id sid tid token lemma pos cord-252705-o02505rt 1 1 key key JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 1 2 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 1 3 cord-252705-o02505rt cord-252705-o02505rt NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 1 4 authors author NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 1 5 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 1 6 Brockmann Brockmann NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 1 7 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 1 8 Dirk Dirk NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 1 9 title title NN cord-252705-o02505rt 1 10 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 1 11 Understanding understanding NN cord-252705-o02505rt 1 12 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 1 13 predicting predict VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 1 14 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 1 15 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 1 16 spread spread NN cord-252705-o02505rt 1 17 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 1 18 emergent emergent JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 1 19 infectious infectious JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 1 20 diseases disease NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 1 21 date date NN cord-252705-o02505rt 1 22 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 1 23 2014 2014 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 1 24 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 1 25 09 09 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 1 26 - - SYM cord-252705-o02505rt 1 27 30 30 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 1 28 journal journal NN cord-252705-o02505rt 1 29 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 1 30 Public Public NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 1 31 Health Health NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 1 32 Forum Forum NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 1 33 DOI DOI NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 1 34 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 1 35 10.1016/ 10.1016/ CD cord-252705-o02505rt 2 1 j.phf.2014.07.001 j.phf.2014.07.001 NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 2 2 sha sha NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 2 3 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 2 4 32f46390f993b19197d934b93bab4591feec0a11 32f46390f993b19197d934b93bab4591feec0a11 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 2 5 doc_id doc_id CD cord-252705-o02505rt 2 6 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 2 7 252705 252705 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 2 8 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 2 9 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 3 1 o02505rt o02505rt NFP cord-252705-o02505rt 3 2 Abstract Abstract NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 4 1 The the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 4 2 emergence emergence NN cord-252705-o02505rt 4 3 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 4 4 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 4 5 spread spread NN cord-252705-o02505rt 4 6 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 4 7 human human JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 4 8 infectious infectious JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 4 9 diseases disease NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 4 10 has have VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 4 11 become become VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 4 12 one one CD cord-252705-o02505rt 4 13 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 4 14 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 4 15 most most RBS cord-252705-o02505rt 4 16 serious serious JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 4 17 public public JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 4 18 health health NN cord-252705-o02505rt 4 19 threats threat NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 4 20 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 4 21 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 4 22 21st 21st JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 4 23 century century NN cord-252705-o02505rt 4 24 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 5 1 Sophisticated sophisticated JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 5 2 computer computer NN cord-252705-o02505rt 5 3 simulations simulation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 5 4 have have VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 5 5 become become VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 5 6 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 5 7 key key JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 5 8 tool tool NN cord-252705-o02505rt 5 9 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 5 10 understanding understanding NN cord-252705-o02505rt 5 11 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 5 12 predicting predict VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 5 13 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 5 14 spread spread VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 5 15 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 5 16 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 5 17 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 5 18 scale scale NN cord-252705-o02505rt 5 19 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 6 1 Combining combine VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 6 2 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 6 3 insights insight NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 6 4 from from IN cord-252705-o02505rt 6 5 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 6 6 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 6 7 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 6 8 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 6 9 processes process NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 6 10 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 6 11 complex complex JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 6 12 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 6 13 theory theory NN cord-252705-o02505rt 6 14 these these DT cord-252705-o02505rt 6 15 computational computational JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 6 16 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 6 17 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 6 18 becoming become VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 6 19 increasingly increasingly RB cord-252705-o02505rt 6 20 important important JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 6 21 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 6 22 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 6 23 design design NN cord-252705-o02505rt 6 24 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 6 25 efficient efficient JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 6 26 mitigation mitigation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 6 27 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 6 28 control control NN cord-252705-o02505rt 6 29 strategies strategy NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 6 30 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 6 31 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 6 32 public public JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 6 33 health health NN cord-252705-o02505rt 6 34 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 6 35 general general JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 6 36 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 7 1 The the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 7 2 rapid rapid JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 7 3 spread spread NN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 4 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 5 SARS SARS NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 7 6 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 7 2003 2003 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 7 8 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 7 9 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 7 10 2009 2009 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 7 11 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 7 12 influenza influenza NN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 14 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 7 15 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 7 16 emergence emergence NN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 17 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 18 MERS MERS NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 7 19 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 7 20 CoV CoV NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 7 21 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 22 2013 2013 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 7 23 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 24 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 7 25 Middle Middle NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 7 26 East East NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 7 27 illustrate illustrate VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 7 28 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 7 29 increasing increase VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 7 30 threat threat NN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 31 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 32 emergent emergent JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 7 33 infectious infectious JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 7 34 diseases disease NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 7 35 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 7 36 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-252705-o02505rt 7 37 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 7 38 spread spread NN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 39 to to IN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 40 public public JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 7 41 health health NN cord-252705-o02505rt 7 42 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 8 1 Massive massive JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 8 2 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 8 3 mobility mobility NN cord-252705-o02505rt 8 4 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 8 5 combination combination NN cord-252705-o02505rt 8 6 with with IN cord-252705-o02505rt 8 7 exponentially exponentially RB cord-252705-o02505rt 8 8 growing grow VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 8 9 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 8 10 dense dense JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 8 11 populations population NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 8 12 increase increase VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 8 13 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 8 14 rate rate NN cord-252705-o02505rt 8 15 at at IN cord-252705-o02505rt 8 16 which which WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 8 17 novel novel JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 8 18 pathogens pathogen NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 8 19 emerge emerge VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 8 20 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 8 21 amplify amplify VB cord-252705-o02505rt 8 22 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 8 23 speed speed NN cord-252705-o02505rt 8 24 at at IN cord-252705-o02505rt 8 25 which which WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 8 26 they -PRON- PRP cord-252705-o02505rt 8 27 can can MD cord-252705-o02505rt 8 28 proliferate proliferate VB cord-252705-o02505rt 8 29 worldwide worldwide RB cord-252705-o02505rt 8 30 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 9 1 Compared compare VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 2 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 9 3 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 4 instance instance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 5 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 9 6 to to IN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 7 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 9 8 14th 14th JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 9 9 century century NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 10 Black Black NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 9 11 Death Death NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 9 12 pandemic pandemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 13 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 9 14 advanced advance VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 9 15 at at IN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 16 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 9 17 speed speed NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 18 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 19 only only RB cord-252705-o02505rt 9 20 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 9 21 3 3 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 9 22 - - SYM cord-252705-o02505rt 9 23 5 5 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 9 24 km km NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 25 / / SYM cord-252705-o02505rt 9 26 day day NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 9 28 Noble noble JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 9 29 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 9 30 1974 1974 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 9 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 9 32 killing kill VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 9 33 20 20 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 9 34 - - SYM cord-252705-o02505rt 9 35 50 50 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 9 36 % % NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 37 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 38 