id sid tid token lemma pos cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 1 key key JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 2 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 3 cord-298469 cord-298469 NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 4 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 5 0sny9dit 0sny9dit CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 6 authors author NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 7 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 8 Schlickeiser Schlickeiser NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 9 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 10 Reinhard Reinhard NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 11 ; ; : cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 12 Schlickeiser Schlickeiser NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 13 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 14 Frank Frank NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 15 title title NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 16 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 17 A a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 18 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 19 model model NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 20 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 21 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 22 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 23 development development NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 24 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 25 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 26 Sars Sars NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 27 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 28 Cov-2 Cov-2 NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 29 corona corona NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 30 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 31 disease disease NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 1 32 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 1 Predictions prediction NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 2 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 3 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 4 made make VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 5 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 6 March March NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 7 30 30 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 8 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 9 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 10 date date NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 11 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 12 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 13 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 14 04 04 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 15 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 16 02 02 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 17 journal journal NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 18 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 19 nan nan NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 20 DOI DOI NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 2 21 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 3 1 10.1101/2020.03.31.20048942 10.1101/2020.03.31.20048942 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 4 1 sha sha NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 4 2 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 4 3 0c79ed35d20378f35456a55195abe7fb89a2990c 0c79ed35d20378f35456a55195abe7fb89a2990c NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 4 4 doc_id doc_id CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 4 5 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 5 1 298469 298469 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 5 2 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 5 3 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 5 4 0sny9dit 0sny9dit ADD cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 1 For for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 2 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 4 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 5 predicted predict VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 6 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 7 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 8 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 9 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 10 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 11 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 12 corona corona NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 14 disease disease NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 15 reaches reach VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 16 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 17 maximum maximum NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 18 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 19 new new JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 20 infections infection NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 21 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 22 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 23 11th 11th NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 24 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 25 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 26 +5.4 +5.4 NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 27 - - : cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 28 3.4 3.4 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 29 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 30 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 31 90 90 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 32 percent percent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 33 confidence confidence NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 6 34 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 1 With with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 2 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 3 delay delay NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 4 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 5 about about RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 6 7 7 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 7 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 8 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 9 maximum maximum JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 10 demand demand NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 11 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 12 breathing breathe VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 13 machines machine NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 14 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 15 hospitals hospital NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 16 occurs occur VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 17 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 18 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 19 18th 18th NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 20 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 21 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 22 +5.4 +5.4 NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 23 - - : cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 24 3.4 3.4 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 25 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 7 26 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 2 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 3 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 4 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 5 ends end NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 6 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 7 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 8 end end NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 9 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 10 May May NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 11 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 8 12 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 2 predictions prediction NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 3 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 4 based base VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 5 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 6 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 7 assumption assumption NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 8 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 9 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 10 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 11 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 12 evolution evolution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 13 well well RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 14 justified justify VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 15 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 16 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 17 central central JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 18 limit limit NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 19 theorem theorem NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 20 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 21 statistics statistic NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 9 22 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 2 width width NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 3 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 4 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 5 maximum maximum JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 6 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 7 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 8 thus thus RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 9 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 10 duration duration NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 11 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 12 this this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 13 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 14 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 15 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 16 determined determine VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 17 from from IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 18 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 19 statistical statistical JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 20 Ξ2-fit ξ2-fit NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 21 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 22 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 23 observed observed JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 24 doubling double VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 25 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 26 before before IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 27 March March NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 28 28 28 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 29 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 30 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 10 31 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 1 In in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 2 these these DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 3 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 4 there there EX cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 5 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 6 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 7 very very RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 8 high high JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 9 interest interest NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 10 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 11 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 12 societal societal JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 13 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 14 economical economical JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 15 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 16 political political JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 17 world world NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 18 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 19 understand understand VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 20 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 21 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 22 evolution evolution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 23 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 24 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 25 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 26 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 27 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 28 infections infection NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 29 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 30 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 31 population population NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 32 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 33 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 34 current current JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 35 Sars Sars NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 36 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 37 Cov-2 Cov-2 NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 39 corona corona NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 41 virus virus NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 11 42 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 2 most most RBS cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 3 important important JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 4 issues issue NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 5 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 6 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 7 total total JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 8 duration duration NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 9 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 10 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 11 peak peak JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 12 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 13 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 14 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 15 infection infection NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 16 evolution evolution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 17 as as RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 18 well well RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 19 as as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 20 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 21 maximum maximum JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 22 number number NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 23 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 24 daily daily JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 25 infections infection NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 12 26 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 2 would would MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 3 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 4 most most RBS cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 5 helpful helpful JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 6 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 7 many many JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 8 people people NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 9 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 10 have have VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 11 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 12 reproducable reproducable JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 13 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 14 crude crude JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 15 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 16 but but CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 17 reliable reliable JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 18 estimate estimate NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 19 when when WRB cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 20 this this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 21 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 22 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 23 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 24 over over RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 13 25 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 2 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 3 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 4 purpose purpose NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 5 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 6 this this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 7 manuscript manuscript NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 8 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 9 provide provide VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 10 such such PDT cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 11 an an DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 12 estimate estimate NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 13 based base VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 14 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 15 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 16 simplified simplified JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 17 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 18 model model NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 19 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 20 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 21 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 22 development development NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 23 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 24 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 25 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 26 outburst outburst NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 14 27 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 2 best good JJS cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 3 justification justification NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 4 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 5 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 6 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 7 or or CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 8 normal normal JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 9 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 10 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 11 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 12 virus virus NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 13 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 14 evolution evolution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 15 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 16 given give VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 17 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 18 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 19 central central JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 20 limit limit NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 21 theorem theorem NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 22 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 23 statistics statistic NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 24 1 1 