id sid tid token lemma pos cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 1 key key JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 2 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 3 cord-295712 cord-295712 NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 4 - - HYPH cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 5 35i0mhz4 35i0mhz4 JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 6 authors author NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 7 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 8 Fox Fox NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 9 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 10 Gregory Gregory NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 11 J J NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 12 ; ; : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 13 Trauer Trauer NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 14 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 15 James James NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 16 M M NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 17 ; ; : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 18 McBryde McBryde NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 19 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 1 20 Emma Emma NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 1 title title NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 2 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 3 Modelling model VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 4 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 5 impact impact NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 6 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 7 COVID‐19 covid‐19 NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 8 on on IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 9 intensive intensive JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 10 care care NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 11 services service NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 12 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 13 New New NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 14 South South NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 15 Wales Wales NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 2 16 date date NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 3 1 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 3 2 2020 2020 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 3 3 - - HYPH cord-295712-35i0mhz4 3 4 05 05 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 3 5 - - HYPH cord-295712-35i0mhz4 3 6 08 08 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 3 7 journal journal NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 3 8 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 4 1 Med Med NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 4 2 J J NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 4 3 Aust Aust NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 4 4 DOI DOI NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 4 5 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 5 1 10.5694 10.5694 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 5 2 / / SYM cord-295712-35i0mhz4 5 3 mja2.50606 mja2.50606 NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 6 1 sha sha NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 6 2 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 7 1 271627f474f7d7826771f707a36d1b89ad1d77b0 271627f474f7d7826771f707a36d1b89ad1d77b0 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 7 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 7 3 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 7 4 295712 295712 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 7 5 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 7 6 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 1 35i0mhz4 35i0mhz4 NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 2 nan nan NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 3 A A NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 4 modelling modelling NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 5 group group NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 6 at at IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 7 Imperial Imperial NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 8 College College NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 9 London London NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 10 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 11 a a DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 12 WHO WHO NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 13 Collaborating collaborate VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 14 Centre Centre NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 15 for for IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 16 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 17 Disease Disease NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 18 Modelling Modelling NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 19 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 20 has have VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 21 modelled model VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 22 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 23 effect effect NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 24 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 25 different different JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 26 mitigation mitigation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 27 policies policy NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 28 upon upon IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 29 peak peak NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 30 healthcare healthcare NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 31 demand demand NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 8 32 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 9 1 1 1 LS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 1 The the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 2 Imperial Imperial NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 3 College College NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 4 model model NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 5 adopted adopt VBD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 6 a a DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 7 number number NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 8 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 9 assumptions assumption NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 10 regarding regard VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 11 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 12 natural natural JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 13 history history NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 14 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 15 clinical clinical JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 16 management management NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 17 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 18 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 19 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 20 epidemic epidemic NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 10 21 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 2 applied apply VBD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 3 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 4 outcomes outcome NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 5 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 6 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 7 Imperial Imperial NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 8 College College NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 9 model model NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 10 to to IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 11 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 12 population population NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 13 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 14 NSW NSW NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 15 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 16 accounting account VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 17 for for IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 18 local local JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 19 demographic demographic JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 20 distribution distribution NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 11 21 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 12 1 2 2 LS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 1 The the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 2 age age NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 3 distribution distribution NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 4 between between IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 5 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 6 two two CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 7 settings setting NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 8 is be VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 9 similar similar JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 10 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 11 shown show VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 12 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 13 Figure figure NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 14 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 13 15 _SP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 2 developed develop VBD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 3 a a DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 4 simple simple JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 5 SEIR seir NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 6 - - HYPH cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 7 type type NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 8 compartmental compartmental JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 9 model model NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 11 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 13 S S NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 15 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 16 exposed expose VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 17 / / SYM cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 18 incubation incubation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 19 period period NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 21 E E NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 23 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 24 infectious infectious JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 26 I i NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 28 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 29 removed(R removed(R NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 14 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 15 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 15 2 Figure figure NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 15 3 2 2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 15 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 15 5 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 1 The the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 2 standard standard JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 3 model model NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 4 is be VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 5 modified modify VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 6 to to TO cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 7 allow allow VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 8 for for IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 9 pre pre JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 10 - - JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 11 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 12 transmission transmission NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 13 during during IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 14 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 15 incubation incubation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 16 period period NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 18 E e NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 19 2 2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 21 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 22 a a DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 23 delay delay NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 24 between between IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 25 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 26 onset onset NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 27 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 28 symptoms symptom NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 29 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 30 presentation presentation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 31 to to IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 32 healthcare healthcare NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 34 I i NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 35 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 37 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 38 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 39 disease disease NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 41 I i NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 42 2 2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 44 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 45 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 46 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 47 H H NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 49 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 50 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 51 ICU ICU NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 52 admission admission NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 53 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 54 ICU ICU NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 