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 9 39 European european JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 9 40 population population NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 41 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 42 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-252705-o02505rt 9 43 wake wake NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 44 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 9 45 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 9 46 2009 2009 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 9 47 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 9 48 pandemic pandemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 49 progressed progress VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 9 50 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 9 51 few few JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 9 52 hundred hundred CD cord-252705-o02505rt 9 53 km km NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 54 / / SYM cord-252705-o02505rt 9 55 day day NN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 56 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 9 57 average average JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 9 58 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 9 59 Brockmann Brockmann NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 9 60 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 9 61 Helbing Helbing NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 9 62 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 9 63 2013 2013 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 9 64 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 9 65 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 10 1 Given give VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 10 2 that that IN cord-252705-o02505rt 10 3 more more JJR cord-252705-o02505rt 10 4 than than IN cord-252705-o02505rt 10 5 10 10 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 10 6 million million CD cord-252705-o02505rt 10 7 passengers passenger NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 10 8 travel travel VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 10 9 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 10 10 total total JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 10 11 approx approx NN cord-252705-o02505rt 10 12 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 11 1 14 14 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 11 2 billion billion CD cord-252705-o02505rt 11 3 km km NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 11 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 11 5 three three CD cord-252705-o02505rt 11 6 times time NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 11 7 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 11 8 radius radius NN cord-252705-o02505rt 11 9 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 11 10 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-252705-o02505rt 11 11 solar solar JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 11 12 system system NN cord-252705-o02505rt 11 13 ! ! . cord-252705-o02505rt 11 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 12 1 every every DT cord-252705-o02505rt 12 2 day day NN cord-252705-o02505rt 12 3 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 12 4 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 12 5 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 12 6 air air NN cord-252705-o02505rt 12 7 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 12 8 transportation transportation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 12 9 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 12 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 12 11 WAN WAN NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 12 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 12 13 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 12 14 this this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 12 15 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 12 16 not not RB cord-252705-o02505rt 12 17 surprising surprising JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 12 18 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 13 1 Global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 13 2 mobility mobility NN cord-252705-o02505rt 13 3 has have VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 13 4 not not RB cord-252705-o02505rt 13 5 only only RB cord-252705-o02505rt 13 6 increased increase VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 13 7 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 13 8 magnitude magnitude NN cord-252705-o02505rt 13 9 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 13 10 but but CC cord-252705-o02505rt 13 11 also also RB cord-252705-o02505rt 13 12 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 13 13 complexity complexity NN cord-252705-o02505rt 13 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 13 15 Brockmann Brockmann NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 13 16 et et NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 13 17 al al NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 13 18 . . NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 13 19 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 13 20 2006 2006 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 13 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 13 22 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 14 1 The the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 14 2 WAN WAN NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 14 3 connects connect VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 14 4 more more JJR cord-252705-o02505rt 14 5 than than IN cord-252705-o02505rt 14 6 4000 4000 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 14 7 airports airport NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 14 8 by by IN cord-252705-o02505rt 14 9 more more JJR cord-252705-o02505rt 14 10 than than IN cord-252705-o02505rt 14 11 25000 25000 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 14 12 links link NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 14 13 yielding yield VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 14 14 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 14 15 complex complex JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 14 16 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 14 17 intricate intricate JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 14 18 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 14 19 multi multi JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 14 20 - - JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 14 21 scale scale JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 14 22 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 14 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 14 24 see see VB cord-252705-o02505rt 14 25 Fig Fig NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 14 26 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 14 27 1b 1b CD cord-252705-o02505rt 14 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 14 29 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 15 1 During during IN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 2 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 15 3 last last JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 15 4 decade decade NN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 5 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 15 6 development development NN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 7 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 15 8 application application NN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 9 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 10 high high JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 15 11 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 15 12 performance performance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 13 computational computational JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 15 14 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 15 15 has have VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 15 16 become become VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 17 an an DT cord-252705-o02505rt 15 18 important important JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 15 19 strategic strategic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 15 20 component component NN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 21 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 22 understanding understanding NN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 23 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 15 24 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 15 25 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 26 spread spread VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 15 27 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 28 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 15 29 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 15 30 scale scale NN cord-252705-o02505rt 15 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 15 32 Brockmann Brockmann NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 15 33 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 15 34 Helbing Helbing NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 15 35 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 15 36 2013 2013 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 15 37 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 15 38 Hufnagel Hufnagel NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 15 39 et et NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 15 40 al al NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 15 41 . . NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 15 42 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 15 43 2004 2004 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 15 44 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 15 45 Colizza Colizza NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 15 46 et et NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 15 47 al al NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 15 48 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 16 1 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 16 2 2007 2007 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 16 3 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 16 4 van van NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 16 5 den den NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 16 6 Broeck Broeck NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 16 7 et et NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 16 8 al al NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 16 9 . . NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 16 10 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 16 11 2011 2011 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 16 12 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 17 1 The the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 17 2 majority majority NN cord-252705-o02505rt 17 3 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 17 4 these these DT cord-252705-o02505rt 17 5 computational computational JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 17 6 approaches approach NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 17 7 incorporate incorporate VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 17 8 comprehensive comprehensive JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 17 9 data datum NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 17 10 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 17 11 human human JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 17 12 mobility mobility NN cord-252705-o02505rt 17 13 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 17 14 transportation transportation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 17 15 networks network NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 17 16 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 18 1 Although although IN cord-252705-o02505rt 18 2 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 18 3 development development NN cord-252705-o02505rt 18 4 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 18 5 parsimonious parsimonious JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 18 6 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 18 7 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 18 8 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 18 9 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 18 10 context context NN cord-252705-o02505rt 18 11 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 18 12 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 18 13 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 18 14 has have VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 18 15 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 18 16 long long JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 18 17 history history NN cord-252705-o02505rt 18 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 18 19 going go VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 18 20 back back RB cord-252705-o02505rt 18 21 to to IN cord-252705-o02505rt 18 22 Daniel Daniel NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 18 23 Bernoulli Bernoulli NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 18 24 who who WP cord-252705-o02505rt 18 25 developed develop VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 18 26 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 18 27 first first JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 18 28 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 18 29 model model NN cord-252705-o02505rt 18 30 to to TO cord-252705-o02505rt 18 31 resolve resolve VB cord-252705-o02505rt 18 32 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 18 33 Figure figure NN cord-252705-o02505rt 18 34 1 1 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 18 35 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 19 1 Understanding understand VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 19 2 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 