id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-201783-66fmse66	Maslov, Sergei	Window of Opportunity for Mitigation to Prevent Overflow of ICU capacity in Chicago by COVID-19	2020-03-21		.txt	text/plain	2422	125	56	We estimate the growth in demand for ICU beds in Chicago during the emerging COVID-19 epidemic, using state-of-the-art computer simulations calibrated for the SARS-CoV-2 virus. We estimate the growth in demand for ICU beds in Chicago during the emerging COVID-19 epidemic, using state-of-the-art computer simulations calibrated for the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Our conclusion is that, being fully cognizant of the societal trade-offs, there is a rapidly closing window of opportunity to avert a worst-case scenario in Chicago, but only with strong mitigation/lockdown implemented in the next week at the latest. Our conclusion is that, being fully cognizant of the societal trade-offs, there is a rapidly closing window of opportunity to avert a worst-case scenario in Chicago, but only with strong mitigation/lockdown implemented in the next week at the latest. The just-in-time mitigation scenario predicts that at the peak of the epidemic, the demand for ICU beds does not exceed the number of available beds, and is significantly below the city's total ICU capacity.	./cache/cord-201783-66fmse66.txt	./txt/cord-201783-66fmse66.txt