id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	1	1	key	key	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	1	2	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	1	cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	PRP$
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	2	authors	author	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	4	Klabunde	Klabunde	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	5	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	6	Thomas	Thomas	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	7	;	;	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	8	Giegerich	Giegerich	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	9	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	10	Clemens	Clemens	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	11	title	title	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	12	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	13	How	how	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	14	high	high	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	15	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	16	long	long	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	17	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	18	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	19	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	20	wave	wave	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	21	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	2	22	?	?	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	1	A	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	2	data	data	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	4	driven	drive	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	5	approach	approach	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	6	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	7	model	model	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	8	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	9	predict	predict	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	10	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	11	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	12	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	13	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	15	required	require	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	16	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	17	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	18	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	19	German	german	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	20	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	21	system	system	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	22	date	date	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	23	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	24	2020	2020	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	25	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	26	04	04	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	27	-	-	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	28	17	17	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	29	journal	journal	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	3	30	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	4	1	nan	nan	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	4	2	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	4	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	4	4	10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	5	1	sha	sha	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	5	2	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	5	3	b2c73930e23bd83d4be8fe9f166318811b53f89b	b2c73930e23bd83d4be8fe9f166318811b53f89b	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	5	4	doc_id	doc_id	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	5	5	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	6	1	303489	303489	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	6	2	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	6	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	7	1	ve1fgnyg	ve1fgnyg	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	1	Background	background	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	2	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	3	objective	objective	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	4	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	5	In	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	6	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	7	2020	2020	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	9	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	11	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	12	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	13	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	14	been	be	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	15	declared	declare	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	16	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	17	global	global	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	18	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	8	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	1	Most	Most	JJS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	2	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	3	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	4	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	5	numerous	numerous	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	6	social	social	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	7	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	8	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	9	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	10	order	order	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	11	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	12	limit	limit	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	13	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	14	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	15	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	16	control	control	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	18	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	9	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	1	This	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	2	study	study	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	3	aims	aim	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	4	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	5	describe	describe	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	6	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	7	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	8	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	9	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	10	control	control	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	11	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	12	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	13	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	14	spread	spread	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	15	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	16	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	17	disease	disease	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	18	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	19	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	20	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	21	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	22	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	23	forecast	forecast	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	24	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	25	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	26	trend	trend	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	27	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	28	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	29	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	30	both	both	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	31	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	32	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	33	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	34	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	35	medical	medical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	36	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	37	requirements	requirement	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	38	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	39	terms	term	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	40	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	41	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	42	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	43	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	44	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	45	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	46	units	unit	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	47	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	48	ICUs	ICUs	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	49	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	50	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	51	optimal	optimal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	52	clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	53	treatment	treatment	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	54	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	55	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	56	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	57	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	58	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	59	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	60	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	61	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	62	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	63	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	64	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	65	system	system	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	10	66	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	1	Methods	method	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	2	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	3	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	4	used	use	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	5	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	6	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	7	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	8	function	function	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	9	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	10	model	model	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	11	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	12	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	13	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	15	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	16	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	17	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	18	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	19	infections	infection	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	20	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	21	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	22	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	23	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	11	24	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	1	A	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	2	linear	linear	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	3	regression	regression	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	4	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	6	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	7	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	8	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	9	functions	function	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	10	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	11	different	different	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	12	stages	stage	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	13	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	14	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	15	describe	describe	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	16	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	17	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	18	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	19	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	20	social	social	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	21	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	22	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	23	leading	lead	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	24	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	25	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	26	faster	fast	JJR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	27	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	28	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	29	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	30	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	31	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	32	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	33	both	both	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	34	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	12	35	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	2	used	use	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	4	linear	linear	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	5	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	6	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	7	predict	predict	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	9	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	10	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	11	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	12	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	13	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	14	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	16	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	17	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	18	10th	10th	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	19	until	until	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	20	May	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	21	31st	31st	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	13	22	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	2	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	4	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	6	required	require	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	7	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	8	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	9	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	10	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	11	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	12	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	13	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	14	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	15	units	unit	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	17	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	19	using	use	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	20	clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	21	observations	observation	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	22	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	23	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	24	average	average	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	25	lengths	length	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	26	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	27	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	28	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	29	stay	stay	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	30	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	31	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	32	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	33	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	34	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	35	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	36	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	14	37	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	15	1	Results	result	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	15	2	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	1	Analyzing	analyze	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	4	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	5	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	6	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	7	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	8	allowed	allow	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	9	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	10	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	11	identify	identify	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	12	changes	change	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	13	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	15	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	16	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	18	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	19	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	20	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	21	infection	infection	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	22	most	most	RBS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	23	likely	likely	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	24	resulted	result	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	25	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	26	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	27	various	various	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	28	social	social	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	29	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	30	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	31	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	16	32	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	1	In	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	2	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	3	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	4	stronger	strong	JJR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	5	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	6	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	8	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	10	was	be	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	11	observed	observe	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	12	around	around	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	13	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	14	week	week	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	15	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	16	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	17	17th	17th	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	18	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	19	whereas	whereas	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	20	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	21	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	22	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	23	stronger	strong	JJR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	24	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	25	occurred	occur	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	26	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	27	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	28	week	week	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	29	later	later	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	31	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	32	week	week	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	33	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	34	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	35	23rd	23rd	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	17	37	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	1	Under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	3	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	4	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	6	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	9	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	10	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	11	last	last	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	12	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	13	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	14	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	15	size	size	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	16	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	18	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	19	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	20	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	21	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	22	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	23	155,000	155,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	25	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	26	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	28	range	range	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	29	140,000	140,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	30	-	-	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	31	180,000	180,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	33	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	34	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	35	185,000	185,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	36	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	37	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	38	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	40	range	range	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	41	175,000	175,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	42	-	-	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	43	200,000	200,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	18	45	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	2	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	4	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	5	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	7	deaths	death	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	8	until	until	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	9	May	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	10	31st	31st	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	12	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	13	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	14	3,850	3,850	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	16	range	range	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	17	3,500	3,500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	19	4,450	4,450	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	19	21	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	1	Based	base	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	2	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	4	projected	project	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	5	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	7	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	8	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	11	expect	expect	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	12	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	13	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	14	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	15	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	16	requirements	requirement	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	17	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	18	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	19	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	20	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	22	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	23	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	24	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	25	decline	decline	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	26	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	27	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	28	2nd	2nd	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	29	week	week	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	30	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	31	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	32	onwards	onwards	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	33	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	34	13,500	13,500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	35	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	36	~2500	~2500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	37	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	38	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	40	range	range	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	41	1500	1500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	42	-	-	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	43	4300	4300	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	45	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	46	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	47	2500	2500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	48	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	49	~500	~500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	50	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	51	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	52	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	53	early	early	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	54	May	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	55	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	56	range	range	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	57	300	300	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	58	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	59	800	800	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	60	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	20	61	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	21	1	Conclusion	conclusion	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	21	2	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	2	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	3	effort	effort	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	4	presented	present	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	5	here	here	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	6	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	7	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	8	valuable	valuable	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	9	framework	framework	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	10	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	11	capture	capture	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	12	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	13	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	14	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	16	social	social	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	17	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	18	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	19	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	20	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	21	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	22	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	23	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	24	European	european	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	25	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	26	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	27	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	28	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	29	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	30	future	future	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	31	trend	trend	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	32	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	33	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	34	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	35	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	22	36	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	2	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	3	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	4	tool	tool	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	5	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	6	medical	medical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	7	authorities	authority	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	8	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	9	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	10	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	11	other	other	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	12	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	14	help	help	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	15	inform	inform	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	16	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	17	required	require	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	18	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	19	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	20	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	21	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	22	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	23	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	24	system	system	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	23	25	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	1	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	2	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	3	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	4	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	5	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	6	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	7	middle	middle	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	8	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	9	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	11	first	first	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	13	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	15	wave	wave	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	16	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	18	German	german	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	19	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	20	system	system	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	22	well	well	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	23	prepared	prepared	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	24	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	25	handle	handle	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	26	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	27	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	28	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	29	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	30	capacities	capacity	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	24	31	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	1	On	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	2	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	3	11	11	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	4	th	th	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	5	2020	2020	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	6	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	7	world	world	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	8	health	health	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	9	organization	organization	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	11	WHO	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	13	declared	declare	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	15	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	16	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	17	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	18	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	25	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	2	steep	steep	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	3	increase	increase	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	4	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	5	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	7	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	8	China	China	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	9	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	10	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	11	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	12	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	13	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	14	France	France	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	15	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	16	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	17	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	18	other	other	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	19	European	european	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	20	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	21	resulted	result	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	22	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	23	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	24	tens	ten	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	25	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	26	thousands	thousand	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	27	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	28	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	29	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	30	requiring	require	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	31	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	32	as	as	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	33	well	well	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	34	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	35	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	36	thousands	thousand	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	37	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	38	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	39	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	40	due	due	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	41	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	42	progression	progression	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	43	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	44	life	life	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	45	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	46	threatening	threaten	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	47	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	48	distress	distress	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	49	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	50	require	require	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	51	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	52	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	53	unit	unit	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	54	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	55	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	56	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	57	admission	admission	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	58	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	59	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	26	60	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	27	1	1	1	LS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	27	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	27	3	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	2	dramatic	dramatic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	3	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	4	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	6	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	7	progresses	progress	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	9	created	create	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	10	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	11	significant	significant	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	12	strain	strain	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	13	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	15	national	national	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	16	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	17	systems	system	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	18	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	19	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	20	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	21	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	22	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	23	led	lead	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	24	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	25	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	26	significant	significant	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	27	shortage	shortage	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	28	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	29	ICUs	ICUs	``