19 3 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 19 4 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 19 5 using use VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 19 6 effective effective JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 19 7 distance distance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 19 8 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 20 1 a a LS cord-252705-o02505rt 20 2 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 20 3 Effective effective JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 20 4 distance distance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 20 5 from from IN cord-252705-o02505rt 20 6 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 20 7 reference reference NN cord-252705-o02505rt 20 8 node node NN cord-252705-o02505rt 20 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 20 10 London London NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 20 11 Heathrow Heathrow NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 20 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 20 13 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 20 14 quantified quantify VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 20 15 by by IN cord-252705-o02505rt 20 16 radial radial JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 20 17 distance distance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 20 18 from from IN cord-252705-o02505rt 20 19 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 20 20 origin origin NN cord-252705-o02505rt 20 21 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 21 1 Each each DT cord-252705-o02505rt 21 2 node node NN cord-252705-o02505rt 21 3 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 21 4 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 21 5 diagram diagram NN cord-252705-o02505rt 21 6 represents represent VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 21 7 one one CD cord-252705-o02505rt 21 8 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 21 9 approx approx NN cord-252705-o02505rt 21 10 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 22 1 4000 4000 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 22 2 airports airport NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 22 3 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 22 4 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 22 5 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 22 6 air air NN cord-252705-o02505rt 22 7 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 22 8 transportation transportation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 22 9 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 22 10 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 23 1 The the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 23 2 tree tree NN cord-252705-o02505rt 23 3 structure structure NN cord-252705-o02505rt 23 4 represents represent VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 23 5 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 23 6 most most RBS cord-252705-o02505rt 23 7 probable probable JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 23 8 spreading spread VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 23 9 path path NN cord-252705-o02505rt 23 10 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 23 11 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 23 12 potential potential JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 23 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 23 14 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 24 1 Effective effective JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 24 2 distances distance NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 24 3 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 24 4 most most RBS cord-252705-o02505rt 24 5 probable probable JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 24 6 paths path NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 24 7 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 24 8 computed compute VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 24 9 from from IN cord-252705-o02505rt 24 10 traffic traffic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 24 11 flows flow NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 24 12 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 24 13 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 24 14 complete complete JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 24 15 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 24 16 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 25 1 b b LS cord-252705-o02505rt 25 2 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 25 3 The the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 25 4 entire entire JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 25 5 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 25 6 air air NN cord-252705-o02505rt 25 7 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 25 8 transportation transportation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 25 9 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 25 10 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 26 1 More More JJR cord-252705-o02505rt 26 2 than than IN cord-252705-o02505rt 26 3 4000 4000 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 26 4 airports airport NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 26 5 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 26 6 connected connect VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 26 7 by by IN cord-252705-o02505rt 26 8 more more JJR cord-252705-o02505rt 26 9 than than IN cord-252705-o02505rt 26 10 25000 25000 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 26 11 direct direct JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 26 12 connections connection NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 26 13 amounting amount VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 26 14 to to IN cord-252705-o02505rt 26 15 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 26 16 total total NN cord-252705-o02505rt 26 17 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 26 18 more more JJR cord-252705-o02505rt 26 19 than than IN cord-252705-o02505rt 26 20 3 3 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 26 21 billlion billlion NN cord-252705-o02505rt 26 22 passengers passenger NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 26 23 per per IN cord-252705-o02505rt 26 24 year year NN cord-252705-o02505rt 26 25 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 27 1 c c LS cord-252705-o02505rt 27 2 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 27 3 Temporal temporal JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 27 4 snapshots snapshot NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 27 5 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 27 6 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 27 7 simulated simulated JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 27 8 pandemic pandemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 27 9 with with IN cord-252705-o02505rt 27 10 initial initial JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 27 11 outbreak outbreak NN cord-252705-o02505rt 27 12 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 27 13 London London NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 27 14 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 28 1 In in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 28 2 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 28 3 conventional conventional JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 28 4 geographic geographic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 28 5 representation representation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 28 6 spatio spatio JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 28 7 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 28 8 temporal temporal JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 28 9 patterns pattern NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 28 10 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 28 11 incoherent incoherent JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 28 12 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 28 13 complex complex JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 28 14 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 29 1 d d LS cord-252705-o02505rt 29 2 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 29 3 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 29 4 identical identical JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 29 5 simulation simulation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 6 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 7 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 29 8 effective effective JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 29 9 distance distance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 10 representation representation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 11 exhibits exhibit VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 29 12 simple simple JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 29 13 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 29 14 concentric concentric JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 29 15 wave wave NN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 16 patterns pattern NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 29 17 which which WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 29 18 allows allow VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 29 19 immediate immediate JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 29 20 calculations calculation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 29 21 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 22 expected expect VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 23 arrival arrival NN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 24 times time NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 29 25 at at IN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 26 any any DT cord-252705-o02505rt 29 27 node node NN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 28 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 29 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 29 30 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 29 31 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 30 1 17th 17th JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 30 2 century century NN cord-252705-o02505rt 30 3 cow cow NN cord-252705-o02505rt 30 4 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 30 5 pox pox NN cord-252705-o02505rt 30 6 inoculation inoculation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 30 7 debate debate NN cord-252705-o02505rt 30 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 30 9 Bernoulli Bernoulli NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 30 10 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 30 11 1760 1760 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 30 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 30 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 31 1 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 31 2 modern modern JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 31 3 computational computational JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 31 4 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 31 5 account account VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 31 6 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 31 7 unprecedented unprecedented JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 31 8 detail detail NN cord-252705-o02505rt 31 9 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 31 10 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 31 11 multitude multitude NN cord-252705-o02505rt 31 12 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 31 13 factors factor NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 31 14 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 31 15 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 31 16 believed believe VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 31 17 to to TO cord-252705-o02505rt 31 18 play play VB cord-252705-o02505rt 31 19 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 31 20 role role NN cord-252705-o02505rt 31 21 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 31 22 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 31 23 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 31 24 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 31 25 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 32 1 Relying rely VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 32 2 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 32 3 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 32 4 increasing increase VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 32 5 performance performance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 32 6 capabilities capability NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 32 7 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 32 8 modern modern JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 32 9 supercomputers supercomputer NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 32 10 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 32 11 agent agent NN cord-252705-o02505rt 32 12 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 32 13 based base VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 32 14 simulations simulation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 32 15 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 32 16 complex complex JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 32 17 meta meta JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 32 18 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 32 19 population population NN cord-252705-o02505rt 32 20 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 32 21 have have VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 32 22 been be VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 32 23 developed develop VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 32 24 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 32 25 