id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-331421-rioeke67 Valentowitsch, Johann Flattening the COVID-19 Curve: The Impact of Contact Restrictions on the Infection Curve in Germany 2020-07-22 .txt text/plain 1454 75 56 Although Germany is coping well with the coronavirus crisis, many voices are currently being raised that fundamentally question the success of the contact restriction strategy to contain the virus. According to estimates by the Robert Koch Institute, the effective basic reproductive number dropped below the critical mark just a few weeks after the outbreak of the disease [6] . In this study, I look at the daily infection rate in Germany and, based on a set of plausible basic reproduction numbers, estimate how the infection rate would have developed had the social lockdown not occurred. For the calibration of the estimate I use the number of cases documented by the Robert Koch Institute, an independent German fe-deral authority for infectious diseases and non-communicable diseases. Germany is currently well positioned in the coronavirus crisis, which can be attributed not least to the effect of the official contact restriction measures. ./cache/cord-331421-rioeke67.txt ./txt/cord-331421-rioeke67.txt