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	30	equipped	equip	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	31	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	32	extra	extra	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	33	-	-	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	34	corporeal	corporeal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	35	membrane	membrane	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	36	oxygenation	oxygenation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	38	ECMO	ECMO	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	40	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	41	save	save	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	42	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	43	lives	life	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	44	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	45	very	very	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	46	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	47	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	48	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	28	49	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	1	Since	since	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	2	early	early	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	3	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	4	several	several	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	5	European	european	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	6	governments	government	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	7	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	8	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	9	numerous	numerous	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	10	control	control	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	11	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	12	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	13	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	15	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	16	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	18	disease	disease	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	19	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	20	decrease	decrease	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	21	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	22	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	23	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	24	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	25	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	27	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	28	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	29	so	so	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	30	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	31	fewer	few	JJR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	32	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	33	need	need	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	34	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	35	seek	seek	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	36	treatment	treatment	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	37	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	38	any	any	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	39	given	give	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	40	time	time	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	41	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	42	avoid	avoid	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	43	overwhelming	overwhelming	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	44	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	45	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	46	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	47	commonly	commonly	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	48	referred	refer	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	49	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	50	"	"	``
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	51	flattening	flatten	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	52	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	53	curve	curve	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	54	"	"	''
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	29	55	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	2	strategy	strategy	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	3	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	4	achieve	achieve	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	5	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	6	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	7	flattening	flattening	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	8	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	9	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	10	curve	curve	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	11	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	12	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	14	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	15	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	16	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	17	consisted	consist	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	18	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	20	1	1	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	22	early	early	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	23	detection	detection	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	24	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	25	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	27	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	28	primary	primary	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	29	contacts	contact	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	30	followed	follow	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	31	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	32	self	self	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	33	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	34	quarantine	quarantine	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	35	or	or	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	36	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	37	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	38	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	39	2	2	LS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	41	promoting	promote	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	42	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	43	adherence	adherence	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	44	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	45	hygiene	hygiene	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	46	standards	standard	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	47	like	like	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	48	washing	washing	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	49	hands	hand	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	50	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	51	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	52	3	3	LS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	53	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	54	 	 	_SP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	30	55	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	31	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	31	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	31	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	31	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	31	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	31	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	31	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	31	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	32	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	32	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	32	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	32	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	32	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	32	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	33	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	34	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	34	2	which	which	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	34	3	was	be	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	34	4	not	not	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	34	5	peer	peer	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	34	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	34	7	reviewed	review	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	34	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	35	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	35	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	35	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	35	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	35	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	35	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	35	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	36	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	36	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	36	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	3	parts	part	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	4	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	6	population	population	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	7	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	8	"	"	``
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	9	social	social	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	10	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	11	"	"	''
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	37	12	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	1	In	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	2	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	3	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	4	"	"	``
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	5	social	social	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	6	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	7	"	"	''
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	8	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	9	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	10	evolved	evolve	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	11	over	over	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	12	time	time	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	13	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	14	banning	ban	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	15	gatherings	gathering	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	16	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	17	more	more	JJR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	18	than	than	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	19	1000	1000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	20	participants	participant	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	22	issued	issue	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	23	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	24	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	25	9	9	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	26	th	th	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	28	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	29	university	university	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	30	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	31	school	school	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	32	closures	closure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	34	issued	issue	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	35	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	36	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	37	16	16	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	38	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	40	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	41	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	42	prohibiting	prohibit	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	43	gatherings	gathering	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	44	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	45	more	more	JJR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	46	than	than	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	47	two	two	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	48	people	people	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	49	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	50	issued	issue	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	51	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	52	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	53	23	23	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	54	rd	rd	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	55	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	38	56	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	1	These	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	2	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	3	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	4	put	put	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	5	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	6	significant	significant	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	7	burden	burden	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	8	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	9	German	german	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	10	society	society	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	11	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	12	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	13	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	15	quality	quality	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	16	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	17	life	life	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	18	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	19	most	most	JJS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	39	20	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	1	There	there	EX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	2	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	3	been	be	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	4	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	5	mounting	mount	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	6	interest	interest	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	7	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	8	how	how	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	9	long	long	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	10	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	11	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	12	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	13	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	14	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	15	last	last	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	16	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	17	when	when	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	18	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	19	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	20	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	21	lifted	lift	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	22	safely	safely	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	40	23	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	1	On	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	3	other	other	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	4	hand	hand	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	5	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	6	medical	medical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	7	professionals	professional	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	8	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	9	expecting	expect	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	10	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	11	surge	surge	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	12	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	13	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	14	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	15	reaching	reach	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	16	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	17	hospitals	hospital	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	18	soon	soon	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	19	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	20	wonder	wonder	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	21	when	when	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	22	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	23	how	how	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	24	hard	hard	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	25	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	26	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	27	hit	hit	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	28	them	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	41	29	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	1	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	2	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	3	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	4	expanded	expand	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	5	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	6	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	7	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	8	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	9	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	10	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	11	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	12	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	13	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	14	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	15	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	16	ECMO	ECMO	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	17	units	unit	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	18	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	19	order	order	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	20	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	21	prepare	prepare	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	22	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	23	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	24	expected	expect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	25	wave	wave	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	26	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	27	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	28	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	29	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	30	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	31	prevent	prevent	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	32	overwhelming	overwhelm	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	33	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	34	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	35	system	system	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	42	36	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	1	A	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	2	registry	registry	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	3	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	4	been	be	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	5	formed	form	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	6	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	7	track	track	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	8	all	all	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	9	occupied	occupy	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	10	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	11	readily	readily	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	12	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	13	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	14	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	15	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	16	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	17	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	18	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	19	ensure	ensure	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	20	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	21	possible	possible	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	22	regional	regional	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	23	peaks	peak	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	24	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	25	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	26	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	27	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	28	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	29	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	30	treated	treat	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	31	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	32	transferring	transfer	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	33	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	34	influx	influx	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	35	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	36	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	37	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	38	nearby	nearby	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	39	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	40	systems	system	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	41	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	42	availability	availability	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	43	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	44	1	1	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	45	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	43	46	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	1	As	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	2	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	3	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	4	12	12	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	5	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	6	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	7	registry	registry	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	8	covers	cover	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	9	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	10	19,700	19,700	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	11	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	12	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	13	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	14	11,376	11,376	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	15	occupied	occupy	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	16	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	17	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	18	8325	8325	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	19	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	20	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	44	21	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	1	This	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	2	indicates	indicate	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	3	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	4	there	there	EX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	6	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	7	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	8	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	9	any	any	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	10	upcoming	upcoming	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	11	influx	influx	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	12	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	13	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	14	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	15	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	16	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	45	18	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	1	Over	over	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	3	past	past	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	4	weeks	week	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	5	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	6	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	9	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	10	pandemicespecially	pandemicespecially	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	11	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	13	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	14	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	15	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	16	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	17	recovered	recover	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	19	modelshas	modelshas	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	20	provided	provide	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	21	important	important	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	22	insights	insight	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	23	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	24	better	better	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	25	understand	understand	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	26	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	27	spread	spread	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	28	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	29	virus	virus	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	30	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	31	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	32	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	33	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	34	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	35	evaluate	evaluate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	36	how	how	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	37	various	various	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	38	potential	potential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	39	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	40	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	41	control	control	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	42	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	43	could	could	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	44	impact	impact	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	45	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	46	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	47	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	48	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	49	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	50	out	out	RP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	51	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	52	break	break	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	53	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	54	2	2	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	55	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	56	3	3	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	57	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	46	58	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	1	These	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	2	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	3	studies	study	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	4	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	5	informed	inform	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	6	decision	decision	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	7	making	make	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	8	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	9	national	national	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	10	governments	government	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	11	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	12	how	how	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	14	react	react	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	15	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	16	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	17	coming	come	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	18	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	19	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	47	20	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	1	Simulated	simulated	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	2	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	3	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	5	size	size	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	8	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	9	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	10	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	11	if	if	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	12	no	no	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	13	control	control	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	14	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	15	were	be	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	16	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	18	4	4	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	20	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	21	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	22	provided	provide	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	23	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	24	strong	strong	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	25	rationale	rationale	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	26	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	27	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	28	closures	closure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	29	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	30	school	school	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	31	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	32	universities	university	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	33	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	34	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	35	UK	UK	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	36	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	37	5	5	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	38	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	48	39	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	1	Other	other	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	2	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	3	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	4	shown	show	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	5	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	7	contact	contact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	9	tracing	tracing	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	10	App	App	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	11	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	12	builds	build	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	13	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	14	memory	memory	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	15	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	16	proximity	proximity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	17	contacts	contact	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	18	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	19	immediately	immediately	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	20	notifies	notify	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	21	contacts	contact	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	22	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	23	positive	positive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	24	casesand	casesand	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	25	potentially	potentially	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	26	asks	ask	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	27	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	28	self	self	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	29	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	30	isolationmight	isolationmight	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	31	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	32	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	33	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	34	transfection	transfection	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	35	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	36	especially	especially	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	37	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	38	pre	pre	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	39	-	-	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	40	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	41	