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 15 25 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 2 central central JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 3 limit limit NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 4 theorem theorem NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 5 states state VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 6 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 7 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 8 situations situation NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 9 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 10 when when WRB cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 11 many many JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 12 n n NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 13 1 1 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 14 independent independent JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 15 random random JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 16 variables variable NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 17 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 18 added add VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 19 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 20 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 21 properly properly RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 22 normalized normalize VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 23 sum sum NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 24 tends tend VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 25 toward toward IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 26 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 27 normal normal JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 28 or or CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 29 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 30 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 31 function function NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 32 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 33 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 34 form form NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 36 1 1 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 38 even even RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 39 if if IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 40 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 41 original original JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 42 variables variable NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 43 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 44 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 45 not not RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 46 normally normally RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 47 distributed distribute VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 16 48 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 2 spread spread NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 3 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 4 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 5 virus virus NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 6 infection infection NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 7 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 8 populations population NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 9 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 10 high high JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 11 number number NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 12 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 13 persons person NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 14 certainly certainly RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 15 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 16 such such PDT cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 17 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 18 random random JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 19 process process NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 20 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 21 which which WDT cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 22 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 23 central central JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 24 limit limit NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 25 theorem theorem NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 26 ia ia NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 27 applicable applicable JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 17 28 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 1 Each each DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 2 person person NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 3 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 4 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 5 given give VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 6 population population NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 7 has have VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 8 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 9 probability probability NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 10 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 12 normalized normalize VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 13 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 14 unity unity NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 16 as as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 17 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 18 function function NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 19 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 20 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 21 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 22 being be VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 23 infected infect VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 24 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 25 it -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 26 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 27 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 28 very very RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 29 noncontinuous noncontinuous JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 30 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 31 being be VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 32 1 1 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 33 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 34 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 35 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 36 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 37 infection infection NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 38 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 39 0 0 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 40 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 41 all all DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 42 other other JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 43 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 18 44 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 1 If if IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 2 one one PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 3 adds add VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 4 up up RP cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 5 these these DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 6 discrete discrete JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 7 distributions distribution NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 8 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 9 persons person NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 10 living live VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 11 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 12 villages village NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 13 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 14 districts district NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 15 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 16 towns town NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 17 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 18 typical typical JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 19 size size NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 20 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 21 about about IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 22 1000 1000 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 23 persons person NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 24 one one PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 25 obtains obtain VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 26 quasi quasi JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 27 - - JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 28 continous continous JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 29 probability probability NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 30 distributions distribution NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 31 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 19 32 be- be- NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 1 * * NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 2 rsch@tp4.rub.de rsch@tp4.rub.de NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 3 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 4 schlickeiser@gmail.com schlickeiser@gmail.com ADD cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 5 ing ing DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 6 infected infect VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 7 which which WDT cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 8 certainly certainly RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 9 will will MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 10 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 11 different different JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 12 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 13 hotspots hotspot NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 14 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 15 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 16 disease disease NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 17 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 18 isolated isolate VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 19 rural rural JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 20 areas area NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 20 21 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 1 If if IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 3 then then RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 4 add add VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 5 up up RP cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 6 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 7 large large JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 8 number number NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 9 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 10 these these DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 11 village village NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 12 probability probability NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 13 distributions distribution NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 14 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 15 all all DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 16 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 17 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 19 obtain obtain VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 20 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 21 daily daily JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 22 infection infection NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 23 rate rate NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 24 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 25 which which WDT cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 26 according accord VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 27 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 28 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 29 central central JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 30 limit limit NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 31 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 32 close close JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 33 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 34 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 35 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 36 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 21 37 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 2 analysis analysis NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 3 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 4 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 5 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 6 functions function NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 7 plays play VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 8 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 9 central central JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 10 role role NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 11 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 12 many many JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 13 problems problem NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 14 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 15 statistical statistical JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 16 physics physics NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 17 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 18 plasma plasma NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 19 physics physics NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 22 20 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 1 E.g. e.g. RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 2 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 3 plasma plasma NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 4 kinetic kinetic JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 5 theory theory NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 6 they -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 7 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 8 referred refer VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 9 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 10 as as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 11 drift drift NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 12 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 13 Maxwellian maxwellian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 14 2 2 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 15 or or CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 16 counterstreaming counterstreame VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 17 bi bi JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 18 - - JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 19 Maxwellian maxwellian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 20 3,4 3,4 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 21 velocity velocity NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 22 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 23 functions function NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 23 24 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 1 Both both DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 2 authors author NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 3 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 4 this this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 5 manuscript manuscript NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 6 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 7 not not RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 8 virologists virologist NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 9 but but CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 10 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 11 physicists physicist NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 12 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 13 plasma plasma NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 14 physics physics NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 15 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 16 astrophysics astrophysic NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 18 RS RS NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 20 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 21 solid solid JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 22 state state NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 23 physics physics NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 25 FS FS NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 27 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 28 past past JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 29 experience experience NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 30 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 31 analyzing analyze VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 32 normal normal JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 33 or or CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 34 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 35 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 36 functions function NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 24 37 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 1 Apart apart RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 2 from from IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 3 consulting consult VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 4 several several JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 5 reviews review NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 6 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 7 - - SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 8 7 7 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 9 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 10 as as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 11 nonvirologists nonvirologists NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 13 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 14 not not RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 15 familiar familiar JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 16 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 17 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 18 recent recent JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 19 relevant relevant JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 20 virology virology NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 21 literature literature NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 25 22 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 2 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 4 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 6 hope hope NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 7 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 8 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 9 these these DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 10 hard hard JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 11 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 12 an an DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 13 estimate estimate NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 14 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 15 unbiased unbiased JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 16 