id sid tid token lemma pos cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 1 key key NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 2 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 3 cord-187857-emgxp5wg cord-187857-emgxp5wg LS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 4 authors author NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 5 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 6 Gupta Gupta NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 7 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 8 Sourendu Sourendu NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 9 ; ; : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 10 Shankar Shankar NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 11 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 12 R. R. NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 13 title title NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 14 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 15 Estimating estimate VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 16 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 17 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 18 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 19 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 20 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 21 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 22 Indian indian JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 23 hot hot JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 24 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 25 spots spot NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 26 using use VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 27 fatality fatality NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 28 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 1 29 date date NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 2 1 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 2 2 2020 2020 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 2 3 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 2 4 04 04 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 2 5 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 2 6 07 07 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 2 7 journal journal NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 2 8 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 3 1 nan nan NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 3 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 3 3 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 3 4 nan nan NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 3 5 sha sha NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 3 6 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 4 1 b8afeacf88fef40c2cd1063b3395d71041a341dd b8afeacf88fef40c2cd1063b3395d71041a341dd NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 4 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 4 3 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 4 4 187857 187857 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 4 5 cord_uid cord_uid FW cord-187857-emgxp5wg 4 6 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 5 1 emgxp5wg emgxp5wg NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 2 India India NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 4 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 5 infected infected JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 6 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 7 has have VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 8 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 9 yet yet RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 10 been be VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 11 accurately accurately RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 12 established establish VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 6 13 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 1 As as IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 2 always always RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 3 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 4 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 5 early early JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 6 stages stage NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 7 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 8 any any DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 10 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 12 need need NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 13 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 14 test test VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 15 serious serious JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 16 cases case NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 17 first first RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 18 has have VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 19 meant mean VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 20 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 21 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 22 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 23 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 24 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 25 or or CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 26 mild mild JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 27 sub sub JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 28 - - JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 29 clinical clinical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 30 symptoms symptom NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 31 has have VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 32 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 33 yet yet RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 34 been be VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 35 analyzed analyze VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 7 36 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 1 Using use VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 2 counts count NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 4 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 5 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 6 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 7 previously previously RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 8 estimated estimate VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 9 parameters parameter NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 10 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 12 progress progress NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 13 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 14 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 15 disease disease NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 16 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 18 give give VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 19 statistical statistical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 20 estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 21 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 22 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 23 infected infected JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 24 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 8 25 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 2 doubling double VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 3 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 4 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 5 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 6 crucial crucial JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 7 unknown unknown JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 8 input input NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 9 parameter parameter NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 10 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 11 affects affect VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 12 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 13 estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 14 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 15 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 16 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 17 differ differ VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 18 strongly strongly RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 19 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 20 one one CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 21 geographical geographical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 22 location location NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 23 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 24 another another DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 9 25 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 2 suggest suggest VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 3 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 4 method method NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 5 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 6 estimating estimate VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 7 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 9 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 10 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 11 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 12 different different JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 13 locations location NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 14 within within IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 15 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 16 few few JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 17 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 18 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 19 so so RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 20 adding add VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 21 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 22 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 23 information information NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 24 required require VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 25 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 26 gauging gauge VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 27 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 28 success success NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 29 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 30 public public JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 31 health health NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 32 interventions intervention NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 33 It -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 34 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 35 generally generally RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 36 accepted accept VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 37 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 38 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 39 many many JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 40 parts part NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 41 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 42 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 43 world world NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 44 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 45 actual actual JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 46 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 47 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 48 infected infected JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 49 people people NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 50 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 51 much much RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 52 more more JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 53 than than IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 54 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 55 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 56 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 57 confirmed confirm VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 58 cases case NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 10 59 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 2 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 3 due due JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 4 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 5 limited limited JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 6 testing testing NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 7 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 8 biased bias VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 9 towards towards IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 10 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 11 serious serious JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 12 cases case NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 11 13 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 2 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 4 documented document VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 5 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 6 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 7 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 8 other other JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 9 hand hand NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 10 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 11 likely likely JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 12 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 13 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 14 much much RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 15 closer close JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 16 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 17 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 18 actual actual JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 19 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 12 20 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 2 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 3 note note NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 5 use use VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 6 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 7 method method NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 8 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 9 estimate estimate VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 10 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 11 actual actual JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 12 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 13 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 14 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 15 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 16 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 17 documented document VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 18 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 19 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 20 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 13 21 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 14 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 14 2 estimate estimate NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 14 3 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 14 4 one one CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 14 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 14 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 14 7 main main JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 14 8 results result NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 14 9 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 2 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 3 important important JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 4 because because IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 6 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 7 seems seem VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 8 possible possible JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 9 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 10 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 11 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 12 sub sub JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 13 - - JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 14 clinical clinical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 15 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 16 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 17 also also RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 18 infect infect VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 19 others other NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 21 1 1 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 15 23 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 2 find find VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 3 large large JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 4 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 5 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 6 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 7 predictions prediction NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 8 at at IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 9 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 10 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 11 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 12 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 13 suggest suggest VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 14 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 15 method method NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 16 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 17 improve improve VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 18 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 19 estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 20 systematically systematically RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 21 day day NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 22 by by IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 23 day day NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 16 24 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 2 gives give VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 3 us -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 4 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 5 secondary secondary JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 6 motivation motivation NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 7 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 8 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 9 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 10 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 11 refine refine VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 12 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 13 parameters parameter NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 14 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 15 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 16 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 17 using use VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 18 only only RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 19 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 20 daily daily JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 21 statistics statistic NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 22 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 23 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 17 24 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 18 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 18 2 do do VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 18 3 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 18 4 utilize utilize VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 18 5 detailed detailed JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 18 6 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 18 7 models model NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 18 8 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 19 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 19 2 model model NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 19 3 input input NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 19 4 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 19 5 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 19 6 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 19 7 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 19 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 19 9 growth growth NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 19 10 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 1 There there EX cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 2 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 3 no no DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 4 data data NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 5 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 6 India India NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 7 at at IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 8 present present NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 9 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 10 contradicts contradict VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 11 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 20 12 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 2 other other JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 3 inputs input NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 5 need need VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 6 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 7 about about IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 8 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 9 progress progress NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 10 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 12 disease disease NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 21 13 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 1 There there EX cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 2 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 3 agreement agreement NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 4 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 6 literature literature NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 7 that that WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 8 post post NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 9 - - NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 10 infection infection NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 11 there there EX cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 12 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 13 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 14 short short JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 15 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 16 period period NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 22 17 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 2 use use VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 3 statistical statistical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 4 models model NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 5 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 6 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 7 progression progression NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 8 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 9 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 10 disease disease NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 11 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 12 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 13 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 14 resolution resolution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 15 into into IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 16 recovery recovery NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 17 or or CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 18 fatality fatality NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 19 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 20 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 21 parametrized parametrize VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 22 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 23 fit fit VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 24 reports report NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 23 25 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 2 also also RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 3 need need VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 4 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 5 infection infection NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 6 fatality fatality NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 7 ratio ratio NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 9 