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	42	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	43	thus	thus	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	44	reducing	reduce	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	45	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	46	spread	spread	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	47	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	48	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	49	virus	virus	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	50	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	51	6	6	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	52	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	49	53	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	1	Due	due	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	2	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	4	underlying	underlying	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	5	mechanistic	mechanistic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	6	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	7	structure	structure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	8	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	9	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	11	based	base	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	12	models	model	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	13	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	14	include	include	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	15	representations	representation	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	16	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	17	mobility	mobility	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	18	information	information	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	19	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	20	society	society	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	21	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	23	possible	possible	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	24	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	25	explore	explore	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	26	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	27	control	control	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	28	measure	measure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	29	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	30	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	31	thus	thus	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	32	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	33	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	34	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	35	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	36	certain	certain	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	37	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	38	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	39	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	40	very	very	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	41	early	early	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	42	stage	stage	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	43	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	44	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	45	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	50	46	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	1	Usually	usually	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	2	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	3	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	4	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	5	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	6	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	7	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	8	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	9	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	10	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	11	early	early	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	12	stage	stage	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	13	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	14	peaks	peak	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	15	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	16	then	then	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	17	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	18	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	19	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	20	point	point	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	21	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	22	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	23	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	24	case	case	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	25	curve	curve	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	26	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	27	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	28	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	29	declines	decline	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	30	again	again	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	51	31	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	1	This	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	2	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	3	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	5	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	6	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	8	either	either	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	9	achieved	achieve	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	10	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	11	reaching	reach	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	12	herd	herd	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	13	immunity	immunity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	14	or	or	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	15	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	16	implementation	implementation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	17	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	18	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	19	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	20	hinder	hinder	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	21	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	22	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	23	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	24	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	25	virus	virus	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	52	26	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	1	As	as	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	2	soon	soon	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	3	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	5	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	7	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	8	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	9	become	become	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	10	apparent	apparent	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	11	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	12	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	13	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	14	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	16	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	17	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	18	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	19	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	20	empirical	empirical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	21	or	or	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	22	so	so	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	23	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	24	called	call	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	25	top	top	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	26	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	27	down	down	RP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	28	methods	method	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	29	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	30	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	31	applied	apply	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	32	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	33	model	model	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	34	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	35	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	37	e.g.	e.g.	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	38	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	39	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	40	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	41	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	42	Gompertz	Gompertz	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	43	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	44	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	45	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	46	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	47	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	48	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	49	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	50	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	53	51	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	54	1	These	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	54	2	top	top	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	54	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	54	4	down	down	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	54	5	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	54	6	methods	method	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	54	7	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	54	8	then	then	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	54	9	provide	provide	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	54	10	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	55	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	55	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	55	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	55	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	55	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	55	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	55	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	55	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	56	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	56	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	56	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	56	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	56	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	56	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	57	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	58	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	58	2	which	which	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	58	3	was	be	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	58	4	not	not	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	58	5	peer	peer	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	58	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	58	7	reviewed	review	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	58	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	59	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	59	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	59	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	59	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	59	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	59	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	59	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	60	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	60	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	60	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	3	insights	insight	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	4	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	6	stage	stage	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	10	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	11	allow	allow	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	12	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	13	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	14	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	15	future	future	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	16	trends	trend	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	17	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	18	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	19	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	20	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	21	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	22	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	23	final	final	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	24	size	size	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	25	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	26	7	7	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	61	27	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	62	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	62	2	8	8	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	62	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	62	4	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	62	5	9	9	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	62	6	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	62	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	1	Since	since	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	2	early	early	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	3	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	4	2020	2020	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	6	numbers	number	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	8	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	9	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	10	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	12	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	13	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	14	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	15	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	16	appear	appear	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	17	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	18	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	19	either	either	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	20	constant	constant	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	21	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	22	similar	similar	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	23	numbers	number	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	24	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	25	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	26	infections	infection	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	27	each	each	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	28	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	29	or	or	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	30	declining	decline	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	31	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	32	see	see	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	33	Figure	figure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	34	1	1	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	36	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	37	indicating	indicate	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	38	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	39	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	40	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	41	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	42	moved	move	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	43	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	44	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	45	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	46	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	47	phase	phase	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	48	into	into	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	49	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	50	linear	linear	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	51	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	52	phase	phase	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	53	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	54	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	55	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	63	56	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	1	With	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	2	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	3	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	5	becoming	become	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	6	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	7	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	9	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	10	used	use	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	11	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	12	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	13	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	14	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	16	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	17	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	18	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	19	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	20	analyze	analyze	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	21	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	22	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	23	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	24	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	25	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	26	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	27	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	28	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	29	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	30	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	64	31	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	2	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	4	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	5	captured	capture	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	6	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	7	quantified	quantify	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	9	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	10	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	11	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	12	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	13	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	14	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	15	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	16	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	17	described	describe	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	18	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	19	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	20	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	21	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	22	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	23	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	24	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	25	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	26	had	have	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	27	taken	take	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	65	28	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	2	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	3	approach	approach	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	4	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	6	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	7	captured	capture	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	8	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	9	specific	specific	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	10	date	date	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	11	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	12	both	both	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	13	countriestwo	countriestwo	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	14	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	15	three	three	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	16	weeks	week	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	17	after	after	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	18	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	19	start	start	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	20	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	21	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	22	measurementswhen	measurementswhen	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	23	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	24	spread	spread	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	25	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	26	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	27	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	28	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	29	slowed	slow	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	30	down	down	RP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	66	31	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	1	In	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	2	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	3	second	second	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	4	step	step	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	6	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	7	used	use	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	9	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	10	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	11	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	12	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	13	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	14	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	18	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	19	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	20	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	21	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	22	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	23	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	24	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	25	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	26	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	27	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	28	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	29	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	30	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	31	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	32	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	67	33	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	1	This	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	2	allowed	allow	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	3	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	4	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	5	address	address	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	6	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	7	question	question	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	8	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	9	how	how	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	10	long	long	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	11	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	12	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	13	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	14	last	last	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	15	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	16	both	both	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	17	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	68	18	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	1	In	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	2	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	3	third	third	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	4	step	step	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	6	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	7	used	use	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	8	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	9	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	10	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	11	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	12	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	14	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	15	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	16	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	17	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	18	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	19	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	20	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	21	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	23	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	24	each	each	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	25	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	26	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	27	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	28	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	29	May	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	30	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	31	provide	provide	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	32	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	33	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	34	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	35	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	36	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	37	required	require	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	38	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	39	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	40	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	41	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	42	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	43	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	44	particular	particular	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	45	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	46	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	47	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	48	ECMO	ecmo	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	49	equipment	equipment	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	50	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	51	treat	treat	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	52	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	53	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	54	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	55	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	56	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	57	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	58	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	59	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	60	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	69	61	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	2	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	3	used	use	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	4	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	5	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	6	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	8	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	10	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	11	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	12	analyze	analyze	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	13	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	14	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	15	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	16	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	17	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	18	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	19	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	20	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	21	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	22	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	23	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	70	24	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	2	also	also	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	3	evaluated	evaluate	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	4	two	two	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	5	well	well	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	6	established	establish	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	7	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	8	models	model	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	9	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	10	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	11	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	12	function	function	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	13	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	15	Gompertz	Gompertz	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	16	function	function	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	17	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	18	but	but	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	19	decided	decide	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	20	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	21	favor	favor	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	22	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	23	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	24	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	25	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	26	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	27	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	28	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	29	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	30	structure	structure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	31	allows	allow	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	32	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	33	easily	easily	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	34	capture	capture	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	35	differences	difference	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	36	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	37	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	38	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	39	curve	curve	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	40	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	41	may	may	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	42	result	result	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	43	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	44	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	45	social	social	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	46	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	47	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	71	48	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	2	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	3	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	4	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	5	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	6	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	7	defines	define	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	9	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	10	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	11	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	12	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	13	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	14	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	16	today	today	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	17	versus	versus	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	18	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	20	yesterday	yesterday	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	21	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	22	shown	show	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	23	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	24	equation	equation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	26	1	1	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	28	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	29	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	30	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	31	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	32	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	33	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	34	following	follow	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	35	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	36	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	37	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	38	function	function	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	39	given	give	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	40	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	41	equation	equation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	43	2	2	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	72	45	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	2	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	3			NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	4	characterizes	characterize	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	5	how	how	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	6	fast	fast	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	8	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	11	decreasing	decrease	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	73	12	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	1	High	high	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	2	values	value	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	3	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	4			NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	5	indicate	indicate	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	7	slow	slow	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	8	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	9	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	10	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	11	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	12	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	13	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	14	whereas	whereas	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	15	low	low	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	16	values	value	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	17	indicate	indicate	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	18	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	19	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	