55 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 16 56 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 1 In in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 2 this this DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 3 model model NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 4 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 5 compartments compartment NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 6 E e NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 7 2 2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 8 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 9 I -PRON- PRP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 10 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 11 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 12 I -PRON- PRP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 13 2 2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 14 are be VBP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 15 infectious infectious JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 17 16 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 1 The the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 2 force force NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 3 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 4 infection infection NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 5 is be VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 6 therefore therefore RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 7 given give VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 8 by by IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 9 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 10 Where where WRB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 11 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 12 Infectious infectious JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 13 period period NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 14 = = SYM cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 15 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 16 2 2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 17 + + SYM cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 18 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 19 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 20 + + SYM cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 21 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 18 22 2 2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 2 also also RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 3 performed perform VBD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 4 a a DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 5 simple simple JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 6 SEIR seir NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 8 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 9 - - HYPH cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 10 exposed expose VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 11 / / SYM cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 12 incubating incubate VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 13 -infected -infecte VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 14 - - HYPH cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 15 removed remove VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 17 model model NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 18 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 19 order order NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 20 to to TO cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 21 explore explore VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 22 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 23 effect effect NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 24 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 25 varying vary VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 26 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 27 basic basic JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 28 reproduction reproduction NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 29 number number NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 31 R r NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 32 0 0 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 34 which which WDT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 35 may may MD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 36 be be VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 37 reduced reduce VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 38 by by IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 39 effective effective JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 40 social social JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 41 distancing distance VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 42 measures measure NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 43 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 44 subsequently subsequently RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 45 is be VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 46 called call VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 47 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 48 effective effective JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 49 reproduction reproduction NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 50 number number NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 51 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 52 R r NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 53 eff eff NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 54 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 19 55 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 1 The the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 2 modelled model VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 3 outcome outcome NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 4 was be VBD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 5 hospitalised hospitalise VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 6 cases case NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 7 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 8 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 9 ICU ICU NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 10 cases case NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 11 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 12 per per IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 13 100,000 100,000 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 14 population population NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 20 15 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 2 modelled model VBD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 3 two two CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 4 scenarios scenario NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 5 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 7 a a LS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 9 no no DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 10 intervention intervention NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 11 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 12 with with IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 13 a a DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 14 R r NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 15 0 0 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 16 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 17 2.4 2.4 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 18 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 19 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 21 b b NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 23 social social JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 24 isolation isolation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 25 policies policy NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 26 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 27 leading lead VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 28 to to IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 29 a a DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 30 R r NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 31 eff eff NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 32 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 33 1.6 1.6 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 34 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 35 both both CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 36 with with IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 37 a a DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 38 start start NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 39 prevalence prevalence NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 40 on on IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 41 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 42 March March NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 43 2020 2020 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 44 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 45 2 2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 46 persons person NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 47 per per IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 48 million million CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 21 49 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 22 1 Detailed detailed JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 22 2 model model NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 22 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 22 4 are be VBP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 22 5 included include VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 22 6 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 22 7 Table Table NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 22 8 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 22 9 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 2 conducted conduct VBD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 3 a a DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 4 partial partial JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 5 rank rank NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 6 correlation correlation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 7 coefficient coefficient NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 8 study study NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 9 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 10 nine nine CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 11 key key JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 12 model model NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 13 parameters parameter NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 14 ; ; : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 15 Reproduction reproduction NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 16 number number NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 17 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 18 probability probability NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 19 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 20 hospitalisation hospitalisation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 21 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 22 duration duration NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 23 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 24 hospitalisation hospitalisation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 25 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 26 probability probability NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 27 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 28 being be VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 29 admitted admit VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 30 to to IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 31 ICU ICU NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 32 given give VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 33 hospitalisation hospitalisation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 34 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 35 duration duration NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 36 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 37 ICU ICU NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 38 admission admission NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 39 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 40 time time NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 41 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 42 E e NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 43 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 44 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 45 time time NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 46 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 47 E e NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 48 2 2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 49 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 50 time time NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 51 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 52 I -PRON- PRP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 53 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 54 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 55 time time NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 56 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 57 I -PRON- PRP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 58 2 2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 59 against against IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 60 four four CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 61 key key JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 62 outcomes outcome NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 63 ; ; : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 64 peak peak NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 65 hospitalisation hospitalisation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 66 numbers number NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 67 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 68 peak peak NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 