id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-318900-dovu6kha	Pitschel, T.	SARS-Cov-2 proliferation: an analytical aggregate-level model	2020-08-22		.txt	text/plain	3841	215	53	An intuitive mathematical model describing the virus proliferation is presented and its parameters estimated from time series of observed reported CoViD-19 cases in Germany. Approximating the model evolution as continuous process even at small time intervals 1 Caution in the usage of numbers from pure incidence analysis is required: As consequence of the way the raw data is obtained in [HLWea20] , only infectiousness around the moment of symptom onset is in fact fully observed. Therefore, at the present state of this text, such estimation can only serve to determine reasonable bounds on the parameters of the model, rather than to give a reliable forecast of expect number of eventual infections. In this study a novel model for virus proliferation dynamics was developed and with it the SARS-Cov-2 outbreak in Germany retraced on an aggregate level, using CoViD-19 case count data by the Robert-Koch Institute in Berlin.	./cache/cord-318900-dovu6kha.txt	./txt/cord-318900-dovu6kha.txt