id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	1	1	key	key	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	1	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	2	cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	3	authors	author	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	4	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	5	Küchenhoff	Küchenhoff	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	7	H.	H.	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	8	;	;	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	9	Guenther	Guenther	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	10	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	11	F.	F.	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	12	;	;	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	13	Höhle	hoìˆhle	UH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	14	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	15	M.	M.	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	16	;	;	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	17	Bender	Bender	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	18	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	19	A.	a.	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	20	title	title	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	21	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	22	Analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	23	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	24	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	25	early	early	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	26	Covid-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	27	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	28	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	29	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	30	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	31	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	32	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	33	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	34	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	35	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	36	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	37	date	date	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	38	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	39	2020	2020	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	40	-	-	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	41	10	10	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	42	-	-	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	43	30	30	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	44	journal	journal	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	45	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	46	nan	nan	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	47	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	2	48	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	3	1	10.1101/2020.10.29.20222265	10.1101/2020.10.29.20222265	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	3	2	sha	sha	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	3	3	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	4	1	64a78356c2986d6c2f10b2d519aa55967c0d6d0b	64a78356c2986d6c2f10b2d519aa55967c0d6d0b	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	4	2	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	4	3	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	4	4	294815	294815	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	4	5	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	4	6	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	5	1	mhqe3xjz	mhqe3xjz	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	2	analyze	analyze	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	4	Covid-19	covid-19	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	5	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	6	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	7	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	8	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	9	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	10	end	end	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	11	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	12	April	April	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	14	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	15	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	6	16	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	2	use	use	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	3	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	4	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	5	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	6	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	8	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	9	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	11	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	12	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	13	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	14	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	15	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	16	given	give	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	17	day	day	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	18	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	19	use	use	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	20	back	back	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	22	projection	projection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	23	techniques	technique	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	24	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	25	obtain	obtain	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	26	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	27	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	28	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	29	new	new	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	30	infections	infection	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	31	per	per	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	32	day	day	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	7	33	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	2	respective	respective	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	3	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	4	series	series	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	5	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	6	analyzed	analyze	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	7	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	8	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	9	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	10	trend	trend	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	11	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	12	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	13	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	14	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	15	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	8	16	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	2	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	3	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	4	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	5	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	6	directly	directly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	7	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	8	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	10	without	without	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	11	further	further	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	12	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	9	13	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	2	carry	carry	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	3	out	out	RP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	4	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	6	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	8	whole	whole	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	9	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	10	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	11	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	12	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	13	federal	federal	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	14	state	state	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	15	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	16	Bavaria	Bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	17	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	18	where	where	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	19	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	20	have	have	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	21	more	more	RBR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	22	detailed	detailed	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	23	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	10	24	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	1	Both	both	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	2	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	3	show	show	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	4	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	5	major	major	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	6	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	7	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	8	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	9	9th	9th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	10	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	11	13th	13th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	12	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	13	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	14	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	15	series	series	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	16	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	17	infections	infection	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	18	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	19	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	20	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	21	strong	strong	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	22	increase	increase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	23	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	24	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	25	stagnation	stagnation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	26	or	or	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	27	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	28	slight	slight	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	29	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	11	30	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	1	Another	another	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	2	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	3	was	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	4	found	find	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	5	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	6	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	7	24th	24th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	8	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	9	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	10	31st	31st	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	11	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	12	where	where	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	13	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	14	decline	decline	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	15	intensified	intensify	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	12	16	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	1	These	these	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	2	two	two	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	3	major	major	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	4	changes	change	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	5	can	can	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	6	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	7	related	relate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	8	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	9	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	10	governmental	governmental	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	11	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	13	12	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	1	On	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	2	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	3	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	4	11th	11th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	5	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	6	Chancellor	Chancellor	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	7	Merkel	Merkel	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	8	appealed	appeal	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	9	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	10	social	social	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	11	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	12	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	13	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	14	press	press	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	15	conference	conference	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	16	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	17	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	18	Robert	Robert	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	19	Koch	Koch	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	20	Institute	Institute	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	22	RKI	RKI	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	24	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	25	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	26	ban	ban	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	27	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	28	major	major	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	29	events	event	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	30	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	31	more	more	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	32	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	33	1000	1000	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	34	visitors	visitor	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	35	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	36	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	37	10th	10th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	39	was	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	40	issued	issue	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	14	41	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	2	other	other	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	3	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	4	point	point	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	5	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	6	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	7	end	end	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	8	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	9	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	10	could	could	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	11	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	12	related	relate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	13	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	15	shutdown	shutdown	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	16	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	17	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	15	18	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	2	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	3	differ	differ	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	4	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	5	those	those	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	6	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	7	other	other	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	8	authors	author	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	9	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	11	take	take	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	12	into	into	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	13	account	account	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	15	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	16	delay	delay	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	17	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	18	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	19	turned	turn	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	20	out	out	RP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	21	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	22	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	23	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	24	dependent	dependent	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	25	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	26	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	27	changes	change	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	28	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	29	structure	structure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	30	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	31	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	32	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	33	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	34	compared	compare	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	35	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	36	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	37	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	38	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	39	newly	newly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	40	reported	report	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	16	41	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	2	first	first	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	3	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	6	Covid-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	7	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	8	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	9	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	10	was	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	11	managed	manage	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	12	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	13	successful	successful	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	14	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	15	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	16	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	17	other	other	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	18	countries	country	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	19	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	20	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	17	21	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	5	worth	worth	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	6	taking	take	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	7	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	8	closer	close	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	9	look	look	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	10	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	12	course	course	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	13	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	15	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	16	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	17	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	18	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	19	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	20	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	21	already	already	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	22	led	lead	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	23	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	24	controversial	controversial	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	25	discussions	discussion	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	18	26	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	1	This	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	2	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	3	concerns	concern	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	4	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	5	important	important	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	6	question	question	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	7	about	about	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	8	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	9	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	10	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	11	various	various	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	12	control	control	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	13	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	19	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	1	There	there	EX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	2	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	3	several	several	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	4	publications	publication	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	5	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	7	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	8	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	9	countries	country	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	10	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	12	effects	effect	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	13	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	14	control	control	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	15	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	16	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	17	see	see	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	18	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	19	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	20	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	22	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	24	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	25	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	26	2	2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	27	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	28	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	29	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	30	3	3	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	31	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	20	32	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	1	As	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	2	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	3	4	4	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	4	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	5	point	point	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	6	out	out	RP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	7	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	8	many	many	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	9	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	10	such	such	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	11	studies	study	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	12	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	13	undermined	undermine	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	14	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	15	unreliable	unreliable	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	17	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	18	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	21	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	1	Many	many	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	2	papers	paper	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	3	use	use	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	5	provided	provide	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	6	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	8	Johns	Johns	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	9	Hopkins	Hopkins	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	10	University	University	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	12	JHU	JHU	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	14	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	15	5	5	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	16	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	22	17	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	1	These	these	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	3	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	4	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	5	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	6	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	7	registered	register	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	9	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	10	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	11	countries	country	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	12	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	13	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	14	induces	induce	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	15	several	several	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	16	problems	problem	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	17	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	18	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	19	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	20	fact	fact	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	21	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	22	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	23	all	all	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	25	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	26	reported	report	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	27	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	28	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	29	there	there	EX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	31	delay	delay	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	32	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	33	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	34	day	day	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	35	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	36	infection	infection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	37	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	38	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	39	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	40	day	day	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	23	41	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	4	systems	system	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	5	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	6	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	7	vary	vary	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	8	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	9	countries	country	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	10	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	11	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	12	makes	make	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	13	comparisons	comparison	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	14	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	15	countries	country	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	16	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	24	17	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	3	focus	focus	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	4	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	7	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	8	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	10	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	11	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	12	Bavaria	Bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	13	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	14	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	25	15	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	2	availability	availability	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	3	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	4	case	case	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	5	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	7	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	8	Bavaria	Bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	9	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	10	detailed	detailed	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	12	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	13	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	14	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	15	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	16	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	18	essential	essential	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	19	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	20	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	21	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	26	22	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	2	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	3	recent	recent	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	4	paper	paper	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	5	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	6	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	7	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	8	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	9	6	6	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	10	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	11	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	12	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	13	authors	author	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	14	use	use	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	15	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	16	complex	complex	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	17	Bayesian	Bayesian	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	18	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	19	approach	approach	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	20	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	21	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	22	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	23	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	24	registrations	registration	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	25	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	26	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	27	JHU	JHU	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	27	29	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	1	An	an	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	2	important	important	