non non NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 17 - - NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 18 experts expert NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 19 might may MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 20 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 21 welcomed welcome VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 22 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 23 specialists specialist NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 24 as as RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 25 well well RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 26 as as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 27 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 28 broad broad JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 29 population population NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 30 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 31 especially especially RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 32 if if IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 33 some some DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 34 positive positive JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 35 information information NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 36 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 37 outlook outlook NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 38 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 39 provided provide VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 26 40 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 2 base base VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 4 parameter parameter NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 5 estimates estimate NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 6 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 7 publicly publicly RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 8 available available JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 9 information information NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 10 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 11 especially especially RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 12 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 13 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 14 excellent excellent JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 15 podcast podcast NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 16 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 17 Prof. Prof. NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 18 C. C. NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 19 Drosten Drosten NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 20 8 8 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 21 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 22 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 23 recent recent JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 24 sophisticated sophisticated JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 25 modelling modelling NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 26 study study NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 27 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 28 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 29 7 7 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 27 30 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 1 Numerical numerical JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 2 simulations simulation NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 3 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 4 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 5 empirical empirical JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 6 data datum NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 7 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 8 earlier early JJR cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 9 epidemies epidemie NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 10 8 8 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 11 indicate indicate VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 12 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 13 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 14 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 15 evolution evolution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 16 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 18 waves wave NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 19 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 20 characterized characterize VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 21 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 22 an an DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 23 early early JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 24 exponential exponential JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 25 rise rise NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 26 until until IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 27 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 28 pronounced pronounced JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 29 maximum maximum NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 30 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 31 reached reach VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 32 followed follow VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 33 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 34 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 35 rapid rapid JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 36 decrease decrease NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 28 37 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 1 As as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 2 argued argue VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 3 above above IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 5 adopt adopt VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 6 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 7 simple simple JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 8 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 9 model model NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 10 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 11 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 12 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 13 evolution evolution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 14 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 15 infections infection NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 16 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 17 explore explore VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 18 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 19 consequences consequence NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 29 20 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 30 1 If if IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 30 2 I(t I(t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 30 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 30 4 denotes denote VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 30 5 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 30 6 number number NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 30 7 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 30 8 infections infection NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 30 9 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 31 1 CC CC NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 31 2 - - : cord-298469-0sny9dit 31 3 BY by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 31 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 31 5 International international JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 31 6 license license NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 2 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 3 made make VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 4 available available JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 5 under under IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 6 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 7 author author NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 8 / / SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 9 funder funder NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 10 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 11 who who WP cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 12 has have VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 13 granted grant VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 15 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 16 license license NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 17 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 18 display display VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 19 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 20 preprint preprint NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 21 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 32 23 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 33 1 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 33 2 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 33 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 33 4 which which WDT cord-298469-0sny9dit 33 5 was be VBD cord-298469-0sny9dit 33 6 not not RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 33 7 peer peer NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 33 8 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 33 9 reviewed review VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 33 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 34 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 34 2 copyright copyright NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 34 3 holder holder NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 34 4 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 34 5 this this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 34 6 preprint preprint NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 34 7 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 35 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.31.20048942 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.31.20048942 UH cord-298469-0sny9dit 35 2 doi doi NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 35 3 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 2 preprint preprint NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 3 per per IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 4 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 5 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 7 assume assume VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 8 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 9 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 10 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 11 evolution evolution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 12 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 13 given give VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 14 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 15 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 16 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 17 function function NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 18 shown show VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 19 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 20 Fig Fig NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 36 21 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 1 1 1 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 2 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 3 where where WRB cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 4 I -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 5 0 0 NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 6 denotes denote VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 7 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 8 maximum maximum JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 9 value value NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 10 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 11 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 12 E E NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 13 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 14 ∆ ∆ NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 15 denotes denote VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 16 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 17 width width NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 18 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 19 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 20 Gaussian Gaussian NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 37 21 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 1 By by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 2 monitoring monitor VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 3 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 4 new new JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 5 daily daily JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 6 infections infection NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 7 one one CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 8 easily easily RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 9 derives derive VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 10 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 11 relative relative JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 12 change change NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 13 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 14 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 15 infections infection NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 16 per per IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 17 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 18 where where WRB cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 20 used use VBD cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 21 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 22 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 24 1 1 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 38 26 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 2 monitored monitored JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 3 data datum NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 4 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 5 often often RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 6 given give VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 7 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 8 terms term NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 9 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 10 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 11 doubling double VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 12 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 13 d d NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 14 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 15 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 16 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 17 exponential exponential JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 18 function function NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 19 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 20 any any DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 21 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 22 Using use VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 23 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 24 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 26 3 3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 28 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 29 equation equation NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 31 2 2 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 33 provides provide VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 34 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 35 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 36 relative relative JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 37 change change NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 38 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 39 daily daily JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 40 infection infection NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 41 rate rate NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 42 Equating equate VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 43 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 44 two two CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 39 45 results result NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 2 2 2 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 4 ans ans NNPS cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 6 4 4 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 8 leads lead VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 9 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 10 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 11 timedependent timedependent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 12 Gaussian Gaussian NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 13 doubling double VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 40 14 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 1 Figure figure NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 2 2 2 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 3 shows show VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 4 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 5 monitored monitor VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 6 doubling double VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 7 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 8 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 9 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 10 9 9 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 11 starting start VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 12 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 13 March March NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 14 15 15 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 15 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 16 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 17 until until IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 18 March March NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 19 28,2020 28,2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 41 20 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 2 assume assume VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 3 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 4 every every DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 5 value value NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 6 has have VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 7 an an DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 8 error error NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 9 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 10 15 15 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 11 percent percent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 42 12 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 43 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 43 2 starts start VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 43 3 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 43 4 d(t d(t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 43 5 = = SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 43 6 0 0 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 43 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 43 8 = = NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 44 1 2.6 2.6 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 44 2 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 