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 11 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 12 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 14 take take VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 15 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 16 previous previous JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 17 studies study NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 24 18 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 1 Using use VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 2 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 4 make make VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 5 predictions prediction NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 6 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 7 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 8 infected infected JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 9 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 10 now now RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 11 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 12 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 13 future future NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 14 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 15 various various JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 16 scenarios scenario NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 17 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 18 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 19 exponential exponential JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 20 growth growth NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 21 rate rate NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 25 22 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 2 discuss discuss VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 3 how how WRB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 5 predictions prediction NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 6 can can MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 7 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 8 used use VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 9 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 10 validate validate VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 11 some some DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 12 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 13 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 14 model model NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 15 assumptions assumption NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 26 16 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 2 distribution distribution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 4 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 5 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 6 India India NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 7 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 8 highly highly RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 9 non non JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 10 - - JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 11 uniform uniform JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 12 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 13 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 14 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 15 could could MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 16 cause cause VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 17 geographical geographical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 18 fluctuations fluctuation NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 19 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 20 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 21 progress progress NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 22 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 23 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 27 25 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 1 So so RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 3 apply apply VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 5 estimators estimator NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 6 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 7 various various JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 8 localized localize VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 9 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 10 seen see VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 11 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 12 India India NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 13 till till IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 14 now now RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 15 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 16 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 17 make make VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 18 predictions prediction NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 19 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 20 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 21 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 22 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 23 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 24 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 25 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 26 regions region NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 27 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 28 about about RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 29 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 30 week week NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 31 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 32 now now RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 28 33 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 1 Using use VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 2 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 3 statistical statistical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 4 inputs input NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 5 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 7 discuss discuss VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 8 here here RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 9 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 11 give give VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 12 confidence confidence NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 13 limits limit NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 14 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 15 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 16 predictions prediction NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 17 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 18 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 19 discuss discuss VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 20 how how WRB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 21 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 22 match match VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 23 them -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 24 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 25 future future JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 26 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 27 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 28 order order NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 29 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 30 extract extract VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 31 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 32 remaining remain VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 33 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 34 parameters parameter NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 29 35 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 2 should should MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 3 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 4 noted note VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 5 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 6 current current JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 7 data data NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 8 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 9 available available JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 10 aggregated aggregate VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 11 over over IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 12 districts district NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 30 13 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 1 Finer fine JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 2 details detail NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 3 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 4 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 5 very very RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 6 useful useful JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 7 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 8 discussing discuss VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 9 exit exit NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 10 strategies strategy NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 11 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 12 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 13 lock lock NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 14 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 15 down down NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 31 16 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 2 view view NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 4 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 5 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 6 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 7 availability availability NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 8 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 9 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 10 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 11 each each DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 12 hospital hospital NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 13 separately separately RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 14 would would MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 15 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 16 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 17 great great JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 18 use use NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 32 19 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 2 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 3 early early JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 4 stages stage NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 6 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 7 typical typical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 9 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 10 when when WRB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 12 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 13 infected infect VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 14 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 15 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 16 very very RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 17 small small JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 18 fraction fraction NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 19 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 20 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 21 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 22 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 23 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 24 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 25 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 26 infected infected JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 27 cases case NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 28 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 29 I -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 30 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 31 rises rise VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 32 exponentially exponentially RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 33 33 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 34 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 34 2 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 34 3 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 34 4 parametrized parametrize VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 34 5 as as IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 34 6 where where WRB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 34 7 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 34 8 doubling double VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 34 9 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 34 10 τ τ NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 1 = = SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 2 ln ln NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 3 2 2 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 4 / / SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 5 λ λ NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 6 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 7 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 8 t t NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 9 0 0 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 10 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 12 initial initial JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 13 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 14 at at IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 15 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 16 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 17 counting counting NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 18 starts start VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 35 19 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 2 doubling double VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 3 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 4 τ τ NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 5 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 6 related relate VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 7 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 8 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 9 basic basic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 10 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 11 rate rate NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 12 parameter parameter NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 13 R r NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 14 0 0 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 36 15 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 2 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 3 affected affect VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 4 by by IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 5 both both CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 6 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 7 virulence virulence NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 8 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 9 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 10 pathogen pathogen NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 11 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 12 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 13 rate rate NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 14 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 15 social social JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 16 contact contact NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 37 17 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 1 Estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 2 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 3 R R NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 4 0 0 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 5 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 6 China China NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 7 vary vary VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 8 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 9 as as RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 10 low low JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 11 as as IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 12 2.2 2.2 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 13 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 14 as as RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 15 high high JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 16 as as IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 17 14.8 14.8 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 18 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 19 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 20 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 21 cluster cluster NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 22 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 23 estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 24 close close JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 25 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 26 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 27 median median NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 28 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 29 2.79 2.79 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 30 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 31 4 4 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 32 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 38 33 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 1 See see VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 2 also also RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 3 an an DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 4 interesting interesting JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 5 estimate estimate NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 6 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 7 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 8 effect effect NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 9 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 10 public public JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 11 health health NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 12 interventions intervention NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 13 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 14 R r NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 15 0 0 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 16 using use VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 17 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 18 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 19 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 20 cruise cruise NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 21 ship ship NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 22 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 23 Princess Princess NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 25 5 5 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 39 27 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 40 1 Converting convert VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 40 2 R r NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 40 3 0 0 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 40 4 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 40 5 τ τ NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 40 6 requires require VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 40 7 an an DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 40 8 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 40 9 model model NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 40 10 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 2 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 3 note note NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 4 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 6 do do VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 7 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 8 use use VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 9 any any DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 10 particular particular JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 11 model model NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 41 12 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 2 only only JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 3 assumption assumption NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 4 about about IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 6 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 7 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 8 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 10 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 12 exponential exponential JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 13 growth growth NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 14 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 15 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 16 given give VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 17 by by IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 18 eq eq NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 42 19 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 43 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 43 2 1 1 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 43 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 43 4 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 1 Due due IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 2 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 4 extreme extreme JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 5 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 6 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 7 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 8 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 9 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 10 India India NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 11 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 12 R R NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 13 0 0 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 14 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 15 or or CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 16 τ τ NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 17 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 18 could could MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 19 vary vary VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 20 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 21 one one CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 22 place place NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 23 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 24 another another DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 44 25 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 2 most most RBS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 3 definitive definitive JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 4 estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 6 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 7 densities density NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 8 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 9 almost almost RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 10 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 11 decade decade NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 12 old old JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 13 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 14 since since IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 15 they -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 16 come come VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 17 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 18 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 19 2011 2011 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 20 census census NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 21 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 22 India India NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 24 6 6 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 45 26 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 1 According accord VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 2 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 3 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 4 source source NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 5 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 6 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 7 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 8 density density NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 9 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 10 