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	3	claim	claim	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	4	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	5	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	6	6	6	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	7	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	9	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	10	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	11	lock	lock	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	13	down	down	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	15	like	like	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	16	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	17	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	18	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	19	23rd	23rd	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	20	were	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	21	necessary	necessary	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	22	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	23	stop	stop	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	24	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	25	growth	growth	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	26	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	27	however	however	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	28	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	29	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	30	result	result	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	31	contradicts	contradict	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	32	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	33	example	example	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	34	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	35	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	36	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	37	German	german	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	38	RKI	RKI	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	39	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	40	7	7	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	41	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	28	42	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	3	these	these	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	4	approaches	approach	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	5	were	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	6	critically	critically	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	7	questioned	question	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	8	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	9	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	10	8	8	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	11	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	12	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	13	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	14	9	9	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	15	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	16	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	17	where	where	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	18	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	19	latter	latter	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	20	emphasized	emphasize	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	21	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	22	importance	importance	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	23	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	24	taking	take	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	25	into	into	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	26	account	account	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	27	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	28	delay	delay	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	29	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	30	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	31	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	32	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	33	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	34	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	35	when	when	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	36	analyzing	analyze	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	37	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	38	possible	possible	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	39	effect	effect	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	40	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	41	non	non	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	42	pharmaceutical	pharmaceutical	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	43	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	29	44	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	2	follow	follow	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	3	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	4	line	line	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	5	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	6	argument	argument	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	7	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	8	use	use	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	9	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	10	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	11	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	12	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	13	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	14	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	15	numbers	number	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	16	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	17	infected	infected	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	18	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	19	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	20	persons	person	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	21	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	22	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	23	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	24	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	25	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	26	certain	certain	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	27	day	day	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	30	28	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	1	For	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	2	Bavaria	Bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	3	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	5	use	use	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	6	detailed	detailed	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	7	case	case	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	9	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	11	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	12	while	while	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	13	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	14	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	15	approach	approach	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	17	utilized	utilize	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	18	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	19	German	german	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	20	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	31	21	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	2	analyze	analyze	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	4	respective	respective	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	5	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	6	curves	curve	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	7	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	8	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	9	segmented	segmented	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	10	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	11	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	12	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	13	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	14	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	32	15	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	33	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	33	2	paper	paper	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	33	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	33	4	organized	organize	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	33	5	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	33	6	follows	follow	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	33	7	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	2	Section	section	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	3	2	2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	4	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	6	present	present	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	9	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	10	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	12	strategy	strategy	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	13	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	14	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	16	relevant	relevant	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	17	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	18	counts	count	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	34	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	1	Then	then	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	3	segmented	segmented	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	4	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	5	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	7	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	10	basis	basis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	11	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	12	further	further	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	13	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	14	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	16	presented	present	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	35	17	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	2	Section	section	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	3	3	3	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	4	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	6	present	present	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	8	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	9	followed	follow	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	10	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	11	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	12	discussion	discussion	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	13	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	14	Section	section	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	15	4	4	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	36	16	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	1	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	2	latter	latter	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	4	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	5	always	always	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	6	known	know	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	7	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	8	partly	partly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	9	because	because	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	10	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	11	could	could	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	12	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	13	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	14	determined	determine	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	15	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	16	partly	partly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	17	because	because	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	18	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	19	case	case	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	20	did	do	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	21	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	23	yet	yet	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	25	have	have	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	26	any	any	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	27	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	28	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	29	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	30	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	31	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	32	entry	entry	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	33	into	into	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	34	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	35	data	data	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	36	base	base	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	37	37	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	1	A	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	2	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	3	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	4	imputation	imputation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	5	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	6	missing	miss	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	7	values	value	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	8	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	10	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	11	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	12	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	13	been	be	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	14	developed	develop	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	15	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	16	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	17	10	10	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	18	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	19	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	20	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	21	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	22	flexible	flexible	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	23	generalized	generalized	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	24	additive	additive	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	25	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	26	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	27	location	location	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	28	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	29	scale	scale	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	30	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	31	shape	shape	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	33	GAMLSS	gamls	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	34	;	;	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	35	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	36	11	11	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	37	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	39	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	40	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	41	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	42	Weibulldistribution	Weibulldistribution	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	43	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	44	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	45	t	t	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	46	d	d	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	47	>	>	XX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	48	0	0	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	49	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	50	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	51	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	52	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	53	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	54	date	date	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	38	55	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	2	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	4	delay	delay	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	5	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	6	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	7	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	9	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	10	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	11	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	12	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	13	impute	impute	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	14	missing	miss	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	15	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	16	onsets	onset	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	17	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	18	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	19	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	20	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	39	21	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	1	For	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	3	German	german	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	5	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	6	no	no	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	7	individual	individual	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	8	case	case	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	10	were	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	11	available	available	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	12	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	13	so	so	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	14	instead	instead	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	15	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	16	used	use	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	17	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	18	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	19	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	20	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	21	provided	provide	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	22	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	23	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	24	Robert	Robert	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	25	Koch	Koch	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	26	Institute	Institute	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	28	RKI	RKI	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	30	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	31	see	see	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	32	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	33	12	12	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	34	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	35	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	36	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	37	7	7	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	38	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	40	39	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	2	method	method	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	3	used	use	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	4	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	6	RKI	RKI	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	8	similar	similar	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	9	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	10	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	11	approach	approach	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	12	applied	apply	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	13	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	14	Bavarian	bavarian	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	16	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	17	10	10	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	18	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	41	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	1	To	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	2	interpret	interpret	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	4	course	course	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	5	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	6	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	8	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	9	possible	possible	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	10	effects	effect	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	11	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	12	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	13	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	14	case	case	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	15	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	17	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	18	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	19	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	20	infection	infection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	22	essential	essential	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	42	23	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	1	However	however	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	3	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	4	such	such	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	5	data	data	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	7	generally	generally	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	8	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	9	available	available	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	10	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	11	one	one	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	12	simple	simple	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	13	approach	approach	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	15	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	16	shift	shift	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	17	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	18	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	19	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	20	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	21	past	past	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	22	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	23	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	24	average	average	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	25	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	26	period	period	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	43	27	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	2	average	average	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	3	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	4	period	period	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	5	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	8	about	about	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	9	five	five	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	10	days	day	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	11	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	12	13	13	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	13	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	44	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	1	A	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	2	more	more	RBR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	3	sophisticated	sophisticated	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	4	approach	approach	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	6	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	7	use	use	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	8	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	9	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	10	period	period	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	11	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	12	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	13	part	part	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	14	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	15	an	an	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	16	inverse	inverse	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	17	convolution	convolution	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	18	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	19	also	also	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	20	known	know	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	21	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	22	backpropagation	backpropagation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	23	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	24	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	25	order	order	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	26	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	27	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	28	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	29	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	30	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	31	infections	infection	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	32	per	per	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	33	day	day	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	34	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	35	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	36	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	37	series	series	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	38	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	39	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	40	onsets	onset	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	41	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	42	14	14	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	43	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	44	15	15	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	45	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	45	46	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	3	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	4	log	log	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	6	normal	normal	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	7	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	8	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	10	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	11	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	12	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	13	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	14	median	median	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	15	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	16	5.1	5.1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	46	17	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	1	days	day	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	2	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	3	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	4	95	95	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	5	%	%	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	6	percentile	percentile	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	7	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	8	11.5	11.5	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	9	days	day	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	10	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	11	13	13	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	12	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	47	13	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	1	These	these	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	2	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	4	same	same	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	5	values	value	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	6	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	7	used	use	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	8	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	9	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	10	6	6	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	11	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	48	12	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	1	For	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	2	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	3	calculation	calculation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	4	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	6	use	use	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	8	back	back	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	10	projection	projection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	11	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	12	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	13	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	15	R	r	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	16	package	package	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	17	surveillance	surveillance	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	19	16	16	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	20	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	49	21	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	1	To	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	2	analyze	analyze	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	4	temporal	temporal	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	5	course	course	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	6	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	8	infection	infection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	10	use	use	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	12	following	follow	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	13	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	14	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	15	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	16	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	17	over	over	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	19	dispersion	dispersion	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	20	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	21	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	22	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	24	see	see	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	25	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	26	17	17	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	27	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	28	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	29	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	30	18	18	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	50	31	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	51	1	):	):	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	1	where	where	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	2	E(Y	E(Y	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	3	t	t	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	6	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	7	expected	expect	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	8	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	9	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	10	new	new	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	11	reported	report	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	13	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	14	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	15	t	t	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	16	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	17	K	K	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	19	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	20	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	21	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	22	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	23	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	24	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	25	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	26	x	x	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	27	+	+	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	28	=	=	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	29	max(x	max(x	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	30	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	31	0	0	NFP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	33	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	34	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	35	positive	positive	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	36	part	part	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	37	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	52	38	x.	x.	