 4 observed observe VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 5 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 6 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 7 change change NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 8 from from IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 9 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 10 nearly nearly RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 11 exponential exponential JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 12 pattern pattern NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 13 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 14 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 15 nearly nearly RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 16 logarithmic logarithmic JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 17 pattern pattern NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 18 took take VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 19 place place NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 20 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 21 Italy Italy NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 23 5 5 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 25 months month NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 26 ago ago RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 29 27 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 3 other other JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 4 five five CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 5 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 6 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 7 too too RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 8 such such JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 9 retardation retardation NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 10 must must MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 11 have have VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 12 followed follow VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 13 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 14 nearly nearly RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 15 logarithmic logarithmic JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 16 pattern pattern NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 30 17 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 2 was be VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 3 observed observe VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 5 6 6 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 6 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 7 7 7 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 8 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 9 8 8 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 10 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 11 9 9 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 12 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 13 10 10 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 14 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 15 really really RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 16 useful useful JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 31 17 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 2 now now RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 3 proceed proceed VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 4 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 5 analyze analyze VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 6 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 7 recent recent JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 8 data datum NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 9 on on IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 10 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 11 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 12 total total JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 13 number number NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 14 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 15 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 16 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 17 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 18 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 19 six six CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 20 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 21 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 22 mentioned mention VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 23 above above RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 32 24 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 2 shall shall MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 3 now now RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 4 put put VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 5 forward forward RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 7 empirical empirical JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 8 analysis analysis NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 9 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 10 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 11 COVI-19 covi-19 JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 12 spread spread NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 13 patterns pattern NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 14 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 16 six six CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 17 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 18 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 19 concerned concern VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 33 20 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 2 Table- Table- NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 3 showing show VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 4 an an DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 5 unusual unusual JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 6 increasing increase VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 7 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 8 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 9 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 10 such such PDT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 11 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 12 thing thing NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 13 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 14 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 15 assumed assume VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 16 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 17 any any DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 18 classical classical JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 19 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 20 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 21 model model NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 22 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 34 23 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 35 1 CC CC NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 35 2 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 35 3 BY BY NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 35 4 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 35 5 ND ND NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 35 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 35 7 International international JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 35 8 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 36 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 36 2 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 36 3 made make VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 36 4 available available JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 36 5 under under IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 36 6 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 1 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 3 author author NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 4 / / SYM cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 5 funder funder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 6 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 7 who who WP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 8 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 9 granted grant VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 11 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 12 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 13 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 14 display display VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 16 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 17 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 37 19 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 2 copyright copyright NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 3 holder holder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 4 for for IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 5 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 6 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 7 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 8 version version NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 9 posted post VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 10 October October NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 11 23 23 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 12 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 13 2020 2020 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 38 14 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 39 1 ; ; : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 39 2 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 39 3 doi doi XX cord-259236-8ezfke9z 39 4 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 40 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 40 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 40 3 _SP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 40 4 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 41 1 CC CC NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 41 2 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 41 3 BY BY NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 41 4 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 41 5 ND ND NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 41 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 41 7 International international JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 41 8 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 42 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 42 2 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 42 3 made make VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 42 4 available available JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 42 5 under under IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 42 6 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 1 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 3 author author NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 4 / / SYM cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 5 funder funder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 6 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 7 who who WP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 8 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 9 granted grant VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 11 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 12 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 13 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 14 display display VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 16 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 17 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 43 19 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 2 copyright copyright NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 3 holder holder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 4 for for IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 5 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 6 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 7 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 8 version version NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 9 posted post VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 10 October October NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 11 23 23 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 12 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 13 2020 2020 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 14 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 15 _SP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 44 16 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 45 1 CC CC NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 45 2 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 45 3 BY BY NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 45 4 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 45 5 ND ND NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 45 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 45 7 International international JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 45 8 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 46 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 46 2 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 46 3 made make VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 46 4 available available JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 46 5 under under IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 46 6 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 1 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 3 author author NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 4 / / SYM cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 5 funder funder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 6 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 7 who who WP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 8 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 9 granted grant VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 11 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 12 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 13 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 14 display display VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 16 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 17 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 47 19 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 2 copyright copyright NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 3 holder holder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 4 for for IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 5 