69 ICU ICU NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 70 numbers number NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 71 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 72 time time NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 73 to to TO cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 74 peak peak VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 75 hospitalisation hospitalisation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 76 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 77 time time NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 78 to to TO cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 79 peak peak VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 80 ICU ICU NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 81 as as IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 82 shown show VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 83 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 84 Figure Figure NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 85 3 3 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 23 86 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 24 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 24 2 approach approach NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 24 3 has have VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 24 4 several several JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 24 5 limitations limitation NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 24 6 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 1 Modelling modelling NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 2 studies study NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 3 depend depend VBP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 4 upon upon IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 5 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 6 assumptions assumption NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 7 upon upon IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 8 which which WDT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 9 t t NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 10 hey hey UH cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 11 are be VBP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 12 based base VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 13 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 14 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 15 parameters parameter NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 16 including include VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 17 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 18 current current JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 19 reproduction reproduction NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 20 number number NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 21 remain remain VBP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 22 uncertain uncertain JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 23 as as IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 24 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 26 is be VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 27 still still RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 28 unfolding unfold VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 25 29 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 1 The the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 2 trajectory trajectory NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 3 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 4 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 5 epidemic epidemic NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 6 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 7 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 8 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 9 magnitude magnitude NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 10 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 11 peak peak NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 12 ICU ICU NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 13 demand demand NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 14 will will MD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 15 be be VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 16 highly highly RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 17 dependent dependent JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 18 upon upon IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 19 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 20 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 21 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 22 mitigation mitigation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 23 strategies strategy NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 26 24 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 1 The the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 2 present present JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 3 report report NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 4 does do VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 5 not not RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 6 estimate estimate VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 7 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 8 effect effect NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 9 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 10 more more RBR cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 11 intensive intensive JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 12 suppression suppression NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 13 strategies strategy NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 14 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 15 which which WDT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 16 would would MD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 17 be be VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 18 likely likely JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 19 to to TO cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 20 reduce reduce VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 21 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 22 peak peak NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 23 ICU ICU NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 24 requirement requirement NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 27 25 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 1 Despite despite IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 2 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 3 usual usual JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 4 limitations limitation NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 5 inherent inherent JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 6 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 7 modelling modelling NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 8 studies study NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 9 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 10 such such JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 11 studies study NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 12 have have VBP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 13 an an DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 14 important important JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 15 role role NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 16 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 17 informing inform VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 18 contingency contingency NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 19 planning planning NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 20 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 21 where where WRB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 22 applicable applicable JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 23 parameters parameter NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 24 are be VBP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 25 available available JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 28 26 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 1 Further further JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 2 modelling modelling NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 3 is be VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 4 needed need VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 5 to to TO cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 6 inform inform VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 7 resource resource NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 8 planning planning NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 9 for for IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 10 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 11 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 13 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 14 Australia Australia NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 15 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 16 including include VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 17 for for IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 18 critical critical JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 19 care care NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 20 services service NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 29 21 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 1 Such such JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 2 models model NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 3 will will MD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 4 help help VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 5 to to TO cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 6 inform inform VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 7 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 8 public public JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 9 debate debate NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 10 regarding regard VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 11 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 12 timing timing NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 13 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 14 intensity intensity NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 15 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 16 duration duration NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 17 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 18 mitigation mitigation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 19 strategies strategy NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 30 20 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 1 This this DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 2 modelling modelling NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 3 study study NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 4 did do VBD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 5 not not RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 6 enrol enrol VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 7 participants participant NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 8 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 9 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 10 so so RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 11 ethics ethic NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 12 review review NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 13 was be VBD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 14 not not RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 15 warranted warrant VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 16 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 31 17 _SP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 2 is be VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 3 evident evident JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 4 that that IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 5 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 6 size size NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 7 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 8 both both DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 9 peaks peak NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 11 C C NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 12 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 13 D D NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 15 are be VBP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 16 highly highly RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 17 sensitive sensitive JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 18 to to IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 19 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 20 reproduction reproduction NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 21 number number NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 23 as as IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 24 expected expect VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 26 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 27 also also RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 28 highly highly RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 29 sensitive sensitive JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 30 to to IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 31 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 32 time time NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 33 spent spend VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 34 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 35 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 36 hospital hospital NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 37 / / SYM cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 38 ICU ICU NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 39 states state NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 40 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 41 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 42 model model NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 