id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-265027-kvtqpgqq Chatterjee, S. Studying the progress of COVID-19 outbreak in India using SIRD model 2020-05-13 .txt text/plain 7067 415 60 The model further underlines that in the highly contagious zones ('red' zones where COVID-19 positive cases continue to grow), if the present lockdown is extended and reinforced with stricter quarantine measures, the new infections will gradually plummet down flattening the COVID-19 curve at a much faster rate. In a nutshell, we start with the initial susceptible population (S 0 ) varying in the range ∼ 1-3 million S 0 , keeping the effective reproduction number R e fixed at ∼ 4.0, and show how the model prediction fits with the Indian data without a lockdown, the location of the infection peak and the relative deviation from the real data ( Fig. 2A) . 1. The effective containment during the present lockdown in India indicates that the infected population might reach its peak at the end of June (Fig. 2) whereas Ger-All rights reserved. ./cache/cord-265027-kvtqpgqq.txt ./txt/cord-265027-kvtqpgqq.txt