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	2	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	3	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	4	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	5	used	use	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	6	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	7	partition	partition	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	8	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	10	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	11	Y	Y	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	12	t	t	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	13	into	into	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	14	K	K	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	15	+	+	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	16	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	17	phases	phase	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	53	18	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	54	1	These	these	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	54	2	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	54	3	characterized	characterize	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	54	4	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	54	5	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	54	6	growth	growth	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	54	7	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	54	8	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	3	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	4	before	before	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	6	first	first	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	7	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	8	point	point	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	9	CP	cp	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	10	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	12	growth	growth	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	14	characterized	characterize	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	15	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	16	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	17	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	18	β	β	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	19	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	20	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	21	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	22	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	23	2nd	2nd	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	24	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	25	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	26	CP	CP	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	27	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	28	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	29	CP	CP	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	30	2	2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	31	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	32	β	β	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	33	2	2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	55	34	=	=	NFP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	56	1	β	β	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	56	2	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	56	3	+	+	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	56	4	γ	γ	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	56	5	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	56	6	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	57	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	57	2	next	next	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	57	3	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	57	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	57	5	then	then	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	57	6	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	57	7	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	57	8	CP	CP	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	57	9	2	2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	57	10	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	3	3rd	3rd	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	4	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	5	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	6	CP	CP	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	7	2	2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	8	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	9	CP	cp	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	10	3	3	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	12	growth	growth	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	13	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	15	given	give	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	16	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	17	β	β	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	18	3	3	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	58	19	=	=	NFP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	59	1	β	β	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	59	2	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	59	3	+	+	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	59	4	γ	γ	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	59	5	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	59	6	+	+	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	59	7	γ	γ	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	59	8	2	2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	59	9	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	60	1	This	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	60	2	applies	apply	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	60	3	accordingly	accordingly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	60	4	until	until	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	60	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	60	6	last	last	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	60	7	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	60	8	after	after	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	60	9	CP	CP	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	60	10	K	K	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	60	11	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	2	quantities	quantity	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	3	exp(β	exp(β	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	4	j	j	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	7	j	j	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	8	=	=	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	9	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	10	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	11	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	12	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	61	13	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	1	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	2	K	K	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	3	+	+	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	4	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	5	can	can	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	6	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	7	interpreted	interpret	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	8	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	9	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	10	growth	growth	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	11	factors	factor	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	62	12	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	1	Since	since	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	2	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	4	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	7	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	8	generalized	generalized	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	9	linear	linear	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	10	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	11	given	give	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	12	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	13	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	14	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	15	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	16	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	17	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	18	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	19	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	20	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	22	including	include	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	23	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	24	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	25	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	27	can	can	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	28	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	29	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	30	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	31	minimizing	minimize	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	32	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	33	quasi	quasi	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	34	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	35	function	function	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	36	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	37	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	38	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	39	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	63	40	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	1	Due	due	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	2	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	4	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	5	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	6	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	7	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	8	points	point	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	10	numerical	numerical	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	11	optimization	optimization	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	12	problem	problem	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	14	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	15	straight	straight	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	16	forward	forward	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	64	17	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	1	For	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	3	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	6	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	8	use	use	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	10	R	r	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	12	package	package	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	13	segmented	segmented	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	14	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	15	see	see	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	16	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	17	19	19	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	18	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	65	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	2	starting	start	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	3	values	value	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	4	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	5	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	6	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	7	discrete	discrete	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	8	optimization	optimization	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	9	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	10	all	all	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	11	possible	possible	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	12	integer	integ	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	13	suitable	suitable	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	14	combinations	combination	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	15	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	16	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	17	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	66	18	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	2	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	3	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	4	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	5	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	6	K	K	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	8	varied	varied	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	9	step	step	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	11	wise	wise	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	12	up	up	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	13	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	14	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	15	maximum	maximum	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	16	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	17	K	k	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	18	=	=	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	19	4	4	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	67	20	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	3	examined	examine	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	4	whether	whether	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	6	increase	increase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	7	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	8	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	9	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	10	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	11	break	break	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	12	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	13	leads	lead	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	14	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	15	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	16	relevant	relevant	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	17	improvement	improvement	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	18	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	19	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	20	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	21	fitting	fitting	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	23	over	over	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	25	dispersion	dispersion	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	26	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	68	28	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	1	Models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	2	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	3	more	more	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	4	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	5	4	4	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	6	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	7	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	8	since	since	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	9	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	10	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	11	hardly	hardly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	12	interpretable	interpretable	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	13	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	15	danger	danger	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	16	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	17	overfitting	overfitting	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	19	high	high	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	69	20	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	2	apply	apply	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	4	segmented	segmented	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	5	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	6	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	7	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	8	time	time	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	9	series	series	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	10	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	12	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	13	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	14	numbers	number	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	15	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	16	infections	infection	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	17	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	18	Bavaria	Bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	19	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	20	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	70	21	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	1	Since	since	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	3	back	back	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	4	propagation	propagation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	5	algorithm	algorithm	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	6	yields	yield	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	7	an	an	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	8	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	9	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	10	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	11	expected	expect	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	12	values	value	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	13	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	15	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	16	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	17	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	18	infections	infection	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	19	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	20	does	do	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	21	so	so	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	22	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	23	inducing	induce	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	24	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	25	smoothing	smoothing	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	26	effect	effect	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	27	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	28	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	29	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	30	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	31	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	32	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	33	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	34	location	location	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	35	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	36	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	37	breakpoints	breakpoint	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	38	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	39	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	40	also	also	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	41	apply	apply	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	42	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	43	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	44	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	45	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	46	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	47	series	series	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	48	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	49	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	50	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	51	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	52	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	53	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	54	onsets	onset	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	71	55	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	1	When	when	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	2	comparing	compare	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	4	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	5	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	6	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	7	should	should	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	8	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	9	taken	take	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	10	into	into	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	11	account	account	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	12	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	13	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	14	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	15	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	16	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	17	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	19	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	20	average	average	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	21	5	5	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	22	days	day	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	23	after	after	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	24	infection	infection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	72	25	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	2	Figure	figure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	3	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	4	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	6	three	three	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	7	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	8	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	9	series	series	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	10	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	11	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	14	reported	report	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	15	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	16	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	17	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	18	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	19	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	20	infection	infection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	21	date	date	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	23	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	24	presented	present	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	73	25	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	2	delay	delay	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	3	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	4	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	5	three	three	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	6	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	7	series	series	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	8	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	9	Bavaria	Bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	10	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	11	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	13	evident	evident	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	74	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	4	curves	curve	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	5	do	do	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	6	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	7	just	just	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	8	differ	differ	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	9	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	10	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	11	constant	constant	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	12	delay	delay	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	13	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	14	but	but	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	15	there	there	EX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	17	some	some	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	18	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	19	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	20	structure	structure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	21	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	22	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	23	curves	curve	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	75	24	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	2	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	3	relating	relate	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	4	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	6	date	date	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	7	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	8	infection	infection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	10	clearly	clearly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	11	smoothed	smooth	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	12	due	due	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	13	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	15	back	back	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	16	projection	projection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	17	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	19	cf	cf	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	76	20	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	1	Section	section	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	2	2.2	2.2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	4	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	5	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	6	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	7	clear	clear	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	8	maximum	maximum	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	9	both	both	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	10	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	11	Bavaria	Bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	12	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	13	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	77	15	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	78	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	78	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	78	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	78	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	78	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	78	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	78	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	78	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	78	9	International	international	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	78	10	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	79	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	79	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	79	3	made	make	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	79	4	available	available	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	79	5	under	under	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	79	6	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	3	author	author	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	4	/	/	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	7	who	who	WP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	11	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	12	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	13	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	14	display	display	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	17	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	80	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	4	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	5	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	7	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	8	version	version	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	9	posted	post	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	10	October	October	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	11	30	30	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	12	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	15	;	;	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	81	16	 	 	_SP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	1	For	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	3	Bavarian	bavarian	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	5	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	6	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	7	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	8	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	10	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	11	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	12	K	K	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	13	=	=	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	14	4	4	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	15	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	16	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	17	gives	give	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	18	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	19	best	good	JJS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	