Indore Indore NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 11 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 12 9718 9718 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 13 /Km /km SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 14 2 2 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 15 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 16 whereas whereas IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 17 that that DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 18 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 19 Mumbai Mumbai NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 20 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 21 28,185 28,185 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 22 /Km /km SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 23 2 2 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 46 24 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 1 Inside inside IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 2 Mumbai Mumbai NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 3 again again RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 4 there there EX cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 5 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 6 extreme extreme JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 7 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 8 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 9 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 10 high high JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 11 density density NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 12 areas area NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 13 like like IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 14 Dharavi Dharavi NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 15 having have VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 16 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 17 density density NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 18 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 19 3,35,743 3,35,743 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 20 /Km /km SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 21 2 2 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 47 22 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 1 These these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 2 numbers number NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 3 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 4 indicative indicative JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 6 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 7 possibility possibility NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 8 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 9 different different JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 10 cities city NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 11 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 12 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 13 even even RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 14 districts district NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 15 within within IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 16 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 17 city city NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 18 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 19 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 20 have have VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 21 very very RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 22 different different JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 23 doubling doubling NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 24 times time NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 25 τ τ NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 48 26 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 2 view view NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 4 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 5 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 7 do do VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 8 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 9 assume assume VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 10 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 11 single single JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 12 value value NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 13 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 14 τ τ NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 15 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 16 but but CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 17 work work VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 18 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 19 two two CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 20 scenarios scenario NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 21 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 22 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 23 Scenario Scenario NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 24 A a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 25 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 26 double double JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 27 every every DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 28 10 10 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 29 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 30 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 31 i.e. i.e. FW cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 32 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 33 τ τ NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 34 = = SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 35 10 10 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 36 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 37 ; ; : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 38 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 39 Scenario Scenario NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 40 B B NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 41 doubling doubling NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 42 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 43 twice twice RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 44 as as RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 45 rapid rapid JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 46 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 47 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 48 τ τ NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 49 = = SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 50 5 5 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 51 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 49 52 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 2 comparison comparison NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 3 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 4 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 5 aggregated aggregated JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 6 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 7 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 8 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 9 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 10 India India NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 11 taken take VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 12 until until IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 13 30 30 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 14 March March NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 15 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 16 indicates indicate VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 17 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 18 doubling double VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 19 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 20 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 21 roughly roughly RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 22 4 4 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 23 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 50 24 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 2 note note VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 3 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 4 between between IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 5 March March NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 6 30 30 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 7 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 8 April April NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 9 2 2 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 10 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 12 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 13 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 14 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 15 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 16 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 17 Mumbai Mumbai NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 18 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 19 Navi Navi NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 20 Mumbai Mumbai NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 21 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 22 Pune Pune NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 23 area area NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 24 changed change VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 25 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 26 8 8 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 27 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 28 14 14 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 29 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 30 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 31 supports support VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 32 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 33 idea idea NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 34 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 35 Scenario Scenario NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 36 B B NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 37 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 38 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 39 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 40 far far RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 41 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 42 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 43 current current JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 44 doubling double VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 45 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 46 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 47 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 48 location location NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 51 49 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 2 aggregated aggregated JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 3 Indian indian JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 4 fatality fatality NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 5 numbers number NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 6 could could MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 7 either either CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 8 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 9 dominated dominate VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 10 by by IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 11 rapid rapid JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 12 growth growth NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 13 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 14 some some DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 15 local local JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 16 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 17 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 18 or or CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 19 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 20 general general JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 21 spread spread NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 22 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 23 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 24 disease disease NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 52 25 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 2 geographically geographically RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 3 disaggregated disaggregated JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 4 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 5 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 6 capable capable JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 7 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 8 indicating indicate VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 9 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 10 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 12 case case NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 53 13 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 1 For for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 3 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 4 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 5 incubation incubation NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 6 period period NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 7 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 8 t t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 9 i i NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 10 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 11 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 12 estimated estimate VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 13 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 14 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 15 5.1 5.1 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 16 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 18 95 95 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 19 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 20 CL CL NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 21 4.5 4.5 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 22 - - SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 23 5.8 5.8 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 24 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 26 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 27 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 28 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 29 long long JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 30 tail tail NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 32 2 2 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 33 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 54 34 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 1 Early early JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 2 observers observer NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 3 reported report VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 4 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 6 recovery recovery NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 7 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 8 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 9 t t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 10 r r NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 11 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 12 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 13 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 14 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 15 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 16 onset onset NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 17 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 18 symptoms symptom NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 19 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 20 recovery recovery NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 21 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 22 ranged range VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 23 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 24 12 12 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 25 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 26 32 32 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 27 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 29 3 3 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 55 31 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 2 interval interval NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 3 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 4 onset onset NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 6 symptoms symptom NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 7 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 8 release release VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 9 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 10 hospital hospital NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 11 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 12 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 13 recovery recovery NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 14 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 15 depend depend VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 16 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 17 various various JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 18 factors factor NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 56 19 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 2 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 3 seen see VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 4 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 5 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 6 larger large JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 7 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 8 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 9 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 10 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 11 death death NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 57 12 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 2 latter latter JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 3 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 4 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 5 seen see VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 6 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 7 have have VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 8 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 9 mean mean NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 10 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 11 17.8 17.8 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 12 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 14 8 8 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 16 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 17 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 18 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 19 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 20 one one CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 21 relevant relevant JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 22 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 23 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 24 analysis analysis NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 58 25 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 2 will will MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 3 take take VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 4 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 5 duration duration NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 6 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 7 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 8 disease disease NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 9 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 10 T T NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 11 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 12 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 13 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 14 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 15 sum sum NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 16 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 17 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 18 two two CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 19 periods period NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 20 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 21 i.e. i.e. FW cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 22 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 23 T t NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 24 = = SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 25 t t NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 26 i i NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 27 + + CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 28 t t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 29 r r NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 59 30 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 2 will will MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 3 take take VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 4 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 5 incubation incubation NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 6 period period NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 7 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 8 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 9 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 10 minimum minimum NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 11 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 12 3 3 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 13 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 14 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 15 have have VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 16 an an DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 17 exponential exponential JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 18 distribution distribution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 19 after after IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 20 that that DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 21 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 22 so so IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 23 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 24 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 25 mean mean JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 26 incubation incubation NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 27 period period NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 28 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 29 5.1 5.1 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 30 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 60 31 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 2 shall shall MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 3 take take VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 4 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 5 recovery recovery NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 6 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 7 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 8 have have VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 9 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 10 minimum minimum NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 11 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 12 12 12 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 13 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 14 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 15 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 16 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 17 exponentially exponentially RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 18 distributed distribute VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 19 such such JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 20 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 21 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 22 mean mean JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 23 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 24 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 25 death death NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 26 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 27 17.8 17.8 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 28 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 61 29 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 2 other other JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 3 words word NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 4 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 5 t t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 6 i i NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 