20	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	21	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	23	declining	decline	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	24	fast	fast	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	25	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	26	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	27	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	28	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	29	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	30	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	31	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	32	versus	versus	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	33	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	34	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	35	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	36	reach	reach	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	37	zero	zero	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	38	more	more	RBR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	39	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	74	40	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	1	With	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	3	given	give	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	4	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	5	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	6	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	7	plot	plot	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	8	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	9	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	10	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	11	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	12	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	13	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	14	thus	thus	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	15	provided	provide	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	16	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	17	straight	straight	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	18	line	line	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	19	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	20	allowed	allow	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	21	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	22	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	23	derive	derive	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	24			NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	25	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	26	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	27	slope	slope	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	28	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	29	linear	linear	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	30	regression	regression	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	31	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	75	32	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	76	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	76	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	76	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	76	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	76	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	76	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	76	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	76	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	77	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	77	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	77	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	77	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	77	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	77	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	78	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	79	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	79	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	79	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	79	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	79	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	79	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	79	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	80	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	80	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	80	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	3	Assuming	assume	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	5	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	6	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	7	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	8	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	9	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	10	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	11	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	12	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	13	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	14	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	16	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	17	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	18	would	would	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	19	expect	expect	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	20	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	21	discontinuity	discontinuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	22	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	23	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	24	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	25	plot	plot	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	26	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	27	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	81	29	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	2	each	each	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	3	country	country	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	5	obtained	obtain	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	6	two	two	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	7	fits	fit	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	8	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	9	different	different	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	10	values	value	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	11	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	12			NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	13	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	14	capturing	capture	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	16	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	17	before	before	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	18	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	19	after	after	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	20	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	21	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	22	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	23	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	24	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	25	control	control	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	26	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	27	became	become	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	28	visible	visible	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	82	29	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	2	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	4	was	be	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	5	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	6	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	8	website	website	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	9	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	10	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	11	Robert	Robert	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	12	Koch	Koch	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	13	Institute	Institute	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	15	RKI	RKI	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	18	11	11	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	83	20	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	2	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	5	was	be	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	6	taken	take	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	7	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	9	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	10	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	11	Global	Global	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	12	Cases	Cases	NNPS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	13	published	publish	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	14	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	16	Center	Center	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	17	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	18	Systems	Systems	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	19	Science	Science	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	20	Engineering	Engineering	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	22	CSSE	CSSE	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	24	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	25	Johns	Johns	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	26	Hopkins	Hopkins	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	27	University	University	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	29	JHU	JHU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	31	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	32	12	12	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	33	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	84	34	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	2	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	3	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	4	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	5	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	7	used	use	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	9	reported	report	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	11	up	up	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	12	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	13	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	14	9	9	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	15	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	16	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	17	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	18	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	19	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	20	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	85	21	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	1	As	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	2	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	3	second	second	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	4	step	step	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	6	used	use	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	8	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	9	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	10	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	11	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	12	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	13	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	14	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	15	predict	predict	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	16	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	17	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	18	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	19	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	20	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	21	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	22	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	23	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	25	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	26	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	27	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	28	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	29	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	30	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	31	9	9	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	32	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	86	33	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	1	As	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	2	described	describe	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	3	before	before	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	4	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	5	linear	linear	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	6	regression	regression	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	9	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	10	plot	plot	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	11	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	12	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	13	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	14	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	16	between	between	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	17	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	18	23	23	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	19	rd	rd	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	20	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	21	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	22	9	9	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	23	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	24	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	25	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	26	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	27	between	between	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	28	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	29	17	17	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	30	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	31	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	32	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	33	9	9	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	34	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	35	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	36	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	37	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	38	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	39	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	40	allowed	allow	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	41	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	42	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	43	model	model	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	44	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	45	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	46	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	47	using	use	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	48	equation	equation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	49	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	50	2	2	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	51	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	87	52	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	1	Here	here	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	3	could	could	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	4	identify	identify	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	6	values	value	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	7	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	8			NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	9	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	10	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	11	intercept	intercept	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	12	as	as	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	13	well	well	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	14	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	15	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	16	standard	standard	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	17	deviation	deviation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	18	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	19	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	20	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	88	21	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	1	This	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	2	allowed	allow	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	3	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	4	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	5	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	6	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	7	expected	expect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	8	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	10	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	11	each	each	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	12	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	13	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	14	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	15	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	16	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	17	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	18	as	as	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	19	well	well	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	20	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	21	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	22	upper	upper	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	23	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	24	lower	low	JJR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	25	limit	limit	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	26	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	27	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	28	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	29	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	30	based	base	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	31	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	32	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	33	95	95	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	34	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	35	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	36	interval	interval	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	37	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	38	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	39	linear	linear	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	40	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	89	41	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	3	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	4	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	6	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	8	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	10	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	11	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	12	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	13	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	14	onwards	onwards	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	15	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	16	equation	equation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	18	3	3	LS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	20	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	21	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	22	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	23	expected	expect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	24	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	25	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	26	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	27	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	28	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	29	using	use	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	30	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	31	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	32	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	33	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	34	value	value	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	35	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	36	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	37	upper	upper	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	38	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	39	lower	low	JJR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	40	limit	limit	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	90	41	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	1	This	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	2	allowed	allow	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	3	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	4	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	5	project	project	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	6	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	7	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	8	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	9	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	10	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	11	identification	identification	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	12	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	13	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	14	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	15	regression	regression	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	16	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	17	into	into	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	18	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	19	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	20	interval	interval	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	21	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	22	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	23	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	24	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	91	26	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	2	3	3	LS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	4	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	5	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	6	used	use	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	8	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	9	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	10	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	11	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	14	including	include	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	16	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	17	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	18	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	19	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	20	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	22	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	23	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	24	remaining	remain	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	25	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	26	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	27	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	28	May	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	29	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	30	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	31	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	32	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	33	required	require	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	34	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	35	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	36	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	37	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	38	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	39	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	40	particular	particular	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	41	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	42	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	43	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	44	ECMO	ecmo	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	45	equipment	equipment	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	46	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	47	treat	treat	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	48	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	49	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	50	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	51	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	52	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	53	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	54	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	55	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	56	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	92	57	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	93	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	93	2	used	use	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	93	3	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	93	4	adapted	adapt	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	93	5	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	93	6	Thomas	Thomas	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	93	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	93	8	Rüddel	Rüddel	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	93	9	et	et	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	93	10	al	al	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	93	11	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	2	13	13	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	4	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	6	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	8	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	9	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	11	requiring	require	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	12	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	13	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	15	subset	subset	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	16	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	18	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	19	progress	progress	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	20	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	21	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	22	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	23	along	along	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	24	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	25	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	26	average	average	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	27	length	length	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	28	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	29	each	each	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	30	disease	disease	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	31	state	state	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	32	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	33	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	34	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	35	patient	patient	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	37	summarized	summarize	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	38	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	39	Figure	figure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	40	  	  	_SP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	94	41	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	95	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	95	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	95	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	95	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	95	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	95	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	95	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	95	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	96	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	96	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	96	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	96	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	96	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	96	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	97	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	98	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	98	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	98	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	98	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	98	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	98	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	98	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	99	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	99	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	99	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	100	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	100	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	100	3	2	2	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	100	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	100	5	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	1	After	after	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	2	first	first	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	3	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	4	appear	appear	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	5	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	6	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	7	0	0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	8	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	9	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	10	average	average	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	11	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	12	patient	patient	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	13	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	15	assume	assume	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	16	~7	~7	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	17	days	day	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	18	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	19	reported	report	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	20	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	22	labeled	label	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	23	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	24	D	d	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	25	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	26	Figure	figure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	27	2	2	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	29	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	30	14	14	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	31	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	101	32	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	2	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	3	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	5	assume	assume	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	6	~7	~7	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	7	days	day	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	8	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	9	first	first	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	10	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	11	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	12	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	13	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	14	15	15	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	15	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	16	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	17	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	18	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	20	~8	~8	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	21	days	day	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	22	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	23	first	first	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	24	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	25	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	26	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	27	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	28	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	29	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	30	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	31	~14	~14	NFP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	32	days	day	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	33	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	34	first	first	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	35	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	36	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	37	death	death	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	38	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	39	labeled	label	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	40	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	41	M	M	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	42	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	43	Figure	figure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	44	2	2	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	45	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	46	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	47	16	16	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	48	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	102	49	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	3	expect	expect	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	4	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	5	time	time	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	6	period	period	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	8	~7	~7	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	9	days	day	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	10	between	between	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	11	reported	reported	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	12	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	13	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	14	death	death	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	103	15	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	3	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	4	average	average	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	5	duration	duration	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	7	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	8	stay	stay	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	9	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	10	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	11	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	12	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	14	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	15	12	12	