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 32 26 able able JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 32 27 to to TO cord-252705-o02505rt 32 28 model model VB cord-252705-o02505rt 32 29 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 32 30 behavior behavior NN cord-252705-o02505rt 32 31 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 32 32 nearly nearly RB cord-252705-o02505rt 32 33 one one CD cord-252705-o02505rt 32 34 billion billion CD cord-252705-o02505rt 32 35 individuals individual NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 32 36 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 33 1 While while IN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 2 early early JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 33 3 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 33 4 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 5 this this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 33 6 context context NN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 7 were be VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 33 8 able able JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 33 9 to to TO cord-252705-o02505rt 33 10 reproduce reproduce VB cord-252705-o02505rt 33 11 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 33 12 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 33 13 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 33 14 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 15 e.g. e.g. RB cord-252705-o02505rt 33 16 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 33 17 SARS SARS NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 33 20 Hufnagel Hufnagel NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 21 et et NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 22 al al NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 23 . . NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 24 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 33 25 2004 2004 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 33 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 33 27 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 33 28 state state NN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 29 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 33 30 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 31 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 33 32 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 33 33 art art NN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 34 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 33 35 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 36 now now RB cord-252705-o02505rt 33 37 able able JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 33 38 to to TO cord-252705-o02505rt 33 39 produce produce VB cord-252705-o02505rt 33 40 reliable reliable JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 33 41 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 33 42 forecasts forecast NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 33 43 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 33 44 projections projection NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 33 45 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 33 46 can can MD cord-252705-o02505rt 33 47 help help VB cord-252705-o02505rt 33 48 policy policy NN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 49 makers maker NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 33 50 develop develop VB cord-252705-o02505rt 33 51 more more RBR cord-252705-o02505rt 33 52 efficient efficient JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 33 53 mitigation mitigation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 54 strategies strategy NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 33 55 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 33 56 optimize optimize VB cord-252705-o02505rt 33 57 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 33 58 distribution distribution NN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 59 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 33 60 e.g. e.g. JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 33 61 anti anti JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 33 62 - - JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 33 63 viral viral JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 33 64 drugs drug NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 33 65 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 33 66 vaccines vaccine NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 33 67 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 33 68 van van NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 69 den den NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 70 Broeck Broeck NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 71 et et NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 72 al al NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 73 . . NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 33 74 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 33 75 2011 2011 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 33 76 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 33 77 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 34 1 One one CD cord-252705-o02505rt 34 2 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 34 3 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 34 4 key key JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 34 5 features feature NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 34 6 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 34 7 nearly nearly RB cord-252705-o02505rt 34 8 all all DT cord-252705-o02505rt 34 9 modern modern JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 34 10 computational computational JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 34 11 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 34 12 predict predict VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 34 13 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 34 14 that that IN cord-252705-o02505rt 34 15 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 34 16 unlike unlike IN cord-252705-o02505rt 34 17 historic historic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 34 18 pandemics pandemic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 34 19 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 34 20 advanced advance VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 34 21 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 34 22 regular regular JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 34 23 wave wave NN cord-252705-o02505rt 34 24 like like IN cord-252705-o02505rt 34 25 patterns pattern NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 34 26 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 34 27 modern modern JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 34 28 diseases disease NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 34 29 spread spread VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 34 30 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 34 31 spatially spatially RB cord-252705-o02505rt 34 32 incoherent incoherent JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 34 33 ways way NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 34 34 due due JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 34 35 to to IN cord-252705-o02505rt 34 36 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 34 37 complexity complexity NN cord-252705-o02505rt 34 38 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 34 39 underlying underlie VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 34 40 mobility mobility NN cord-252705-o02505rt 34 41 networks network NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 34 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 34 43 see see VB cord-252705-o02505rt 34 44 Fig Fig NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 34 45 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 34 46 1c 1c CD cord-252705-o02505rt 34 47 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 34 48 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 35 1 This this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 35 2 makes make VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 35 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-252705-o02505rt 35 4 impossible impossible JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 35 5 to to TO cord-252705-o02505rt 35 6 predict predict VB cord-252705-o02505rt 35 7 e.g. e.g. IN cord-252705-o02505rt 35 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 35 9 arrival arrival NN cord-252705-o02505rt 35 10 times time NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 35 11 based base VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 35 12 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 35 13 spreading spread VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 35 14 speed speed NN cord-252705-o02505rt 35 15 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 35 16 geographic geographic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 35 17 distance distance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 35 18 to to IN cord-252705-o02505rt 35 19 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 35 20 outbreak outbreak NN cord-252705-o02505rt 35 21 location location NN cord-252705-o02505rt 35 22 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 36 1 In in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 2 fact fact NN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 3 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 36 4 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 36 5 lack lack NN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 6 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 7 correlation correlation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 8 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 9 arrival arrival NN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 10 times time NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 36 11 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 36 12 geographic geographic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 36 13 distance distance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 14 requires require VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 36 15 running run VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 36 16 high high JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 36 17 performance performance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 18 computer computer NN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 19 simulation simulation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 20 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 21 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 36 22 first first JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 36 23 place place NN cord-252705-o02505rt 36 24 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 37 1 However however RB cord-252705-o02505rt 37 2 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 37 3 despite despite IN cord-252705-o02505rt 37 4 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-252705-o02505rt 37 5 increasing increase VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 37 6 sophistication sophistication NN cord-252705-o02505rt 37 7 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 37 8 accuracy accuracy NN cord-252705-o02505rt 37 9 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 37 10 high high JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 37 11 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 37 12 performance performance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 37 13 computer computer NN cord-252705-o02505rt 37 14 simulation simulation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 37 15 approaches approach VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 37 16 face face VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 37 17 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 37 18 number number NN cord-252705-o02505rt 37 19 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 37 20 fundamental fundamental JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 37 21 problems problem NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 37 22 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 38 1 First first RB cord-252705-o02505rt 38 2 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 38 3 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 38 4 complex complex JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 38 5 nature nature NN cord-252705-o02505rt 38 6 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 38 7 spatio spatio JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 38 8 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 38 9 temporal temporal JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 38 10 patterns pattern NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 38 11 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 38 12 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 38 13 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 38 14 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 38 15 computer computer NN cord-252705-o02505rt 38 16 generated generate VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 38 17 pandemic pandemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 38 18 scenarios scenario NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 38 19 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 38 20 still still RB cord-252705-o02505rt 38 21 poorly poorly RB cord-252705-o02505rt 38 22 understood understand VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 38 23 at at IN cord-252705-o02505rt 38 24 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 38 25 fundamental fundamental JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 38 26 level level NN cord-252705-o02505rt 38 27 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 39 1 Secondly secondly RB cord-252705-o02505rt 39 2 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 39 3 highly highly RB cord-252705-o02505rt 39 4 detailed detailed JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 39 5 computer computer NN cord-252705-o02505rt 39 6 simulations