7 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 8 t t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 9 r r NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 10 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 11 random random JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 12 variates variate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 13 chosen choose VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 14 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 15 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 16 distribution distribution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 17 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 18 P p NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 20 t t NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 21 r r NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 23 = = SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 62 24 0 0 NFP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 63 1 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 63 2 t t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 63 3 r r NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 63 4 < < XX cord-187857-emgxp5wg 63 5 12 12 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 63 6 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 63 7 5.8 5.8 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 63 8 e e NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 63 9 −(tr−12)/5.8 −(tr−12)/5.8 FW cord-187857-emgxp5wg 63 10 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 63 11 t t NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 64 1 i i PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 64 2 > > VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 64 3 12 12 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 64 4 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 2 With with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 3 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 4 assumptions assumption NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 5 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 6 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 7 mean mean JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 8 infected infected JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 9 period period NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 10 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 11 T T NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 12 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 13 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 14 about about RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 15 19 19 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 16 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 17 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 18 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 19 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 20 95 95 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 21 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 22 CL CL NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 23 being be VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 24 15 15 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 25 - - SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 26 27 27 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 27 days day NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 65 28 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 66 1 These these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 66 2 distributions distribution NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 66 3 can can MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 66 4 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 66 5 improved improve VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 66 6 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 66 7 future future NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 66 8 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 2 core core NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 3 point point NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 4 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 5 note note VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 6 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 7 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 8 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 9 Gaussian gaussian JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 10 distribution distribution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 11 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 12 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 13 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 14 good good JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 15 description description NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 16 when when WRB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 17 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 18 data data NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 19 shows show VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 20 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 21 long long JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 22 tail tail NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 23 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 24 skewness skewness NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 67 25 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 1 Note note VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 2 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 3 each each DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 4 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 6 random random JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 7 variates variate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 8 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 9 applicable applicable JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 10 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 11 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 12 different different JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 13 case case NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 68 14 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 2 fraction fraction NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 4 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 5 infected infected JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 6 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 7 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 8 dies die VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 9 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 10 called call VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 12 infection infection NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 13 fatality fatality NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 14 ratio ratio NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 15 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 16 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 69 17 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 2 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 3 most most RBS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 4 reliably reliably RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 6 after after IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 7 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 8 end end NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 9 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 10 an an DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 70 12 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 1 Estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 2 based base VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 3 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 4 Chinese chinese JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 5 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 6 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 7 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 8 give give VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 9 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 10 = = SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 11 0.0066 0.0066 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 13 i.e. i.e. FW cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 14 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 15 0.66 0.66 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 16 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 18 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 19 average average JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 21 8 8 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 23 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 24 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 25 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 26 strong strong JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 27 age age NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 28 structure structure NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 29 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 30 7 7 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 71 31 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 72 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 72 2 8 8 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 72 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 72 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 72 5 9 9 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 72 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 72 7 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 2 analysis analysis NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 5 8 8 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 7 gives give VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 8 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 9 skewed skewed JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 10 posterior posterior JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 11 distribution distribution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 12 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 13 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 14 quantity quantity NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 15 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 16 so so IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 17 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 18 will will MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 19 take take VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 20 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 21 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 22 have have VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 23 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 24 minimum minimum JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 25 value value NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 26 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 27 0.0035 0.0035 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 28 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 29 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 30 exponentially exponentially RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 31 after after IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 32 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 33 so so IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 34 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 35 it -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 36 has have VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 37 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 38 mean mean NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 39 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 40 0.0066 0.0066 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 41 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 42 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 43 width width NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 44 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 45 0.005 0.005 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 73 46 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 1 Since since IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 2 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 3 case case NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 4 fatality fatality NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 5 ratio ratio NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 6 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 7 CFR CFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 8 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 9 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 10 discussed discuss VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 11 more more RBR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 12 frequently frequently RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 13 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 15 discuss discuss VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 16 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 17 relation relation NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 18 between between IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 19 CFR CFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 20 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 21 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 22 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 23 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 24 final final JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 25 section section NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 74 26 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 1 Note note VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 2 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 3 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 4 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 5 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 6 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 7 averaged average VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 8 quantity quantity NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 9 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 10 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 12 random random JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 13 values value NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 14 assumed assume VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 15 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 17 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 18 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 19 measure measure NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 20 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 21 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 22 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 23 about about IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 24 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 25 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 75 26 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 2 have have VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 3 assumed assume VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 4 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 5 there there EX cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 6 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 7 no no DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 8 correlation correlation NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 9 between between IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 10 T T NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 11 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 12 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 13 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 14 since since IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 16 have have VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 17 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 18 taken take VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 19 age age NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 20 structuring structuring NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 21 into into IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 22 account account NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 76 23 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 2 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 3 more more RBR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 4 detailed detailed JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 5 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 6 age age NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 7 structured structured JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 8 analysis analysis NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 9 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 10 correlations correlation NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 11 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 12 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 13 important important JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 14 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 77 15 _SP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 2 remainder remainder NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 5 analysis analysis NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 6 will will MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 7 use use VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 8 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 9 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 10 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 11 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 12 reported report VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 13 by by IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 14 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 15 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 16 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 17 Health Health NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 18 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 19 Family Family NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 20 Welfare Welfare NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 22 11 11 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 78 24 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 1 Before before IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 2 embarking embark VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 3 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 4 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 5 analysis analysis NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 6 it -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 7 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 8 useful useful JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 9 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 10 separate separate VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 11 out out RP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 12 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 13 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 14 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 15 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 16 into into IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 17 two two CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 18 sets set NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 79 19 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 1 One one CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 2 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 4 set set NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 6 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 7 known know VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 8 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 9 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 10 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 11 persons person NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 12 who who WP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 13 arrived arrive VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 14 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 15 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 16 foreign foreign JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 17 country country NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 18 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 19 was be VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 20 very very RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 21 soon soon RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 22 after after IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 23 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 24 as as IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 25 being be VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 26 infected infect VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 27 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 28 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 80 29 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 2 statistics statistic NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 4 such such JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 5 deaths death NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 6 relate relate VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 7 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 8 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 9 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 10 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 11 country country NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 12 where where WRB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 14 was be VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 15 picked pick VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 16 up up RP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 81 17 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 1 So so RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 2 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 3 set set NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 4 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 5 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 6 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 7 relevance relevance NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 8 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 9 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 10 analysis analysis NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 11 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 12 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 13 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 14 within within IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 15 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 16 country country NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 82 17 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 2 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 4 complement complement NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 5 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 6 namely namely RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 7 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 8 set set NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 9 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 10 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 11 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 12 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 13 no no DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 14 travel travel NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 15 history history NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 16 can can MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 17 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 18 attributed attribute VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 19 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 20 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 21 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 22 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 23 relevance relevance NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 24 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 25 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 26 analysis analysis NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 83 27 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 84 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 84 2 separation separation NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 84 3 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 84 4 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 84 5 made make VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 84 6 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 84 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 84 8 11 11 