44 3 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 44 4 increases increase NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 44 5 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 44 6 D(t D(t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 44 7 = = SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 44 8 12 12 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 44 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 44 10 = = NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 45 1 4.8 4.8 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 45 2 ± ± CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 45 3 0.24 0.24 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 45 4 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 45 5 March March NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 45 6 28 28 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 45 7 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 45 8 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 45 9 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 2 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 3 doubling double VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 4 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 5 modeling modeling NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 6 then then RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 7 provides provide VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 8 d(t d(t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 9 = = SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 10 0 0 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 46 12 = = NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 1 A a LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 2 / / SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 3 E e NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 4 = = SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 5 2.6 2.6 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 6 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 7 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 8 corresponding correspond VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 9 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 10 Moreover moreover RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 11 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 12 Eq Eq NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 47 13 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 2 5 5 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 4 reduces reduce VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 5 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 6 We -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 7 determine determine VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 8 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 9 value value NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 10 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 11 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 12 only only JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 13 free free JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 14 parameter parameter NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 15 E e NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 16 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 17 equation equation NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 19 7 7 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 21 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 22 performing perform VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 23 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 24 χ χ CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 25 2 2 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 26 -fit -fit -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 27 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 28 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 29 data datum NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 30 shown show VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 31 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 32 Fig Fig NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 48 33 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 49 1 2 2 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 49 2 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 1 If if IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 2 m(t m(t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 3 i i NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 5 denote denote VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 6 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 7 observed observed JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 8 doubling double VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 9 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 10 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 11 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 12 t t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 13 i i NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 14 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 15 δm(t δm(t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 16 i i NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 50 18 = = NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 51 1 0.15m(t 0.15m(t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 52 1 i i PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 52 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 53 1 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 53 2 error error NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 53 3 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 53 4 d(E d(e NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 53 5 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 53 6 t t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 53 7 i i NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 53 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 54 1 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 54 2 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 54 3 doubling doubling NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 54 4 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 54 5 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 54 6 given give VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 54 7 values value NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 54 8 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 54 9 E e NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 1 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 3 calculate calculate VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 4 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 5 best good JJS cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 6 fit fit NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 7 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 8 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 9 minimum minimum JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 10 value value NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 11 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 12 χ χ CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 13 2 2 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 14 min min NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 15 = = SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 16 9.51 9.51 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 17 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 18 provided provide VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 19 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 20 E e NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 21 = = SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 22 27.5 27.5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 23 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 55 24 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 56 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 56 2 χ χ CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 56 3 2 2 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 56 4 min min NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 56 5 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 56 6 p.d.f p.d.f JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 56 7 = = SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 56 8 9.51/13 9.51/13 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 56 9 = = SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 56 10 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 57 1 CC CC NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 57 2 - - : cord-298469-0sny9dit 57 3 BY by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 57 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 57 5 International international JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 57 6 license license NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 2 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 3 made make VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 4 available available JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 5 under under IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 6 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 7 author author NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 8 / / SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 9 funder funder NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 10 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 11 who who WP cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 12 has have VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 13 granted grant VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 15 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 16 license license NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 17 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 18 display display VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 19 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 20 preprint preprint NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 21 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 58 23 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 59 1 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 59 2 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 59 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 59 4 which which WDT cord-298469-0sny9dit 59 5 was be VBD cord-298469-0sny9dit 59 6 not not RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 59 7 peer peer NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 59 8 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 59 9 reviewed review VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 59 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 2 copyright copyright NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 3 holder holder NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 4 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 5 this this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 6 preprint preprint NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 7 _SP cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 8 correponding correponde VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 9 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 10 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 11 11 11 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 12 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 13 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 14 +5.4 +5.4 NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 15 −3.4 −3.4 NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 16 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 60 17 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 1 Consequently consequently RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 2 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 3 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 4 best good JJS cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 5 fit fit JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 6 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 7 doubling double VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 8 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 9 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 10 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 11 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 12 given give VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 61 13 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 1 As as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 2 an an DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 3 aside aside NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 5 note note VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 6 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 7 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 8 variation variation NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 10 10 10 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 12 becomes become VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 13 infinitely infinitely RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 14 large large JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 15 as as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 16 t t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 17 → → SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 18 27.5 27.5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 62 19 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 63 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 63 2 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 63 3 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 63 4 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 63 5 t t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 64 1 > > XX cord-298469-0sny9dit 65 1 E E NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 1 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 2 doubling double VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 3 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 4 becomes become VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 5 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 6 decay decay NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 7 half half JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 8 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 9 life life NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 10 approaching approach VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 11 0 0 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 66 12 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 1 very very RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 2 large large JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 3 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 4 t t NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 5 E. E. NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 6 Moreover Moreover NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 7 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 8 after after IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 9 inserting insert VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 10 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 11 values value NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 13 9 9 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 15 equation equation NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 17 6 6 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 19 yields yield NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 20 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 21 90 90 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 22 percent percent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 23 confidence confidence NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 24 In in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 25 Fig Fig NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 67 26 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 68 1 3 3 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 1 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 2 show show VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 3 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 4 prediction prediction NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 5 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 6 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 7 doubling double VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 8 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 9 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 10 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 11 until until IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 12 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 13 25 25 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 14 corresponding correspond VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 15 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 16 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 17 8th 8th NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 18 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 19 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 69 20 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 70 1 FIG FIG NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 70 2 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 71 1 3 3 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 71 2 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 72 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 72 2 same same JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 72 3 as as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 72 4 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 72 5 Fig Fig NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 72 6 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 73 1 2 2 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 74 1 but but CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 74 2 now now RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 74 3 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 74 4 predicted predict VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 74 5 doubling double VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 74 6 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 74 7 until until IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 74 8 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 74 9 25 25 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 75 1 corresponding correspond VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 75 2 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 75 3 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 75 4 8 8 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 75 5 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 75 6 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 75 7 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 2 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 3 known know VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 4 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 5 during during IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 6 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 7 whole whole JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 8 duration duration NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 9 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 10 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 11 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 12 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 13 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 14 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 15 virus virus NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 16 evolution evolution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 17 70 70 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 18 percent