simulation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 39 7 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 39 8 account account VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 39 9 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 39 10 all all DT cord-252705-o02505rt 39 11 possible possible JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 39 12 factors factor NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 39 13 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 39 14 may may MD cord-252705-o02505rt 39 15 impact impact VB cord-252705-o02505rt 39 16 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 39 17 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 39 18 typically typically RB cord-252705-o02505rt 39 19 come come VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 39 20 with with IN cord-252705-o02505rt 39 21 multiple multiple JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 39 22 unknown unknown JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 39 23 parameters parameter NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 39 24 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 39 25 must must MD cord-252705-o02505rt 39 26 be be VB cord-252705-o02505rt 39 27 estimated estimate VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 39 28 or or CC cord-252705-o02505rt 39 29 even even RB cord-252705-o02505rt 39 30 guessed guess VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 39 31 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 40 1 Because because IN cord-252705-o02505rt 40 2 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 40 3 dynamical dynamical JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 40 4 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 40 5 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 40 6 typically typically RB cord-252705-o02505rt 40 7 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 40 8 it -PRON- PRP cord-252705-o02505rt 40 9 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 40 10 often often RB cord-252705-o02505rt 40 11 unclear unclear JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 40 12 how how WRB cord-252705-o02505rt 40 13 robust robust JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 40 14 predictions prediction NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 40 15 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 40 16 with with IN cord-252705-o02505rt 40 17 respect respect NN cord-252705-o02505rt 40 18 to to IN cord-252705-o02505rt 40 19 errors error NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 40 20 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 40 21 these these DT cord-252705-o02505rt 40 22 parameter parameter NN cord-252705-o02505rt 40 23 estimates estimate NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 40 24 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 41 1 Because because IN cord-252705-o02505rt 41 2 detailed detailed JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 41 3 computer computer NN cord-252705-o02505rt 41 4 simulations simulation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 41 5 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 41 6 typically typically RB cord-252705-o02505rt 41 7 computationally computationally RB cord-252705-o02505rt 41 8 resource resource NN cord-252705-o02505rt 41 9 demanding demand VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 41 10 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 41 11 systematic systematic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 41 12 parameter parameter NN cord-252705-o02505rt 41 13 scans scan NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 41 14 can can MD cord-252705-o02505rt 41 15 not not RB cord-252705-o02505rt 41 16 be be VB cord-252705-o02505rt 41 17 performed perform VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 41 18 efficiently efficiently RB cord-252705-o02505rt 41 19 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 42 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-252705-o02505rt 42 2 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 42 3 when when WRB cord-252705-o02505rt 42 4 all all DT cord-252705-o02505rt 42 5 possible possible JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 42 6 factors factor NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 42 7 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 42 8 incorporated incorporate VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 42 9 into into IN cord-252705-o02505rt 42 10 these these DT cord-252705-o02505rt 42 11 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 42 12 from from IN cord-252705-o02505rt 42 13 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 42 14 start start NN cord-252705-o02505rt 42 15 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 42 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-252705-o02505rt 42 17 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 42 18 generically generically RB cord-252705-o02505rt 42 19 difficult difficult JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 42 20 to to TO cord-252705-o02505rt 42 21 assess assess VB cord-252705-o02505rt 42 22 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 42 23 simulations simulation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 42 24 which which WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 42 25 parameters parameter NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 42 26 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 42 27 central central JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 42 28 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 42 29 which which WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 42 30 ones one NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 42 31 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 42 32 peripheral peripheral JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 42 33 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 42 34 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 42 35 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 42 36 outcome outcome NN cord-252705-o02505rt 42 37 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 43 1 These these DT cord-252705-o02505rt 43 2 drawbacks drawback NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 43 3 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 43 4 particularly particularly RB cord-252705-o02505rt 43 5 severe severe JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 43 6 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 43 7 situations situation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 43 8 when when WRB cord-252705-o02505rt 43 9 predictive predictive JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 43 10 computer computer NN cord-252705-o02505rt 43 11 simulations simulation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 43 12 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 43 13 needed need VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 43 14 most most RBS cord-252705-o02505rt 43 15 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 43 16 during during IN cord-252705-o02505rt 43 17 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 43 18 initial initial JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 43 19 outbreak outbreak NN cord-252705-o02505rt 43 20 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 43 21 novel novel JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 43 22 pathogens pathogen NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 43 23 with with IN cord-252705-o02505rt 43 24 uncertain uncertain JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 43 25 properties property NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 43 26 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 44 1 In in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 44 2 this this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 44 3 situation situation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 44 4 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 44 5 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 44 6 forecasts forecast NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 44 7 come come VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 44 8 with with IN cord-252705-o02505rt 44 9 significant significant JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 44 10 error error NN cord-252705-o02505rt 44 11 bars bar NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 44 12 because because IN cord-252705-o02505rt 44 13 simulation simulation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 44 14 parameters parameter NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 44 15 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 44 16 define define VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 44 17 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 44 18 new new JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 44 19 pathogen pathogen NN cord-252705-o02505rt 44 20 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 44 21 not not RB cord-252705-o02505rt 44 22 known know VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 44 23 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 45 1 This this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 45 2 dilemma dilemma NN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 3 can can MD cord-252705-o02505rt 45 4 only only RB cord-252705-o02505rt 45 5 be be VB cord-252705-o02505rt 45 6 solved solve VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 7 if if IN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 8 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 45 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 45 10 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 11 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 45 12 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 13 spread spread NN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 14 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 45 15 better well RBR cord-252705-o02505rt 45 16 understood understand VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 17 at at IN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 18 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 45 19 fundamental fundamental JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 45 20 level level NN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 21 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 45 22 i.e. i.e. FW cord-252705-o02505rt 45 23 if if IN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 24 we -PRON- PRP cord-252705-o02505rt 45 25 identify identify VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 45 26 which which WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 45 27 model model NN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 28 ingredients ingredient NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 45 29 dominate dominate VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 45 30 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 45 31 patterns pattern NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 45 32 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 33 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 45 34 spread spread NN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 35 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 45 36 which which WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 45 37 ones one NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 45 38 can can MD cord-252705-o02505rt 45 39 be be VB cord-252705-o02505rt 45 40 neglected neglect VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 41 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 45 42 what what WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 45 43 features feature NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 45 44 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 45 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 45 46 spread spread NN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 47 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 45 48 universal universal JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 45 49 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 45 50 valid valid JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 45 51 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 52 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 45 53 majority majority NN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 54 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 45 55 emergent emergent JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 45 56 pathogens pathogen NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 45 57 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 46 1 One one CD cord-252705-o02505rt 46 2 step step NN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 3 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 4 this this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 46 5 direction direction NN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 6 was be VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 46 7 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 46 8 recent recent JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 46 9 discovery discovery NN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 10 that that IN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 11 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 46 12 patterns pattern NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 46 13 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 14 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 46 15 spread spread NN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 16 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 17 SARS SARS NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 46 18 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 46 19 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 46 20 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 46 21 related related JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 46 22 diseases disease NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 46 23 can can MD cord-252705-o02505rt 46 24 be be VB cord-252705-o02505rt 46 25 understood understand VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 