20	result	result	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	21	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	22	an	an	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	23	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	24	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	25	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	26	over	over	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	28	dispersion	dispersion	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	29	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	30	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	31	3.8	3.8	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	32	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	33	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	34	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	35	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	36	variance	variance	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	37	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	38	Y	Y	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	39	t	t	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	40	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	41	3.8	3.8	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	42	times	time	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	43	higher	high	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	44	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	45	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	46	value	value	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	47	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	48	Var(Y	Var(Y	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	49	t	t	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	50	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	82	51	=	=	NFP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	83	1	E(Y	E(Y	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	83	2	t	t	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	83	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	84	1	otherwise	otherwise	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	84	2	expected	expect	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	84	3	under	under	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	84	4	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	84	5	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	84	6	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	84	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	84	8	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	84	9	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	84	10	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	84	11	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	2	over	over	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	4	dispersion	dispersion	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	5	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	6	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	7	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	8	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	9	K	k	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	10	=	=	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	11	3	3	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	12	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	13	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	15	substantially	substantially	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	16	higher	high	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	18	4.5	4.5	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	20	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	21	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	22	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	23	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	24	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	25	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	26	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	27	four	four	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	28	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	29	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	30	should	should	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	31	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	32	preferred	prefer	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	85	33	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	86	1	Table	table	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	86	2	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	86	3	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	86	4	left	leave	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	86	5	panel	panel	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	86	6	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	2	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	3	delivers	deliver	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	4	five	five	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	5	phases	phase	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	6	starting	start	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	7	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	8	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	9	steep	steep	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	10	increase	increase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	11	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	12	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	14	slowed	slow	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	15	down	down	RP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	16	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	17	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	18	second	second	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	19	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	87	20	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	3	third	third	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	4	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	5	starting	start	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	6	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	7	15th-17th	15th-17th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	8	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	9	April	April	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	10	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	12	increase	increase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	14	stopped	stop	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	15	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	16	there	there	EX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	18	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	19	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	20	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	21	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	22	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	23	onsets	onset	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	24	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	25	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	26	fourth	fourth	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	27	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	28	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	29	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	31	accelerated	accelerate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	32	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	33	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	34	fifth	fifth	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	35	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	88	36	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	2	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	3	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	4	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	6	infection	infection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	7	date	date	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	8	gives	give	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	9	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	10	substantially	substantially	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	11	better	well	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	12	fit	fit	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	13	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	15	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	16	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	17	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	89	18	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	2	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	3	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	4	four	four	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	5	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	6	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	7	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	8	an	an	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	9	underdispersion	underdispersion	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	10	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	12	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	13	factor	factor	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	14	0.39	0.39	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	15	compared	compare	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	16	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	17	0.79	0.79	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	18	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	19	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	20	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	21	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	22	three	three	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	23	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	24	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	90	25	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	4	use	use	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	6	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	7	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	8	three	three	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	9	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	10	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	11	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	12	avoid	avoid	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	13	overfitting	overfitting	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	91	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	2	result	result	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	3	can	can	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	4	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	5	seen	see	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	6	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	7	Figure	figure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	8	2	2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	10	right	right	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	11	panel	panel	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	13	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	14	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	15	Table	Table	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	16	 	 	_SP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	17	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	19	right	right	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	20	panel	panel	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	92	22	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	2	phases	phase	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	3	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	4	similar	similar	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	5	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	6	those	those	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	7	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	8	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	9	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	10	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	11	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	12	but	but	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	13	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	14	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	15	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	16	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	17	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	19	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	20	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	21	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	22	2	2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	24	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	25	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	26	decreasing	decrease	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	27	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	29	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	30	3	3	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	33	direct	direct	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	34	without	without	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	35	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	36	plateau	plateau	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	37	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	38	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	93	39	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	1	Taking	take	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	3	mean	mean	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	4	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	5	period	period	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	6	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	7	five	five	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	8	days	day	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	9	into	into	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	10	account	account	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	11	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	13	combine	combine	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	15	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	16	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	17	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	18	two	two	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	19	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	20	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	21	Bavaria	Bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	22	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	23	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	24	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	25	four	four	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	26	phases	phase	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	27	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	28	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	29	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	94	30	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	95	1	1st	1st	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	95	2	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	1	There	there	EX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	3	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	4	substantial	substantial	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	5	increase	increase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	6	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	7	new	new	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	8	infections	infection	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	9	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	10	both	both	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	11	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	12	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	96	13	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	97	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	97	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	97	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	97	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	97	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	97	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	97	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	97	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	97	9	International	international	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	97	10	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	98	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	98	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	98	3	made	make	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	98	4	available	available	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	98	5	under	under	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	98	6	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	3	author	author	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	4	/	/	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	7	who	who	WP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	11	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	12	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	13	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	14	display	display	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	17	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	99	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	100	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	100	2	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	100	3	was	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	100	4	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	100	5	certified	certify	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	100	6	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	100	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	100	8	review	review	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	100	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	100	10	 	 	_SP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	100	11	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	101	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	101	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	101	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	101	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	101	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	101	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	101	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	101	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	101	9	International	international	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	101	10	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	102	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	102	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	102	3	made	make	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	102	4	available	available	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	102	5	under	under	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	102	6	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	3	author	author	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	4	/	/	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	7	who	who	WP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	11	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	12	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	13	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	14	display	display	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	17	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	103	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	4	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	5	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	7	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	8	version	version	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	9	posted	post	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	10	October	October	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	11	30	30	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	12	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	104	15	;	;	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	105	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.29.20222265	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.29.20222265	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	105	2	doi	doi	XX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	105	3	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	106	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	106	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	2	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	3	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	4	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	5	German	german	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	7	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	8	presented	present	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	9	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	10	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	11	3	3	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	12	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	13	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	14	Table	Table	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	15	2	2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	107	16	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	1	For	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	3	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	4	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	5	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	8	overdispersion	overdispersion	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	10	substantially	substantially	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	11	lower	low	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	12	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	13	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	14	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	15	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	16	four	four	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	17	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	18	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	19	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	20	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	21	three	three	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	22	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	23	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	108	24	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	1	However	however	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	4	overdipersion	overdipersion	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	5	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	6	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	7	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	8	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	9	four	four	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	10	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	11	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	13	rather	rather	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	14	high	high	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	16	20.1	20.1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	18	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	19	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	20	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	21	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	22	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	23	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	24	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	25	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	26	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	27	rather	rather	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	28	big	big	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	29	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	30	especially	especially	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	31	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	32	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	33	first	first	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	34	part	part	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	35	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	36	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	37	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	38	series	series	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	39	where	where	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	40	two	two	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	41	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	42	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	43	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	44	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	109	45	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	1	While	while	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	3	distinction	distinction	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	4	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	6	first	first	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	7	three	three	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	8	phases	phase	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	10	unclear	unclear	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	11	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	12	there	there	EX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	14	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	15	clear	clear	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	16	turning	turning	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	17	point	point	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	18	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	19	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	20	14th	14th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	21	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	22	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	23	18th	18th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	110	24	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	2	fifth	fifth	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	3	phase	phase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	4	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	5	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	6	further	further	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	7	slowdown	slowdown	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	8	starts	start	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	9	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	10	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	11	end	end	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	12	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	13	April	April	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	111	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	112	1	As	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	112	2	can	can	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	112	3	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	112	4	seen	see	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	112	5	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	112	6	Figure	figure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	112	7	3	3	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	1	There	there	EX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	2	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	3	further	far	RBR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	4	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	5	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	6	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	7	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	8	both	both	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	9	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	10	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	11	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	12	have	have	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	13	wide	wide	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	14	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	15	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	16	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	17	do	do	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	18	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	19	fit	fit	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	20	well	well	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	21	together	together	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	22	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	23	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	24	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	25	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	113	26	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	114	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	114	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	114	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	114	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	114	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	114	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	114	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	114	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	114	9	International	international	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	114	10	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	115	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	115	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	115	3	made	make	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	115	4	available	available	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	115	5	under	under	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	115	6	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	3	author	author	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	4	/	/	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	7	who	who	WP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	11	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	12	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	13	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	14	display	display	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	17	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	116	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	4	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	5	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	7	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	8	version	version	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	9	posted	post	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	10	October	October	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	11	30	30	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	12	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	117	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	118	1	;	;	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	118	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	