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	16	days	day	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	18	17	17	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	20	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	21	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	22	average	average	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	23	duration	duration	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	24	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	25	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	26	stay	stay	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	27	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	28	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	29	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	30	unit	unit	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	31	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	32	6	6	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	33	days	day	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	34	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	35	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	36	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	37	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	38	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	39	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	40	12	12	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	41	days	day	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	42	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	43	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	44	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	45	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	46	recover	recover	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	47	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	48	17	17	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	49	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	104	50	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	3	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	4	~20	~20	NFP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	5	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	7	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	9	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	10	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	11	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	12	require	require	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	13	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	14	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	15	~25	~25	NFP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	16	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	17	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	18	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	19	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	21	developed	develop	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	22	into	into	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	23	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	25	requiring	require	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	26	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	27	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	28	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	29	~50	~50	NFP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	30	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	31	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	32	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	33	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	34	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	35	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	36	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	37	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	38	outcome	outcome	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	39	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	40	17	17	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	41	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	42	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	105	43	 	 	_SP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	2	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	3	used	use	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	4	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	5	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	6	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	9	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	10	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	11	modelwith	modelwith	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	12	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	13	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	14	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	15	being	be	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	16	defined	define	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	17	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	18	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	19	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	21	today	today	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	22	versus	versus	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	23	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	24	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	26	yesterdayto	yesterdayto	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	27	analyze	analyze	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	28	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	29	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	30	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	31	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	32	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	33	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	34	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	35	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	36	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	37	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	38	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	106	39	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	2	3	3	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	5	plot	plot	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	8	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	9	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	10	rateusing	rateuse	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	12	logarithmic	logarithmic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	13	function	function	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	14	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	15	linearizationfrom	linearizationfrom	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	16	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	17	1	1	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	18	st	st	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	19	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	20	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	21	9	9	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	22	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	23	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	24	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	25	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	26	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	107	27	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	1	By	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	2	fitting	fit	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	5	using	use	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	6	linear	linear	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	7	regression	regression	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	8	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	10	obtained	obtain	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	11	two	two	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	12	fits	fit	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	13	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	16	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	17	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	18	shown	show	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	19	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	20	blue	blue	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	21	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	22	orange	orange	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	23	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	108	24	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	109	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	109	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	109	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	109	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	109	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	109	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	109	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	109	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	110	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	110	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	110	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	110	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	110	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	110	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	111	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	112	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	112	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	112	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	112	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	112	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	112	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	112	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	113	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	113	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	113	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	114	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	114	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	114	3	 	 	_SP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	1	With	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	3	value	value	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	5			NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	6	being	be	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	7	identified	identify	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	9	predicted	predict	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	10	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	11	trend	trend	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	12	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	13	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	14	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	16	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	17	accumulated	accumulate	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	18	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	20	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	21	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	22	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	23	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	24	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	25	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	26	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	27	same	same	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	28	control	control	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	29	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	30	remain	remain	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	31	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	32	place	place	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	33	until	until	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	34	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	35	last	last	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	36	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	115	37	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	1	May.	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	2	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	3	projected	project	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	4	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	5	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	6	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	7	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	8	using	use	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	9	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	10	value	value	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	11	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	12			NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	13	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	14	10.3	10.3	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	15	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	16	12.4	12.4	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	17	days	day	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	18	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	19	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	20	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	21	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	22	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	23	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	24	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	25	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	26	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	27	been	be	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	28	determined	determine	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	29	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	30	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	31	regression	regression	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	32	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	33	using	use	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	34	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	35	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	36	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	37	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	38	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	39	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	40	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	41	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	42	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	43	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	44	become	become	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	45	visible	visible	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	46	until	until	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	47	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	48	9	9	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	49	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	116	50	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	2	4	4	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	5	observed	observed	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	7	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	8	blue	blue	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	9	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	10	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	11	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	12	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	13	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	117	14	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	1	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	2	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	3	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	5	projected	project	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	7	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	9	same	same	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	10	graph	graph	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	11	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	12	red	red	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	118	13	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	3	projections	projection	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	4	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	6	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	7	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	9	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	10	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	11	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	12	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	13	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	14	case	case	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	15	range	range	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	17	upper	upper	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	18	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	19	lower	lower	RBR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	20	bound	bind	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	23	given	give	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	24	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	25	results	result	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	26	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	27	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	28	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	29	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	30	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	31	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	32	identification	identification	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	33	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	34	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	35	linear	linear	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	36	regression	regression	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	37	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	38	 	 	_SP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	119	39	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	120	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	120	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	120	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	120	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	120	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	120	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	120	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	120	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	121	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	121	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	121	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	121	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	121	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	121	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	122	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	123	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	123	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	123	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	123	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	123	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	123	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	123	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	124	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	124	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	124	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	125	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	125	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	125	3	 	 	_SP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	125	4	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	126	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	126	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	126	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	126	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	126	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	126	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	126	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	126	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	127	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	127	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	127	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	127	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	127	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	127	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	128	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	129	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	129	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	129	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	129	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	129	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	129	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	129	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	130	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	130	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	130	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	131	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	131	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	131	3	Based	base	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	131	4	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	131	5	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	131	6	projections	projection	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	1	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	2	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	3	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	4	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	6	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	7	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	8	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	9	end	end	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	10	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	11	May	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	12	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	13	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	14	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	15	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	16	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	17	140,000	140,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	18	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	19	180,000	180,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	20	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	21	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	22	peak	peak	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	23	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	24	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	26	around	around	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	27	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	28	1	1	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	29	st	st	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	132	30	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	2	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	4	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	5	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	6	size	size	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	11	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	12	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	13	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	14	175,000	175,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	15	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	16	200,000	200,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	133	18	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	1	Evidently	evidently	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	2	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	3	projections	projection	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	4	assume	assume	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	5	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	6	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	7	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	8	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	9	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	10	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	11	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	12	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	13	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	15	continues	continue	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	16	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	17	follow	follow	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	18	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	19	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	20	trend	trend	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	21	due	due	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	22	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	23	successful	successful	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	24	control	control	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	25	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	26	taken	take	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	27	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	28	both	both	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	29	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	134	30	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	1	How	how	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	2	high	high	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	3	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	4	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	7	patient	patient	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	8	wave	wave	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	9	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	10	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	11	German	german	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	12	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	13	system	system	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	135	14	?	?	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	136	1	When	when	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	136	2	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	136	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	136	4	hit	hit	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	136	5	?	?	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	137	1	How	how	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	137	2	many	many	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	137	3	people	people	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	137	4	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	137	5	die	die	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	137	6	?	?	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	2	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	3	used	use	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	5	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	8	newly	newly	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	9	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	10	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	12	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	13	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	14	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	15	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	16	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	17	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	18	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	19	requirements	requirement	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	20	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	21	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	22	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	23	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	24	ICUs	icus	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	25	as	as	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	26	well	well	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	27	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	28	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	29	death	death	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	30	rates	rate	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	31	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	32	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	33	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	34	May	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	35	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	36	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	37	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	138	38	 	 	_SP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	139	1	Mrz	Mrz	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	139	2	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	139	3	Apr.	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	139	4	Apr.	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	139	5	Apr.	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	139	6	Mai	Mai	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	139	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	140	1	Mai	Mai	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	140	2	.	.	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	140	3	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	141	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	141	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	141	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	141	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	141	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	141	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	141	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	141	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	142	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	142	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	142	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	142	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	142	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	142	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	143	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	144	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	144	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	144	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	144	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	144	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	144	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	144	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	145	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	145	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	145	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	3	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	4	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	5	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	6	3850	3850	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	8	range	range	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	9	3508	3508	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	10	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	11	4450	4450	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	12	using	use	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	13	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	14	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	16	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	17	interval	interval	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	18	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	19	95	95	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	20	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	21	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	22	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	23	expected	expect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	24	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	25	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	26	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	27	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	28	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	29	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	146	31	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	1	Next	next	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	2	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	3	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	4	6	6	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	5	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	6	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	7	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	8	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	9	every	every	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	10	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	11	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	12	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	13	or	or	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	14	May	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	15	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	16	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	17	required	require	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	18	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	19	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	20	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	21	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	22	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	23	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	24	particular	particular	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	25	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	26	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	27	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	28	ECMO	ecmo	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	29	equipment	equipment	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	30	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	31	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	32	adequately	adequately	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	33	treat	treat	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	34	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	35	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	36	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	37	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	38	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	39	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	40	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	41	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	42	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	147	43	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	2	made	make	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	3	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	4	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	6	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	8	mild	mild	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	9	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	10	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	11	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	12	