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 84 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 84 10 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 85 1 However however RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 85 2 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 85 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 85 4 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 85 5 tracked track VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 85 6 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 85 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 85 8 12 12 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 85 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 1 adds add VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 2 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 3 information information NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 4 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 5 press press NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 6 reports report NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 7 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 8 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 9 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 10 totals total NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 11 tally tally VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 12 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 13 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 14 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 15 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 17 11 11 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 86 19 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 2 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 4 data data NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 5 set set VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 7 utilize utilize VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 8 here here RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 10 13 13 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 11 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 87 12 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 1 Due due IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 2 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 4 extreme extreme JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 5 variability variability NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 6 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 7 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 8 density density NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 9 across across IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 10 India India NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 11 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 13 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 14 good good JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 15 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 16 avoid avoid VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 17 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 18 country country NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 19 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 20 averaged average VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 21 analysis analysis NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 22 if if IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 23 possible possible JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 88 24 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 2 analyze analyze VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 3 clusters cluster NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 4 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 5 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 6 due due JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 7 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 8 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 9 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 10 India India NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 11 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 12 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 13 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 14 that that WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 15 was be VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 16 complete complete JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 17 at at IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 18 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 19 end end NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 20 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 21 March March NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 22 30 30 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 23 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 24 2020 2020 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 89 25 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 2 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 4 persons person NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 5 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 6 no no DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 7 history history NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 8 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 9 recent recent JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 10 foreign foreign JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 11 travel travel NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 12 fell fall VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 13 into into IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 14 two two CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 15 groups group NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 16 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 17 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 18 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 19 defined define VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 20 as as IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 21 single single JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 22 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 23 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 24 isolated isolate VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 25 geographical geographical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 26 locations location NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 27 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 28 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 29 clusters cluster NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 30 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 31 defined define VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 32 as as IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 33 more more JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 34 than than IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 35 one one CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 36 fatality fatality NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 37 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 38 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 39 same same JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 40 city city NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 41 or or CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 42 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 43 towns town NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 44 very very RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 45 close close JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 46 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 47 each each DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 48 other other JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 90 49 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 2 decided decide VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 3 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 4 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 5 use use VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 6 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 7 cases case NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 8 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 9 since since IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 10 statistical statistical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 11 estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 12 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 13 meaningless meaningless JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 14 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 15 single single JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 16 incidents incident NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 91 17 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 92 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 92 2 found find VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 92 3 four four CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 92 4 clusters cluster NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 92 5 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 92 6 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 92 7 listed list VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 92 8 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 92 9 Table Table NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 92 10 I -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 92 11 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 1 These these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 2 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 4 epidemic epidemic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 5 hot hot JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 6 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 7 spots spot NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 8 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 9 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 10 country country NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 11 according accord VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 12 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 13 currently currently RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 14 available available JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 15 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 93 16 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 2 observation observation NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 4 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 5 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 6 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 7 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 8 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 9 D(t D(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 11 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 12 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 13 day day NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 14 t t NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 15 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 16 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 17 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 18 converted convert VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 19 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 20 an an DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 21 estimate estimate NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 22 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 23 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 24 actual actual JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 25 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 26 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 27 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 28 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 29 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 31 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 32 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 33 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 34 same same JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 35 day day NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 36 by by IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 37 using use VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 38 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 39 formula formula NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 40 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 41 first first JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 42 factor factor NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 43 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 44 D(t)/IFR D(t)/IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 45 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 46 an an DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 47 estimate estimate NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 48 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 49 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 50 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 51 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 52 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 53 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 54 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 55 − − NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 56 T T NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 57 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 58 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 59 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 60 day day NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 61 t t NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 62 − − NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 63 T T NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 94 64 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 95 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 95 2 second second JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 95 3 factor factor NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 95 4 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 95 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 95 6 exponential exponential JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 95 7 growth growth NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 95 8 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 95 9 eq eq NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 95 10 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 2 1 1 LS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 4 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 5 evolves evolve VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 6 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 7 older old JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 8 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 9 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 10 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 11 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 12 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 13 current current JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 14 value value NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 15 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 16 leading lead VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 17 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 18 eq eq NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 96 19 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 97 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 97 2 4 4 LS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 97 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 97 4 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 1 Note note VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 2 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 4 very very RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 5 broad broad JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 6 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 7 skewed skewed JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 8 distributions distribution NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 9 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 10 T T NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 11 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 12 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 13 will will MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 14 give give VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 15 similarly similarly RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 16 broad broad JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 17 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 18 skewed skewed JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 19 distributions distribution NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 20 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 21 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 98 23 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 99 1 Here here RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 99 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 99 3 suggest suggest VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 99 4 how how WRB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 99 5 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 99 6 narrow narrow VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 99 7 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 99 8 estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 99 9 progressively progressively RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 99 10 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 1 Any any DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 2 knowledge knowledge NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 4 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 6 gives give VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 7 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 8 prediction prediction NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 9 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 10 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 11 ′ ′ CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 13 at at IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 14 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 15 future future JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 16 date date NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 17 t t NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 18 ′ ′ CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 100 19 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 1 Uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 2 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 3 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 5 expand expand VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 6 into into IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 7 larger large JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 8 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 9 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 10 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 11 ′ ′ CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 13 due due JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 14 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 15 exponential exponential JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 16 growth growth NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 101 17 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 1 However however RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 2 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 4 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 6 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 7 up up IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 8 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 9 date date NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 10 t t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 11 ′ ′ CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 12 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 13 i.e i.e XX cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 14 .. .. NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 15 D(t D(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 16 ′ ′ CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 18 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 19 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 20 directly directly RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 21 observable observable JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 102 22 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 1 A a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 2 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 3 series series NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 4 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 5 D(t D(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 6 ′ ′ CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 8 allows allow VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 9 us -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 10 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 11 estimate estimate VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 12 τ τ NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 13 directly directly RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 103 14 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 2 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 3 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 4 each each DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 5 day day NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 6 's 's POS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 7 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 8 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 9 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 10 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 11 one one PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 12 can can MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 13 run run VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 14 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 15 evolution evolution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 16 backwards backwards RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 17 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 18 rule rule VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 19 out out RP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 20 some some DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 21 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 22 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 23 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 24 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 25 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 26 starting start VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 27 prediction prediction NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 28 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 30 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 31 30 30 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 32 March March NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 104 33 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 105 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 105 2 means mean VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 105 3 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 105 4 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 105 5 prediction prediction NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 105 6 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 105 7 D(t D(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 105 8 ′ ′ CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 105 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 105 10 = = NFP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 1 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 2 ′ ′ CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 4 × × NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 5 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 6 further far RBR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 7 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 8 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 9 future future NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 10 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 11 narrowed narrow VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 12 down down RP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 106 13 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 107 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 107 2 show show VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 107 3 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 107 4 inference inference NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 107 5 procedure procedure NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 