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 6 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 7 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 8 version version NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 9 posted post VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 10 October October NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 11 23 23 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 12 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 13 2020 2020 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 48 14 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 49 1 ; ; : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 49 2 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 49 3 doi doi XX cord-259236-8ezfke9z 49 4 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 50 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 50 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 2 Russia Russia NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 3 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 4 have have VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 5 shown show VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 6 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 7 straight straight JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 8 increasing increase VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 9 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 10 which which WDT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 11 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 12 very very RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 13 unusual unusual JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 14 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 16 growth growth NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 17 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 18 an an DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 51 20 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 1 How how WRB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 2 long long RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 4 would would MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 5 continue continue VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 6 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 7 have have VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 8 such such PDT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 9 an an DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 10 increasing increase VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 11 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 12 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 13 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 14 possible possible JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 15 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 16 judge judge VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 52 17 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 53 1 A a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 53 2 diagrammatic diagrammatic JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 53 3 representation representation NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 53 4 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 53 5 been be VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 53 6 shown show VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 53 7 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 53 8 Fig Fig NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 53 9 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 54 1 4 4 LS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 54 2 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 54 3 _SP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 54 4 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 55 1 CC CC NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 55 2 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 55 3 BY BY NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 55 4 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 55 5 ND ND NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 55 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 55 7 International international JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 55 8 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 56 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 56 2 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 56 3 made make VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 56 4 available available JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 56 5 under under IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 56 6 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 1 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 3 author author NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 4 / / SYM cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 5 funder funder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 6 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 7 who who WP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 8 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 9 granted grant VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 11 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 12 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 13 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 14 display display VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 16 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 17 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 57 19 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 2 copyright copyright NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 3 holder holder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 4 for for IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 5 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 6 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 7 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 8 version version NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 9 posted post VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 10 October October NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 11 23 23 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 12 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 13 2020 2020 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 58 14 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 59 1 ; ; : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 59 2 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 59 3 doi doi XX cord-259236-8ezfke9z 59 4 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 60 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 60 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 2 Spain Spain NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 3 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 4 Table-5 Table-5 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 5 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 6 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 7 situation situation NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 8 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 9 different different JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 10 from from IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 11 that that DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 12 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 13 Italy Italy NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 14 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 16 UK UK NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 17 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 18 Germany Germany NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 19 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 20 Russia Russia NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 61 21 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 2 Spain Spain NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 3 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 4 no no DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 5 increasing increase VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 6 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 7 could could MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 8 be be VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 9 seen see VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 10 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 11 but but CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 12 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 13 values value NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 14 are be VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 15 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 16 showing show VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 17 any any DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 18 constancy constancy NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 19 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 20 they -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 21 are be VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 22 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 23 showing show VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 24 any any DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 25 decreasing decrease VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 26 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 27 as as RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 28 well well RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 62 29 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 63 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 63 2 diagrammatic diagrammatic JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 63 3 representation representation NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 63 4 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 63 5 been be VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 63 6 shown show VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 63 7 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 63 8 Fig Fig NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 63 9 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 64 1 5 5 LS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 64 2 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 64 3 _SP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 64 4 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 65 1 CC CC NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 65 2 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 65 3 BY BY NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 65 4 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 65 5 ND ND NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 65 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 65 7 International international JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 65 8 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 66 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 66 2 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 66 3 made make VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 66 4 available available JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 66 5 under under IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 66 6 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 1 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 3 author author NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 4 / / SYM cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 5 funder funder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 6 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 7 who who WP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 8 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 9 granted grant VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 11 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 12 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 13 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 14 display display VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 16 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 17 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 67 19 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 2 copyright copyright NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 3 holder holder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 4 for for IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 5 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 6 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 7 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 8 version version NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 9 posted post VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 10 October October NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 11 23 23 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 12 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 13 2020 2020 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 68 14 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 69 1 ; ; : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 69 2 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 69 3 doi doi XX cord-259236-8ezfke9z 69 4 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 70 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 70 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 2 France France NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 3 too too RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 4 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 5 have have VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 6 been be VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 7 found find VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 8 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 9 be be VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 10 nowhere nowhere RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 11 near near IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 12 any any DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 13 constant constant JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 14 value value NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 71 15 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 2 values value NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 3 are be VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 4 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 5 increasing increase VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 6 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 7 but but CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 8 they -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 9 are be VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 10 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 11 showing show VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 12 any any DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 13 decreasing decrease VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 14 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 15 also also RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 72 16 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 73 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 73 2 diagrammatic diagrammatic JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 73 3 representation representation NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 73 4 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 73 5 been be VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 73 6 shown show VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 73 7 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 73 8 Fig Fig NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 73 9 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 74 1 6 6 LS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 74 2 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 74 3 _SP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 74 4 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 75 1 CC CC NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 75 2 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 75 3 BY BY NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 75 4 - - HYPH cord-259236-8ezfke9z 75 5 ND ND NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 75 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 75 7 International international JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 75 8 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 76 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 76 2 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 76 3 made make VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 76 4 available available JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 76 5 under under IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 76 6 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 1 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 3 author author NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 4 / / SYM cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 5 funder funder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 6 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 7 who who WP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 8 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 9 granted grant VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 11 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 12 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 13 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 14 display display VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 16 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 17 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 77 19 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 2 copyright copyright NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 3 holder holder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 4 for for IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 5 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 6 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 7 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 8 version version NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 9 posted post VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 10 October October NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 11 23 23 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 12 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 13 2020 2020 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 78 14 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 1 show show VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 2 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 3 linearly linearly RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 4 reducing reduce VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 5 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 6 with with IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 7 respect respect NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 8 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 9 time time NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 10 until until IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 11 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 12 retarding retarding JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 13 phase phase NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 14 starts start NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 15 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 16 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 17 that that DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 18 phase phase NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 19 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 20 spread spread NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 21 pattern pattern NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 22 becomes become VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 23 nearly nearly RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 24 logarithmic logarithmic JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 79 25 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 3 standard standard JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 4 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 5 models model NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 6 also also RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 7 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 8 kind kind NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 9 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 10 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 11 growth growth NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 12 pattern pattern NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 13 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 14 assumed assume VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 80 15 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 1 However however RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 2 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 3 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 4 pattern pattern NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 5 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 6 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 7 second second JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 8 wave wave NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 9 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 10 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 12 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 13 different different JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 14 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 16 sense sense NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 17 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 18 ∆ ∆ NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 19 ‫ݖ‬ ‫ݖ‬ NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 20 ሺ ሺ IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 21 ‫ݐ‬ ‫ݐ‬ NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 22 ሻ ሻ NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 23 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 24 these these DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 25 six six CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 26 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 27 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 28 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 29 been be VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 30 showing show VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 31 an an DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 32 increasing increase VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 33 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 34 instead instead RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 35 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 36 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 37 decreasing decrease VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 38 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 39 as as IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 40 was be VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 41 observed observe VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 42 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 43 earlier early JJR cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 44 studies study NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 81 45 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 82 1 There there EX cord-259236-8ezfke9z 82 2 can can MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 82 3 be be VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 82 4 only only RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 82 5 one one CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 82 6 explanation explanation NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 82 7 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 82 8 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 82 9 phenomenon phenomenon NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 82 10 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 2 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 3 first first JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 4 wave wave NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 5 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 6 zሺ‫ݐ‬ሻ zሺ‫ݐ‬ሻ NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 7 was be VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 8 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 9 first first JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 10 degree degree NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 11 but but CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 12 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 13 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 14 second second JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 15 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 16 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 17 author author NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 18 / / SYM cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 19 funder funder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 20 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 21 who who WP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 22 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 23 granted grant VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 25 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 26 license license NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 27 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 28 display display VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 29 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 30 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 31 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 83 33 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 84 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 84 2 which which WDT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 84 3 was be VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 84 4 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 84 5 certified certify VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 84 6 by by IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 84 7 peer peer NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 84 8 review review NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 84 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 2 copyright copyright NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 3 holder holder NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 4 for for IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 5 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 6 preprint preprint NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 7 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 8 version version NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 9 posted post VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 10 October October NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 11 23 23 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 12 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 13 2020 2020 CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 85 14 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 86 1 ; ; : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 86 2 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.21.20213868 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 86 3 doi doi XX cord-259236-8ezfke9z 86 4 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 87 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 1 preprint preprint NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 2 A a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 3 Contribution Contribution NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 4 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 5 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 6 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 7 Theory Theory NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 8 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 9 Epidemics Epidemics NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 10 Contributions Contributions NNPS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 11 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 12 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 13 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 14 Theory Theory NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 15 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 16 Epidemics Epidemics NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 17 II II NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 88 18 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 2 Problem Problem NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 3 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 4 Endemicity Endemicity NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 5 Contributions Contributions NNPS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 6 to to IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 7 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 8 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 9 Theory Theory NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 10 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 11 Epidemics Epidemics NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 12 III III NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 