percent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 19 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 20 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 21 total total JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 22 population population NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 23 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 24 infected infect VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 25 8 8 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 26 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 27 if if IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 28 nothing nothing NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 29 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 30 done do VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 31 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 32 reduce reduce VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 33 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 34 number number NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 35 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 36 infections infection NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 76 37 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 1 Scaling scale VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 2 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 3 total total JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 4 population population NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 5 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 6 units unit NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 7 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 8 10 10 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 9 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 10 N n CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 11 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 12 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 14 estimate estimate VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 15 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 16 0.7q10 0.7q10 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 17 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 18 N n CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 19 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 20 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 21 infected infect VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 22 during during IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 23 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 24 whole whole JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 25 duration duration NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 26 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 27 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 28 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 29 virus virus NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 30 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 31 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 32 where where WRB cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 33 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 34 quarantaning quarantaning NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 35 factor factor NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 36 q q NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 37 accounts account VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 38 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 39 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 40 currently currently RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 41 taken take VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 42 political political JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 43 actions action NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 44 such such JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 45 as as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 46 quarantining quarantine VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 47 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 48 elder eld JJR cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 49 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 50 infected infected JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 51 people people NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 52 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 53 social social JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 54 distancing distancing NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 55 actions action NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 56 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 57 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 58 society society NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 59 as as RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 60 well well RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 61 as as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 62 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 63 closure closure NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 64 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 65 schools school NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 66 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 67 daycare daycare NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 68 facilities facility NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 77 69 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 1 Integrating integrate VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 2 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 3 Gaussian Gaussian NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 5 1 1 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 7 over over IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 8 all all DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 9 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 11 then then RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 12 obtain obtain VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 13 where where WRB cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 15 used use VBD cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 16 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 17 integral integral JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 18 ∞ ∞ NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 19 −∞ −∞ NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 20 dx dx NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 21 e e NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 22 −x −x NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 23 2 2 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 78 24 = = NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 79 1 √ √ NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 79 2 π π NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 79 3 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 1 Equation equation NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 3 12 12 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 5 yields yield NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 6 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 7 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 8 maximum maximum JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 9 value value NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 10 With with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 11 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 12 90 90 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 13 percent percent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 14 confidence confidence NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 15 value value NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 16 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 17 ∆ ∆ NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 18 from from IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 19 equation equation NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 21 11 11 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 80 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 1 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 2 obtain obtain VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 3 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 4 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 5 same same JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 6 confidence confidence NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 7 level level NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 8 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 9 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 10 maximum maximum JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 11 value value NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 13 13 13 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 81 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 2 assume assume VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 3 as as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 4 typical typical JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 5 medical medical JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 7 those those DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 8 suggested suggest VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 9 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 10 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 11 recent recent JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 12 modeling modeling NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 13 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 14 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 15 Robert Robert NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 16 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 17 Koch Koch NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 18 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 19 Institute Institute NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 20 7 7 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 22 see see VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 23 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 24 Fig Fig NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 25 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 26 1 1 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 27 ): ): VBD cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 28 only only RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 29 about about RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 30 20 20 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 31 percent percent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 32 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 33 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 34 infected infected JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 35 people people NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 36 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 37 seriously seriously RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 38 infected infect VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 39 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 40 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 41 percent percent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 42 have have VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 43 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 44 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 45 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 46 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 47 1α 1α CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 48 percent percent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 49 need need VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 50 access access NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 51 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 52 breathing breathe VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 53 apparati apparati NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 54 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 55 typically typically RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 56 1w 1w CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 57 week week NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 58 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 59 corresponding correspond VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 60 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 61 7w 7w CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 62 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 82 63 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 2 refer refer VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 3 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 4 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 5 latter latter JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 6 as as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 7 NSSPs nssp NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 8 standing stand VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 9 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 10 new new JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 11 seriously seriously RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 12 sick sick JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 13 persons person NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 14 per per IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 15 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 83 16 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 1 As as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 2 these these DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 3 numbers number NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 4 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 5 uncertain uncertain JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 7 keep keep VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 8 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 9 scalings scaling NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 10 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 11 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 12 typically typically RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 13 adopted adopt VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 14 numbers number NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 84 15 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 1 In in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 2 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 3 there there EX cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 4 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 5 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 6 most most JJS cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 7 56000 56000 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 8 breathing breathing NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 9 apparati apparati NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 10 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 11 total total JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 12 available available JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 13 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 14 corresponding correspond VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 15 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 16 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 17 population population NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 18 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 19 80 80 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 20 million million CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 21 people people NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 22 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 23 70b 70b NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 24 70 70 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 25 breathing breathing NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 26 apparati apparati NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 27 available available JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 28 per per IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 29 10 10 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 30 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 31 N n CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 32 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 33 people people NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 85 34 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 1 As as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 2 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 3 consequence consequence NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 4 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 5 every every DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 6 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 7 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 8 hospitals hospital NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 9 can can MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 10 handle handle VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 11 I -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 12 n n NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 13 NSSPs nssp NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 14 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 15 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 16 infections infection NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 17 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 18 handable handable JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 19 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 20 hospitals hospital NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 21 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 22 all all DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 23 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 24 if if IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 25 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 26 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 27 maximum maximum NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 28 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 29 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 30 virus virus NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 31 evolution evolution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 32 0.01αI 0.01αi CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 33 0 0 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 34 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 35 denoting denote VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 36 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 37 maximum maximum JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 38 number number NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 39 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 40 seriously seriously RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 41 sick sick JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 42 persons person NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 43 per per IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 44 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 45 needing need VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 46 access access NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 47 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 48 breathing breathing NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 49 apparati apparati NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 50 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 51 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 52 less less RBR cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 