26 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 46 27 substantially substantially RB cord-252705-o02505rt 46 28 simplified simplify VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 29 by by IN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 30 introducing introduce VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 46 31 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 46 32 novel novel JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 46 33 type type NN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 34 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 35 effective effective JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 46 36 distance distance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 37 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 46 38 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 46 39 based base VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 40 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 41 methods method NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 46 42 borrowed borrow VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 43 from from IN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 44 complex complex JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 46 45 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 46 - - : cord-252705-o02505rt 46 47 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 46 48 random random JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 46 49 walk walk NN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 50 theory theory NN cord-252705-o02505rt 46 51 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 46 52 Brockmann Brockmann NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 46 53 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 46 54 Helbing Helbing NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 46 55 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 46 56 2013 2013 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 46 57 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 46 58 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 47 1 Conventional conventional JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 47 2 computer computer NN cord-252705-o02505rt 47 3 simulations simulation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 47 4 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 47 5 incorporated incorporate VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 47 6 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 47 7 example example NN cord-252705-o02505rt 47 8 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 47 9 WAN WAN NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 47 10 typically typically RB cord-252705-o02505rt 47 11 use use VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 47 12 conventional conventional JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 47 13 geographic geographic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 47 14 map map NN cord-252705-o02505rt 47 15 representations representation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 47 16 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 47 17 which which WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 47 18 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 47 19 spatio spatio JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 47 20 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 47 21 temporal temporal JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 47 22 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 47 23 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 47 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 47 25 spreads spread NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 47 26 exhibit exhibit VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 47 27 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 47 28 aforementioned aforementioned JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 47 29 complex complex NN cord-252705-o02505rt 47 30 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 47 31 spatially spatially RB cord-252705-o02505rt 47 32 incoherent incoherent JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 47 33 structure structure NN cord-252705-o02505rt 47 34 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 48 1 When when WRB cord-252705-o02505rt 48 2 conventional conventional JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 48 3 geographic geographic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 48 4 distances distance NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 48 5 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 48 6 replaced replace VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 48 7 by by IN cord-252705-o02505rt 48 8 effective effective JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 48 9 distances distance NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 48 10 between between IN cord-252705-o02505rt 48 11 airports airport NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 48 12 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 48 13 these these DT cord-252705-o02505rt 48 14 complex complex JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 48 15 patterns pattern NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 48 16 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 48 17 mapped map VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 48 18 onto onto IN cord-252705-o02505rt 48 19 regular regular JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 48 20 wave wave NN cord-252705-o02505rt 48 21 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 48 22 like like JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 48 23 patterns pattern NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 48 24 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 48 25 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 48 26 reminiscent reminiscent JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 48 27 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 48 28 historic historic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 48 29 spreading spreading NN cord-252705-o02505rt 48 30 phenomena phenomenon NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 48 31 such such JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 48 32 as as IN cord-252705-o02505rt 48 33 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 48 34 historic historic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 48 35 Black Black NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 48 36 Death Death NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 48 37 pandemic pandemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 48 38 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 49 1 This this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 49 2 allows allow VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 49 3 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 49 4 measurement measurement NN cord-252705-o02505rt 49 5 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 49 6 effective effective JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 49 7 spreading spreading NN cord-252705-o02505rt 49 8 speeds speed NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 49 9 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 49 10 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 49 11 prediction prediction NN cord-252705-o02505rt 49 12 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 49 13 relative relative JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 49 14 arrival arrival NN cord-252705-o02505rt 49 15 times time NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 49 16 with with IN cord-252705-o02505rt 49 17 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 49 18 much much RB cord-252705-o02505rt 49 19 higher high JJR cord-252705-o02505rt 49 20 fidelity fidelity NN cord-252705-o02505rt 49 21 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 49 22 independently independently RB cord-252705-o02505rt 49 23 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 49 24 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 49 25 specific specific JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 49 26 parameters parameter NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 49 27 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 50 1 This this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 50 2 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 50 3 possible possible JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 50 4 because because IN cord-252705-o02505rt 50 5 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 50 6 effective effective JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 50 7 distance distance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 50 8 between between IN cord-252705-o02505rt 50 9 any any DT cord-252705-o02505rt 50 10 two two CD cord-252705-o02505rt 50 11 locations location NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 50 12 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 50 13 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 50 14 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 50 15 can can MD cord-252705-o02505rt 50 16 be be VB cord-252705-o02505rt 50 17 computed compute VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 50 18 by by IN cord-252705-o02505rt 50 19 mobility mobility NN cord-252705-o02505rt 50 20 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 50 21 properties property NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 50 22 alone alone RB cord-252705-o02505rt 50 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 50 24 see see VB cord-252705-o02505rt 50 25 Fig Fig NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 50 26 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 50 27 _SP cord-252705-o02505rt 51 1 1a 1a LS cord-252705-o02505rt 51 2 /d /d NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 51 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 51 4 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 52 1 One one CD cord-252705-o02505rt 52 2 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 3 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 52 4 key key JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 52 5 implications implication NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 52 6 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 7 this this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 52 8 approach approach NN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 9 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 52 10 that that IN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 11 even even RB cord-252705-o02505rt 52 12 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 13 situations situation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 52 14 when when WRB cord-252705-o02505rt 52 15 little little JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 52 16 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 52 17 known know VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 18 about about IN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 19 an an DT cord-252705-o02505rt 52 20 emergent emergent JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 52 21 pathogen pathogen NN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 22 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 52 23 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 52 24 likelihood likelihood NN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 25 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 26 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 52 27 spread spread NN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 28 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 52 29 most most RBS cord-252705-o02505rt 52 30 probable probable JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 52 31 spreading spread VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 52 32 pathways pathway NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 52 33 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 52 34 relative relative JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 52 35 arrival arrival NN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 36 times time NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 52 37 at at IN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 38 distant distant JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 52 39 location location NN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 40 can can MD cord-252705-o02505rt 52 41 be be VB cord-252705-o02505rt 52 42 computed compute VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 52 43 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 53 1 This this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 53 2 can can MD cord-252705-o02505rt 53 3 help help VB cord-252705-o02505rt 53 4 during during IN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 5 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 53 6 design design NN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 7 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 8 mitigation mitigation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 9 strategies strategy NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 53 10 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 53 11 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 53 12 based base VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 13 e.g. e.g. RB cord-252705-o02505rt 53 14 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 15 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 53 16 implementation implementation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 17 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 18 travel travel NN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 19 restrictions restriction NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 53 20 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 53 21 airport airport NN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 22 based base VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 23 containment containment NN cord-252705-o02505rt 53 24 actions action NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 53 25 