118	3	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	119	1	10.29.20222265	10.29.20222265	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	119	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	119	3	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	120	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	120	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	2	present	present	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	3	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	5	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	6	retrospective	retrospective	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	7	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	8	exploratory	exploratory	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	9	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	10	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	12	German	german	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	13	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	14	Bavarian	Bavarian	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	15	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	16	reporting	report	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	17	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	18	during	during	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	19	Mar	Mar	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	21	Apr	Apr	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	22	2020	2020	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	121	23	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	3	does	do	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	4	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	5	include	include	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	7	that	that	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	8	have	have	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	9	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	10	been	be	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	11	recorded	record	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	122	12	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	1	If	if	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	3	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	5	undetected	undetected	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	7	changes	change	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	8	over	over	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	9	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	10	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	11	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	12	can	can	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	13	distort	distort	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	15	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	16	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	17	thus	thus	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	18	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	19	determination	determination	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	20	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	21	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	22	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	23	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	123	24	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	3	additional	additional	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	5	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	6	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	7	deaths	death	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	8	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	9	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	10	admissions	admission	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	11	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	12	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	13	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	14	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	15	tests	test	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	16	performed	perform	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	17	should	should	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	18	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	19	considered	consider	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	124	20	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	5	possible	possible	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	6	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	7	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	8	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	9	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	10	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	11	undetected	undetected	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	13	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	15	help	help	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	16	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	17	representative	representative	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	18	studies	study	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	19	such	such	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	20	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	21	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	22	one	one	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	23	currently	currently	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	24	conducted	conduct	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	25	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	26	Munich	Munich	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	27	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	28	see	see	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	29	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	30	20	20	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	31	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	125	32	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	4	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	5	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	6	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	7	considerable	considerable	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	8	extent	extent	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	9	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	10	imputed	imputed	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	12	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	13	see	see	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	14	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	15	10	10	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	16	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	17	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	18	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	19	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	20	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	21	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	22	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	23	missing	miss	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	24	data	data	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	25	w.r.t	w.r.t	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	26	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	27	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	28	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	29	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	126	30	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	1	Since	since	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	2	changes	change	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	3	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	4	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	5	do	do	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	6	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	7	occur	occur	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	8	abruptly	abruptly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	9	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	10	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	11	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	12	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	13	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	14	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	16	also	also	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	17	problematic	problematic	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	18	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	19	itself	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	127	20	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	4	interpretation	interpretation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	5	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	6	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	7	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	8	should	should	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	9	always	always	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	10	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	11	done	do	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	12	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	13	conjunction	conjunction	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	14	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	15	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	16	direct	direct	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	17	observation	observation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	18	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	19	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	20	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	21	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	128	22	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	4	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	5	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	6	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	7	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	8	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	10	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	12	more	more	RBR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	13	precisely	precisely	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	14	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	16	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	17	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	18	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	20	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	21	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	22	back	back	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	23	projection	projection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	24	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	25	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	26	date	date	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	27	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	28	infections	infection	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	29	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	30	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	31	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	32	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	33	despite	despite	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	34	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	35	limitations	limitation	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	36	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	37	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	38	better	well	RBR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	39	suited	suited	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	40	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	41	describe	describe	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	42	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	43	course	course	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	44	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	45	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	46	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	47	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	48	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	49	more	more	RBR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	50	common	common	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	51	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	52	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	53	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	54	or	or	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	55	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	56	reported	report	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	57	case	case	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	58	numbers	number	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	129	59	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	3	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	6	Bavarian	Bavarian	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	7	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	8	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	9	German	german	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	11	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	12	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	13	settings	setting	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	14	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	16	main	main	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	17	result	result	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	19	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	20	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	21	point	point	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	22	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	23	where	where	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	24	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	25	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	26	growth	growth	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	27	was	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	28	stopped	stop	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	29	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	31	clearly	clearly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	32	visible	visible	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	33	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	34	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	35	9th	9th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	36	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	37	13th	13th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	130	38	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	2	timing	timing	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	3	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	4	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	5	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	6	point	point	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	7	coincides	coincide	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	8	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	10	implementation	implementation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	11	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	12	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	13	first	first	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	14	control	control	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	15	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	16	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	17	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	18	partial	partial	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	19	ban	ban	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	20	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	21	mass	mass	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	22	events	event	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	23	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	24	more	more	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	25	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	26	1000	1000	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	27	people	people	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	131	28	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	3	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	4	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	5	press	press	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	6	conference	conference	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	7	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	8	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	9	11th	11th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	10	chancellor	chancellor	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	11	Merkel	Merkel	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	12	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	13	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	14	president	president	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	15	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	16	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	17	RKI	RKI	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	18	appealed	appeal	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	19	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	20	self	self	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	22	enforced	enforce	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	23	social	social	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	24	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	26	https://www.bundesgesund	https://www.bundesgesund	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	27	heitsministerium.de/en/coronavirus/chronologie-coronavirus.html	heitsministerium.de/en/coronavirus/chronologie-coronavirus.html	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	132	28	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	4	extended	extended	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	5	media	medium	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	6	coverage	coverage	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	7	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	8	Bergamo	Bergamo	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	9	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	10	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	11	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	12	as	as	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	13	well	well	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	14	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	16	voluntary	voluntary	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	17	transition	transition	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	18	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	19	home	home	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	21	office	office	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	22	work	work	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	23	could	could	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	24	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	25	related	relate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	26	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	27	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	28	essential	essential	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	29	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	30	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	31	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	32	course	course	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	33	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	34	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	35	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	133	36	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	2	Bavaria	Bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	3	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	4	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	5	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	8	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	9	point	point	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	10	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	12	end	end	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	13	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	14	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	15	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	16	infection	infection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	17	date	date	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	19	apparent	apparent	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	134	20	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	1	This	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	2	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	3	point	point	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	5	associated	associate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	6	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	7	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	8	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	9	taken	take	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	10	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	11	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	13	closing	closing	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	14	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	15	schools	school	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	16	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	17	stores	store	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	18	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	19	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	20	16th	16th	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	21	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	22	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	23	shutdown	shutdown	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	24	including	include	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	25	contact	contact	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	26	ban	ban	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	27	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	28	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	29	21st	21st	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	135	31	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	1	Since	since	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	2	there	there	EX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	3	were	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	4	many	many	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	5	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	6	administered	administer	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	7	simultaneously	simultaneously	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	8	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	9	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	11	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	12	possible	possible	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	13	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	14	attribute	attribute	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	15	individual	individual	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	16	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	17	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	18	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	19	development	development	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	20	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	21	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	22	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	23	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	136	24	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	2	claim	claim	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	3	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	4	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	5	6	6	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	6	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	7	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	8	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	10	shutdown	shutdown	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	11	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	12	March	March	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	13	21st	21st	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	14	was	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	15	necessary	necessary	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	16	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	17	stop	stop	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	18	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	19	growth	growth	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	20	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	21	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	22	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	24	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	25	supported	support	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	26	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	27	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	28	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	137	29	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	138	1	There	there	EX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	138	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	138	3	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	138	4	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	138	5	10	10	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	138	6	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	139	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	139	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	139	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	139	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	139	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	139	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	139	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	139	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	139	9	International	international	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	139	10	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	140	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	140	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	140	3	made	make	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	140	4	available	available	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	140	5	under	under	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	140	6	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	3	author	author	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	4	/	/	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	7	who	who	WP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	11	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	12	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	13	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	14	display	display	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	17	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	141	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	4	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	5	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	7	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	8	version	version	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	9	posted	post	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	10	October	October	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	11	30	30	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	12	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	142	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	1	point	point	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	2	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	4	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	5	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	6	after	after	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	7	that	that	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	8	date	date	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	9	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	10	but	but	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	12	major	major	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	13	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	14	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	15	an	an	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	16	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	17	growth	growth	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	18	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	19	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	20	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	21	was	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	22	before	before	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	23	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	24	shutdown	shutdown	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	143	25	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	2	difference	difference	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	3	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	4	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	5	can	can	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	6	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	7	explained	explain	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	8	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	10	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	12	bases	basis	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	13	used	use	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	14	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	16	respective	respective	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	17	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	144	18	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	1	While	while	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	2	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	3	6	6	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	4	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	5	use	use	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	7	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	8	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	9	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	10	registered	register	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	12	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	13	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	14	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	15	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	16	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	17	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	18	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	19	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	20	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	