53 or or CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 54 equal equal JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 55 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 56 I -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 57 n n NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 58 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 59 i.e. i.e. FW cord-298469-0sny9dit 86 60 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 87 1 CC CC NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 87 2 - - : cord-298469-0sny9dit 87 3 BY by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 87 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 87 5 International international JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 87 6 license license NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 2 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 3 made make VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 4 available available JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 5 under under IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 6 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 7 author author NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 8 / / SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 9 funder funder NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 10 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 11 who who WP cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 12 has have VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 13 granted grant VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 15 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 16 license license NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 17 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 18 display display VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 19 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 20 preprint preprint NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 21 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 88 23 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 89 1 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 89 2 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 89 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 89 4 which which WDT cord-298469-0sny9dit 89 5 was be VBD cord-298469-0sny9dit 89 6 not not RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 89 7 peer peer NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 89 8 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 89 9 reviewed review VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 89 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 90 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 90 2 copyright copyright NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 90 3 holder holder NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 90 4 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 90 5 this this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 90 6 preprint preprint NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 90 7 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 91 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.31.20048942 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.31.20048942 UH cord-298469-0sny9dit 91 2 doi doi NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 91 3 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 92 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 92 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 93 1 Inserting insert VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 93 2 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 93 3 value value NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 93 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 93 5 14 14 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 93 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 93 7 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 93 8 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 93 9 maximum maximum JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 93 10 value value NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 94 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 94 2 0 0 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 94 3 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 94 4 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 94 5 quantity quantity NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 94 6 N N NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 94 7 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 94 8 cancels cancel VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 94 9 out out RP cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 1 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 3 obtain obtain VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 4 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 5 90 90 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 6 percent percent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 7 confidence confidence NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 8 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 9 condition condition NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 10 which which WDT cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 11 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 12 equivalent equivalent JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 95 13 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 1 In in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 2 order order NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 3 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 4 handle handle VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 5 all all DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 6 serious serious JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 7 infections infection NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 8 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 9 German german JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 10 hospitals hospital NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 11 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 12 condition condition NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 14 18 18 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 16 has have VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 17 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 18 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 19 fulfilled fulfil VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 96 20 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 2 seems seem VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 3 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 4 German german JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 5 hospitals hospital NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 6 can can MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 7 only only RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 8 ensure ensure VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 9 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 10 best good JJS cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 11 treatment treatment NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 12 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 13 all all DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 14 NSSPs nssp NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 15 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 16 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 17 maximum maximum NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 18 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 19 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 20 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 21 if if IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 22 either either DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 24 1 1 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 26 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 27 number number NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 28 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 29 available available JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 30 breathing breathing NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 31 apparati apparati NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 32 can can MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 33 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 34 increased increase VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 35 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 36 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 37 factor factor NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 38 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 39 3 3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 40 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 41 corresponding correspond VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 42 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 43 b b NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 44 = = SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 45 210 210 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 46 per per IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 47 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 97 48 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 1 or or CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 3 2 2 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 5 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 6 quarantaining quarantaining NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 7 factor factor NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 8 q q NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 9 can can MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 10 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 11 reduced reduce VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 12 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 13 q q NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 14 = = NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 15 0.36 0.36 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 16 +0.03 +0.03 NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 17 −0.02 −0.02 NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 18 1/3 1/3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 98 19 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 99 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 99 2 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 99 3 option option NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 99 4 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 99 5 unrealistic unrealistic JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 99 6 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 99 7 short short JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 99 8 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 99 9 scales scale NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 99 10 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 1 To to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 2 achieve achieve VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 3 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 4 second second JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 5 option option NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 6 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 7 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 8 reducing reduce VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 9 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 10 quarantaining quarantaining NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 11 factor factor NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 12 q q NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 13 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 14 about about RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 15 0.3 0.3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 16 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 17 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 18 currently currently RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 19 taken take VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 20 social social JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 21 distancing distancing NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 22 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 23 quarantaining quarantaining NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 24 activities activity NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 25 seems seem VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 26 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 27 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 28 realistically realistically RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 29 achievable achievable JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 30 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 31 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 100 32 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 101 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 101 2 therefore therefore RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 101 3 will will MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 101 4 adopt adopt VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 101 5 this this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 101 6 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 101 7 value value NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 102 1 q q NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 102 2 = = NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 102 3 0.3q 0.3q CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 102 4 0.3 0.3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 102 5 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 102 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 102 7 further further JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 102 8 predictions prediction NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 102 9 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 1 However however RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 3 note note VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 4 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 5 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 6 such such PDT cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 7 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 8 small small JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 9 quarantaining quarantaining NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 10 factor factor NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 11 only only RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 12 21000N 21000n CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 13 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 14 will will MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 15 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 16 infected infect VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 17 during during IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 18 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 19 whole whole JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 20 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 21 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 22 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 23 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 24 virus virus NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 25 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 26 so so IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 27 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 28 additionally additionally RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 29 waves wave NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 30 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 31 likely likely JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 32 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 33 occur occur VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 34 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 35 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 36 future future NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 103 37 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 2 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 3 important important JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 4 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 5 notice notice VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 6 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 7 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 8 outbreak outbreak NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 9 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 10 serious serious JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 11 sickness sickness NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 12 syndroms syndrom NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 13 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 14 NSSPs NSSPs NNPS cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 15 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 16 delayed delay VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 17 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 18 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 19 infection infection NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 20 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 21 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 22 about about IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 23 τ τ NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 24 = = SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 25 7 7 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 26 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 27 8 8 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 104 28 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 1 This this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 2 delay delay NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 3 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 4 has have VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 5 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 6 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 7 added add VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 8 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 9 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 10 above above RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 11 derived derive VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 12 maximum maximum JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 13 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 14 scale scale NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 15 E e NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 16 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 17 so so IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 18 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 19 E e NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 20 + + CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 21 τ τ NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 105 22 = = NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 106 1 34.5 34.5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 106 2 +5.4 +5.4 NFP cord-298469-0sny9dit 106 3 −3.4 −3.4 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 106 4 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 106 5 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 106 6 corresponding correspond VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 106 7 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 106 8 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 106 9 18 18 