107 6 schematically schematically RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 107 7 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 107 8 Figure figure NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 107 9 1 1 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 107 10 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 1 As as IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 2 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 3 allowed allow VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 4 range range NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 6 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 7 initial initial JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 8 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 10 successively successively RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 11 narrows narrow VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 12 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 13 one one CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 14 also also RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 15 narrows narrow VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 16 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 17 allowed allow VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 18 range range NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 19 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 20 T T NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 21 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 22 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 23 through through IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 24 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 25 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 26 inference inference NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 27 paradigm paradigm NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 108 28 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 109 1 There there EX cord-187857-emgxp5wg 109 2 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 109 3 statistical statistical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 109 4 uncertainties uncertainty NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 109 5 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 109 6 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 109 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 109 8 T T NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 109 9 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 109 10 CFR CFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 109 11 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 2 have have VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 3 combined combine VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 4 them -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 5 through through IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 6 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 7 random random JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 8 Monte Monte NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 9 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 10 sampling sampling NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 11 using use VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 12 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 13 probability probability NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 14 distribution distribution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 15 functions function NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 16 defined define VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 17 above above RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 110 18 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 111 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 111 2 implemented implement VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 111 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 111 4 Monte Monte NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 111 5 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 111 6 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 111 7 Mathematica Mathematica NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 111 8 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 112 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 112 2 use use NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 112 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 112 4 eq eq NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 112 5 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 2 5 5 LS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 4 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 5 make make VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 6 estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 7 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 8 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 10 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 11 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 12 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 13 future future JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 14 values value NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 15 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 16 ′ ′ CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 18 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 19 D(t D(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 20 ′ ′ CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 22 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 23 then then RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 24 gives give VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 25 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 26 statistical statistical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 27 distribution distribution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 28 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 29 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 30 quantities quantity NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 113 31 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 114 1 These these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 114 2 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 114 3 implemented implement VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 114 4 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 114 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 114 6 same same JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 114 7 Monte Monte NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 114 8 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 114 9 estimator estimator NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 114 10 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 2 basic basic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 3 result result NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 4 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 5 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 6 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 7 amplification amplification NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 8 factor factor NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 9 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 10 I(t)/D(t I(t)/D(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 12 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 13 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 15 obtain obtain VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 16 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 17 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 18 numerical numerical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 19 estimate estimate NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 20 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 22 460 460 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 23 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 24 9 9 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 25 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 26 700 700 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 28 × × NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 29 D(t D(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 31 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 32 scenario scenario NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 33 A a NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 35 2 2 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 36 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 37 700 700 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 38 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 39 3 3 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 40 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 41 80 80 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 42 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 43 000 000 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 45 × × NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 46 D(t D(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 47 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 48 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 49 scenario scenario NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 115 50 B b NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 2 ranges range NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 3 given give VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 4 here here RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 5 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 6 95 95 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 7 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 8 CL CL NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 9 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 10 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 11 have have VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 12 been be VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 13 rounded round VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 14 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 15 two two CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 16 significant significant JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 17 digits digit NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 116 18 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 2 median median JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 3 values value NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 4 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 5 1,500 1,500 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 6 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 7 scenario scenario NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 8 A a NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 9 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 10 12,000 12,000 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 11 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 12 scenario scenario NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 117 13 B. B. NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 2 tested test VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 4 effect effect NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 6 changing change VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 7 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 8 skewness skewness NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 9 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 10 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 11 distribution distribution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 12 by by IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 13 replacing replace VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 14 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 15 shifted shift VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 16 Exponential Exponential NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 17 distributions distribution NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 18 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 19 eq eq NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 118 20 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 119 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 119 2 2 2 LS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 119 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 119 4 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 119 5 eq eq NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 119 6 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 2 3 3 LS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 4 by by IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 5 Gamma Gamma NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 6 distributions distribution NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 7 tuned tune VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 8 so so IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 9 as as IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 10 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 11 reproduce reproduce VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 12 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 13 same same JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 14 means mean NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 15 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 16 variances variance NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 120 17 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 121 1 However however RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 121 2 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 121 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 121 4 Gamma Gamma NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 121 5 distributions distribution NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 121 6 then then RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 121 7 have have VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 121 8 smaller small JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 121 9 skewness skewness NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 121 10 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 122 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 122 2 440 440 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 122 3 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 122 4 7 7 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 122 5 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 122 6 700 700 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 122 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 122 8 × × NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 122 9 D(t D(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 122 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 122 11 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 123 1 scenario scenario NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 123 2 A a NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 123 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 123 4 1 1 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 123 5 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 123 6 800 800 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 123 7 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 123 8 2 2 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 123 9 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 123 10 00 00 NFP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 124 1 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 124 2 000 000 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 124 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 124 4 × × NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 124 5 D(t D(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 124 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 124 7 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 124 8 scenario scenario NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 124 9 B b NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 125 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 125 2 medians median NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 125 3 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 125 4 1,600 1,600 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 125 5 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 125 6 scenario scenario NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 125 7 A a NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 125 8 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 125 9 15,000 15,000 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 125 10 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 125 11 scenario scenario NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 1 B. B. NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 2 One One NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 3 sees see VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 4 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 6 medians median NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 7 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 8 lower low JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 9 limits limit NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 10 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 12 95 95 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 13 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 14 CL CL NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 15 change change NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 16 by by IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 17 relatively relatively RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 18 small small JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 19 amounts amount NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 20 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 21 whereas whereas IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 22 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 23 upper upper JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 24 limits limit NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 25 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 26 quite quite RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 27 different different JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 126 28 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 127 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 127 2 list list VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 127 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 127 4 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 127 5 hot hot JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 127 6 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 127 7 spots spot NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 127 8 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 127 9 Table table NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 2 along along RP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 3 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 4 estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 7 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 8 D D NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 9 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 10 various various JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 11 dates date NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 12 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 13 each each DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 14 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 15 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 16 two two CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 17 different different JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 18 scenarios scenario NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 19 defined define VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 20 earlier early RBR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 128 21 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 2 emphasize emphasize VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 3 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 4 different different JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 5 geographical geographical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 6 locations location NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 7 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 8 have have VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 9 different different JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 10 doubling double VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 11 times time NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 12 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 13 so so IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 14 both both DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 15 scenarios scenario NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 16 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 17 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 18 relevant relevant JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 129 19 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 130 1 These these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 130 2 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 130 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 130 4 major major JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 130 5 results result NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 130 6 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 1 For for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 2 later later JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 3 use use NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 5 also also RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 6 show show VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 7 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 8 Figure figure NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 9 3 3 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 10 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 11 95 95 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 12 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 13 CL CL NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 14 predictions prediction NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 15 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 16 D D NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 17 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 18 10 10 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 19 April April NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 20 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 21 two two CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 22 different different JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 23 hot hot JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 24 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 25 spots spot NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 26 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 27 Scenario Scenario NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 131 28 B. B. NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 1 Any any DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 2 limits limit NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 3 that that WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 5 can can MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 6 extract extract VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 7 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 8 disease disease NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 9 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 10 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 11 parameters parameter NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 12 would would MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 13 help help VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 14 us -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 15 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 16 plan plan VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 17 ahead ahead RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 18 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 19 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 20 kind kind NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 21 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 22 demands demand NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 23 that that WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 24 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 25 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 26 put put VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 27 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 28 medical medical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 29 facilities facility NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 30 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 31 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 32 near near JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 33 future future NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 