21	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	22	included	include	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	145	23	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	1	As	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	2	can	can	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	3	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	4	seen	see	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	5	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	6	Figure	figure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	7	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	8	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	9	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	10	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	11	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	12	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	13	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	14	data	data	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	15	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	16	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	17	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	18	delay	delay	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	19	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	20	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	21	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	22	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	23	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	24	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	25	onset	onset	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	26	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	27	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	28	day	day	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	29	changed	change	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	30	over	over	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	31	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	146	32	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	2	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	3	information	information	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	5	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	6	crucial	crucial	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	7	difference	difference	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	8	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	9	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	10	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	11	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	12	that	that	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	13	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	14	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	15	6	6	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	16	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	147	17	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	2	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	3	recent	recent	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	4	technical	technical	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	5	addendum	addendum	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	6	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	7	21	21	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	8	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	10	authors	author	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	11	re	re	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	12	-	-	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	13	fit	fit	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	14	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	15	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	16	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	17	more	more	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	18	appropriate	appropriate	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	148	20	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	149	1	These	these	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	149	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	149	3	-in	-in	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	1	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	2	opinion	opinion	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	3	-clearly	-clearly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	4	show	show	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	5	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	6	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	7	effective	effective	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	8	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	9	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	10	decreased	decrease	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	11	earlier	early	RBR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	12	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	13	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	14	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	15	initial	initial	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	16	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	17	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	18	however	however	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	19	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	20	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	21	attribute	attribute	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	22	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	23	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	24	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	25	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	26	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	27	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	28	peculiarity	peculiarity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	29	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	30	where	where	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	31	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	32	linear	linear	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	33	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	34	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	35	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	36	contact	contact	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	37	rate	rate	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	38	can	can	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	39	lead	lead	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	40	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	41	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	42	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	43	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	44	dropping	drop	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	45	despite	despite	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	46	R(t	R(t	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	150	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	151	1	>	>	XX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	152	1	1	1	LS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	152	2	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	2	above	above	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	3	discussions	discussion	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	4	illustrate	illustrate	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	5	how	how	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	6	complex	complex	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	8	interpretation	interpretation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	9	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	10	even	even	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	11	simple	simple	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	12	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	13	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	15	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	16	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	17	question	question	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	19	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	20	if	if	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	21	such	such	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	22	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	23	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	25	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	26	too	too	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	27	simple	simple	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	28	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	29	really	really	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	30	allow	allow	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	31	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	32	questions	question	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	33	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	34	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	35	answered	answer	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	36	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	37	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	38	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	39	no	no	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	40	age	age	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	41	structure	structure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	42	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	43	no	no	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	44	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	45	varying	vary	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	46	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	47	delay	delay	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	48	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	49	no	no	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	50	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	51	delay	delay	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	52	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	153	53	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	2	contrast	contrast	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	3	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	4	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	5	approach	approach	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	7	more	more	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	9	driven	drive	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	10	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	11	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	12	minimum	minimum	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	13	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	14	modeling	model	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	15	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	16	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	17	without	without	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	18	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	19	need	need	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	20	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	21	include	include	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	22	strong	strong	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	23	prior	prior	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	24	information	information	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	25	about	about	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	26	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	27	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	28	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	154	29	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	1	Directly	directly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	2	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	3	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	4	segmented	segmented	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	5	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	6	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	7	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	8	growth	growth	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	10	decline	decline	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	13	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	14	line	line	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	15	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	16	common	common	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	17	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	18	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	19	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	20	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	21	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	22	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	23	early	early	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	24	stages	stage	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	25	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	26	where	where	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	27	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	28	limitation	limitation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	29	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	30	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	31	spread	spread	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	32	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	33	immune	immune	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	34	persons	person	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	35	plays	play	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	36	no	no	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	37	role	role	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	155	38	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	2	problem	problem	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	3	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	4	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	5	complex	complex	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	6	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	7	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	8	many	many	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	9	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	10	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	12	evaluation	evaluation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	13	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	14	governmental	governmental	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	15	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	16	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	17	also	also	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	18	been	be	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	19	highlighted	highlight	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	20	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	22	22	22	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	156	24	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	157	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	157	2	approach	approach	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	157	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	157	4	similar	similar	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	157	5	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	157	6	that	that	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	157	7	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	157	8	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	157	9	9	9	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	157	10	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	157	11	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	1	However	however	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	3	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	4	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	5	point	point	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	7	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	8	variables	variable	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	9	derived	derive	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	10	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	11	daily	daily	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	12	new	new	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	13	infections	infection	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	14	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	15	problematic	problematic	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	16	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	17	since	since	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	18	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	19	modeling	model	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	20	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	21	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	22	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	23	R(t	R(t	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	25	or	or	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	26	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	27	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	28	numbers	number	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	29	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	30	questionable	questionable	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	158	31	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	1	More	more	RBR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	2	specifically	specifically	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	3	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	4	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	5	use	use	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	6	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	8	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	10	varying	vary	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	11	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	12	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	13	R(t	R(t	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	15	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	16	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	17	standard	standard	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	18	measure	measure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	19	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	20	describe	describe	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	21	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	22	course	course	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	23	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	24	an	an	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	25	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	27	challenging	challenging	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	28	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	29	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	30	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	31	definitions	definition	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	32	have	have	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	33	been	be	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	34	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	35	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	36	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	37	literature	literature	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	38	that	that	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	39	also	also	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	40	imply	imply	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	41	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	42	interpretations	interpretation	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	43	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	44	see	see	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	45	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	46	23	23	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	47	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	48	24	24	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	49	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	50	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	159	51	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	1	However	however	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	4	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	5	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	6	R(t	R(t	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	8	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	9	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	10	relative	relative	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	11	measure	measure	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	12	can	can	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	13	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	14	useful	useful	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	15	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	16	when	when	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	17	one	one	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	18	wants	want	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	19	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	20	analyze	analyze	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	21	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	22	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	23	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	24	countries	country	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	25	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	26	non	non	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	27	comparable	comparable	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	28	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	29	systems	system	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	30	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	31	see	see	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	32	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	33	3	3	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	34	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	160	35	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	2	prefer	prefer	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	4	direct	direct	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	5	use	use	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	6	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	7	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	8	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	9	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	10	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	11	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	12	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	13	more	more	RBR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	14	plausible	plausible	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	15	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	16	about	about	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	17	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	18	error	error	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	19	terms	term	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	20	instead	instead	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	21	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	22	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	23	OLS	OLS	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	24	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	25	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	26	case	case	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	27	numbers	number	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	161	28	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	4	apply	apply	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	5	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	6	direct	direct	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	7	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	8	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	9	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	10	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	12	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	13	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	14	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	16	segmented	segmented	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	17	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	18	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	162	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	1	For	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	3	interpretation	interpretation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	6	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	7	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	8	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	9	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	10	onsets	onset	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	11	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	13	also	also	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	14	use	use	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	15	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	16	simple	simple	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	17	difference	difference	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	18	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	19	five	five	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	20	days	day	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	21	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	22	take	take	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	23	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	24	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	25	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	26	into	into	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	27	account	account	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	163	28	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	164	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	164	2	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	164	3	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	164	4	similar	similar	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	164	5	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	164	6	that	that	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	164	7	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	164	8	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	164	9	9	9	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	164	10	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	164	11	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	1	However	however	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	4	claim	claim	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	5	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	6	there	there	EX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	8	no	no	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	9	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	10	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	11	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	12	effect	effect	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	13	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	14	governmental	governmental	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	15	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	17	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	18	supported	support	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	19	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	20	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	21	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	165	22	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	2	result	result	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	4	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	5	line	line	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	6	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	7	that	that	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	8	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	9	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	10	25	25	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	11	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	12	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	13	where	where	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	14	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	15	stop	stop	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	16	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	17	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	18	growth	growth	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	19	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	20	Great	Great	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	21	Britain	Britain	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	22	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	23	been	be	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	24	before	before	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	25	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	26	shutdown	shutdown	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	166	27	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	4	effect	effect	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	5	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	6	governmental	governmental	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	7	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	8	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	9	whole	whole	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	11	clearly	clearly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	12	documented	document	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	13	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	15	literature	literature	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	16	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	17	see	see	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	18	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	19	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	20	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	22	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	24	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	25	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	26	2	2	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	27	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	28	.Our	.Our	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	29	result	result	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	30	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	31	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	32	possible	possible	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	33	effect	effect	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	34	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	