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 54 1 The the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 54 2 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 3 theoretic theoretic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 54 4 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 54 5 effective effective JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 54 6 distance distance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 7 approach approach NN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 8 provides provide VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 54 9 another another DT cord-252705-o02505rt 54 10 important important JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 54 11 feature feature NN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 12 that that WDT cord-252705-o02505rt 54 13 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 54 14 derived derive VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 15 from from IN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 16 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 54 17 observation observation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 18 that that IN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 19 only only RB cord-252705-o02505rt 54 20 from from IN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 21 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 54 22 actual actual JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 54 23 outbreak outbreak NN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 24 location location NN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 25 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 54 26 regular regular JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 54 27 wave wave NN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 28 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 54 29 front front NN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 30 is be VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 54 31 observed observe VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 32 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 33 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 54 34 effective effective JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 54 35 distance distance NN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 36 representation representation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 54 37 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 55 1 One one PRP cord-252705-o02505rt 55 2 can can MD cord-252705-o02505rt 55 3 make make VB cord-252705-o02505rt 55 4 use use NN cord-252705-o02505rt 55 5 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 55 6 this this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 55 7 property property NN cord-252705-o02505rt 55 8 to to TO cord-252705-o02505rt 55 9 solve solve VB cord-252705-o02505rt 55 10 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 55 11 so so RB cord-252705-o02505rt 55 12 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 55 13 called call VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 55 14 inverse inverse NN cord-252705-o02505rt 55 15 problem problem NN cord-252705-o02505rt 55 16 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 55 17 Given give VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 55 18 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 55 19 complex complex JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 55 20 spatial spatial JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 55 21 incidence incidence NN cord-252705-o02505rt 55 22 patterns pattern NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 55 23 one one PRP cord-252705-o02505rt 55 24 can can MD cord-252705-o02505rt 55 25 reconstruct reconstruct VB cord-252705-o02505rt 55 26 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 55 27 most most RBS cord-252705-o02505rt 55 28 likely likely JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 55 29 initial initial JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 55 30 outbreak outbreak NN cord-252705-o02505rt 55 31 location location NN cord-252705-o02505rt 55 32 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 56 1 This this DT cord-252705-o02505rt 56 2 technique technique NN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 3 has have VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 56 4 been be VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 5 shown show VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 6 to to TO cord-252705-o02505rt 56 7 work work VB cord-252705-o02505rt 56 8 efficiently efficiently RB cord-252705-o02505rt 56 9 when when WRB cord-252705-o02505rt 56 10 applied apply VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 11 to to IN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 12 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 56 13 2011 2011 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 56 14 EHEC EHEC NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 56 15 / / SYM cord-252705-o02505rt 56 16 HUS HUS NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 56 17 outbreak outbreak NN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 18 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 19 Germany Germany NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 56 20 using use VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 56 21 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 56 22 proxy proxy NN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 23 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 24 food food NN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 25 transportation transportation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 26 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 27 Germany Germany NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 56 28 as as IN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 29 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 56 30 underlying underlying JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 56 31 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 56 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 56 33 Manitz Manitz NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 56 34 et et NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 56 35 al al NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 56 36 . . NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 56 37 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 56 38 2014 2014 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 56 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-252705-o02505rt 56 40 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 57 1 Given give VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 2 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 57 3 increasing increase VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 57 4 availability availability NN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 5 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 6 data datum NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 57 7 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 8 human human JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 9 mobility mobility NN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 10 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 57 11 human human JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 12 interactions interaction NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 57 13 modern modern JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 14 computational computational JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 15 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 57 16 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 17 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 57 18 theoretic theoretic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 19 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 57 20 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 21 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 22 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 57 23 will will MD cord-252705-o02505rt 57 24 become become VB cord-252705-o02505rt 57 25 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 57 26 central central JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 27 tool tool NN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 28 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 29 understanding understanding NN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 30 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 57 31 predicting predict VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 57 32 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 33 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 57 34 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 35 local local JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 36 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 57 37 intermediate intermediate JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 38 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 57 39 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 40 scales scale NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 57 41 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 57 42 will will MD cord-252705-o02505rt 57 43 aid aid VB cord-252705-o02505rt 57 44 policy policy NN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 45 makers maker NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 57 46 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 57 47 public public JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 48 health health NN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 49 research research NN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 50 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 51 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 57 52 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 53 negative negative JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 57 54 effects effect NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 57 55 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 56 society society NN cord-252705-o02505rt 57 57 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 58 1 Reflexions Reflexions NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 58 2 sur sur FW cord-252705-o02505rt 58 3 les les FW cord-252705-o02505rt 58 4 avantages avantages NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 58 5 de de IN cord-252705-o02505rt 58 6 l'inculation l'inculation NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 59 1 The the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 59 2 scaling scale VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 59 3 laws law NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 59 4 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 59 5 human human JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 59 6 travel travel NN cord-252705-o02505rt 60 1 The the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 60 2 hidden hidden JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 60 3 geometry geometry NN cord-252705-o02505rt 60 4 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 60 5 complex complex JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 60 6 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 60 7 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 60 8 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 60 9 driven drive VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 60 10 contagion contagion NN cord-252705-o02505rt 60 11 phenomena phenomena VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 60 12 Modeling model VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 60 13 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 60 14 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 60 15 spread spread NN cord-252705-o02505rt 60 16 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 60 17 pandemic pandemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 60 18 influenza influenza NN cord-252705-o02505rt 60 19 : : : cord-252705-o02505rt 61 1 Baseline baseline JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 61 2 case case NN cord-252705-o02505rt 61 3 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 61 4 containment containment NN cord-252705-o02505rt 61 5 interventions intervention NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 61 6 Forecast forecast NN cord-252705-o02505rt 61 7 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 61 8 control control NN cord-252705-o02505rt 61 9 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 61 10 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 61 11 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 61 12 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 61 13 globalized globalized JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 61 14 world world NN cord-252705-o02505rt 61 15 Origin Origin NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 61 16 Detection Detection NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 61 17 During during IN cord-252705-o02505rt 61 18 Foodborne Foodborne NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 61 19 Disease Disease NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 61 20 Outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 61 21 -A -A . cord-252705-o02505rt 61 22 Case Case NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 61 23 Study Study NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 61 24 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 61 25 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 61 26 2011 2011 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 61 27 EHEC EHEC NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 61 28 / / SYM cord-252705-o02505rt 61 29 HUS HUS NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 61 30 Outbreak Outbreak NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 61 31 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 61 32 Germany Germany NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 62 1 The the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 62 2 GLEaMviz GLEaMviz NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 