132 34 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 1 From from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 2 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 3 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 4 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 6 geographical geographical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 7 distribution distribution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 8 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 9 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 10 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 11 India India NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 12 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 14 identified identify VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 15 four four CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 16 possible possible JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 17 hot hot JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 18 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 19 spots spot NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 20 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 21 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 133 22 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 2 clustering clustering NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 4 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 5 into into IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 6 hot hot JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 7 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 8 spots spot NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 9 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 10 an an DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 11 indication indication NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 12 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 13 there there EX cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 14 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 15 perhaps perhaps RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 16 no no DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 17 general general JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 18 spread spread NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 19 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 20 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 21 epidemic epidemic NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 22 through through IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 23 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 24 country country NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 25 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 26 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 27 gives give VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 28 hope hope NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 29 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 30 partial partial JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 31 removal removal NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 32 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 33 lock lock NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 34 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 35 down down NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 36 if if IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 37 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 38 situation situation NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 39 does do VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 40 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 41 change change VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 134 42 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 135 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 135 2 used use VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 135 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 135 4 simple simple JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 135 5 statistical statistical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 135 6 estimator estimator NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 135 7 given give VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 135 8 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 135 9 eq eq NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 135 10 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 2 4 4 LS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 4 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 5 make make VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 6 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 7 prediction prediction NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 8 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 9 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 10 total total JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 11 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 12 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 13 infections infection NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 14 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 15 each each DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 16 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 17 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 18 hot hot JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 19 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 20 spots spot NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 21 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 22 30 30 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 23 March March NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 24 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 25 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 26 two two CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 27 scenarios scenario NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 136 28 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 1 Estimating Estimating NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 2 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 4 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 5 important important JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 6 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 7 especially especially RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 8 since since IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 9 there there EX cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 10 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 11 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 12 good good JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 13 chance chance NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 14 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 15 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 16 part part NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 17 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 18 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 19 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 20 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 21 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 22 pre pre JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 23 - - JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 24 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 25 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 26 non non JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 27 - - JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 28 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 29 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 30 or or CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 31 has have VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 32 sub sub JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 33 - - JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 34 clinical clinical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 35 symptoms symptom NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 36 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 37 all all RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 38 able able JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 39 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 40 communicate communicate VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 41 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 42 disease disease NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 43 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 44 others other NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 137 45 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 138 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 138 2 predictions prediction NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 138 3 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 138 4 exhibited exhibit VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 138 5 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 138 6 Table Table NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 138 7 I -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 138 8 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 139 1 Note note VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 139 2 that that DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 1 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 2 95 95 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 3 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 4 CL CL NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 5 spans span VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 6 an an DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 7 enormous enormous JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 8 range range NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 9 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 10 due due IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 11 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 12 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 13 spread spread NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 14 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 15 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 16 input input NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 17 parameters parameter NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 140 18 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 141 1 mainly mainly RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 141 2 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 141 3 time time NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 141 4 interval interval NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 141 5 between between IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 141 6 infection infection NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 141 7 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 141 8 death death NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 141 9 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 1 Note note VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 2 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 4 distribution distribution NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 6 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 8 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 9 very very RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 10 skew skew JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 11 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 12 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 13 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 14 median median NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 15 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 16 close close JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 17 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 18 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 19 lower low JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 20 end end NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 21 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 22 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 23 95 95 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 24 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 25 CL CL NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 142 26 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 2 Scenario Scenario NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 3 B B NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 4 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 6 upper upper JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 7 end end NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 8 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 9 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 10 95 95 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 11 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 12 CL CL NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 13 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 14 more more JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 15 than than IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 16 1 1 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 17 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 18 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 19 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 20 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 21 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 22 Mumbai Mumbai NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 143 23 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 144 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 144 2 consider consider VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 144 3 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 144 4 highly highly RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 144 5 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 144 6 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 144 7 although although IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 144 8 statistically statistically RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 144 9 possible possible JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 144 10 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 2 have have VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 3 outlined outline VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 4 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 5 procedure procedure NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 6 refine refine VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 7 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 8 estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 9 by by IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 10 incorporating incorporate VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 11 daily daily JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 12 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 13 progressively progressively RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 14 into into IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 15 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 16 computation computation NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 145 17 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 1 Given give VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 2 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 3 very very RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 4 large large JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 5 values value NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 6 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 7 I(t I(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 9 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 10 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 11 model model NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 12 predicts predict VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 13 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 14 medical medical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 15 professionals professional NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 16 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 17 legitimately legitimately RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 18 ask ask VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 19 whether whether IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 20 one one NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 21 sees see VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 22 so so RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 23 many many JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 24 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 25 cases case NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 26 arriving arrive VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 27 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 28 hospitals hospital NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 146 29 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 1 Note note VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 2 however however RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 3 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 4 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 5 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 6 very very RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 7 large large JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 8 fraction fraction NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 9 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 10 likely likely JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 11 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 12 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 13 either either CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 14 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 15 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 16 or or CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 17 exhibit exhibit VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 18 sub sub JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 19 clinical clinical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 20 symptoms symptom NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 147 21 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 2 fact fact NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 4 8 8 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 6 simultaneously simultaneously RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 7 reports report VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 8 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 9 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 10 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 11 fraction fraction NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 12 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 13 infected infected JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 14 individuals individual NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 15 who who WP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 16 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 17 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 18 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 19 H. H. NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 20 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 21 ratio ratio NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 22 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 23 averaged average VBD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 24 over over IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 25 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 26 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 27 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 28 reported report VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 29 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 30 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 31 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 32 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 33 range range NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 34 H h NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 35 = = SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 36 2 2 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 37 - - SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 38 4 4 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 39 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 148 40 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 1 In in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 2 Scenario Scenario NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 3 B B NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 4 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 5 therefore therefore RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 6 one one PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 7 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 8 expect expect VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 9 440 440 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 10 - - SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 11 12,000 12,000 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 12 people people NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 13 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 14 arrive arrive VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 15 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 16 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 17 hospital hospital NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 149 18 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 1 Even even RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 2 among among IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 3 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 4 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 5 some some DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 6 may may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 7 not not RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 8 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 9 able able JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 10 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 11 consult consult VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 12 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 13 physician physician NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 14 during during IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 15 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 16 lock lock NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 17 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 18 down down NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 150 19 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 2 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 3 current current JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 4 experience experience NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 5 strongly strongly RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 6 disfavours disfavour VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 7 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 8 upper upper JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 9 end end NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 10 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 11 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 12 95 95 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 13 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 14 CL CL NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 15 range range NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 151 16 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 1 One one CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 2 recalls recall VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 3 again again RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 4 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 5 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 6 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 7 median median NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 8 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 9 close close JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 10 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 12 lower low JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 13 end end NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 152 14 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 2 estimate estimate NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 3 again again RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 4 emphasizes emphasize VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 5 how how WRB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 6 important important JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 8 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 9 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 10 narrow narrow VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 12 range range NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 