32 43 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 1 The the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 2 time time NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 3 to to TO cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 4 peak peak VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 5 is be VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 6 negatively negatively RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 7 correlated correlate VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 8 with with IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 9 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 10 reproduction reproduction NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 11 number number NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 13 as as IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 14 reflected reflect VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 15 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 16 figure figure NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 17 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 19 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 20 also also RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 21 to to IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 22 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 23 length length NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 24 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 25 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 26 stages stage NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 27 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 28 infection infection NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 29 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 30 particularly particularly RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 31 E2 E2 NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 33 32 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 1 As as IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 2 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 3 29 29 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 4 March March NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 5 2020 2020 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 6 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 7 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 8 case case NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 9 notification notification NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 10 rate rate NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 11 is be VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 12 lower low JJR cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 13 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 14 NSW NSW NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 16 22.8 22.8 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 17 cases case NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 18 per per IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 19 100,000 100,000 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 21 compared compare VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 22 with with IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 23 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 24 UK UK NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 26 26.2 26.2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 27 cases case NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 28 per per IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 29 100,000 100,000 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 30 cases case NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 34 32 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 1 8,9 8,9 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 2 Figure figure NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 3 1 1 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 4 Table table NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 5 2 2 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 6 shows show VBZ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 7 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 8 estimated estimate VBN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 9 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 10 hospitalisations hospitalisation NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 11 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 12 ICU ICU NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 13 admissions admission NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 14 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 15 deaths death NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 16 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 17 one one CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 18 Local Local NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 19 Health Health NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 20 District District NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 22 Sydney Sydney NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 23 LHD LHD NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 25 under under IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 26 an an DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 27 optimal optimal JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 28 mitigation mitigation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 29 scenario scenario NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 30 comprising comprise VBG cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 31 case case NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 32 isolation isolation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 33 , , , cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 34 household household NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 35 quarantine quarantine NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 36 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 37 social social JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 38 distancing distancing NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 39 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 40 over over IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 41 70 70 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 42 year year NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 43 - - HYPH cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 44 olds old NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 35 45 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 1 The the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 2 timing timing NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 3 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 4 magnitude magnitude NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 5 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 6 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 7 peak peak NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 8 demand demand NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 9 will will MD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 10 be be VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 11 strongly strongly RB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 12 dependent dependent JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 13 upon upon IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 14 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 15 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 16 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 17 mitigation mitigation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 18 strategies strategy NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 36 19 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 1 Ongoing ongoing JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 2 surveillance surveillance NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 3 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 4 transmission transmission NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 5 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 6 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 7 community community NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 8 will will MD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 9 be be VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 10 essential essential JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 11 to to TO cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 12 allow allow VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 13 healthcare healthcare NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 14 services service NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 15 to to TO cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 16 anticipate anticipate VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 17 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 18 effects effect NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 19 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 20 national national JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 21 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 22 mitigation mitigation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 23 policies policy NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 24 upon upon IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 25 healthcare healthcare NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 26 resource resource NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 27 requirements requirement NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 28 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 37 29 _SP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 38 1 Imperial Imperial NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 38 2 College College NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 38 3 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 38 4 Response Response NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 38 5 Team Team NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 38 6 . . . cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 1 Impact impact NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 2 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 3 non non JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 4 - - JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 5 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 6 interventions intervention NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 8 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 10 to to TO cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 11 reduce reduce VB cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 12 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 13 mortality mortality NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 14 and and CC cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 15 healthcare healthcare NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 16 demand demand NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 17 Population population NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 18 by by IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 19 local local JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 20 health health NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 21 district district NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 22 Principal principal JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 23 projection projection NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 24 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 25 UK UK NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 26 population population NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 27 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 28 age age NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 39 29 groups group NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 40 1 A a DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 40 2 picture picture NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 40 3 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 40 4 health health NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 40 5 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 1 Sydney Sydney NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 2 Local Local NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 3 Health Health NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 4 District District NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 5 health health NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 6 profile profile NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 7 2015 2015 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 8 Temporal temporal JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 9 variation variation NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 10 in in IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 11 transmission transmission NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 12 during during IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 13 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 14 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 15 outbreak outbreak NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 16 Australia Australia NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 17 2020 2020 CD cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 18 Estimates estimate NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 19 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 20 the the DT cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 21 severity severity NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 22 of of IN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 23 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 24 disease disease NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 25 Total Total NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 26 UK UK NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 27 cases case NNS cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 28 : : : cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 29 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 30 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 32 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-295712-35i0mhz4 41 33 ) ) -RRB-