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	13	or	or	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	14	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	15	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	17	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	18	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	19	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	20	average	average	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	21	length	length	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	22	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	23	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	24	required	require	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	25	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	26	and/or	and/or	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	27	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	28	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	29	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	30	each	each	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	31	disease	disease	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	32	state	state	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	34	see	see	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	35	methods	method	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	36	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	37	Figure	figure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	38	2	2	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	148	40	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	2	used	use	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	4	observed	observed	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	5	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	7	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	8	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	10	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	11	input	input	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	12	before	before	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	13	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	14	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	15	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	16	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	18	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	19	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	20	projected	project	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	21	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	23	after	after	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	24	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	25	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	26	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	149	27	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	3	projections	projection	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	4	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	5	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	6	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	7	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	8	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	9	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	10	interval	interval	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	12	given	give	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	13	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	14	results	result	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	15	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	16	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	17	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	18	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	19	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	20	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	21	identification	identification	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	22	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	23	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	24	linear	linear	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	25	regression	regression	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	150	26	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	1	According	accord	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	2	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	4	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	6	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	8	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	10	requiring	require	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	11	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	13	expected	expect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	14	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	15	peak	peak	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	16	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	18	first	first	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	19	week	week	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	20	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	21	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	22	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	23	~13,000	~13,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	151	24	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	2	maximum	maximum	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	3	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	4	~2500	~2500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	5	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	7	requiring	require	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	8	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	9	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	10	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	11	ECMO	ecmo	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	12	capability	capability	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	14	expected	expect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	15	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	16	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	18	first	first	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	19	week	week	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	20	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	21	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	152	22	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	1	This	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	3	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	4	good	good	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	5	agreement	agreement	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	6	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	8	reported	report	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	9	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	10	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	11	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	13	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	14	ICUs	ICUs	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	15	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	16	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	17	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	18	2.405	2.405	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	19	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	20	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	21	12	12	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	22	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	23	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	24	1	1	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	25	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	26	11	11	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	27	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	153	28	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	1	Based	base	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	2	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	4	expected	expect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	5	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	7	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	8	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	11	would	would	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	12	expect	expect	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	13	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	15	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	16	needs	need	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	17	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	18	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	19	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	20	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	22	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	23	decline	decline	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	24	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	25	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	26	2	2	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	27	nd	nd	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	28	week	week	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	29	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	30	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	31	onwards	onwards	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	32	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	33	~13,500	~13,500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	34	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	154	35	~2500	~2500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	2	range	range	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	3	1500	1500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	4	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	5	4300	4300	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	7	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	8	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	9	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	10	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	11	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	12	~2500	~2500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	13	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	155	14	~500	~500	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	2	range	range	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	3	300	300	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	4	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	5	800	800	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	7	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	8	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	9	units	unit	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	10	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	11	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	12	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	156	13	 	 	_SP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	157	1	Predicted	predict	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	157	2	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	157	3	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	157	4	cricial	cricial	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	157	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	157	6	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	157	7	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	157	8	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	157	9	given	give	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	157	10	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	157	11	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	158	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	158	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	158	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	158	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	158	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	158	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	158	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	158	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	159	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	159	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	159	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	159	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	159	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	159	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	160	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	161	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	161	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	161	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	161	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	161	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	161	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	161	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	162	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	162	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	162	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	163	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	163	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	1	In	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	2	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	3	study	study	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	5	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	6	captured	capture	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	8	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	9	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	10	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	11	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	12	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	13	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	14	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	15	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	18	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	19	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	20	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	21	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	22	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	23	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	24	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	25	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	164	26	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	1	Analyzing	analyze	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	4	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	5	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	6	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	7	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	8	allowed	allow	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	9	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	10	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	11	identify	identify	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	12	changes	change	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	13	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	15	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	16	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	18	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	19	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	20	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	21	most	most	RBS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	22	likely	likely	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	23	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	24	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	25	result	result	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	26	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	27	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	28	various	various	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	29	"	"	``
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	30	social	social	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	31	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	32	"	"	''
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	33	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	34	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	35	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	36	been	be	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	37	implemented	implement	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	38	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	39	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	40	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	41	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	42	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	43	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	165	44	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	1	For	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	2	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	3	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	4	stronger	strong	JJR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	5	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	6	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	8	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	10	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	11	been	be	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	12	observed	observe	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	13	starting	start	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	14	around	around	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	16	week	week	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	17	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	18	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	19	Beyond	Beyond	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	20	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	21	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	22	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	23	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	24	given	give	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	25	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	26	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	27	data	data	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	28	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	29	driven	drive	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	30	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	31	approach	approach	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	32	presented	present	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	33	allowed	allow	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	34	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	35	describe	describe	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	36	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	37	observed	observed	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	38	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	39	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	40	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	41	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	42	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	43	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	44	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	45	provide	provide	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	46	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	47	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	48	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	49	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	50	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	51	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	52	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	53	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	54	both	both	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	55	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	166	56	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	2	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	3	suggest	suggest	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	4	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	6	peak	peak	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	10	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	11	terms	term	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	12	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	13	newly	newly	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	14	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	16	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	17	passed	pass	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	18	not	not	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	19	only	only	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	20	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	21	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	23	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	24	late	late	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	25	March	March	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	27	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	28	but	but	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	29	that	that	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	30	also	also	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	31	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	32	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	34	early	early	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	35	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	167	37	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	1	Under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	3	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	4	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	6	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	9	control	control	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	10	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	11	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	12	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	13	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	14	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	16	virus	virus	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	17	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	18	last	last	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	19	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	20	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	21	duration	duration	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	22	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	23	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	24	simulated	simulated	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	25	time	time	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	26	period	period	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	27	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	28	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	29	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	30	size	size	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	31	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	32	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	33	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	34	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	35	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	36	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	37	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	38	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	39	155,000	155,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	40	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	41	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	42	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	43	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	44	range	range	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	45	140,000	140,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	46	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	47	180,000	180,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	48	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	49	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	50	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	51	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	52	185,000	185,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	53	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	54	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	55	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	56	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	57	range	range	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	58	175,000	175,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	59	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	60	200,000	200,000	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	61	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	62	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	63	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	168	64	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	1	Evidently	evidently	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	2	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	3	projections	projection	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	4	assume	assume	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	5	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	6	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	7	decline	decline	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	8	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	9	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	10	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	11	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	12	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	13	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	15	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	16	continue	continue	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	17	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	18	follow	follow	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	19	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	20	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	21	trend	trend	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	22	due	due	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	23	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	24	successful	successful	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	25	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	26	taken	take	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	27	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	28	both	both	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	29	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	169	30	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	2	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	3	used	use	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	5	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	6	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	7	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	8	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	9	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	11	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	12	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	14	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	16	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	17	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	18	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	19	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	20	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	21	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	22	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	23	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	24	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	25	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	27	allowing	allow	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	28	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	29	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	30	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	31	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	32	actual	actual	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	33	requirements	requirement	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	34	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	35	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	36	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	37	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	38	ICUs	icus	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	39	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	40	any	any	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	41	given	give	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	42	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	43	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	44	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	170	45	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	1	May.	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	2	Based	Based	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	3	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	5	projected	project	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	6	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	8	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	9	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	11	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	12	would	would	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	13	expect	expect	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	14	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	16	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	17	needs	need	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	18	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	19	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	20	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	21	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	23	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	24	decline	decline	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	25	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	26	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	27	2	2	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	28	nd	nd	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	29	week	week	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	30	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	31	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	32	onwards	onwards	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	33	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	34	~13,500	~13,500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	35	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	36	~2500	~2500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	37	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	38	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	39	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	40	early	early	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	41	May	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	43	range	range	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	44	1500	1500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	45	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	46	4300	4300	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	48	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	49	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	50	~2500	~2500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	51	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	52	~500	~500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	53	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	54	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	55	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	56	early	early	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	57	May	May	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	58	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	59	range	range	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	60	300	300	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	61	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	62	800	800	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	63	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	64	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	65	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	171	66	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	2	German	german	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	3	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	4	register	register	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	5	tracks	track	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	6	all	all	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	7	occupied	occupy	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	8	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	9	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	10	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	11	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	12	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	13	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	14	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	15	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	16	1	1	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	17	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	172	18	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	1	As	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	2	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	3	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	4	12	12	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	6	register	register	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	7	covers	cover	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	8	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	9	19,700	19,700	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	10	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	11	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	12	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	13	11,376	11,376	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	14	occupied	occupy	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	15	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	16	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	17	8,325	8,325	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	18	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	19	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	173	20	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	1	Compared	compare	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	2	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	4	expected	expect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	5	now	now	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	6	decreasing	decrease	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	7	demand	demand	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	8	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	9	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	10	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	11	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	12	indicates	indicate	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	13	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	14	there	there	