62 3 computational computational JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 62 4 tool tool NN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 5 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 62 6 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 62 7 publicly publicly RB cord-252705-o02505rt 62 8 available available JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 62 9 software software NN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 10 to to TO cord-252705-o02505rt 62 11 explore explore VB cord-252705-o02505rt 62 12 realistic realistic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 62 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 14 spreading spread VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 62 15 scenarios scenario NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 62 16 at at IN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 17 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 62 18 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 62 19 scale scale NN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 20 The the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 62 21 emergence emergence NN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 22 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 62 23 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 62 24 spread spread NN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 25 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 26 human human JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 62 27 infectious infectious JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 62 28 diseases disease NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 62 29 has have VBZ cord-252705-o02505rt 62 30 become become VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 31 one one CD cord-252705-o02505rt 62 32 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 33 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 62 34 most most RBS cord-252705-o02505rt 62 35 serious serious JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 62 36 public public JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 62 37 health health NN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 38 threats threat NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 62 39 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 40 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 62 41 21st 21st JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 62 42 century century NN cord-252705-o02505rt 62 43 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 63 1 Sophisticated sophisticated JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 63 2 computer computer NN cord-252705-o02505rt 63 3 simulations simulation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 63 4 have have VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 63 5 become become VBN cord-252705-o02505rt 63 6 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 63 7 key key JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 63 8 tool tool NN cord-252705-o02505rt 63 9 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 63 10 understanding understanding NN cord-252705-o02505rt 63 11 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 63 12 predicting predict VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 63 13 disease disease NN cord-252705-o02505rt 63 14 spread spread VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 63 15 on on IN cord-252705-o02505rt 63 16 a a DT cord-252705-o02505rt 63 17 global global JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 63 18 scale scale NN cord-252705-o02505rt 63 19 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 64 1 Combining combine VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 64 2 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 64 3 insights insight NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 64 4 from from IN cord-252705-o02505rt 64 5 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 64 6 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 64 7 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 64 8 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 64 9 processes process NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 64 10 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 64 11 complex complex JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 64 12 network network NN cord-252705-o02505rt 64 13 theory theory NN cord-252705-o02505rt 64 14 these these DT cord-252705-o02505rt 64 15 computational computational JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 64 16 models model NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 64 17 are be VBP cord-252705-o02505rt 64 18 becoming become VBG cord-252705-o02505rt 64 19 increasingly increasingly RB cord-252705-o02505rt 64 20 important important JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 64 21 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 64 22 the the DT cord-252705-o02505rt 64 23 design design NN cord-252705-o02505rt 64 24 of of IN cord-252705-o02505rt 64 25 efficient efficient JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 64 26 mitigation mitigation NN cord-252705-o02505rt 64 27 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 64 28 control control NN cord-252705-o02505rt 64 29 strategies strategy NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 64 30 and and CC cord-252705-o02505rt 64 31 for for IN cord-252705-o02505rt 64 32 public public JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 64 33 health health NN cord-252705-o02505rt 64 34 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 64 35 general general JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 64 36 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 65 1 Die die VB cord-252705-o02505rt 65 2 Entstehung Entstehung NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 65 3 und und IN cord-252705-o02505rt 65 4 globale globale NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 65 5 Ausbreitung Ausbreitung NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 65 6 neuartiger neuartiger NN cord-252705-o02505rt 65 7 , , . cord-252705-o02505rt 66 1 von von NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 66 2 Mensch Mensch NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 66 3 zu zu NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 66 4 Mensch Mensch NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 67 1 übertragbarer übertragbarer NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 67 2 Infektionskrankheiten Infektionskrankheiten NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 68 1 ist ist NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 68 2 eines eines NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 68 3 der der NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 68 4 größten größten NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 68 5 Public Public NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 68 6 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 68 7 Health Health NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 68 8 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 68 9 Probleme Probleme NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 68 10 des des NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 68 11 21 21 CD cord-252705-o02505rt 68 12 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 69 1 Jahrhunderts Jahrhunderts NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 69 2 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 70 1 Detaillierte detaillierte NN cord-252705-o02505rt 70 2 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 70 3 umfangreiche umfangreiche NN cord-252705-o02505rt 70 4 Computersimulationen Computersimulationen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 5 haben haben NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 6 sich sich NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 7 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 70 8 diesem diesem NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 9 Kontext Kontext NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 10 zu zu NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 11 einem einem NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 12 wichtigen wichtigen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 13 Werkzeug Werkzeug NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 14 für für IN cord-252705-o02505rt 70 15 das das NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 16 bessere bessere NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 17 Verständnis Verständnis NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 18 der der NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 19 Ausbreitungswege Ausbreitungswege NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 20 und und IN cord-252705-o02505rt 70 21 deren deren NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 22 Vorhersage Vorhersage NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 23 entwickelt entwickelt NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 70 24 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 71 1 In in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 71 2 modernen modernen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 71 3 Ausbreitungssimulationen Ausbreitungssimulationen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 71 4 werden werden NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 71 5 Methoden Methoden NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 71 6 aus aus NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 71 7 der der NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 71 8 theoretischen theoretischen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 71 9 und und XX cord-252705-o02505rt 71 10 rechnergestützten rechnergestützten NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 71 11 Physik Physik NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 71 12 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 71 13 der der NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 71 14 nichtlinearen nichtlinearen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 72 1 Dynamik Dynamik NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 72 2 mit mit NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 72 3 Erkenntnissen Erkenntnissen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 73 1 aus aus NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 73 2 der der NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 73 3 Theorie Theorie NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 73 4 komplexer komplexer NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 73 5 Netzwerke Netzwerke NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 73 6 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 73 7 numerischen numerischen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 74 1 Modellen Modellen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 74 2 vereint vereint NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 74 3 um um UH cord-252705-o02505rt 75 1 genauerer genauerer NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 75 2 Vorhersagen Vorhersagen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 76 1 und und IN cord-252705-o02505rt 76 2 potenzielle potenzielle NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 76 3 Ausbreitungsszenarien Ausbreitungsszenarien NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 76 4 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 76 5 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 77 1 in in IN cord-252705-o02505rt 77 2 silico silico NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 77 3 ' ' POS cord-252705-o02505rt 77 4 ' ' '' cord-252705-o02505rt 77 5 zu zu NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 77 6 untersuchen untersuchen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 77 7 und und NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 77 8 damit damit NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 77 9 das das NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 77 10 Design Design NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 77 11 effizienterer effizienterer NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 77 12 Mitigations Mitigations NNPS cord-252705-o02505rt 77 13 - - HYPH cord-252705-o02505rt 77 14 und und NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 77 15 Kontrollstrategien Kontrollstrategien NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 77 16 zu zu NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 77 17 fördern fördern FW cord-252705-o02505rt 78 1 und und NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 79 1 zu zu NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 79 2 beschleunigen beschleunigen NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 79 3 . . . cord-252705-o02505rt 80 1 Infectious infectious JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 80 2 diseases disease NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 80 3 = = NFP cord-252705-o02505rt 81 1 Infektionskrankheiten Infektionskrankheiten NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 81 2 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 81 3 Computer Computer NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 81 4 simulations simulation NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 81 5 = = NFP cord-252705-o02505rt 82 1 Computersimulations Computersimulations NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 82 2 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 82 3 Complex complex JJ cord-252705-o02505rt 82 4 networks network NNS cord-252705-o02505rt 82 5 = = NFP cord-252705-o02505rt 83 1 Komplexe Komplexe NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 83 2 Netzwerke Netzwerke NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 83 3 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 83 4 Prediction Prediction NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 83 5 = = NFP cord-252705-o02505rt 83 6 Vorhersage Vorhersage NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 83 7 , , , cord-252705-o02505rt 83 8 Disease Disease NNP cord-252705-o02505rt 83 9 spread spread VBD cord-252705-o02505rt 83 10 = = NFP cord-252705-o02505rt 84 1 Seuchenausbreitung Seuchenausbreitung NNP