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 106 10 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 106 11 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 107 1 +5.4 +5.4 . cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 1 −3.4 −3.4 NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 2 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 3 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 4 predicted predict VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 5 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 6 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 7 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 8 when when WRB cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 9 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 10 maximum maximum JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 11 number number NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 12 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 13 NSSPs nssp NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 14 has have VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 15 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 16 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 17 treated treat VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 108 18 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 2 number number NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 3 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 4 infections infection NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 5 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 6 signifantly signifantly RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 7 reduced reduce VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 8 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 9 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 10 factor factor NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 11 10 10 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 12 3 3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 13 compared compare VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 14 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 15 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 16 maximum maximum NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 17 I -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 18 0 0 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 19 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 20 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 21 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 22 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 23 90 90 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 24 percent percent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 25 confidence confidence NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 109 26 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 1 Consequently consequently RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 2 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 3 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 4 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 5 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 6 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 7 will will MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 8 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 9 over over RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 10 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 11 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 12 not not RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 13 before before IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 14 65 65 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 15 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 16 or or CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 17 about about RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 18 2 2 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 19 months month NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 20 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 21 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 22 indicated indicate VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 23 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 110 24 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 1 This this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 2 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 3 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 4 38 38 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 5 ± ± CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 6 4 4 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 7 days day NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 8 after after IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 9 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 10 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 11 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 12 maximum maximum NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 111 13 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 1 According accord VBG cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 2 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 4 predictions prediction NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 5 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 6 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 7 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 8 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 9 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 10 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 11 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 12 will will MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 13 reach reach VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 14 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 15 maximum maximum NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 16 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 17 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 18 18 18 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 19 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 20 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 21 when when WRB cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 22 about about IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 23 about about IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 25 8.3 8.3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 26 ± ± CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 27 0.78)q 0.78)q CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 28 0.3 0.3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 29 N n CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 30 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 31 NSSPs NSSPs NNPS cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 32 have have VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 33 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 34 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 35 treated treat VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 36 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 37 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 38 hospitals hospital NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 112 39 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 2 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 3 has have VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 4 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 5 broad broad JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 6 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 7 from from IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 8 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 9 6 6 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 10 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 11 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 12 30 30 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 13 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 14 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 15 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 16 more more RBR cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 17 more more JJR cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 18 than than IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 113 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 1 4.2 4.2 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 2 ± ± CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 3 0.39)q 0.39)q CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 4 0.3 0.3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 5 N n CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 6 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 7 but but CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 8 less less JJR cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 9 than than IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 11 8.3 8.3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 114 12 ± ± NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 115 1 0.78)q 0.78)q CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 116 1 0.3 0.3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 116 2 N n CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 116 3 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 116 4 NSSPs nssp NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 116 5 per per IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 116 6 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 116 7 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 2 number number NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 3 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 4 NSSPs nssp NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 5 needed need VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 6 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 7 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 8 treated treat VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 9 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 10 hospitals hospital NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 11 will will MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 12 sharply sharply RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 13 drop drop VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 14 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 15 less less JJR cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 16 than than IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 18 0.0083 0.0083 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 19 ± ± CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 20 0.00078)q 0.00078)q CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 21 0.30 0.30 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 22 N n CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 23 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 24 NSSPs nssp NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 25 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 26 May May NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 27 26th 26th NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 28 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 29 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 117 30 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 1 As as IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 2 Germany Germany NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 3 has have VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 4 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 5 population population NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 6 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 7 about about RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 8 80 80 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 9 million million CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 10 persons person NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 12 have have VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 13 N n CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 14 5 5 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 15 = = SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 16 800 800 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 118 17 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 2 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 3 absolute absolute JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 4 numbers number NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 5 German german JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 6 hospitals hospital NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 7 will will MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 8 have have VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 9 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 10 cope cope VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 11 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 13 6640 6640 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 14 ± ± NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 15 624)q 624)q CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 16 0.3 0.3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 17 NSSPs nssp NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 18 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 19 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 20 maximum maximum NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 21 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 22 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 23 outburst outburst NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 24 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 25 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 26 18th 18th NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 27 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 28 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 29 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 30 more more JJR cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 31 than than IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 33 3360±312)q 3360±312)q CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 34 0.3 0.3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 35 but but CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 36 less less JJR cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 37 than than IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 38 6640±624 6640±624 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 39 NSSPs nssp NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 40 per per IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 41 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 42 between between IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 43 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 44 6 6 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 45 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 46 April April NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 47 30 30 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 48 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 49 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 50 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 51 before before IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 52 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 53 total total JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 54 number number NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 55 per per IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 56 day day NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 57 drops drop NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 58 below below RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 59 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 60 6.64 6.64 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 61 ± ± CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 62 0.63)q 0.63)q CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 63 0.3 0.3 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 64 NSSPs nssp NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 65 after after IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 66 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 67 end end NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 68 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 69 May May NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 70 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 119 71 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 120 1 All all DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 120 2 errors error NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 120 3 have have VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 120 4 90 90 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 120 5 percent percent NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 120 6 confidence confidence NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 120 7 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 2 analysis analysis NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 3 can can MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 4 be be VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 5 applied apply VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 6 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 7 other other JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 8 countries country NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 9 too too RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 10 if if IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 11 reliable reliable JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 12 information information NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 13 on on IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 14 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 15 early early JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 16 doubling doubling NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 17 times time NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 18 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 19 available available JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 121 20 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 2 plan plan VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 3 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 4 test test VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 6 modeling modeling NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 7 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 8 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 9 data datum NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 10 from from IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 11 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 12 past past JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 13 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 14 corona corona NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 15 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 16 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 17 China China NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 122 18 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 2 end end VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 3 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 4 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 5 sentence sentence NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 6 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 7 caution caution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 8 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 9 although although IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 10 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 11 central central JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 12 limit limit NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 13 theorem theorem NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 14 provides provide VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 15 us -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 16 with with IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 17 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 18 very very RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 19 good good JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 20 justification justification NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 21 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 22 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 23 adopted adopt VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 24 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 25 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 26 distribution distribution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 27 function function NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 28 it -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 29 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 30 not not RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 31 guaranteed guarantee VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 32 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 33 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 34 actual actual JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 35 virus virus NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 36 time time NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 37 evolution evolution NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 38 follows follow VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 39 this this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 40 behavior behavior NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 123 41 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 2 will will MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 3 only only RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 4 know know VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 5 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 6 sure sure JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 7 after after IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 8 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 9 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 11 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 12 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 13 over over RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 124 14 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 1 So so CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 3 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 4 possible possible JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 5 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 7 estimates estimate NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 8 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 10 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 11 wrong wrong JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 125 12 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 2 take take VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 3 this this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 4 risk risk NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 5 because because IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 7 are be VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 8 convinced convinced JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 9 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 10 many many JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 11 persons person NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 12 will will MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 13 welcome welcome VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 14 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 15 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 16 estimate estimate NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 17 that that IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 18 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 19 first first JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 20 wave wave NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 21 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 22 over over RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 23 by by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 24 end end NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 25 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 26 May May NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 27 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 126 28 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 127 1 There there EX cord-298469-0sny9dit 127 2 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 127 3 light light JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 127 4 at at IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 127 5 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 127 6 end end NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 127 7 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 127 8 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 127 9 long long JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 127 10 tunnel tunnel NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 127 11 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 2 estimate estimate NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 3 might may MD cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 4 also also RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 5 help help VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 6 decision decision NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 7 makers maker NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 8 when when WRB cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 9 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 10 lift lift VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 11 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 12 current current JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 13 societal societal JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 14 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 15 economical economical JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 16 lockdown lockdown NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 128 17 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 129 1 Die die VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 129 2 erste erste NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 1 Welle Welle NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 2 wird wird NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 3 gegen gegen NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 4 Ende Ende NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 5 Mai Mai NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 6 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 7 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 8 Deutschland Deutschland NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 9 enden enden NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 10 mit mit NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 11 einem einem NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 12 tausendstel tausendstel NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 13 kleineren kleineren NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 14 Neuinfektionsraten Neuinfektionsraten NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 130 15 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 1 Diese Diese NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 2 Vorhersagen Vorhersagen NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 3 basieren basieren NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 4 auf auf NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 5 der der NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 6 Annahme Annahme NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 7 einer einer NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 8 Gauss Gauss NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 9 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 10 förmigen förmigen NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 11 Zeitverteilung Zeitverteilung NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 12 der der NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 13 Infizierungsrate Infizierungsrate NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 14 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 131 15 die die VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 132 1 gut gut VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 133 1 durch durch NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 133 2 den den NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 133 3 zentralen zentralen NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 133 4 Grenzwertsatz Grenzwertsatz NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 133 5 der der NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 133 6 Statistik Statistik NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 133 7 begründet begründet NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 133 8 ist ist NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 133 9 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 134 1 Die die VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 134 2 Breite Breite NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 134 3 und und RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 134 4 die die VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 134 5 Zeit zeit FW cord-298469-0sny9dit 134 6 des des FW cord-298469-0sny9dit 135 1 Maximums maximum NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 135 2 der der VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 135 3 Gauss Gauss NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 135 4 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 135 5 Verteilung Verteilung NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 136 1 und und NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 137 1 damit damit NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 137 2 deren deren NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 137 3 Gesamtdauer Gesamtdauer NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 138 1 werden werden NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 138 2 durch durch NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 138 3 einen einen NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 138 4 statistischen statistischen NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 139 1 χ χ LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 140 1 2 2 LS cord-298469-0sny9dit 140 2 -Fit -Fit : cord-298469-0sny9dit 140 3 an an DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 140 4 die die NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 140 5 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 141 1 Deutschland Deutschland NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 141 2 beobachteten beobachteten NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 141 3 Verdopplungszeiten Verdopplungszeiten NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 141 4 vor vor NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 141 5 dem dem NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 141 6 28.März 28.märz CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 141 7 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 141 8 bestimmt bestimmt NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 141 9 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 1 Die die VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 2 Behandlung Behandlung NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 3 aller aller FW cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 4 schwer schwer NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 5 erkrankten erkrankten NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 6 Patienten Patienten NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 7 mit mit NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 8 Beatmungsgeräten Beatmungsgeräten NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 9 ist ist NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 10 gewährleistet gewährleistet NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 11 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 12 wenn wenn NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 13 es es NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 14 durch durch NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 15 die die VBP cord-298469-0sny9dit 142 16 andauernden andauernden NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 143 1 Quarantäne Quarantäne NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 143 2 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 143 3 und und NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 143 4 soziale soziale NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 143 5 Distanzierungs Distanzierungs NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 143 6 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 143 7 Massnahmen Massnahmen NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 143 8 gelingt gelingt NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 143 9 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 143 10 die die VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 144 1 Anzahl Anzahl NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 144 2 der der NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 144 3 infizierten infizierten NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 144 4 Personen Personen NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 144 5 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 144 6 der der NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 144 7 Bevölkerung Bevölkerung NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 144 8 durch durch NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 144 9 die die JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 144 10 erste erste NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 145 1 Welle Welle NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 145 2 unter unter NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 145 3 30 30 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 146 1 Prozent Prozent NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 146 2 zu zu NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 146 3 halten halten NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 146 4 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 147 1 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 148 1 CC CC NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 148 2 - - : cord-298469-0sny9dit 148 3 BY by IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 148 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 148 5 International international JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 148 6 license license NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 2 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 3 made make VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 4 available available JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 5 under under IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 6 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 7 author author NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 8 / / SYM cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 9 funder funder NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 10 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 11 who who WP cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 12 has have VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 13 granted grant VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 15 a a DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 16 license license NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 17 to to TO cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 18 display display VB cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 19 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 20 preprint preprint NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 21 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 149 23 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 150 1 is be VBZ cord-298469-0sny9dit 150 2 the the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 150 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 150 4 which which WDT cord-298469-0sny9dit 150 5 was be VBD cord-298469-0sny9dit 150 6 not not RB cord-298469-0sny9dit 150 7 peer peer NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 150 8 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 150 9 reviewed review VBN cord-298469-0sny9dit 150 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 151 1 The the DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 151 2 copyright copyright NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 151 3 holder holder NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 151 4 for for IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 151 5 this this DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 151 6 preprint preprint NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 151 7 . . . cord-298469-0sny9dit 152 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.31.20048942 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.31.20048942 UH cord-298469-0sny9dit 152 2 doi doi NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 152 3 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 2 preprint preprint NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 3 An an DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 4 introduction introduction NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 5 to to IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 6 probability probability NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 7 theory theory NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 8 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 9 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 10 ppplications ppplication NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 11 Infectious infectious JJ cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 12 diseases disease NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 13 of of IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 14 humans human NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 15 : : : cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 16 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 17 and and CC cord-298469-0sny9dit 153 18 control control NN cord-298469-0sny9dit 154 1 Modellierung Modellierung NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 154 2 von von NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 154 3 Beispielszenarien Beispielszenarien NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 1 an an DT cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 2 der der NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 3 SARS SARS NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 4 - - HYPH cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 5 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 6 Epidemie Epidemie NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 7 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 8 in in IN cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 9 Deutschland Deutschland NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 10 Coronavirusupdate Coronavirusupdate NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 12 ndr.de/coronaupdate ndr.de/coronaupdate '' cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 13 , , , cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 14 2020 2020 CD cord-298469-0sny9dit 155 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-298469-0sny9dit 156 1 Süddeutsche Süddeutsche NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 156 2 Zeitung Zeitung NNP cord-298469-0sny9dit 156 3 Online online RB