EX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	16	sufficient	sufficient	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	17	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	18	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	19	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	20	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	21	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	22	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	23	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	24	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	174	26	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	1	In	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	2	other	other	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	3	words	word	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	4	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	6	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	7	just	just	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	8	in	in	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	9	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	10	respect	respect	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	11	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	12	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	13	requirements	requirement	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	14	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	16	German	german	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	17	hospitals	hospital	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	18	middle	middle	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	19	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	20	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	21	wave	wave	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	22	-that	-that	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	23	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	24	been	be	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	25	expected	expect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	26	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	27	hit	hit	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	28	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	29	possibly	possibly	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	30	overwhelm	overwhelm	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	31	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	32	German	german	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	33	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	34	system	system	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	35	-has	-has	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	36	been	be	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	37	reached	reach	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	38	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	39	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	40	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	41	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	42	well	well	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	43	covered	cover	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	44	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	45	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	175	46	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	176	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	176	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	176	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	176	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	176	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	176	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	176	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	176	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	177	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	177	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	177	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	177	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	177	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	177	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	178	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	179	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	179	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	179	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	179	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	179	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	179	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	179	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	180	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	180	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	180	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	181	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	181	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	181	3	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	181	4	capacities	capacity	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	181	5	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	3	covers	cover	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	4	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	5	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	7	single	single	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	8	entity	entity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	9	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	10	does	do	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	11	not	not	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	12	offer	offer	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	13	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	14	granularity	granularity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	15	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	16	may	may	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	17	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	18	needed	need	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	19	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	20	identify	identify	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	21	regional	regional	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	22	short	short	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	23	comings	coming	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	24	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	25	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	26	capacities	capacity	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	27	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	28	areas	area	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	29	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	30	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	31	more	more	RBR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	32	severely	severely	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	33	effected	effect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	34	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	35	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	36	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	37	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	182	38	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	183	1	Evidently	evidently	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	183	2	projections	projection	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	183	3	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	183	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	183	5	future	future	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	183	6	come	come	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	183	7	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	183	8	certain	certain	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	183	9	limitations	limitation	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	183	10	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	1	First	first	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	3	projection	projection	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	5	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	8	assume	assume	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	9	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	10	continuation	continuation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	11	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	13	similar	similar	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	15	control	control	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	16	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	17	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	18	social	social	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	19	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	20	having	have	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	21	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	22	same	same	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	23	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	24	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	25	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	26	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	27	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	28	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	29	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	30	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	184	31	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	1	They	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	2	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	3	only	only	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	4	provide	provide	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	5	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	6	trend	trend	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	7	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	8	ca	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	9	n't	not	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	10	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	11	applied	apply	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	12	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	13	project	project	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	14	further	further	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	15	out	out	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	16	into	into	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	18	future	future	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	19	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	20	obviously	obviously	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	21	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	22	not	not	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	23	able	able	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	24	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	25	predict	predict	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	26	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	27	size	size	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	28	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	29	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	30	second	second	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	31	wave	wave	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	33	or	or	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	34	whether	whether	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	35	there	there	EX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	36	would	would	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	37	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	38	one	one	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	39	at	at	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	40	all	all	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	185	42	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	1	In	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	2	addition	addition	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	3	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	5	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	6	calculations	calculation	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	7	used	use	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	8	above	above	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	9	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	10	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	11	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	12	risk	risk	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	13	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	15	overwhelming	overwhelming	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	16	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	18	German	german	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	19	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	20	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	21	system	system	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	22	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	23	several	several	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	24	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	25	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	26	based	base	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	27	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	28	clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	29	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	30	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	31	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	32	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	33	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	34	China	China	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	186	35	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	1	Evidently	evidently	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	2	due	due	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	3	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	4	differences	difference	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	5	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	6	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	7	age	age	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	8	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	9	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	10	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	11	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	12	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	13	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	14	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	15	system	system	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	16	between	between	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	17	both	both	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	18	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	19	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	20	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	21	only	only	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	22	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	23	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	24	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	25	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	26	situation	situation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	27	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	28	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	187	29	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	2	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	4	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	5	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	6	several	several	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	8	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	9	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	10	translate	translate	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	11	into	into	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	12	projections	projection	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	13	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	14	death	death	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	16	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	17	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	18	needs	need	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	19	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	20	ICU	ICU	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	21	beds	bed	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	22	that	that	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	23	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	24	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	25	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	26	line	line	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	27	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	28	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	29	observed	observed	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	30	clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	31	findings	finding	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	32	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	33	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	188	34	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	2	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	3	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	4	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	7	fatalities	fatality	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	8	per	per	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	9	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	10	COVID-19	covid-19	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	11	case	case	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	12	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	13	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	14	2.5	2.5	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	15	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	16	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	17	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	18	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	19	resulting	result	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	20	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	21	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	22	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	23	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	24	20	20	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	25	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	26	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	27	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	28	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	29	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	30	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	31	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	32	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	33	25	25	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	34	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	35	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	36	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	37	severe	severe	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	38	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	39	get	get	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	40	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	41	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	42	50	50	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	43	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	44	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	45	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	46	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	47	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	48	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	49	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	189	50	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	1	On	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	2	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	3	12	12	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	4	th	th	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	5	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	6	2.2	2.2	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	7	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	8	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	9	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	10	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	12	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	13	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	14	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	15	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	16	outcome	outcome	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	17	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	18	been	be	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	19	reported	report	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	20	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	21	11	11	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	22	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	190	23	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	1	While	while	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	3	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	5	still	still	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	6	ongoing	ongoing	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	7	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	8	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	9	formula	formula	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	10	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	11	calculate	calculate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	12	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	13	final	final	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	14	death	death	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	16	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	17	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	18	misleading	misleading	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	19	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	20	may	may	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	21	lead	lead	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	22	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	23	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	24	too	too	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	25	low	low	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	26	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	27	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	28	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	29	today	today	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	30	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	31	outcome	outcome	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	33	unknown	unknown	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	34	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	35	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	36	non	non	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	37	-	-	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	38	negligible	negligible	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	39	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	40	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	41	these	these	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	42	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	43	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	44	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	45	18	18	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	46	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	191	47	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	1	In	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	2	other	other	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	3	words	word	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	4	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	5	current	current	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	6	deaths	death	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	7	belong	belong	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	8	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	9	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	10	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	11	case	case	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	12	figure	figure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	13	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	15	past	past	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	16	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	17	not	not	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	18	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	19	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	20	current	current	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	21	case	case	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	22	figure	figure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	23	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	24	which	which	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	25	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	26	outcome	outcome	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	28	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	29	or	or	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	30	death	death	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	32	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	33	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	34	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	35	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	36	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	37	most	most	RBS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	38	recent	recent	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	39	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	41	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	42	n't	not	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	43	yet	yet	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	44	been	be	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	45	determined	determine	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	192	46	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	1	Applying	apply	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	3	recommended	recommend	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	4	equation	equation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	5	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	6	calculate	calculate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	8	case	case	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	9	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	10	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	12	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	14	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	15	death	death	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	16	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	17	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	18	D	d	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	19	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	21	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	22	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	23	D	D	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	25	X	x	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	26	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	27	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	28	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	29	time	time	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	30	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	31	7	7	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	32	days	day	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	33	between	between	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	34	reported	reported	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	35	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	36	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	37	death	death	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	38	an	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	39	average	average	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	40	death	death	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	41	rate	rate	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	42	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	43	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	44	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	45	~2.9	~2.9	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	46	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	47	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	48	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	49	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	50	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	51	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	52	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	53	up	up	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	54	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	55	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	56	12	12	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	57	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	58	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	59	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	60	death	death	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	61	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	62	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	63	12	12	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	64	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	65	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	66	total	total	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	67	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	68	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	69	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	70	5	5	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	71	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	72	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	73	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	74	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	75	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	193	76	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	194	1	Assuming	assume	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	194	2	2.5	2.5	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	194	3	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	194	4	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	194	5	diagnosed	diagnosed	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	194	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	194	7	will	will	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	194	8	have	have	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	194	9	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	194	10	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	194	11	outcome	outcome	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	1	7	7	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	2	days	day	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	3	later	later	RBR