35	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	36	ban	ban	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	37	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	38	mass	mass	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	39	events	event	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	40	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	41	also	also	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	42	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	43	line	line	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	44	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	45	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	46	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	47	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	48	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	49	3	3	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	50	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	51	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	167	52	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	168	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	168	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	168	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	168	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	168	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	168	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	168	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	168	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	168	9	International	international	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	168	10	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	169	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	169	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	169	3	made	make	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	169	4	available	available	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	169	5	under	under	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	169	6	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	3	author	author	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	4	/	/	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	7	who	who	WP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	11	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	12	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	13	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	14	display	display	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	17	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	170	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	4	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	5	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	7	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	8	version	version	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	9	posted	post	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	10	October	October	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	11	30	30	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	12	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	171	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	1	;	;	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	2	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	3	temporal	temporal	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	4	connection	connection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	5	between	between	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	6	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	7	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	8	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	9	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	10	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	11	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	12	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	13	various	various	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	14	control	control	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	15	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	16	should	should	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	17	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	18	interpreted	interpret	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	19	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	20	an	an	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	21	association	association	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	22	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	23	rather	rather	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	24	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	25	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	26	direct	direct	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	27	causal	causal	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	28	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	172	29	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	1	In	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	3	end	end	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	4	many	many	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	5	other	other	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	6	explanations	explanation	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	7	exists	exist	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	8	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	9	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	10	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	11	simple	simple	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	12	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	13	series	series	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	14	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	15	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	17	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	18	possible	possible	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	19	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	20	say	say	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	21	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	22	what	what	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	23	extent	extent	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	24	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	25	population	population	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	26	already	already	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	27	had	have	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	28	changed	change	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	29	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	30	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	31	voluntarily	voluntarily	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	32	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	33	as	as	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	34	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	35	example	example	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	36	observed	observe	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	37	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	38	mobility	mobility	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	39	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	40	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	41	26	26	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	42	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	43	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	44	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	45	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	46	what	what	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	47	way	way	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	48	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	49	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	50	contributed	contribute	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	51	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	52	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	173	53	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	1	More	More	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	2	speculative	speculative	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	3	alternative	alternative	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	4	explanations	explanation	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	5	would	would	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	6	include	include	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	8	possibility	possibility	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	9	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	10	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	11	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	12	effect	effect	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	13	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	14	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	15	activity	activity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	17	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	18	related	relate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	19	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	20	temperature	temperature	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	22	or	or	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	23	changes	change	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	24	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	25	test	test	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	26	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	27	or	or	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	28	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	29	case	case	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	30	detection	detection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	31	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	174	32	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	1	However	however	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	3	given	give	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	4	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	5	re	re	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	6	-	-	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	7	emergence	emergence	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	8	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	10	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	11	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	12	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	13	fall	fall	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	14	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	15	2020	2020	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	16	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	17	high	high	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	18	test	test	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	19	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	20	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	21	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	22	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	23	high	high	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	24	temperatures	temperature	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	25	shows	show	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	26	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	27	contact	contact	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	28	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	29	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	30	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	31	major	major	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	32	explanatory	explanatory	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	33	factor	factor	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	34	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	35	virus	virus	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	36	activity	activity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	175	37	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	3	any	any	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	4	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	5	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	6	observational	observational	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	7	time	time	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	8	series	series	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	10	including	include	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	11	only	only	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	12	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	13	limited	limited	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	14	amount	amount	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	15	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	16	explanatory	explanatory	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	17	factors	factor	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	18	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	19	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	20	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	21	interpreted	interpret	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	22	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	23	care	care	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	24	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	25	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	26	respect	respect	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	27	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	28	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	29	many	many	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	30	uncertainties	uncertainty	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	31	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	32	remain	remain	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	33	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	34	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	35	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	36	27	27	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	37	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	176	38	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	1	Despite	despite	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	3	limitations	limitation	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	6	approach	approach	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	7	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	9	argue	argue	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	10	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	11	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	13	advantageous	advantageous	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	14	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	15	important	important	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	16	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	17	directly	directly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	18	interpret	interpret	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	19	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	20	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	21	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	22	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	23	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	24	absolute	absolute	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	25	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	26	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	27	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	28	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	29	rather	rather	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	30	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	31	indirect	indirect	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	32	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	33	like	like	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	34	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	35	R(t	r(t	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	177	37	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	4	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	6	does	do	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	7	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	8	contain	contain	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	9	information	information	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	10	about	about	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	11	how	how	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	12	many	many	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	13	people	people	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	14	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	15	currently	currently	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	16	affected	affect	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	17	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	18	or	or	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	19	whether	whether	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	20	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	21	infected	infected	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	22	persons	person	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	23	belong	belong	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	24	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	25	risk	risk	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	26	groups	group	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	178	27	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	2	course	course	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	3	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	4	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	5	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	7	varying	vary	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	8	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	9	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	10	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	11	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	12	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	13	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	14	Bavaria	Bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	15	fits	fit	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	16	well	well	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	17	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	18	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	19	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	20	point	point	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	21	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	22	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	23	10	10	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	24	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	179	25	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	180	1	A	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	180	2	value	value	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	180	3	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	180	4	R(t	r(t	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	180	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	181	1	>	>	XX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	1	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	2	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	3	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	4	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	6	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	7	increase	increase	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	8	>	>	XX
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	9	1	1	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	10	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	11	noting	note	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	12	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	13	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	14	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	15	delays	delay	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	16	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	17	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	18	interpretation	interpretation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	19	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	20	R(t	R(t	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	22	must	must	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	23	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	24	kept	keep	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	25	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	26	mind	mind	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	182	27	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	2	should	should	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	3	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	4	noted	note	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	5	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	6	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	7	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	8	presented	present	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	9	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	11	retrospective	retrospective	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	183	12	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	1	Control	control	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	2	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	3	have	have	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	4	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	5	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	6	decided	decide	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	7	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	8	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	9	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	10	completely	completely	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	11	different	different	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	12	level	level	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	13	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	14	information	information	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	15	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	16	what	what	WP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	17	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	18	retrospectively	retrospectively	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	19	established	establish	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	20	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	21	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	22	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	184	23	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	2	simple	simple	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	3	observation	observation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	6	course	course	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	7	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	8	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	9	reported	report	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	10	case	case	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	11	numbers	number	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	12	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	13	reporting	report	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	14	date	date	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	16	also	also	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	17	problematic	problematic	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	18	because	because	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	19	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	20	course	course	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	22	strongly	strongly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	23	influenced	influence	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	24	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	25	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	26	reporting	report	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	27	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	28	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	29	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	30	methods	method	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	31	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	32	capacities	capacity	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	33	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	34	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	35	test	test	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	36	laboratories	laboratory	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	185	37	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	1	Typically	typically	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	3	substantially	substantially	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	4	fewer	few	JJR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	6	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	7	reported	report	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	8	at	at	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	9	weekends	weekend	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	10	than	than	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	11	during	during	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	12	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	13	week	week	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	186	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	3	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	4	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	5	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	6	10	10	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	7	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	9	an	an	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	10	important	important	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	11	step	step	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	12	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	13	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	15	better	well	RBR
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	16	interpretable	interpretable	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	17	curve	curve	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	18	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	19	new	new	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	21	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	22	but	but	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	24	limited	limit	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	25	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	26	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	27	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	28	limitations	limitation	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	29	itself	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	30	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	31	that	that	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	32	need	need	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	33	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	34	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	35	considered	consider	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	36	when	when	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	37	interpreting	interpret	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	38	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	39	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	187	40	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	1	Since	since	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	3	impact	impact	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	6	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	7	also	also	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	8	depends	depend	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	9	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	10	how	how	WRB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	11	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	12	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	13	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	14	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	16	population	population	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	18	compliance	compliance	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	20	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	21	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	22	results	result	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	23	can	can	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	24	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	25	be	be	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	26	directly	directly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	27	transferred	transfer	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	28	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	29	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	30	future	future	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	188	31	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	2	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	4	remains	remain	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	5	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	6	remarkable	remarkable	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	7	result	result	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	8	that	that	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	9	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	10	clear	clear	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	11	turning	turning	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	12	point	point	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	13	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	14	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	15	early	early	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	16	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	17	infection	infection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	18	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	19	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	20	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	22	associated	associate	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	23	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	24	non	non	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	25	drastic	drastic	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	26	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	28	no	no	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	29	shutdown	shutdown	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	31	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	32	strong	strong	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	33	appeals	appeal	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	34	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	35	politicians	politician	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	189	36	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	1	All	all	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	3	used	use	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	4	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	6	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	7	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	8	all	all	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	9	code	code	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	10	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	11	reproduce	reproduce	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	12	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	13	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	14	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	15	figures	figure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	16	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	17	tables	table	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	18	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	19	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	20	manuscript	manuscript	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	21	are	be	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	22	openly	openly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	23	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	24	freely	freely	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	25	available	available	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	26	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	27	https://gi	https://gi	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	28	thub.com/adibender/covid19-changepoint-analysis-germany-bavaria	thub.com/adibender/covid19-changepoint-analysis-germany-bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	190	29	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	191	1	All	all	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	191	2	12	12	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	191	3	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	192	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	192	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	192	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	192	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	192	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	192	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	192	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	192	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	192	9	International	international	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	192	10	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	193	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	193	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	193	3	made	make	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	193	4	available	available	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	193	5	under	under	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	193	6	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	3	author	author	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	4	/	/	SYM