89 13 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 1 Further Further NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 2 Studies study NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 3 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 4 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 5 Problem Problem NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 6 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 7 Endemicity Endemicity NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 8 Total Total NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 9 corona corona NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 10 virus virus NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 11 cases case NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 12 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 13 India India NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 14 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 15 Publishing Publishing NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 90 16 Date date NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 91 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 91 2 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 91 3 Spread Spread NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 91 4 Patterns Patterns NNPS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 91 5 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 91 6 Italy Italy NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 91 7 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 91 8 India India NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 91 9 : : : cord-259236-8ezfke9z 92 1 A a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 92 2 Comparison comparison NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 92 3 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 92 4 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 92 5 Current current JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 92 6 Situations situation NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 1 A a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 2 Simple Simple NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 3 Method method NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 4 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 5 Finding find VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 6 an an DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 7 Approximate Approximate NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 8 Pattern Pattern NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 9 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 10 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 12 On on IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 13 Reliability Reliability NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 14 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 17 Forecasts Forecasts NNPS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 18 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 19 but but CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 20 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 21 kind kind NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 22 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 23 an an DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 24 exponential exponential JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 25 growth growth NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 26 was be VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 27 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 28 seen see VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 29 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 30 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 31 first first JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 32 wave wave NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 33 which which WDT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 34 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 35 why why WRB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 36 it -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 37 was be VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 38 observed observe VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 39 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 40 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 41 values value NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 42 ofwere ofwere RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 43 showing show VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 44 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 45 linearly linearly RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 46 decreasing decrease VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 47 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 48 earlier early RBR cord-259236-8ezfke9z 93 49 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 94 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 94 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 94 3 can can MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 94 4 empirically empirically RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 94 5 infer infer VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 94 6 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 94 7 as as RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 94 8 long long RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 94 9 as as IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 94 10 unusual unusual JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 94 11 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 2 effect effect NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 3 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 4 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 5 resurgence resurgence NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 6 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 7 following follow VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 8 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 9 much much RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 10 faster fast JJR cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 11 growth growth NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 12 pattern pattern NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 13 different different JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 14 from from IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 15 what what WP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 16 was be VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 17 seen see VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 18 to to TO cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 19 be be VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 20 followed follow VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 21 when when WRB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 22 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 23 had have VBD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 24 appeared appear VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 95 25 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 96 1 The the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 96 2 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 96 3 situation situation NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 96 4 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 96 5 Europe Europe NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 96 6 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 96 7 showing show VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 96 8 an an DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 96 9 unusual unusual JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 96 10 trend trend NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 96 11 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 1 How how WRB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 2 long long RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 3 would would MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 4 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 5 situation situation NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 6 remain remain VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 7 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 8 this this DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 9 way way NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 10 can can MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 11 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 12 be be VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 13 said say VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 14 now now RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 97 15 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 1 But but CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 2 one one CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 3 thing thing NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 4 can can MD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 5 be be VB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 6 said say VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 7 with with IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 8 certainty certainty NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 9 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 10 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 11 situation situation NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 12 has have VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 13 become become VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 14 explosive explosive JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 98 15 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 2 Russia Russia NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 3 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 4 particular particular JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 5 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 6 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 7 growth growth NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 8 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 9 not not RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 10 following follow VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 11 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 12 standard standard JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 13 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 14 growth growth NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 15 pattern pattern NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 99 16 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 2 Italy Italy NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 3 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 4 Germany Germany NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 5 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 6 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 7 UK UK NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 8 too too RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 9 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 10 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 11 growth growth NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 12 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 13 very very RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 14 unusual unusual JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 100 15 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 1 In in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 2 Spain Spain NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 3 and and CC cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 4 France France NNP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 5 , , , cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 6 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 7 situation situation NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 8 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 9 uncertain uncertain JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 10 as as IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 11 yet yet RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 101 12 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 2 conclude conclude VBP cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 3 that that IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 4 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 5 growth growth NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 6 pattern pattern NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 7 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 8 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 10 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 11 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 12 current current JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 13 resurgence resurgence NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 14 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 15 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 16 six six CD cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 17 European european JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 18 countries country NNS cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 19 concerned concern VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 20 is be VBZ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 21 of of IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 22 a a DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 23 type type NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 24 very very RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 25 different different JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 26 from from IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 27 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 28 nearly nearly RB cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 29 exponential exponential JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 30 type type NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 31 followed follow VBN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 32 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 33 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 34 accelerating accelerate VBG cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 35 phase phase NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 36 in in IN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 37 the the DT cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 38 first first JJ cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 39 wave wave NN cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 40 . . . cord-259236-8ezfke9z 102 41 _SP