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	5	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	6	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	7	expected	expect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	8	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	9	deaths	death	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	10	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	11	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	13	see	see	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	14	Figure	figure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	15	5	5	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	195	17	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	2	maximum	maximum	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	3	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	4	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	5	deaths	death	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	6	per	per	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	7	day	day	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	8	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	9	~150	~150	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	11	expected	expect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	12	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	13	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	14	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	15	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	196	16	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	1	As	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	2	shown	show	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	3	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	4	Figure	figure	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	5	5	5	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	6	most	most	JJS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	7	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	8	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	9	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	10	death	death	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	11	calculations	calculation	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	12	match	match	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	13	well	well	UH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	14	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	197	16	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	1	Some	some	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	2	differences	difference	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	3	between	between	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	4	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	5	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	6	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	7	observed	observe	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	9	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	10	evident	evident	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	11	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	12	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	13	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	14	new	new	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	15	fatalities	fatality	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	16	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	17	which	which	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	18	have	have	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	19	unexpected	unexpected	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	20	high	high	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	21	values	value	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	22	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	23	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	24	8	8	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	25	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	26	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	27	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	198	28	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	1	This	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	2	difference	difference	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	3	may	may	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	4	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	5	attributed	attribute	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	6	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	7	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	8	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	9	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	10	nursing	nursing	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	11	homes	home	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	12	leading	lead	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	13	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	14	unexpectedly	unexpectedly	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	15	high	high	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	16	case	case	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	17	numbers	number	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	18	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	19	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	20	period	period	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	199	21	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	3	also	also	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	4	noteworthy	noteworthy	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	5	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	6	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	8	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	9	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	10	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	11	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	13	as	as	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	14	input	input	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	15	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	16	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	17	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	18	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	19	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	20	length	length	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	21	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	22	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	23	stays	stay	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	24	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	25	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	26	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	27	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	28	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	29	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	30	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	31	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	32	5	5	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	33	%	%	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	34	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	35	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	36	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	37	all	all	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	38	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	39	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	40	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	41	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	42	expected	expect	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	43	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	44	maximum	maximum	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	45	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	46	~2500	~2500	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	47	critical	critical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	48	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	49	requiring	require	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	50	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	51	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	52	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	53	ECMO	ecmo	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	54	capability	capability	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	55	at	at	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	56	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	57	first	first	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	58	week	week	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	59	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	60	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	200	61	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	1	This	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	3	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	4	good	good	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	5	agreement	agreement	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	6	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	8	reported	report	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	9	number	number	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	10	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	11	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	13	currently	currently	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	14	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	15	ICUs	ICUs	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	16	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	17	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	18	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	19	2405	2405	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	20	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	21	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	22	12	12	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	23	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	24	[	[	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	25	1	1	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	26	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	27	11	11	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	28	]	]	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	29	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	201	30	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	202	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	202	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	202	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	202	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	202	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	202	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	202	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	202	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	203	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	203	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	203	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	203	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	203	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	203	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	204	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	205	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	205	2	which	which	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	205	3	was	be	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	205	4	not	not	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	205	5	peer	peer	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	205	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	205	7	reviewed	review	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	205	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	206	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	206	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	206	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	206	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	206	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	206	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	206	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	207	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04	UH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	207	2	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	208	1	14.20064790	14.20064790	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	208	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	208	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	209	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	209	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	1	In	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	2	conclusion	conclusion	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	3	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	5	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	6	convinced	convince	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	7	that	that	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	8	regardless	regardless	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	9	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	10	numerous	numerous	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	11	included	include	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	12	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	13	derived	derive	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	14	from	from	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	15	clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	16	observations	observation	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	17	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	18	regardless	regardless	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	19	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	20	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	21	given	give	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	22	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	23	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	24	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	25	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	26	projections	projection	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	27	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	28	April	April	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	29	10	10	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	30	th	th	XX
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	31	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	32	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	33	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	34	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	35	can	can	MD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	36	help	help	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	37	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	38	capture	capture	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	39	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	40	impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	41	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	42	social	social	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	43	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	44	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	45	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	46	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	47	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	48	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	49	European	european	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	50	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	51	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	52	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	53	understand	understand	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	54	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	55	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	56	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	57	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	58	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	59	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	60	respect	respect	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	61	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	62	diagnosed	diagnosed	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	63	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	64	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	65	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	66	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	67	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	68	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	69	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	70	required	require	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	71	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	72	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	73	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	74	German	german	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	75	hospitals	hospital	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	210	76	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	2	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	4	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	5	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	6	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	7	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	8	valuable	valuable	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	9	tool	tool	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	10	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	11	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	12	or	or	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	13	other	other	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	14	countries	country	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	15	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	16	provide	provide	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	17	guidance	guidance	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	18	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	19	support	support	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	20	decision	decision	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	21	making	make	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	22	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	23	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	24	health	health	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	25	care	care	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	26	system	system	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	27	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	28	respect	respect	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	29	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	30	how	how	WRB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	31	much	much	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	32	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	33	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	34	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	35	required	require	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	36	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	37	be	be	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	38	well	well	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	39	prepared	prepared	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	40	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	41	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	43	next	next	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	45	wave	wave	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	211	46	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	1	Forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	3	Worldwide	Worldwide	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	4	Spread	Spread	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	5	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	7	based	base	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	8	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	9	Logistic	Logistic	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	10	Model	Model	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	11	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	12	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	13	Model	Model	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	14	Quantifying	quantify	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	15	undetected	undetected	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	16	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	18	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	19	effects	effect	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	20	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	21	containment	containment	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	22	measures	measure	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	23	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	24	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	25	Modellierung	Modellierung	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	26	von	von	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	27	Beispielszenarien	Beispielszenarien	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	28	der	der	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	29	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	30	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	31	CoV-2-Epidemie	CoV-2-Epidemie	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	32	2020	2020	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	33	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	34	Deutschland	Deutschland	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	35	on	on	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	36	behalf	behalf	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	37	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	38	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	39	Imperial	Imperial	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	40	College	College	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	41	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	42	Response	Response	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	43	Team	Team	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	212	44	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	1	Impact	impact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	2	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	3	nonpharmaceutical	nonpharmaceutical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	4	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	6	NPIs	NPIs	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	8	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	9	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	10	COVID19	COVID19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	11	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	12	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	13	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	14	demand	demand	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	15	Quantifying	quantify	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	16	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	18	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	19	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	20	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	21	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	22	control	control	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	23	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	24	digital	digital	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	25	contact	contact	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	26	tracing	trace	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	27	Rational	rational	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	28	evaluation	evaluation	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	29	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	30	various	various	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	31	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	32	models	model	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	33	Modeling	Modeling	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	34	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	35	Forecasting	Forecasting	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	36	Trend	Trend	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	37	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	38	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	39	Estimation	Estimation	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	40	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	41	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	42	final	final	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	43	size	size	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	44	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	45	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	46	second	second	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	47	phase	phase	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	48	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	49	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	50	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	51	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	52	by	by	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	53	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	54	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	55	model	model	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	56	Generalized	generalized	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	57	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	58	growth	growth	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	59	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	60	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	61	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	62	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	63	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	64	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	65	29	29	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	66	provinces	province	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	67	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	68	China	China	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	69	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	70	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	71	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	72	rest	rest	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	73	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	74	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	213	75	world	world	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	1	COVID-19	covid-19	LS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	3	Daily	Daily	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	4	Situation	Situation	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	5	Report	Report	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	6	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	7	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	8	Robert	Robert	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	9	Koch	Koch	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	10	Institute	Institute	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	11	An	an	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	12	interactive	interactive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	13	web	web	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	15	based	base	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	16	dashboard	dashboard	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	17	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	18	track	track	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	19	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	20	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	21	real	real	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	22	time	time	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	23	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	24	disease	disease	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	25	2019	2019	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	214	26	"	"	''
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	215	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	215	2	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	215	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	215	4	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	215	5	update	update	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	215	6	für	für	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	215	7	Anästhesisten	Anästhesisten	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	216	1	und	und	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	217	1	Intensivmediziner	Intensivmediziner	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	217	2	März	März	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	217	3	2020	2020	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	218	1	Schätzung	Schätzung	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	218	2	der	der	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	218	3	aktuellen	aktuellen	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	218	4	Entwicklung	Entwicklung	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	218	5	der	der	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	218	6	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	218	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	218	8	CoV-2-Epidemie	CoV-2-Epidemie	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	218	9	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	218	10	Deutschland	Deutschland	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	219	1	-Nowcasting	-nowcaste	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	1	Clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	2	Characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	3	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	4	138	138	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	5	Hospitalized	hospitalize	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	6	Patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	7	With	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	8	2019	2019	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	9	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	10	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	12	Infected	infect	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	13	Pneumoniain	Pneumoniain	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	14	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	15	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	16	China	China	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	17	Updated	update	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	18	understanding	understanding	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	19	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	20	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	21	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	22	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	23	2019	2019	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	24	novel	novel	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	25	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	27	2019-nCoV	2019-ncov	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	29	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	30	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	31	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	32	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	33	China	China	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	34	Medical	Medical	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	35	Treatment	Treatment	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	36	Expert	Expert	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	37	Group	Group	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	38	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	39	Covid-19	Covid-19	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	40	/funder	/funder	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	41	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	42	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	43	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	44	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	45	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	46	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	47	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	48	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	49	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	50	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	51	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	52	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	53	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	220	54	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	221	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	221	2	which	which	WDT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	221	3	was	be	VBD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	221	4	not	not	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	221	5	peer	peer	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	221	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	221	7	reviewed	review	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	221	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	7	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	8	are	be	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	9	thankful	thankful	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	10	to	to	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	11	Munkhjargal	Munkhjargal	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	12	Schöpfel	Schöpfel	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	14	Klinikum	Klinikum	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	15	Koblenz	Koblenz	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	17	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	18	sharing	share	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	19	her	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	20	own	own	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	21	professional	professional	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	22	experience	experience	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	23	with	with	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	24	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	25	patients	patient	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	26	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	27	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	28	being	be	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	29	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	30	sounding	sound	VBG
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	31	board	board	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	32	while	while	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	33	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	34	work	work	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	35	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	36	been	be	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	37	performed	perform	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	38	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	39	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	40	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	41	supportive	supportive	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	42	daily	daily	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	43	discussions	discussion	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	222	44	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	2	gratefully	gratefully	RB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	3	acknowledge	acknowledge	VBP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	4	Susana	Susana	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	5	Zaph	Zaph	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	7	Sanofi	Sanofi	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	8	US	US	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	10	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	11	her	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	12	thorough	thorough	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	13	and	and	CC
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	14	mindful	mindful	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	15	revision	revision	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	16	of	of	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	17	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	18	manuscript	manuscript	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	223	20	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	224	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	224	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	224	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	224	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	224	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	224	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	224	7	International	international	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	224	8	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	225	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	225	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	225	3	made	make	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	225	4	available	available	JJ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	225	5	under	under	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	225	6	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	2	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	3	author	author	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	4	/	/	SYM
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	6	,	,	,
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	7	who	who	WP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	11	a	a	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	12	license	license	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	13	to	to	TO
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	14	display	display	VB
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	15	the	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	17	in	in	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	226	19	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	227	1	The	the	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	227	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	227	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	227	4	for	for	IN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	227	5	this	this	DT
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	227	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	227	7	.	.	.
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	228	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.20064790	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	228	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	228	3	:	:	:
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	229	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-303489-ve1fgnyg	229	2	preprint	preprint	NNP