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	6	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	7	who	who	WP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	11	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	12	license	license	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	13	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	14	display	display	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	15	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	17	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	194	19	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	195	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	195	2	which	which	WDT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	195	3	was	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	195	4	not	not	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	195	5	certified	certify	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	195	6	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	195	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	195	8	review	review	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	195	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	4	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	5	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	7	this	this	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	8	version	version	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	9	posted	post	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	10	October	October	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	11	30	30	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	12	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	196	14	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	1	;	;	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	2	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	3	were	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	4	performed	perform	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	5	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	6	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	7	R	r	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	8	programming	programming	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	9	language	language	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	10	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	11	28	28	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	12	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	197	13	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	198	1	Figures	figure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	198	2	were	be	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	198	3	created	create	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	198	4	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	198	5	R	r	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	198	6	package	package	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	198	7	ggplot2	ggplot2	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	198	8	[	[	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	198	9	29	29	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	198	10	]	]	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	198	11	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	1	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	3	effects	effect	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	5	non	non	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	6	-	-	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	7	pharmaceutical	pharmaceutical	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	8	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	9	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	10	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	11	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	12	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	13	Physical	Physical	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	14	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	15	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	16	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	17	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	18	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	19	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	20	disease	disease	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	21	2019	2019	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	22	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	23	natural	natural	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	24	experiment	experiment	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	25	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	26	149	149	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	199	27	countries	country	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	2	temporal	temporal	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	3	association	association	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	5	introducing	introduce	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	6	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	7	lifting	lift	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	8	non	non	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	9	-	-	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	10	pharmaceutical	pharmaceutical	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	11	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	12	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	13	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	14	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	16	varying	vary	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	17	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	18	number	number	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	20	R	r	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	22	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	23	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	25	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	26	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	27	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	28	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	29	study	study	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	30	across	across	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	31	131	131	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	32	countries	country	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	200	33	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	201	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	201	2	Lancet	Lancet	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	201	3	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	201	4	Diseases	Diseases	NNPS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	201	5	Lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	201	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	201	7	type	type	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	201	8	measures	measure	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	201	9	look	look	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	201	10	effective	effective	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	201	11	against	against	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	202	1	covid-19	covid-19	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	202	2	But	but	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	202	3	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	202	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	202	5	undermined	undermine	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	202	6	by	by	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	202	7	unreliable	unreliable	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	202	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	202	9	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	202	10	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	1	An	an	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	2	interactive	interactive	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	3	web	web	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	5	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	6	dashboard	dashboard	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	7	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	8	track	track	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	9	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	10	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	11	real	real	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	12	time	time	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	203	13	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	204	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	204	2	Lancet	Lancet	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	204	3	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	204	4	Diseases	disease	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	1	Inferring	infer	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	2	change	change	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	3	points	point	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	4	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	5	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	6	spread	spread	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	7	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	8	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	9	reveals	reveal	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	10	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	11	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	12	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	205	13	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	2	limits	limit	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	3	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	4	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	5	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	6	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	7	effects	effect	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	8	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	9	Bayesian	Bayesian	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	10	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	11	A	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	12	phenomenological	phenomenological	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	13	approach	approach	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	14	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	15	assessing	assess	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	16	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	17	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	18	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	19	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	20	related	related	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	21	nonpharmaceutical	nonpharmaceutical	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	22	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	23	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	24	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	25	Nowcasting	Nowcasting	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	26	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	27	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	28	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	29	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	30	Bavaria	Bavaria	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	206	31	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	207	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	207	2	Flexible	flexible	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	207	3	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	207	4	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	207	5	smoothing	smoothing	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	207	6	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	207	7	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	207	8	GAMLSS	GAMLSS	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	207	9	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	207	10	R.	R.	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	2	R	r	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	3	series	series	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	4	Schätzung	Schätzung	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	5	der	der	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	6	aktuellen	aktuellen	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	7	Entwicklung	Entwicklung	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	8	der	der	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	9	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	11	CoV-2-Epidemie	CoV-2-Epidemie	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	12	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	208	13	Deutschland	Deutschland	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	209	1	-Nowcasting	-nowcaste	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	1	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	2	Incubation	Incubation	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	3	Period	Period	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	5	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	6	Disease	Disease	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	7	2019	2019	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	9	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	11	From	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	12	Publicly	publicly	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	13	Reported	report	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	14	Confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	15	Cases	case	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	16	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	17	Estimation	Estimation	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	18	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	19	Application	Application	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	20	A	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	21	method	method	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	22	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	23	non	non	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	24	-	-	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	25	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	26	backprojection	backprojection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	27	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	28	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	29	application	application	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	30	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	31	AIDS	AIDS	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	32	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	33	Associations	Associations	NNPS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	34	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	35	Age	Age	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	36	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	37	Sex	Sex	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	38	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	39	Clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	40	Outcome	Outcome	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	41	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	42	Incubation	Incubation	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	43	Period	Period	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	44	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	45	Shiga	Shiga	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	46	toxin	toxin	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	47	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	48	producing	produce	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	49	Escherichia	Escherichia	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	50	coli	coli	VBZ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	51	O104	o104	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	210	52	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	1	H4	H4	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	2	Infections	Infections	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	3	Monitoring	Monitoring	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	4	Count	Count	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	5	Time	Time	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	6	Series	Series	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	7	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	8	R	r	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	9	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	10	Aberration	aberration	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	11	Detection	detection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	12	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	13	Public	Public	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	14	Health	Health	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	15	Surveillance	Surveillance	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	16	Estimating	Estimating	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	17	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	18	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	19	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	20	unknown	unknown	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	211	21	breakpoints	breakpoint	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	1	Modelling	model	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	2	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	3	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	4	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	5	segmented	segmented	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	6	regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	7	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	8	assess	assess	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	9	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	10	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	11	segmented	segment	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	12	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	13	an	an	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	14	R	r	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	15	Package	package	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	16	to	to	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	17	Fit	fit	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	18	Regression	regression	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	19	Models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	20	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	21	Broken	broken	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	23	Line	line	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	24	Relationships	relationship	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	212	25	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	1	R	R	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	2	News	News	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	3	Protocol	Protocol	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	5	a	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	6	population	population	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	8	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	9	prospective	prospective	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	10	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	11	cohort	cohort	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	12	study	study	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	13	Munich	Munich	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	14	Model	Model	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	16	based	base	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	17	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	18	model	model	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	20	free	free	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	21	characterization	characterization	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	22	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	23	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	213	24	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	214	1	-Technical	-Technical	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	1	notes	note	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	2	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	3	Dehning	Dehning	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	4	The	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	5	limits	limit	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	6	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	7	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	8	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	9	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	10	effects	effect	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	11	using	use	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	12	Bayesian	bayesian	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	215	13	models	model	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	1	A	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	2	New	New	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	3	Framework	Framework	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	4	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	5	Software	Software	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	6	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	7	Estimate	Estimate	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	8	Time	Time	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	10	Varying	vary	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	11	Reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	12	Numbers	Numbers	NNPS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	13	During	during	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	14	Epidemics	Epidemics	NNPS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	15	Association	Association	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	16	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	17	Public	Public	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	18	Health	Health	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	19	Interventions	Interventions	NNPS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	20	With	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	21	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	22	Epidemiology	Epidemiology	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	23	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	24	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	25	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	26	Outbreak	Outbreak	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	27	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	28	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	29	,	,	,
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	216	30	China	China	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	217	1	Did	do	VBD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	217	2	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	217	3	infections	infection	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	217	4	decline	decline	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	217	5	before	before	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	217	6	UK	UK	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	217	7	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	217	8	?	?	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	1	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	2	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	3	impact	impact	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	4	of	of	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	5	mobility	mobility	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	6	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	7	on	on	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	8	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	9	infection	infection	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	10	rates	rate	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	11	in	in	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	12	11	11	CD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	13	European	european	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	14	countries	country	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	15	Covid-19	Covid-19	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	16	's	's	POS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	17	known	know	VBN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	18	unknowns	unknown	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	19	R	r	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	20	:	:	:
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	21	A	a	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	22	Language	Language	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	23	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	24	Environment	Environment	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	25	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	26	Statistical	Statistical	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	27	Computing	Computing	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	28	Elegant	Elegant	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	29	Graphics	Graphics	NNPS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	30	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	31	Data	Data	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	218	32	Analysis	Analysis	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	2	would	would	MD
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	3	like	like	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	4	to	to	TO
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	5	thank	thank	VB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	6	Katharina	Katharina	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	7	Katz	Katz	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	8	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	9	Manfred	Manfred	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	10	Wildner	Wildner	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	11	from	from	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	12	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	13	Bavarian	Bavarian	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	14	State	State	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	15	Office	Office	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	16	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	17	Health	Health	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	18	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	19	Food	Food	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	219	20	Safety	Safety	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	2	LGL	LGL	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	4	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	5	providing	provide	VBG
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	6	the	the	DT
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	8	and	and	CC
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	9	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	10	useful	useful	JJ
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	11	discussions	discussion	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	220	12	.	.	.
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	221	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	221	2	also	also	RB
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	221	3	thank	thank	VBP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	221	4	Nadja	Nadja	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	221	5	Sauter	Sauter	NNP
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	221	6	for	for	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	221	7	help	help	NN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	221	8	with	with	IN
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	221	9	visualizations	visualization	NNS
cord-294815-mhqe3xjz	221	10	.	.	.