13 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 14 prediction prediction NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 15 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 16 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 17 model model NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 153 18 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 2 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 3 able able JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 4 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 5 perform perform VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 6 another another DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 7 simple simple JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 8 estimate estimate NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 9 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 10 these these DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 11 numbers number NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 154 12 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 1 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 2 case case NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 3 fatality fatality NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 4 ratio ratio NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 5 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 6 CFR CFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 7 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 8 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 9 defined define VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 10 as as IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 12 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 13 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 14 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 15 divided divide VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 16 by by IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 17 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 18 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 19 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 20 cases case NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 21 tested test VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 155 22 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 1 Assuming assume VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 2 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 4 tests test NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 5 are be VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 6 largely largely RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 7 done do VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 8 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 9 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 10 people people NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 11 who who WP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 12 arrive arrive VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 13 at at IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 14 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 15 hospital hospital NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 16 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 17 one one PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 18 can can MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 19 see see VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 20 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 21 CFR CFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 22 ≈ ≈ NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 23 D(t D(t NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 156 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 157 1 HI(t HI(t NFP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 157 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 157 3 = = NFP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 158 1 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 158 2 H H NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 158 3 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 1 With with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 2 IFR IFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 3 = = SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 4 0.657 0.657 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 5 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 6 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 7 H h NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 8 = = SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 9 2 2 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 10 - - SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 11 4 4 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 12 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 13 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 15 find find VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 16 CFR CFR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 17 = = SYM cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 18 0.16 0.16 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 19 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 20 0.33 0.33 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 21 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 22 i.e. i.e. FW cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 23 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 24 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 25 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 26 range range NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 27 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 28 16 16 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 29 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 30 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 31 33 33 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 32 % % NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 159 33 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 2 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 3 precisely precisely RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 4 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 6 range range NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 7 that that WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 8 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 9 seen see VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 10 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 11 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 12 current current JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 13 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 14 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 15 India India NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 160 16 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 2 also also RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 3 means mean VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 4 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 6 current current JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 7 policy policy NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 8 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 9 testing testing NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 10 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 11 likely likely JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 12 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 13 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 14 catching catch VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 15 most most JJS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 16 cases case NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 17 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 18 need need VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 19 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 20 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 21 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 161 22 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 1 One one CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 2 hopes hope VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 3 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 4 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 5 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 6 decision decision NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 7 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 8 administer administer VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 9 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 10 faster fast JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 11 serum serum NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 12 test test NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 13 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 14 it -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 15 might may MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 16 become become VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 17 possible possible JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 18 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 19 sample sample VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 20 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 21 larger large JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 22 population population NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 23 more more RBR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 24 effectively effectively RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 162 25 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 1 Finally finally RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 3 point point VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 4 out out RP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 5 that that IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 6 there there EX cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 7 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 8 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 9 strong strong JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 10 age age NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 11 structure structure NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 12 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 13 all all PDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 14 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 15 model model NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 16 parameters parameter NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 17 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 18 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 20 have have VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 21 ignored ignore VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 163 22 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 164 1 This this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 164 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 164 3 plan plan VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 164 4 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 164 5 do do VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 164 6 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 164 7 future future NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 164 8 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 1 Along along IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 2 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 3 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 4 planned plan VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 5 Bayesian Bayesian NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 6 narrowing narrowing NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 7 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 8 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 9 parameter parameter NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 10 space space NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 11 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 12 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 13 pathology pathology NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 14 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 15 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 16 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 17 this this DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 18 would would MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 19 provide provide VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 20 valuable valuable JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 21 inputs input NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 22 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 23 more more RBR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 24 detailed detailed JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 25 models model NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 26 which which WDT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 27 can can MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 28 be be VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 29 used use VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 30 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 31 inform inform VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 32 future future JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 33 policy policy NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 165 34 . . . cord-187857-emgxp5wg 166 1 Aerosol Aerosol NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 166 2 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 166 3 Surface Surface NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 166 4 Stability Stability NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 166 5 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 166 6 SARS SARS NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 166 7 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 166 8 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 1 as as IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 2 Compared compare VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 3 with with IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 4 SARS SARS NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 5 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 6 CoV-1 CoV-1 NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 7 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 8 Incubation Incubation NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 9 Period Period NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 10 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 11 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 12 Disease Disease NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 13 2019 2019 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 17 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 18 Publicly publicly RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 19 Reported report VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 20 Confirmed confirm VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 21 Cases case NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 22 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 23 Estimation Estimation NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 24 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 25 Application Application NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 26 Positive positive JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 27 RT RT NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 28 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 29 PCR PCR NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 30 Test test NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 31 Results result NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 32 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 33 Patients patient NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 34 Recovered recover VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 35 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 36 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 37 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 38 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 39 number number NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 40 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 41 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 42 is be VBZ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 43 higher high JJR cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 44 compared compare VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 167 45 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 1 SARS SARS NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 2 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 3 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 4 outbreak outbreak NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 5 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 6 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 7 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 8 Princess Princess NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 9 cruise cruise NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 10 ship ship NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 11 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 12 estimating estimate VBG cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 13 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 15 potential potential NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 16 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 17 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 18 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 19 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 20 public public JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 21 health health NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 22 countermeasures countermeasure NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 23 Characteristics characteristic NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 24 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 25 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 26 Important Important NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 27 Lessons lesson NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 28 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 29 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 30 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 31 Disease Disease NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 32 2019 2019 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 34 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 36 Outbreak outbreak NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 37 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 38 China China NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 39 Estimates estimate NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 40 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 41 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 42 severity severity NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 43 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 44 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 45 disease disease NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 46 2019 2019 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 47 : : : cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 48 a a DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 49 model model NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 50 based base VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 168 51 analysis analysis NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 1 Clinical clinical JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 2 predictors predictor NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 3 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 4 mortality mortality NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 5 due due IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 6 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 7 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 8 base base NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 9 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 10 an an DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 11 analysis analysis NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 12 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 13 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 14 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 15 150 150 CD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 16 patients patient NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 17 from from IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 18 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 19 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 20 China China NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 21 Potential Potential NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 22 Biases Biases NNPS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 23 in in IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 24 Estimating Estimating NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 25 Absolute Absolute NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 26 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 27 Relative Relative NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 28 Case case NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 29 - - HYPH cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 30 Fatality fatality NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 31 Risks risk NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 32 during during IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 169 33 Outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 2 make make VBP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 4 data datum NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 5 set set VBN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 6 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 7 clusters cluster NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 8 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 9 fatalities fatality NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 10 publicly publicly RB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 11 available available JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 12 on on IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 13 Google Google NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 14 maps map NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 15 at at IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 16 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 17 address address NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 18 drive drive NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 19 The the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 20 authors author NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 21 would would MD cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 22 like like VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 23 to to TO cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 24 thank thank VB cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 25 Sandhya Sandhya NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 26 Koushika Koushika NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 27 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 28 Gautam Gautam NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 29 Menon Menon NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 30 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 31 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 32 Rahul Rahul NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 33 Siddharthan Siddharthan NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 34 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 35 crucial crucial JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 36 inputs input NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 37 , , , cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 38 and and CC cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 39 many many JJ cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 40 members member NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 41 of of IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 42 the the DT cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 43 ISRC ISRC NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 45 Indian Indian NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 46 Scientists Scientists NNPS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 47 ' ' POS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 48 Response response NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 49 to to IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 50 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 51 ) ) -RRB- cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 52 mailing mailing NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 53 list list NN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 54 for for IN cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 55 discussions discussion NNS cord-187857-emgxp5wg 170 56 . . .